Category: US Dollar
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, March 10, 2011
The U.S. Dollar’s Double Decline / Currencies / US Dollar
Even silver and gold bears realize that the dollar is in decline, but few realize the extent of such a decline and how massive shifts in capital flows in 2008 will affect the dollar in 2011.
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Tuesday, March 08, 2011
U.S. Dollar Long-term Chart / Currencies / US Dollar
The weakness with this US Dollar DX index is that it is highly weighted to the developed economies of Europe and Japan. As such it may not reflect erosion of dollar purchasing power vis a vis the BRICs, and external measures such as gold, oil, and silver. It may be masked by the mutual weakness of central banks all inflating their currencies in unison.
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Tuesday, March 08, 2011
Crude Oil and Gold Prices Surge as Speculators Bet Billions Shorting the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
Kerri Shannon writes: Oil reached a 29-month high (yesterday) Monday morning in London and gold hit an intraday record as investors sought to hedge against inflation and traders bet billions shorting the dollar.
Brent crude futures contracts in London gained 0.1% yesterday to close at $116.11 a barrel, pushed higher by the Middle East crisis disrupting the oil supply. Crude for April delivery was up 0.9% to $105.36 in Monday afternoon trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).
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Monday, March 07, 2011
U.S. Dollar Index at High Risk of Unraveling / Currencies / US Dollar
I am sure that you are aware that the Dollar Index can't get a bid. This isn't news but a fact. The Dollar Index is in a down trend, and the question to ponder is: how low can it go? Looking at the price patterns, I believe the Dollar is at significant risk of unraveling.
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Wednesday, March 02, 2011
Taps for the Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
It now appears that the United States has finally succeeded in its efforts to destroy confidence in the U.S. dollar. Given the currency's reserve status, its ubiquity in financial markets, and the economic power and political position of the United States, this was no easy task. However, to get the job done Washington chose the right man: Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. Thanks to Bernanke's herculean efforts, investors across the globe have now been fully weaned from their infantile belief that the U.S. dollar will remain the ultimate safe haven currency.
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Tuesday, March 01, 2011
Disasters Rocking U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
From earthquakes in New Zealand to revolutions in the Middle East, natural and man-made disasters are rocking the world. We are all too often made to believe that in times of crisis there’s a flight to the U.S. dollar. However, the U.S. dollar has instead had a rocky ride of its own thus allowing the crisis-ridden Eurozone to shine. What’s going on? Is there no crisis, or has the U.S. dollar lost its appeal as a safe haven?
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Tuesday, March 01, 2011
Did You Notice This Change in the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Did you notice the U.S. dollar changed in the last few weeks?
I don't mean that it changed colors, has new security features, or has different words.
Tuesday, March 01, 2011
Is the U.S. Dollar on the Brink? / Currencies / US Dollar
Just take a look at the chart of the U.S. dollar Index and you see a frightening sight. If it sinks any further its support will have evaporated. We have watched all this week the gold price rise and look good in the dollar. But in the euro it has barely moved. Against the Swiss Franc the dollar looks so weak. With the Technical picture looking so poor, one turns to the fundamentals to see if they conflict or support a downturn for the dollar.
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Thursday, February 17, 2011
U.S. Dollar on the Edge of the Abyss / Currencies / US Dollar
The dollar is now poised on the edge of the abyss.
The current intermediate cycle has rolled over and is making lower lows and lower highs. The current daily cycle has formed a swing high and is in jeopardy of rolling over into a left translated cycle. If the dollar breaks below the November intermediate bottom of 75.63 it will be an incredibly bearish sign as not only will the current intermediate cycle have topped in only 4 weeks but the larger yearly cycle will also have topped in only 4 weeks.
Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Fed's Gold Bullish Script, Destroying the Dollar and Demolishing the United States / Currencies / US Dollar
What If We Had a Bubble and Nobody Came?
You could not have written a better script for gold. It is almost as if the US Government and the Federal Reserve are trying to destroy the dollar and demolish the country – and taking most of the western world with it.
At the beginning of this gold bull market, in 2000, no one had ever heard of Barack Obama or Ben Bernanke. But, 11 years later, and an outright socialist profligate spender is President of the US and a College professor who believes in crackpot Keynesian theories about how money printing can save economies is the Chairman of the Federal Reserve.
Saturday, February 12, 2011
U.S. Dollar Gains on Global Political Uncertainty / Currencies / US Dollar
It is a amazing that despite some improving signs on the domestic economy, it is developments in Egypt that have helped prop up the dollar in early Friday (February 11) currency trade.
Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak has once again refused demands that he step down in lieu of a political uprising in the country. The uncertainty surrounding developments in Egypt have weighed on global equities, but the greenback has made a slight comeback.
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Thursday, February 03, 2011
The U.S. Dollar Index, How Low Can You Go? / Currencies / US Dollar
When looking at the Dollar Index, I am reminded of the song the "Cha Cha Slide"when the performer says, "How low can you go?" There is no question investors believe that the Dollar is going down and that equities are only going up all courtesy of Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke and his QE 2 policy. Yesterday's rally in equities and concurrent drop in the Dollar served to remind me of the fact that currency devaluation and increasing liquidity remain the drivers for equities. It has been that way since 2007, and why should it stop now? For the record, the Dollar Index was down a hefty 0.86% yesterday while stocks enjoyed a strong trend day.
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Friday, January 28, 2011
Could Bernanke Spark a Run on the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
Treasury yields are "blinking red", but the Fed keeps acting like nothing's wrong. What's the deal?
Let's explain: Fed chairman Ben Bernanke's bond purchasing program (QE2) has sent the yield on the 30-year Treasury skyrocketing. At the same time, the the 2-year Treasury is stuck at a lowly 0.61. That means, the "yield curve" between the two bonds has grown steeper, which normally happens at the beginning of a recovery because investors are moving out of "risk free" bonds to riskier assets like stocks. Typically, the yield on the long-term bond will start to go down on its own because investors expect the Fed to raise short-term rates to curb potential inflation. But that's not happening this time. Why? And why should we care?
Thursday, January 20, 2011
Plans to Save the Doomed U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
Reuters’ Emily Flitter asks in a recent column What is Plan B if China dumps its U.S. debt?
Read full article... Read full article...It is worth asking about U.S. officials’ Plan B just in case one day relations take a surprise turn for the worse and Beijing dumps its holdings of U.S. treasuries.
Tuesday, January 18, 2011
A Temporary Lifeline for the U.S. Dollar 2011 / Currencies / US Dollar
2011 is set to be the year of the dollar’s rebound.At first glance, the dollar shouldn’t be on the rise. Official unemployment is stuck at near 10%. Dozens of municipal governments are set to fall into bankruptcy this year. The federal budget deficit is over $1 trillion. The Fed has signaled its intention to monetize more debt.
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Monday, January 17, 2011
Why Hold Dollars if the Fed is Going to Intentionally Deflate Their Value? / Currencies / US Dollar
As everyone seems to know, and as you have read endlessly in innumerable reports, the Federal Reserve has expanded its balance sheet by more than two trillion dollars. At present is in the process of adding another six hundred billion dollars of assets by monetizing U.S. government debt. At the same time, Obama Regime's deficit has spiraled out of control. Correctly measured, that deficit for the past year was $1.7 trillion.
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Thursday, January 06, 2011
Destruction of the U.S. Dollar, The Real Reason Paul Volcker Wants Out / Currencies / US Dollar
The news that Paul Volcker plans to step down from a "panel of experts" advising Barack Obama today will likely whip market participants into a bit of a frenzy analyzing what this could possibly mean.
But, the problem with their conclusions will be that they are starting from an incorrect premise. The great majority of market participants believe that Paul Volcker was responsible for ending the inflation of the 1970s. And, as usual, the great majority of market participants are wrong.
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Friday, December 17, 2010
The U.S. Dollar Threads a Needle / Currencies / US Dollar
Pre-holiday cheer is certainly evident in the financial markets. The overwhelming consensus is that the Congressional agreement to not raise taxes while extending hundreds of billions in new stimulus will finally allow the recovery to take hold. The good feelings are underscored by less-than-awful employment reports and modest slowdowns in foreclosures. Another point of optimism is the continued buoyancy of the US dollar, which has weakened over the past few months, but has not collapsed.
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Wednesday, December 15, 2010
Is The U.S. Dollar Too Big to Fail? Gold and Silver Lifeline / Currencies / US Dollar
Those in the U.S. power structure know what the plan is should the U.S. dollar fail. They are not admitting publically that there is even the remotest chance that it could happen but, rest assured, there is a plan. There is always a plan. To paraphrase Franklin Roosevelt, nothing happens by chance in government, so don’t be caught up in such a ‘surprise’ event - whatever it may be and whenever it occurs.
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Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Post Mortem for the world's "Reserve Currency" / Currencies / US Dollar
Paul Volcker is worried about the future of the dollar and for good reason. The Fed has initiated a program (Quantitative Easing) that presages an end to Bretton Woods 2 and replaces it with different system altogether. Naturally, that's made trading partners pretty nervous. Despite the unfairness of the present system--where export-dependent countries recycle capital to US markets to sustain demand---most nations would rather stick with the "devil they know", then venture into the unknown. But US allies weren't consulted on the matter. The Fed unilaterally decided that the only way to fight deflation and high unemployment in the US, was by weakening the dollar and making US exports more competitive. Hence--QE2.
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