Category: US Dollar
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, December 13, 2010
U.S. Dollar Forecast 2011, Ways to Profit Despite the Greenback's Expected Struggles / Currencies / US Dollar
By Larry D. Spears writes: The U.S. dollar faces a long list of challenges in the New Year.
The U.S. greenback could strengthen in 2011-but only against the European euro and other currencies with heavy exposure to the European debt crisis, including the British pound sterling. Against virtually every other currency, however, the U.S. dollar is likely to be the loser.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 12, 2010
The Debt-Dollar Discipline: Part II - Conservation & Release / Currencies / US Dollar
Part I in this series introduced Michel Foucault's theory of disciplinary society, laid out in his book Discipline and Punish, and the application of this analysis to the "debt-dollar discipline" formally imposed on global society by the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1945 (establishing the dollar as the global reserve currency). It should come as no surprise that this global financial discipline is currently in the process of being revoked.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 10, 2010
Will Aussie Dollar Overtake U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
Green back was not strong nor weak it was neutral at best with mild bias towards the red territory a perfect example of undergoing consolidation. However, the U.S Dollar really was materially weak against the Aussie Dollar as the data out from Canberra of employment beat not just the streets estimates but also beat previous induction of “full time” workers. The employment rose by 54,600 for the month of November for full time workers. Australia has the highest interest rates of all the developed nations and keeping in view such high employability the already tight monetary policy would certainly have to be tightened even further.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 04, 2010
Collapse of the Debt Dollar Discipline: Financial Discipline & Punish / Currencies / US Dollar
*The following is Part I in a two part series of articles on the relatively rapid emergence and collapse of the "debt-dollar discipline" imposed on our global society. It is being done in two installments mainly due to my current time constraints, but also for the sake of shorter length and targeted focus. This part will introduce Michel Foucault's (renowned french philosopher, 1926-1984) analysis of "discipline" and "punish" in the modern state, and apply it to the global debt-dollar reserve system. The next part will focus entirely on the ongoing collapse of this disciplinary system, as it such an important and far-reaching topic.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 01, 2010
China and Russia Trade Agreement: More than Meets the Eye / Currencies / US Dollar
Direct trade between China and Russia may be less than $50 billion annually, but it's not the numbers that matter. Under the new agreement, China and Russia have decided that they will use their own local currencies to settle bilateral trade. Previously, both countries used the United States dollar as an intermediary for settling delivery payments.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 01, 2010
U.S. Dollar USD Index Deja-Vu from 52 Weeks Ago? / Currencies / US Dollar
US dollar stabilizes up as US bond yields push higher following the 93K increase in Nov ADP (highest since Nov 2007) and the October revision to +82K from +43K. US 10 year yields jump to 2.91% from 2.79% earlier, further boosting the "good-data-is positive-for-USD" reaction, which was not always apparent. Although the euro is holding firm, general FX dynamics are increasingly similar to exactly a year ago when USD strengthened in early December 2009 on a combination of strong US Nov jobs report (released on December 4, 2009 at -11k vs expectations of -130K) and the triple downgrades of Greece later in the month (Fitch, S&P and Moodys). Are we witnessing a Déjà vu from exactly 52 weeks ago? Such would be the case in the event of double positive surprise (strong NFP, falling unemployment rate) and possibly upside revisions.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 30, 2010
U.S. Dollar's Rally From the End of Inverted Parabolic Formation is Bearish for Gold and Silver / Currencies / US Dollar
Really need to start drinking more coffee, perhaps. Must have fallen asleep and missed the demise of the U.S. dollar. For when we looked this morning, it was still there trading away. Something must have happened while we were nodding off.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Why I Still Like the U.S. Dollar in a Crisis / Currencies / US Dollar
Jeff Clark writes: "Where the heck is our emergency cash?" I asked, looking squarely at my wife...
The mountain of $20 bills I stashed away last year was now nothing more than a mole-hill.
Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Four Ways to Monitor the U.S. Dollar and Risk Trade / Currencies / US Dollar
With European debt markets getting little relief thus far from the Ireland bailout, we need to keep a continued eye on the U.S. dollar. A weaker U.S. dollar tends to provide tailwinds for stocks, commodities, gold, and silver. Therefore, a longer-than-expected rally in the greenback may provide headwinds for these assets, with gold being the possible exception in the near-term.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Currency Manipulation, Two Sides to Every Coin / Currencies / US Dollar
Recently, currency manipulation has garnered headline attention. We have been constantly bombarded with rhetoric out of Washington: “China isn’t allowing its currency to appreciate fast enough”; “China’s exchange rate policies are stealing jobs from America”; “We’re playing fair, why can’t China?” More often than not, the more vociferous proponents come from politicians who, in our opinion, are simply posturing for votes; attempting to provide catchy sound bites they believe will resonate with their constituents, without fully grasping the underlying fundamentals at play. The situation itself is truly paradoxical – akin to a major corporation thanking its largest creditor by insulting them.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 29, 2010
U.S. Dollar Rally, Gold and the Art of Speculation / Currencies / US Dollar
The rally in the dollar over the past few weeks serves as a good illustration of what it takes to be a good speculator. I can remember when I was new to the art of speculation. It was the early 1970s, and Richard Nixon, unilaterally and illegally, abolished the U.S. gold standard (or at least the slender, connection to gold which still existed at that time and was known as the Bretton Woods System).
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 26, 2010
While North And South Korea Exchange Artillery, China and Russia Fire A Warning Shot Against The Bernanke Bow / Politics / US Dollar
When time permits I like to relax with a good mystery story. One of my favorite masters of the genre is Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, creator of Shirlock Holmes. A few days ago a story appeared on the front page of China Daily on 11-23-10, that is worthy in emulating the masters great classic: “The Dog That Did Not Bark.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 18, 2010
The U.S. Dollar Survives Again / Currencies / US Dollar
Given all that stress that the Federal Reserve's currency debasement program is laying on the global economy, last week's G-20 summit in South Korea should have been the monetary equivalent of a military degradation for the U.S. dollar. The greenback should have been slapped across the face, stripped of its medals, and cashiered from the ranks of respected currencies. Instead the dollar escaped unscathed, retaining its privileged status as the world's reserve.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 18, 2010
U.S. Dollar, USD Index Rally? / Currencies / US Dollar
Why the USD is rallying
Well why can the USD rally now with another $600 billion of US QE? Basically it is argued by some, including me, that since the US has the defacto world reserve currency, that even if the US wants to abuse it and print a lot of money, since they print it, and issue the USD, they can win any argument on currency rates.
Wednesday, November 17, 2010
U.S. Dollar Trend Puts Gold Under Pressure / Currencies / US Dollar
Last week I warned that the U.S. Dollar was reaching three year lows and to expect a dollar bounce. The dollar has bounced higher as risk aversion has returned with Ireland on the verge of needing a bailout and China raising interest rates to combat rising inflation. There are growing concerns of the Fed needing to raise interest rates ahead of schedule. The previous euphoria in commodities appears to be waning and the technicals are demonstrating the fundamental challenges facing commodities.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 16, 2010
Looking Back at the Credit Crunch, Fall of the Mighty Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
When politicians and policy makers see an economic problem, especially one with the scale of the financial crisis today, they feel obliged to solve it. Unfortunately, the measures they’ve implemented have not worked so far. In fact, their policies have the opposite effect because it reinforces imbalances. The monetary stimulus is just whetted the appetites of consumers to purchase even more imports. Meanwhile, the second round of quantitative easing might only make it worse.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 14, 2010
U.S. Election Rejection of Obama is Bullish for U.S. Dollar, Gold Rally Defferred / Currencies / US Dollar
Rejection may be hard for most politicians to accept, but might be good for the nation and the world. Obama Regime's mismanagement of U.S. economy was rejected on 2nd of November in the U.S. election. That rejection ushered in the greatest change in political power in U.S. since 1948. Thus far, Obama Regime's only positive legacy will be the greatest political rejection in 62 years. That development means Obama Regime's reign of terror on wealth and economic growth has ended. That is bullish news for the U.S. dollar.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 12, 2010
U.S. Dollar Devaluation, A Bad Plan Poorly Disguised / Currencies / US Dollar
With our economy sagging and our international clout waning, one of the few assets upon which the United States can rely is the confidence that the rest of the world has traditionally showered upon us. That confidence is the reason why the US dollar was elevated to global reserve status more than 65 years ago.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 11, 2010
The U.S. Dollar, What should Investors do? What should Governments do? / Currencies / US Dollar
The Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) strategy of firing up its printing press may have the debasement of the U.S. dollar as its goal (see Fed Targets Weaker Dollar), but it’s important to note that the Fed does not act in a vacuum. In our humble opinion, Fed Chair Bernanke is wrong both on substance and politics – a potentially explosive mix.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 11, 2010
Will the G20 Dump the U.S. Dollar as the World's Main Reserve Currency? / Currencies / US Dollar
Jason Simpkins writes: The Group of 20 (G-20) is meeting today (Thursday) and tomorrow (Friday) in Seoul, South Korea, and one of the main topics of discussion will be the role of the U.S. dollar in the post-crisis global economy.
Debate over the dollar's role as the world's main reserve currency rose to a fevered pitch in 2008 when the financial crisis, which began in the United States, first roiled global markets.
Read full article... Read full article...