Category: US Dollar
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, April 06, 2016
USD Breaking Down / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
USD made a new low at 94.25 in what may be the last probe lower in wave 3. There is a strong likelihood of it declining further to its Bearish Pennant minimum low of 93.93. The USD/JPY pair has sunk below 110.00 for the first time since last October.
Thursday, March 17, 2016
US Dollar Important Chart / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Rambus_Chartology
Last week I showed you this potential H&S top forming on the USDU which is a more evenly balanced index for the US dollar which actually trades as an ETF.
http://www.wisdomtree.com/etfs/fund-details-currency.aspx?etfid=91
I built this chart using a line chart and then leaving the trendlines in place I converted to a bar chart. As you can see it has been backtesting the neckline for the last week or so along with the 200 dma. This chart shows a reversal pattern which sets up a downtrend of some kind. This is an important development.
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Wednesday, March 16, 2016
U.S. Dollar Outlook: Peak Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
Is the dollar's seemingly relentless rise in recent years coming to an end? What are the implications not only for the greenback, but other currencies and markets around the world?
Saturday, March 12, 2016
US Dollar Strength is a Manifestation of US Dollar Shortage / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gordon_T_Long
FRA Co-Founder Gordon T.Long and Jeffrey Snider, Head of Global Investment Research at Alhambra Investment Partners discuss a broad array of Global Macro subjects in this 48 minute video discussion with supporting slides.
As Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investment Partners, Jeff spearheads the investment research efforts while providing close contact to Alhambra’s client base. Jeff joined Atlantic Capital Management, Inc., in Buffalo, NY, as an intern while completing studies at Canisius College. After graduating in 1996 with a Bachelor’s degree in Finance, Jeff took over the operations of that firm while adding to the portfolio management and stock research process.
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Thursday, March 10, 2016
The US Dollar, What If Everybody is Wrong ? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Rambus_Chartology
It’s been awhile since we last looked at the US dollar which has been consolidating its big impulse move up. The reason I haven’t posted it much is because it’s stuck in a sideways trading range going back over a year now.
99.9% of Market participants are either Bullish the Dollar , with all the implications including Lower Gold Prices or Bearish the Dollar, with the opposite implications .
However there are not two but THREE possible outcomes to this present trading range.
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Monday, February 22, 2016
US Dollar and The Global 'Peg Pain Trade' / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gordon_T_Long
Charles Hugh Smith and Gordon T Long analyze, with 25 slides, the strength in the US Dollar and what we can likely expect going forward.
Both see a strong dollar in the future as it becomes, more and more a flight to safety associated with failed monetary / fiscal policies, weakening current accounts and slowing trade around the world. It isn't that the US$ is a paragon of virtue and value, but rather the "least ugly".
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Friday, February 05, 2016
Pity the USD longs! / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
An opinion by ZeroHedge on this morning’s payroll report caught my attention. They opine, “The most obvious reaction to the "great" drop in the unemployment rate and "huge miss" in payrolls is a rise (yes rise) in rate-hike odds for 2016. This appears to be why the Dollar is spiking and bonds, stocks, crude, gold and everything else is being sold...”
Unfortunately the USD retracement is losing momentum at 97.24, just above mid-Cycle support/resistance at 96.99.
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Friday, January 22, 2016
Ron Paul Says to Watch the Petrodollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Casey_Research
By Nick Giambruno
The chaos that one day will ensue from our 35-year experiment with worldwide fiat money will require a return to money of real value. We will know that day is approaching when oil-producing countries demand gold, or its equivalent, for their oil rather than dollars or euros. The sooner the better. - Ron Paul
Ron Paul is calling for the end of the petrodollar system. This system is one of the main reasons the U.S. dollar is the world’s premier reserve currency.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2016
US Dollar Drop to Trendline Likely / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Savage
The dollar is "crawling" along its 60 dma. When it breaks and closes below the drop into the intermediate cycle low will begin.
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Saturday, January 09, 2016
The Impact of a Strong U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Donald_W_Dony
Impressive drivers continue to surface for the U.S. dollar. And the impact lingers on many fronts.
One measure is the recent positive U.S. jobs report. This adds to the dollar's already bullish tone as it dials up pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates in the months ahead.
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Sunday, January 03, 2016
USDJPY Pullback Continues / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Austin_Galt
The 2015 high at 125.85 played out as expected we now have a bear trend playing out. Let’s review the daily and monthly charts.
USDJPY DAILY CHART
Tuesday, December 29, 2015
US Dollar Bull Market / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ed_Carlson
DXY fell 0.72% last week and closed at 98.01 (below the 13-dma) after printing an engulfing bearish candlestick on Friday. 14-day RSI was unable to stay above its 20-dma during the previous week’s rally and 3-day RSI remains below 80; bearish. Not surprisingly, DXY looks similar to the pattern in TNX – the interest rate on the ten-year treasury.
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Thursday, December 24, 2015
U.S. Dollar Will be Biggest Casualty of Lower Oil Prices - Video / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mario_Innecco
Transcript Excerpt - hi it's Thursday December 24th Christmas Eve 2015 and can be speaking about the
USDollar and how it's gonna be the biggest casualty lower oil prices and
commodity prices that we've seen for the last over 12 months you know last 18
months that will lead you know to make him in other currencies because the
dollar is the global reserve currency so one of the major while the major reason
why I think the Dalby the biggest casualty is because back in the
seventies after 1971 when president nixon to the dollar off the Bretton
Woods system with which was a Gold Exchange System gold back system in
august of nineteen seventy-one then Secretary of State Henry Kissinger he
put it to you with the saudi government
Saudi Arabian royal family whatever you wanna call it they put a deal that Saudi
Arabia which was accumulating a lot of dollar reserves and a lot of foreign
Thursday, December 10, 2015
EURUSD Final Bear Rally Leg Underway / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Austin_Galt
Price recently traded down to support outlined in previous analysis before reversing and trading higher in impulsive style. While a turn back up was expected in order for the bear rally to embark on the final leg higher, this move was on the back of the ECB announcement.
There is always a reason for a move and the market does indeed work in mysterious ways. Some will say this was just a lucky coincidence and I must admit I don't truly understand it. However, what I do understand is that I have seen this type of stuff happen on too many occasions for it to be just a coincidence.
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Friday, December 04, 2015
US Dollar Index Technical Outlook / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Austin_Galt
The US Dollar index has made marginal new highs which I believe will turn out to be a false break top. Let's take a top down approach beginning with the monthly chart.
Tuesday, December 01, 2015
U.S. Dollar Remains the reserve currency of the world for a good reason / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Bloomberg
U.S. Treasury Secretary Jack Lew spoke with Brendan Greeley on Bloomberg TV's new flagship morning program, Bloomberg <GO>. Lew discussed how government can address the lack of access to banking in the United States, financial services' rules and regulations and the benefits of Dodd-Frank.
On the IMF elevated the Chinese yuan, Lew said: "The U.S. dollar remains the reserve currency of the world for a good reason." He added: "We've also had long, ongoing discussions with China about their currency practices. They have made commitments to us that will not intervene in ways that are unfair. And those are important commitments. And they know that we're going to hold them to those commitments."
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Thursday, November 26, 2015
Triggers In US Dollar Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Jim_Willie_CB
To be sure, groups of oil rags are accumulating in the Western financial basement. They await an incident to light them on fire to produce the grandest bonfire in modern history. Many incidents, events, and decisions created the current broken untenable wrecked set of conditions that together comprise the structural breakdown, upon which systemic failure is witnessed each day. The 1990 decade saw the creation of bank derivatives, which compensated for Western bank system insolvency. It was the dirty secret in backfire from a decade of outsourcing US industry to the Pacific Rim. The refusal by Greenspan to permit a recession early in the 2000 decade interrupted a normal housing correction, and initiated another credit stimulus. The result was the 2007 subprime mortgage crisis which will forever bear the Greenspan signature. The Lehman Brothers killjob was important to force the big Western banks to share the load, to tie (lash) themselves together, and to assure the systemic failure in an inexorable march to ruin. The LIBOR rate scandal confirmed that the London hive did not produce honey, but rather scum and dross.
Thursday, November 12, 2015
USD, XEU, CRB, DBC, Oil, Copper and Gold Chartology of Deflation / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight I would like to update some of the charts on the possible inflection point we looked at about three weeks or so ago. That possible inflection point is still gaining momentum to the downside as the deflationary environment still looks good to go. No market goes straight up or down so one needs to expect some turbulence along the way.
In order for the deflationary theme to play out we will need to see a strong US dollar which will affect the commodities complex and other important currencies of the world. Below is a closeup view for the US dollar that now shows the bullish falling wedge in breakout mode with one backtest to the top rail so far.
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Wednesday, November 11, 2015
The US Dollar Rally Could Trigger a $9 Trillion Debt Implosion / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Graham_Summers
The US Dollar rally, combined with the ECB’s policies and the Fed’s hint at raising rates in December, is at risk of blowing up a $9 trillion carry trade.
When the Fed cut interest rates to zero in 2008, it flooded the system with US Dollars. The US Dollar is the reserve currency of the world. NO matter what country you’re in (with few exceptions) you can borrow in US Dollars.
And if you can borrow in US Dollars at 0.25%… and put that money into anything yielding more… you could make a killing.
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Friday, October 30, 2015
$DXY - Cash US Dollar Index Chart / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Savage
This might be interesting. As of early this morning the dollar is forming a failed breakout. The path of the dollar was clearly down until the ECB derailed it with talk of more easing last week. Are the fundamentals starting to pull it back down again?
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