Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. TESLA! Cathy Wood ARK Funds Bubble BURSTS! - 12th May 21
2.Stock Market Entering Early Summer Correction Trend Forecast - 10th May 21
3.GOLD GDX, HUI Stocks - Will Paradise Turn into a Dystopia? - 11th May 21
4.Crypto Bubble Bursts! Nicehash Suspends Coinbase Withdrawals, Bitcoin, Ethereum Bear Market Begins - 16th May 21
5.Crypto Bubble BURSTS! BTC, ETH, XRP CRASH! NiceHash Seizes Funds on Account Halting ALL Withdrawals! - 19th May 21
6.Cathy Wood Ark Invest Funds Bubble BURSTS! ARKK, ARKG, Tesla Entering Severe Bear Market - 13th May 21
7.Stock Market - Should You Be In Cash Right Now? - 17th May 21
8.Gold to Benefit from Mounting US Debt Pile - 14th May 21
9.Coronavius Covid-19 in Italy in August 2019! - 13th May 21
10.How to Invest in HIGH RISK Tech Stocks for 2021 and Beyond - Part 2 of 2 - 18th May 21
Last 7 days
UK Energy Firms Scamming Customers Out of Their Best Fixed Rate Gas Tariffs - 23rd Sep 21
Global Stock Markets Topped 60 Days Before the US Stocks Peaked - 23rd Sep 21
Should School Children be Jabbed with Pfizer Covid-19 Vaccine To Foster Herd Immunity? - UK - 23rd Sep 21
HOW TO SAVE MONEY ON CAR INSURANCE - 23rd Sep 21
Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment - 22nd Sep 21
Trading Crude Oil ETFs in Foreign Currencies: What to Focus On - 22nd Sep 21
URGENT - Crypto-trader event - 'Bitcoin... back to $65,000?' - 22nd Sep 21
Stock Market Time to Buy the Dip? - 22nd Sep 21
US Dollar Bears Are Fresh Out of Honey Pots - 22nd Sep 21
MetaTrader 5 Features Every Trader Should Know - 22nd Sep 21
Evergrande China's Lehman's Moment, Tip of the Ice Berg in Financial Crisis 2.0 - 21st Sep 21
The Fed Is Playing The Biggest Game Of Chicken In History - 21st Sep 21
Focus on Stock Market Short-term Cycle - 21st Sep 21
Lands End Cornwall In VR360 - UK Holidays, Staycations - 21st Sep 21
Stock Market FOMO Hits September CRASH Brick Wall - Dow Trend Forecast 2021 Review - 20th Sep 21
Two Huge, Overlooked Drains on Global Silver Supplies - 20th Sep 21
Gold gets hammered but Copper fails to seize the moment - 20th Sep 21
New arms race and nuclear risks could spell End to the Asian Century - 20th Sep 21
Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall - Dow Trend Forecast 2021 Review - 19th Sep 21
Dow Forecasting Neural Nets, Crossing the Rubicon With Three High Risk Chinese Tech Stocks - 18th Sep 21
If Post-1971 Monetary System Is Bad, Why Isn’t Gold Higher? - 18th Sep 21
Stock Market Shaking Off the Taper Blues - 18th Sep 21
So... This Happened! One Crypto Goes From "Little-Known" -to- "Top 10" in 6 Weeks - 18th Sep 21
Why a Financial Markets "Panic" May Be Just Around the Corner - 18th Sep 21
An Update on the End of College… and a New Way to Profit - 16th Sep 21
What Kind of Support and Services Can Your Accountant Provide? Your Main Questions Answered - 16th Sep 21
Consistent performance makes waste a good place to buy stocks - 16th Sep 21
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecasting Neural Nets Pattern Recognition - 15th Sep 21
Eurozone Impact on Gold: The ECB and the Phantom Taper - 15th Sep 21
Fed To Taper into Weakening Economy - 15th Sep 21
Gold Miners: Last of the Summer Wine - 15th Sep 21
How does product development affect a company’s market value? - 15th Sep 21
Types of Investment Property to Become Familiar with - 15th Sep 21
Is This the "Kiss of Death" for the Stocks Bull Market? - 14th Sep 21
Where Are the Stock Market Fireworks? - 14th Sep 21
Play-To-Earn Cryptocurrency Games Gain More and Is Set to Expand - 14th Sep 21
The CashFX TAP Platform - Catering to Bull Investors and Bear Investors Alike - 14th Sep 21
Why every serious investor should be focused on blockchain technology - 13th Sep 21
SPX Base Projection Reached – End of the Line? - 13th Sep 21
There are diverse ways to finance the purchase of a car - 13th Sep 21
6 Tips For Wise Investment - 13th Sep 21 - Mark_Adan

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

How to Protect your Wealth by Investing in AI Tech Stocks

S&P 1370 Still too tough to Break, Time for Selling?

Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012 Mar 04, 2012 - 02:09 AM GMT

By: Jack_Steiman

Stock-Markets

The bulls have worked long and hard to get this market to break out lover the current big resistance level at S&P 500 1370, but after many attempts over the past several days, it may be best if they give up their efforts and allow the markets to sell some to allow things to unwind far more deeply on those long overbought oscillators. Stocks such as Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Priceline.com Incorporated (PCLN) could use a rest, and if they get it, this would allow the market to pull back and take the necessary pause to refresh. The bulls would actually be best served if they let this take place as it would offer up a far better buying juncture down the road. A few weeks, or months, of slight downward action would really get the job done, but we can't be sure this is about to take place, although there are subtle hints. There are somewhat more labored MACD's on the daily index charts, some leaders in various sectors are starting to lose their 50-day exponential moving averages, which is a real change of trend that hasn't happened in many months, and we are seeing a few more economic reports come in below expectations lately, this week to be exact, and this could help the bears get a bit more aggressive and tell the bulls to step back.


We had bad news on durable goods and on the ISM Manufacturing Report this week. That's something that hasn't happened in quite a while. So maybe we're about to embark on some deeper selling, but the SPX has to lose 1354 for that to start happening with more of a guarantee. (There will be more on that level and its importance later on.) So the bulls are hanging tough, but the charts are tired, and now it seems the odds are increasing for some selling, at least, if not an outright correction of 3-5%. Adjust accordingly. If we blast through 1370, then the bears are on hold again until 1400 S&P 500.

Rotation continues to be the name of the game as the bulls are playing tag. If you get tagged, pull back for a while. This is occurring when sector charts hit 70 RSI, or a little higher, on the daily charts. They unwind to the upper 50's, or so, and then join back in to the upside. Whatever gets overbought gets sold off, and whatever unwinds gets bought up. This is classic bull-market action. It's how the bulls don't allow for key-support levels, such as 1310 to 1315, to get taken out. This also frustrates the bears, thus, they're not as aggressive on the short side in their attempts to take the market down. As long as they continue to see rotation around the stock market world, we should hold a bid to some degree, meaning no worse than a 1315 pullback, if that.

The commodity world is the one sector really taking it on the chin this week. Gold, silver, coal today, and many other areas of the commodity world are taking a hit for several reasons. First of all, they had a great ride up and got overbought. The more powerful reason, though, is that the fed didn't offer up much in terms of new stimulus when he spoke this week. That spooked the bulls a bit, and it got the bears rocking in. It didn't end well today for many of the oil and coal stocks not to mention silver as well. Gold held up better today, but still had a poor week overall. For now, it's probably best to stay away from these plays for a while and see how they handle some deeper selling at support.

Massive support comes in at the 20-day exponential moving average at 1354 on the S&P 500. Only when that level gets taken out is the market in for more serious selling, possibly all the way down to the area of the 50-day exponential moving average at 1321, or the long-term down-trend line at 1310. You'd think at some point the market is going to need to test down deeper, but for now, the market may work off overbought conditions through a little bit of price, but mostly through time. That's bullish in nature and occurs in the strongest of bull markets. It's not etched in stone that this is how things will unwind, but it looks as if 1310 to 1321 should be the worst of it over time, For now, we see if the bulls can finally get through 1370 with some force and try to get to 1400 first before the bigger pullback begins. Staying long for now.

Peace,

Jack

Jack Steiman is author of SwingTradeOnline.com ( www.swingtradeonline.com ). Former columnist for TheStreet.com, Jack is renowned for calling major shifts in the market, including the market bottom in mid-2002 and the market top in October 2007.

Sign up for a Free 21-Day Trial to SwingTradeOnline.com!

© 2012 SwingTradeOnline.com

Mr. Steiman's commentaries and index analysis represent his own opinions and should not be relied upon for purposes of effecting securities transactions or other investing strategies, nor should they be construed as an offer or solicitation of an offer to sell or buy any security. You should not interpret Mr. Steiman's opinions as constituting investment advice. Trades mentioned on the site are hypothetical, not actual, positions.


© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


Post Comment

Only logged in users are allowed to post comments. Register/ Log in