Category: US Dollar
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, March 15, 2010
Is The U.S. Dollar Reversing Again? / Currencies / US Dollar
It's been a while since we did a video on the euro/dollar relationship. This relationship may be reversing again based on recent price action. In today's short video I point out some of the changes we see happening in this market.
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Sunday, March 14, 2010
The Four Stages of the Prospective U.S. Dollar Bull Market / Currencies / US Dollar
Since last November, the dollar has climbed steadily against a basket of currencies — most notably against the euro. And based on my analysis, I think it’s just the early stages of this trend.
In fact, for many of the reasons I’ve discussed in past Money and Markets columns, the weight of evidence suggests that we’ve likely seen the bottom in the dollar, with a multi-year bull market ahead.
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Saturday, March 13, 2010
Marc Faber Says Cash is High Risk, U.S. Dollar Will Eventually Fall to Zero / Currencies / US Dollar
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, reveals his views on the inflation/deflation, of the US dollar. Marc says, cash and treasury bond will lose and the winners will be foreign currency and commodities. Equities have some power to hedge inflation.
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Friday, March 12, 2010
U.S. Dollar Bulls Beware / Currencies / US Dollar
By late 2009, as the U.S. dollar flirted with multi-year lows against most foreign currencies, big investment players crowded into trades that shorted the greenback. Commentators noted that the anti-dollar momentum had taken on a life of its own and that the trade had become too crowded. It is true that markets have a nasty tendency to move against the crowd. When a lot of traders agree on a particular trade, it's more likely that in the short-run the opposite trade will be a winner.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 03, 2010
Chinese Yuan v The U.S. Dollar: In The Case of Global Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
The practice of accumulating dollar reserves by the central banks has become more pronounced after the 1997 Asian financial crisis, when currency speculators hastened a balance of payments crisis in Thailand, Indonesia and South Korea by demanding dollars for local currency, depleting the central banks’ dollar reserves.
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Wednesday, March 03, 2010
U.S. Credit Turns to Debt, Will The U.S. Devalue The Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
The ability to wage war on credit gave the West an insurmountable advantage over the East. The West’s credit, however, has now turned to debt and the West has lost its advantage. But the return to parity will not be easy.
The three hundred year economic expansion fueled by debt-based capital markets is coming to an end and with it, the hegemony of the West over the East. During that period, debt-based paper money propelled first England then the US to world dominion because of the ability to wage war on credit and to print money ad infinitum.
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Monday, March 01, 2010
Falling U.S. Dollar, Buoyant Equities / Currencies / US Dollar
While the e-mini S&P 500 appears to be consolidating at the top of its upmove from last Thursday’s pivot low at 1084.59, the DXY (cash dollar index) is in the process of giving back most of its upmove from earlier today. As of this moment, the combination of a falling dollar and buoyant equity indices argues for continued upside in the commodity-related names and indices into the closing bell – especially in the metals and mining names, including ETFs such as the GDX and GLD.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2010
Still Living in a U.S. Dollar Centric World / Currencies / US Dollar
Abstract: For all its fatal flaws, the $USD is still king of the hill – and for now at least, the focus of investor optimism has shifted to the United States.
With apologies to Mark Twain, the dollar’s death has been greatly exaggerated. We can see this with a simple glance at the $USD chart below.
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Sunday, February 21, 2010
U.S. Dollar Entering Consolidation Phase / Currencies / US Dollar
It appears that we are either just entering the consolidation phase of the US dollar index for the next 6 to 8 weeks or there is one final move to the upside before entering the consolidation phase. Every market around the globe is experiencing difficulty in one form or another which is associated with high debt levels.
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Sunday, February 21, 2010
U.S. Dollar Fool's Gold Rally, Protect Yourself Against Worthless Fiat Paper / Currencies / US Dollar
Although in truth, it is valueless paper; in our collective reality, it is real and has legal purchasing powers. Despite such enslavement by government decree, it does not stop us from trading it, and hedging against its true intrinsic value.
The fool's gold to which we refer is none other than the world's reserve currency, the $USD.
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Friday, February 19, 2010
U.S. Dollar Still Looks Strong Against the Euro / Currencies / US Dollar
The Macro Trader’s view:
The current Dollar rally began late in 2009 and was driven initially by some strong US economic data. But even when that data turned a little mixed, the Dollar continued to rally.
Friday, February 12, 2010
US Dollar Bear Market Rallies / Currencies / US Dollar
In recent months, the US dollar has been surging higher. This impressive strength is a radical change from last year’s relentless grind lower. Across the globe, the majority of analysts expect this run higher to persist for a variety of reasons. This prospect is troubling traders of commodities and commodities stocks.
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Sunday, February 07, 2010
Win-Win Scenario for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
The debt problems in Dubai threw a wrench in the happy-go-lucky risk trade of last year. And since then, the perception of the state of the global economy has been unraveling.
All of the sudden, the world isn’t as safe a place as was thought just months ago: Global stock markets are falling, commodity markets have cracked, and foreign currencies are back in decline.
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Saturday, February 06, 2010
The U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
"When you get into a tight place and everything goes against you, till it seems as though you could not hold on a minute longer, never give up then, for that is just the place and time that the tide will turn." ~ Harriet Beecher Stowe, 1811-1896, American Novelist, Antislavery Campaigner
This is one topic we spoke of extensively over the past few months and we are going to list excerpts from some past updates with emphasis on the Dec 16th market update.
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Friday, February 05, 2010
More Upside for U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
The DXY (cash dollar index) continues to leap higher in reaction to uncertainties about the sovereign debt conditions of a subset of countries referred to as the PIIGS. Let's notice that after emerging to the upside on 1/28 above 23.20, the PowerShares DB U.S. Dollar Index (NYSE: UUP) has rocketed 2% in the past 6 sessions amidst constant negative news about widening Greek, Spanish, and Portugese CDS spreads.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2010
What’s Next for the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
The Federal Reserve’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) is sticking to its course for phasing out the additional purchases of Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS). Notably however, in its statement released January 27th, reference to an improving housing market was omitted after recent bad news about the sector.
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Monday, February 01, 2010
U.S. Dollar In Jeopardy Of Losing Its Value / Currencies / US Dollar
The World is concerned that the dollar cannot play the role of the main reserve currency any longer after the financial crisis sparked by the collapse of the U.S. mortgage market led to the worst global recession since the 1930s. The Government’s stimulus packages, financial bailouts, the need to support liquidity in Treasuries, keeping interest rates at the lowest level under the circumstances of low economic growth, high unemployment and low tax collection make it print more dollars. This leads to a high risk of substantial inflation, or hyperinflation in a long-run.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 31, 2010
Fed’s Currency Swap Lines, A BIG deal for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
The Fed met this week on monetary policy. It was a bit of a snoozer. What wasn’t a snoozer, however, was what they’ve included in their recent monetary policy statements regarding currencies.
Most market participants have been entranced by the Fed’s language about their target interest rates …
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Wednesday, January 27, 2010
U.S. Dollar Gains Against Major Currencies and Commodities / Currencies / US Dollar
dollar has grown stronger to start this week, gaining ground against most major currencies and commodities, the Japanese yen, being the prominent exception.
The gold price spot rate is at $1,091, after a Tuesday New York Mercantile Exchange close just below $1,100. The gold rate is well below its all time high of $1,218.25 near the end of 2009.
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Monday, January 25, 2010
U.S. Dollar Giant Double Top Pattern Implies Bearish Outlook / Currencies / US Dollar
KISS is an acronym for the popular expression, keep it simple, stupid. I don’t particularly like the idea of calling others stupid. I have found that people who do so usually have an inability to express themselves, and this is because they themselves are stupid. Most people I have met in this world can do at least something better than I can, and I can benefit from their expertise. (This is what the economist calls division of labor and specialization.) At any rate, the simple part is very good. Most great ideas are simple (the 10 Commandments, Newton’s laws of motion).
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