Category: US Dollar
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, March 06, 2014
Ukraine as the U.S. Dollar Waterloo - Immediate Petro-Dollar Risk / Politics / US Dollar
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The desperation of the Anglo-American leadership, guided by the steady corrupt banker hands, has never been more acutely high, nor obvious in full view. The entire Ukraine situation is a travesty. It includes Langley agents killing police and street demonstrators from rooftops, the confirmation coming from the Estonian Embassy (translation of scripts). It includes thefts of official Ukrainian Govt funds, again sent to the Swiss hill sanctuary. It includes sanctions delivered by a US Paper Tiger, sure to cause horrific backlash. It involves the last gasp attempt to obstruct the Gazprom energy pipelines, which will inevitably corner the European market in monopoly. It involves subterfuge with the NATO card (aka Narcotics And Treachery Outlaws) with missiles placed on the Russian borders. Look for NATO members to find a back door to exit the spurious treaty. It involves playing with nitro-glycerine in the Petro-Dollar room. It involves putting tremendous risk for much more clear isolation of the United States. The more the USGovt pushes, the more the US will be isolated. Remember that Nazis steal from their enemy states, de-fraud from their allied states, and force themselves into an isolated state. In Ukraine, the United States has over-played its weak hand. Already, a secret document was leaked in London that the UKGovt would not support the US-led sanctions against Russia.
Thursday, March 06, 2014
U.S. Dollar's Long Term Decline / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
The cleanest of the dirty shirts doesn’t necessarily preserve your purchasing power. Sure, the U.S. dollar has beaten the Russian Ruble and some others of late, but when it comes to real competition, the U.S. dollar has taken a back seat. The U.S. dollar’s long-term decline may be firmly in place and investors may want to buckle up to get ready for the ride.
Thursday, February 20, 2014
Return of Goldilocks Economy Means a Weaker USD, but Beware the 3 Bears / Currencies / US Dollar
By: MahiFX
Central banks are shifting their policies in response to signs that economies are returning to growth. In many ways it looks like a comforting return to the 'old normal' when a broad range of indicators influenced currencies. If so that suggests USD weakness, but beware the three bears.
Tuesday, February 18, 2014
U.S. Dollar, Major Forex Market Forecasts for 2014 and 2015 / Currencies / US Dollar
By: David_Petch
It has been awhile since I have posted on the web and thought this was an appropriate article to share. This article focuses on technical analysis of 3 currencies and the US Dollar Index. A lot of the technical indicators I follow are universal, but the way in which they are modified and put together will not be found anywhere else. Developing the Contracting Fibonacci Spiral and the inverse chiral inversion that happened last summer have played a role in the forecast of this article. As unbelievable as the forecast may seem by time the end of this article, there is a significant amount of logic that went into this and may even defy logic. There is a mathematical basis to this pattern and hopefully it will be understood somewhat by the end of this article...
Monday, February 17, 2014
U.S. Dollar Remains Mixed / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Nadia_Simmons
The U.S. currency was little changed near recent lows against major currencies as U.S. markets are shut for the President’s Day holiday and trade volumes remain thin. Nevertheless, it’s worth noting that the greenback declined to a four-year low against the British pound earlier today. What is the current outlook for major currency pairs? We invite you to read our today's Forex Trading Alert.
Monday, February 17, 2014
AUDUSD Forecast - Resistance Around 0.9080 - 0.9170 / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gregor_Horvat
AUDUSD has found a support in the past two weeks and rallied more than 300 pips from 0.8650 which can be wave C as part of a flat correction in wave B). The reason is a three wave decline from above 0.9080 that we think it's corrective wave B as a part of a bigger complex correction. If we are on the right track then pair will rise up to 0.9080 - 0.9170 resistance zone in the next few trading days where a completion of a contra-trend pattern may occur.
Monday, February 10, 2014
The Split Birth of New Scheiss Dollar, Vicious Cycle & Downward Spiral / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The United States is fast racking up characteristics of a Third World nation. Its finances are Third World. Its president is Third World. Its banking integrity is Third World. Its absent industry is Third World. Its decaying cities are Third World. It urgently begs for a Third World currency, but that is soon to be remedied. The nation has been a freeloader on the global reserve currency for too long. That is about to end. For the last three years, the United States has been living in a fairy tale with bailouts from the vast bond monetization. The Quantitative Easing with its amplified bond purchases and hidden channels to disguise higher volumes has been operating as an historically unprecedented Wall Street bailout and Fannie Mae fraud recycle room. Pressures are building. The USDollar held in foreign jurisdictions is beyond the legal authority of the USGovt, which cannot continue covering its debts with inflation spew in the grandest heretic experiment in history. The solution within the global currency reset is the launch of the new American Dollar, for its own usage, no longer a global reserve currency.
Friday, January 17, 2014
U.S. Dollar Looks Bullish / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gregor_Horvat
USD Index Weekly
Dollar Index is slow choppy and overlapping within two contracting trendlines for the last few years which we think it represents a triangle pattern, most likely placed in wave B) position. The reason is a five wave rally in wave A) from 2008 low which is first leg of a three wave A)-B)-C) recovery. As such, we will be looking up in wave C) after a completion of a triangle pattern. For now that's not the case yet, as we will need waves D and E before we may turn immediately bullish. In the next few weeks we however expect move up in wave D up to the upper trendline of the pattern.
Tuesday, January 14, 2014
U.S. Dollar, Currencies and Gold Outlook 2014 / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
Rarely has the future been so clear. Really?? A lot of money has been lost jumping on the bandwagon. Let’s do a common sense check on the greenback to gauge where risks might be lurking and where there might be profit opportunities for investors.
Friday, January 10, 2014
The Parameters of the Coming U.S. Dollar Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Hyperinflation is a dynamic process - much like a positive feedback loop that, once entered, is almost impossible to exit. The process can go on for years. In the feedback cycle, the more central banks print money and buy bonds, the less other entities want to hold bonds.Simultaneously, the less others choose to hold bonds, the more the central bank is forced to buy so that the government has enough money to spend.
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Wednesday, January 08, 2014
Reasons Why The U.S. Government Is Destroying The Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Dan_Amerman
Overview
The United States government has six interrelated motivations for destroying the value of the dollar:
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Creating money out of thin air on a massive basis is all that stands between the current state of hidden depression, and overt depression with unemployment levels potentially rivaling those seen in the Great Depression of the 1930s.
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It is the most effective way to not just pay down current crushing debt levels using devalued dollars, but also to deal with the rapidly approaching massive generational crisis of paying for Boomer retirement promises.
Saturday, January 04, 2014
Why the World is Trapped with their U.S. Dollars / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
To a lot people a country with large foreign reserves is equivalent to a strong country. In a way it is true because a country can only accumulate foreign reserves when it is running a budget surplus. Having large foreign reserves has its advantages like enabling it to finance more imports and also acting as a cushion against an economic downturn. However there are also disadvantages associated with having a large foreign reserve. Besides generating inflation it also increases our dependence on the US$ which we are unable to get out from. A lot of people might thought I am nuts, saying that Malaysia and the rest of the world are trapped with their Dollar denominated foreign reserves. I shall show you why we can’t as a group but before that let us go through our country’s international reserves holdings.
Tuesday, December 17, 2013
USD Index Looks For Bullish Reversal / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gregor_Horvat
We believe that USD Index has now turned bullish with impulsive rise from 79.00 and breakout out of a downward channel. This breakout is important sign for a change in trend, even if just temporary. Based on a big picture with a triangle, we think that rise from 79.00 is start of a wave D that will unfold in three legs. If that is the case then current downward move is just a wave (B) correction that could stop around 78.6-61.8% Fibonacci retracement area. As such, move up in wave (C) could start unfolding in the second part of December.
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Friday, December 13, 2013
Disaster Insurance Ahead of the U.S. Dollar Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Most people simply cannot conceive of a US dollar hyperinflation any more than a current resident of San Francisco could imagine a 1906 or 1989 earthquake. Many simply choose to not dwell on these potentialities, often rationalizing them against other existential if not abstract inevitabilities.
Dollar Confidence and Money Velocity
Money velocity can be defined simply as GDP divided by money supply.
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Friday, December 13, 2013
NZD/USD Choppy Moves Ahead / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Submissions
The NZD/USD pair rose during the session on Tuesday, breaking the top of the hammer that had formed on Monday. That of course is a very bullish sign, but we did give back a little bit of the gains towards the end of the day. It is possible that this market will go higher, perhaps hitting the 0.84 level. However, this is not going to be the easiest of moves going forward, and as a result it is going to be choppy at best.
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Thursday, December 12, 2013
Fed Taper Is Almost Dead Certainty But May Not Trigger USD Rally Yet / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Submissions
Justin Pugsley writes: The economic and political hurdles for the US Federal Reserve to taper its bond purchases are steadily being removed making it almost a dead certainty – but don't expect it to necessarily spur a USD rally, at least not yet.
It appears Democrats and Republicans are closing in on a deal over the US budget, which looks likely to avoid a confidence damaging shut-down of the US government early next year. On the economic front the surprisingly strong US jobs numbers last week and positive revisions to GDP are powerful incentives to start reining in the Fed's $85 billion a month bond purchasing programme.
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Friday, December 06, 2013
The Fate of U.S. Dollar Hegemony / Politics / US Dollar
By: Andy_Sutton
Despite the quiet nature of things lately from a geopolitical standpoint, coupled with the mainstream media’s obsession with new nominal highs in the various paper indexes, there is definitely turbulence below the surface. There have already been a number of thought-provoking articles written regarding the future of dollar hegemony and the purpose of this week’s piece is to hopefully add to the discussion and stimulate some thought.
Friday, November 22, 2013
U.S. Dollar Index ETF Trading Strategy / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We all know quantitative easing devalues the Dollar but contrary to that general statement it looks as though we could see the dollar index continue to rise for a few more weeks.
If we analyze the chart of the Dollar ETF (UUP) it is clear that the short term momentum has turned up. The break above the down trend line and recent bounce off support bodes well for the dollar index.
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Monday, November 18, 2013
US Dollar Index USD Rally Forecast / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gregor_Horvat
We believe that USD Index has now turned bullish after recent impulsive rise and breakout out of a downward channel. This breakout is important sign for a change in trend, even if just temporary. Based on a big picture with a triangle, we think that rise from 79.00 is wave D that will unfold in three legs towards 83 maybe even 84.00 region in weeks ahead.
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Tuesday, November 12, 2013
Why I Sell the U.S. Dollar: From Dollar Strength to Dollar Weakness / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
Q3 of 2013 marked a peak and reversal of direction for the dollar. The notable strength in the dollar during Q2 turned into an equally prominent weakness in Q3 compared to a basket of foreign currencies. All of the G10 currencies strengthened against the dollar during Q3, while the price of gold rose more than 7%. See attached chart for the performance of the U.S. Dollar Index for the year through 10/31/2013.