Category: Credit Crisis 2009
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Monday, January 19, 2009
Credit Crunch Back in Action / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
After taking some time off between Christmas and New Year, the credit crunch was well and truly back in action last week. Fears over further banking problems and sovereign debt downgrades for the likes of Ireland and Greece surfaced last month, but until now, these fears have merely been simmering in the background. Last week, the heat was once again turned up, and major fault lines are once again running through the global economy.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 18, 2009
Global Banking Crisis Worsens as Bailout Capital Exceeds Net Worth of Banks / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
BBC News: US banking giants in tie-up deal
“Struggling US banking giant Citigroup and its rival Morgan Stanley have agreed a deal which sees the tie-up of their brokerage operations. Morgan Stanley is paying Citigroup $2.7 billion for a 51% stake in the joint venture while Citigroup will have a 49% stake.
“Observers say the deal showed how much Citigroup wanted to slim down its operations and build up cash reserves. It received the largest government bail-out of any US bank last year.
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Saturday, January 17, 2009
Deflation? Stimulus? Deleveraging? Recession? Soft Depression? / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
- The Endgame
- Employment Numbers Are Worse Than Posted
- Aye, Captain, I'm Giving Her All I've Got!
- Problem #1: Deflation
- Problem #2: Pushing on a String
- The Muddle Through Middle
Deflation? Stimulus? Deleveraging? Recession? A soft depression? A return to a bull market? With all that is going on, how does it all end up? When we get to where we are going, where will we be? In chess, the endgame refers to the stage of the game when there are few pieces left on the board. The line between middlegame and endgame is often not clear, and may occur gradually or with the quick exchange of a few pairs of pieces. The endgame, however, tends to have different characteristics from the middlegame, and the players have correspondingly different strategic concerns. And in the current economic endgame, your strategy needs to consist of more than hope for a renewed bull market.
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Saturday, January 17, 2009
Financial Black Holes Destroying Capital / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Mike Larson writes: When I was a kid, black holes fascinated me. The idea that you could have an area of space so massive … so dense … that it could suck in and absorb ANYTHING that got too close — even light — seemed ludicrous. Like pure science fiction. But they're real.
These days, black holes aren't so fascinating. But unfortunately, they are very, very real. And they keep popping up throughout the financial sector …
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Friday, January 16, 2009
Credit Where Credit is Due / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
This week, in a speech before the London School of Economics, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke offered a perverse economic theory in his quest to gather support for never-ending Wall Street bailouts; "This disparate treatment, unappealing as it is, appears unavoidable. Our economic system is critically dependent on the free flow of credit, and the consequences for the broader economy of financial instability are thus powerful and quickly felt." In other words, credit is the lifeblood of our economy, and the continued operation of credit providers is an issue of national security.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 16, 2009
Confidence is the Problem Not Simply Deflation or Inflation! / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
Analysts always trust figures and rely on them completely. Next they support forecasts backed by numbers too. All of us are vulnerable to reports backed by figures from reputable firms or forecasters. But a glance back over the last 18 months shows just how far off the mark such reports were. When we look at the problems facing the globe, we factor in reports of heavy deflation unfolding, followed by unquantifiable inflation. We receive reports of economic stimulation figures that stagger the imagination, that are bound to turn the globe back to vigorous growth and quickly?Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 16, 2009
Saving & Spending and the Credit Crisis Solutions / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
(with no apologies whatsoever to John Maynard Keynes)
"Saving the savers is not the priority...This is surely the time to encourage people to spend, spend, spend..." - Editorial in the Financial Times , Tues 6 Jan.
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Thursday, January 15, 2009
Bank of America The Next Citigroup? / Companies / Credit Crisis 2009
Charles Darwin's theory was survival of the fittest. The Fed's policy is Survival Of The Weakest . Rather than let the weak go under, the Fed tries to prop them up, draining resources from the strong. We see the Fed's losing play in action once again as Bank of America May Need More U.S. Aid to Absorb Merrill Lynch .Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Credit Crisis Contraction Gaining Positive Traction / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009
In order to gauge the progress being made to unclog credit markets and restore confidence in the world's financial system, I monitor a range of financial spreads and other measures. By perusing these, as summarized in this “Credit Crisis Watch” review, one can ascertain to what extent the various central bank liquidity facilities and capital injections are having the desired effect.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
Citigroup Goes To Sleep, the End of an Banking Empire / Companies / Credit Crisis 2009
It's the end of the line for Citigroup. The "group" will soon be gone as Pandit Dismantles Weill Empire to Salvage the Bank Within Citi .Vikram Pandit is unraveling his empire to save his bank. Citigroup Inc.'s chief executive officer said yesterday he would cede control of the Smith Barney brokerage to Morgan Stanley. Pandit may also dump the CitiFinancial consumer-lending unit, tag Tokyo-based Nikko Asset Management Co. for eventual sale and rein in trading with the bank's own capital, people familiar with the matter said.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2009
Capitalism At Risk: Live Free Or Die / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
The Federal Reserve (Fed) has gone beyond playing with fire, and may have indeed set the house on fire. It's one thing to push interest rates to near zero to stimulate the economy; it's another to “ monetize the debt ” by printing money to buy government debt. In recent weeks, the Fed has broken outside even those boundaries and become actively engaged in managing the private sector beyond the core banking system. Worse still, the steps taken may be difficult to reverse and as such may shape the U.S. economy for a long time.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
The Availability of Money / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
How does it matter if money is cheap nowadays, if nobody has access to it?Money is simply not available.
Banks have stopped lending to individuals and corporations.
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Monday, January 12, 2009
Credit Crisis Panic Measure Tax Savings to Force People to Spend / Politics / Credit Crisis 2009
Punishing savers is no way to help the economy. Intriguing new ideas about how to deal with the credit crisis are coming thick and fast. Never mind printing money – we're now seeing real radicalism in the pages of our newspapers. Last week, we saw calls in The Times to tax savings to force people to spend or invest, rather than just sit on their money. And elsewhere, two former Bank of England economists suggested that the Government buy the homes of those about to suffer repossession and rent them back to them.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 12, 2009
Credit Crisis Solutions That Should Scare The Hell Out Of You / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
Things are looking pretty bleak. There is bad news in housing, the stock market, commercial real estate, jobs, and wages . Unfortunately, no matter how bad things are, someone always comes along to propose a "solution" that is guaranteed to make the situation much worse. Please consider the following ideas.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 11, 2009
How to Rebuild the Shattered Credit System / Commodities / Credit Crisis 2009
Open The Mint To Gold! - Could a Private Firm Force the Government to Do It?
People ask: "Isn't the Mint already open to gold, producing Gold Eagles and Buffaloes?" Opening the Mint to gold has a technical meaning, namely, opening it to the free and unlimited coinage of gold on private account. The Gold Eagles and Buffaloes are produced on Treasury account in limited quantities and sold at a premium as souvenir coins. It is a ploy to show that gold coins would just not circulate as money. Well, they would if there was no premium and the market was saturated.
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Sunday, January 11, 2009
Antole Kaletsky's Economic Crisis Solution to Tax the Savers into Spending / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
Dangerous Times - Be careful what you read when Antole Kaletsky is writing. Welcome to the Weekly Report. I have been reading the mainstream media of late to get a feel for the level of understanding writers (and therefore the vast majority of their readers) have for the new economic situation that faces the global economy.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 10, 2009
Financial Doomsday for All Asset Classes / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Employment situation… grim. Nonfarm payroll employment declined sharply in December, and the unemployment rate rose from 6.8 to 7.2 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Payroll employment fell by 524,000 over the month and by 1.9 million over the last 4 months of 2008. In December, job losses were large and widespread across most major industry sectors.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 09, 2009
2009 Money Printing Risks Igniting Hyper-inflationary Spiral / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
2009 has certainly started off with a bang. While the financial markets have been rather quiet, underlying economic fundamentals continue to deteriorate. Unfortunately, the rubber-stamped response to this deterioration has been nothing short of more of the same. More debt, more deficit spending, and more subterfuge to insist that it just isn’t so. The monetary stops have been pulled as the Federal government has gone public with its intentions. The biggest problem with this is that what we’re hearing now is what was going on six months ago. The idea of persistent trillion dollar deficits has been firmly planted with absolutely no mention of an exit strategy or how the Congress is planning on paying back these exorbitant amounts of borrowing.Read full article... Read full article...