Category: US Dollar
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, October 22, 2014
Currency War - How to Profit from a Stronger U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes: The Fed plans to wind down its asset purchases this month, but Japan and the United Kingdom are still buying, full swing.
Meanwhile, the European Union is just looking to get started.
And, while the Fed is expected to begin raising rates next year, Europe and Japan recently pushed theirs below zeroas deflation appears to be the bigger threat.v
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Tuesday, October 14, 2014
U.S. Dollar Sea Change / Currencies / US Dollar
By: John_Mauldin
You don’t need a weatherman
To know which way the wind blows.
– Bob Dylan, “Subterranean Homesick Blues,” 1965
Full fathom five thy father lies.
Of his bones are coral made.
Those are pearls that were his eyes.
Nothing of him that doth fade,
But doth suffer a sea-change
Into something rich and strange.
– William Shakespeare, The Tempest
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Friday, October 10, 2014
US Dollar Super Overbought / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Zeal_LLC
The US dollar has relentlessly blasted higher in recent months, achieving its longest consecutive-week rally in history. Speculators have flooded into the world’s reserve currency for a variety of reasons, ranging from Federal Reserve rate-hike hopes to festering Eurozone worries. But the resulting massive dollar surge has left it super-overbought while breeding universal bullishness, the precursors to a sharp selloff.
While only a small fraction of traders speculate in currencies, the foreign-exchange market is the largest in the world by far. Trillions of dollars change hands in currency trades every day, dwarfing all the other markets! And currency prices, particularly the fortunes of the dominant US dollar, can greatly affect everything else in the financial-market and economic realms. No one can afford to ignore the US dollar.
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Tuesday, October 07, 2014
US Dollar is Extreme / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Tanashian
Using Tom McCellan’s article discussing a “blow off” move in the US dollar and its very bearish net short position by commercial traders as a starting point, I would like to talk about the USD and gold and how they each fit in to the global macro backdrop. We could add silver into the mix as well because its failure in relation to gold (ref. the gold-silver ratio’s breakout last week) is the other horseman (joining Uncle Buck) that would indicate a changing macro. Here’s the McClellan piece:
Monday, October 06, 2014
U.S. Dollar's Ride is About to End / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Michael_Pento
Under the stewardship of Shinzo Abe, the nation of Japan has become a global leader in debt, currency devaluation and inflation. Unfortunately for the Japanese, Abenomics is also leading Japan into a hyperinflationary depression, as the first of his three arrows has shot right through the yen and put a gaping hole in the wallets of every Japanese citizen.
Monday, October 06, 2014
The Soaring U.S. Dollar Debate: Good, Bad, Ugly / Currencies / US Dollar
By: John_Rubino
The dollar is on a tear. And the world is scrambling to figure out what it means.
Tuesday, September 30, 2014
US Dollar Cycle Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ed_Carlson
It seems nothing can stop the US Dollar. Since its low in April it has closed higher in four out of five months and is up almost 8.00% since then. While a run like that is in need of a rest there are some big issues that need to be considered now.
DXY broke out of a six-year triangle this month. Breaking to the upside from a triangle is bullish. That triangle is essentially a six-year base and should give DXY some serious "legs" for the future.
Tuesday, September 23, 2014
Destroying the U.S. Dollar a Penny at a Time / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Peter_Schiff
Mike Finger writes: A recent article on the Wall Street Journal's blog draws attention to the high cost of producing a single penny - 1.6 cents each, to be exact. They blame this unsustainable price on the high cost of zinc, which makes up 97.5% of every American penny. The online publication Quartz ran with this story, giving it a new headline: "It costs 1.6 cents to make one penny because of the rising price of zinc". Time for a short economics lesson.
Monday, September 22, 2014
U.S. Dollar: The Last Hurrah? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
End of empire is a difficult time for two groups, investors and patriots. A hundred years ago the U.S. took the economic baton from England to become the most important economy in the world. No doubt some loyalists refused to recognize the shift that was taking place. From then on the world began to denominate economic activity in U.S. dollars. Holding British pounds might have been the loyal thing to do, but it was not a wise investment decision. Today, a similar situation exists for the dollar. Dollar-based investors may now be facing the "last hurrah" for the dollar, and should not ignore that possibility.
Wednesday, September 17, 2014
Russia and China May Destroy Petrodollar / Politics / US Dollar
By: Pravda
Actions of the West in Eastern Europe and ongoing pressure on Russia may eventually intensify the movement to combat the petrodollar. The biggest danger to the oil currency is likely to be related to China and its plans to increase the role of the yuan in the world.
Russia and China currently discuss the creation of a system of inter-bank transactions, which would be an analogue to the international system of bank transfers - SWIFT. This was announced by First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov after talks in Beijing.
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Tuesday, September 16, 2014
U.S. Dollar’s Turn to Cause a Recession / Currencies / US Dollar
By: John_Rubino
Europe is an economic basket case while the US is kind-of sort-of recovering. Why? Several reasons, but the only one that really matters these days is that in 2012 and 2013 the eurozone operated with tight monetary policy and an appreciating currency while the US created new money with abandon and let the dollar fall. So US products got cheaper on global markets and US companies and consumers were able to borrow at more favorable rates. The result: relatively fast growth in the US and a descent into deflationary depression for the eurozone. Here’s the euro vs the dollar between early 2012 and early 2014:
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Tuesday, September 16, 2014
The Emergence of the US Petro-Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Dorsch
Trying to pick a profitable trade in the foreign exchange market is similar to judging a “reverse beauty” contest, that is to say, the winner is the least ugly currency at any given moment in time. All paper currencies are ugly, because central bankers print vast quantities of fiat currency, to varying degrees, at the behest of the ruling political elite that appointed them to run the printing presses. “By this means, government may secretly and unobserved, confiscate the wealth of the people, and not one man in a million will detect the theft,” –the late British economist John Maynard Keynes, used to say. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 15, 2014
A Closer Look at the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Tanashian
Using the standard weekly currency chart we followed along for months as the Euro found resistance at the long-term downtrend line as expected, the commodity currencies long ago lost major support and non-confirmed the commodity complex and the US dollar moved from a hold of critical support, to a trend line breakout, to its current impulsive and over bought status. It is time now for a closer look at Uncle Buck since this reserve currency is key to so many asset markets the world over.
Monday, September 15, 2014
US Dollar Forecast to Go Much Higher / Currencies / US Dollar
By: David_Petch
The US Dollar has gone gang busters after breaking above 81.7 and clearly has broken out. This has implications for everything else. As the US Dollar is a Reserve Currency, everything that has an inverse relationship to it will fall, such as gold. As I mentioned, I got out of all of my core precious metal positions a few weeks ago after the drop and bounce, as there is no indication that they will participate to the upside with a rising US Dollar under the current global environment. Most commodities are experiencing weakness and this will continue into next year until the US Dollar initially tops out. When the global economy after August 2015 hits, then commodities could get whacked even more. They might not get clipped as bad as per 2008 off the record highs, but there still will be a correction to follow. How long the rally in the US Dollar lasts is really anyone's guess. Analysis will show a high expected in the range of 93-95 by August 2015, but it could still have strength as deflation overtakes the global economies.
Friday, September 12, 2014
Currency Market Mayhem / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Alasdair_Macleod
You’d think that the US dollar has suddenly become strong, and the chart below of the other three major currencies confirms it.
The US dollar is the risk-free currency for international accounting, because it is the currency on which all the others are based. And it is clear that three months ago dollar exchange rates against the three currencies shown began to strengthen notably.
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Wednesday, September 10, 2014
AUD USD Beware The Fake Out / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Austin_Galt
The AUDUSD has been smashed the last couple of days. It has even busted through a well known support level. Many bulls would have stopped out of long positions on this move down while many bears would have shorted the break. I believe this to be a classic market deception. Let’s investigate starting with the daily chart.
Friday, September 05, 2014
US Dollar and Yen Trend Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight is a good time to look at some long term charts for the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen. I've been waiting for this day for more than a year now when I first created this long term US dollar chart. Some of our long term members will recall this monthly fractal chart that I labeled as having a Big Base #1 and Big Base #2 which are fractals as shown by the numbers on each base. At the time I thought we were ready to breakout above the almost 14 year S&R rail but as you can see the US dollar needed one more small move lower to finish off the big base #2. The breakout doesn't look very impressive on this bar chart but it is happening.
Thursday, September 04, 2014
NATO Dead, King Dollar Wrecked / Politics / US Dollar
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The Paradigm Shift has reached a higher gear. The danger and risk levels have gone to critical levels. The risk of economic destruction has gone into recognizable critical levels. The source of the problem has become more easily identified. The typical tactics not only do not work, but expose the bully, the warmonger, the hegemony advocate, the wizard of violence, the imposer of self-serving rules, the crime syndicate bosses, the masters of espionage, the man with killer drone toys. The USDollar is defended by war, market interference (see LIBOR, FOREX, debt ratings), accounting rules gimmicks, rigged detonation of banking systems, pointed assassinations for heads of state, even fabricated natural events (see HAARP in Philippines).
Thursday, September 04, 2014
What's Next for The U.S. Dollar and Gold? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
One reason markets tend to get a little nervous in September is that it's time for investors to ponder about their asset allocation for the remainder of the year and beyond. With the markets at or near record highs and the US dollar on a roll, what could possibly go wrong? Let's look at what's next for the dollar, gold, and currencies.
Monday, August 18, 2014
No Escape from The Dollar as The Currency Standard / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Alasdair_Macleod
All commodities and near-commodities are priced internationally in dollars, and the dollar is used for over 80% of cross-border trade settlements. Consequently the dollar is the base currency for all countries' foreign reserves, giving it its reserve status. However, there are now challenges to the dollar's hegemony, with Russia, China as well as the other members, dialog-partners and associates of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO), taking deliberate steps towards doing away with the dollar entirely for pan-Asian trade. Recent developments setting up a rival to the IMF by the BRICS nations is part of this challenge.