Analysis Topic: Housing Market Price trends
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, March 08, 2012
Is a House Ever a Good Investment? / Housing-Market / US Housing
Vedran Vuk, Casey Research writes: Recently, my parents were considering purchasing some real estate. As the financial professional in the family, they asked me, "What do you think? Will it go up in value? You know… not now, but eventually?" I've heard the same thing over and over again. In response, I shared my opinion: "Would you pay the current market price to live there even if its value never increased?" If the answer is yes, buy the property." Essentially, is the house worth it as a home, not as an investment?
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 29, 2012
America's Credit and Housing Crisis: New State Bank Bills / Housing-Market / US Housing
Seventeen states have now introduced bills for state-owned banks, and others are in the works. Hawaii’s innovative state bank bill addresses the foreclosure mess. County-owned banks are being proposed that would tackle the housing crisis by exercising the right of eminent domain on abandoned and foreclosed properties. Arizona has a bill that would do this for homeowners who are current in their payments but underwater, allowing them to refinance at fair market value.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 29, 2012
U.S. House Prices Continue to Maintain Downward Trend / Housing-Market / US Housing
The Case-Shiller Home Price Index (HPI) slipped 0.5% in December on a seasonally adjusted basis. The level of the index is the lowest since January 2003 (see Chart 2). Of the 20 metro areas, Phoenix (+1.5%), Miami (+0.2%), Tampa (+0.2%), Dallas (+0.2%), Portland (+0.1%), Denver (+0.1%), and Charlotte (+0.1%) recorded increases of varying sizes in December. Among the other metro areas that showed decreases in home prices, the largest declines were in Detroit (-3.5%), Atlanta (-1.3%) and Chicago (-1.1%), while San Francisco was the only metro area to show a nearly steady reading.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 27, 2012
Has the U.S. Housing Market Finally Bottomed? / Housing-Market / US Housing
Martin Hutchinson writes: It was the most atrocious bubble in U.S. history pushing tens of millions of Americans into financial misery.
Even today, the last of the lawsuits have yet to be filed.
But five years later it's finally coming back.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 25, 2012
U.S. January New Home Sales Moving Sideways But Record Low Number of Homes for Sale Raises Expectations of New Construction / Housing-Market / US Housing
Sales of new homes slipped 0.9% to an annual rate of 321,000 in January. Purchases of new homes have moved around 311,000 to 324,000 for the last four months. Combined sales of new and existing homes have risen in the last three out of four months, largely due to the relatively strong performance of existing home sales.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 23, 2012
U.S. January Existing Homes Sales Many Housing Market Positive Developments / Housing-Market / US Housing
Sales of all existing homes – condominiums, townhouses, and single-family homes – rose 4.3% to an annual rate of 4.57 million homes in January, up about 35% from the 3.39 million low of November 2008. Sales of all existing homes plunged 52% between January 2005 (7.1 million units) and November of 2008 (see Chart 1). Sales of single-family existing homes increased 3.9% to an annual rate of 4.05 million units, marking the third increase in the last three months. Sales of existing homes advanced in all four regions of the nation, with the West (+8.8%) recording the largest gain among the four regions.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 19, 2012
U.S. Housing Busts and Obama's Report To Congress / Housing-Market / US Housing
The 2012 Economic Report of the US President published by the Whitehouse for the Congress contains a startling chart in chapter 4 "Stabilizing and Healing the Housing Market". Red = The Great Unwind: start 2007; Blue = New England bust: start 1989; Orange = California bust: start 1990; and Green = The Great Depression: start 1930. What does comparing housing busts in US history suggest?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 17, 2012
Obama's Housing Market Refi Program Won't Work Because the FHA is Insolvent / Housing-Market / US Housing
Shah Gilani writes: In his State of the Union address last month, President Barack Obama outlined a plan to let homeowners, especially those underwater, refinance older mortgages to take advantage of today's low rates.
While serious political impediments stand in the way of the Obama refi plan, one reason it won't work is that it relies 100% on the Federal Housing Administration (FHA).
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 17, 2012
U.S. Housing Market Starts, Jobless Claims, and Wholesale Price Index – Mixed Bag / Housing-Market / US Housing
January Housing Starts: It is a Multi-Family Story
Total housing starts increased 1.5% to an annual rate of 699,000 in January. The entire gain came from an 8.5% jump in starts of multi-family units to an annual rate of 191,000. New construction of single-family units slipped 1.0% to 508,000.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 14, 2012
Arbitraging Fed Policies With U.S. Rental Housing Market Cash Flows / Housing-Market / US Housing
By forcing interest rates to record low levels, the Federal Reserve has effectively vaporized most interest income along with most of the ability to benefit from compound interest, with devastating results for many retirees, retirement investors and pension funds.
However, in the process of creating artificially low interest rates for an entire economy, the Fed has also opened up unusually profitable opportunities for individual investors with certain types of investments. Record-low interest rate levels are the most powerful of six different factors that are currently working together to increase owner cash flows from the purchase (or refinancing) of investment real estate in the United States.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 01, 2012
UK Buy-to-let Mortgage Market Blooms / Housing-Market / UK Housing
Moneyfacts research has shown that the availability of buy-to-let mortgages has risen over recent months. There are currently 486 buy-to-let mortgage deals available, compared to 386 last February.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 27, 2012
The Next U.S. Housing Market Bailout / Housing-Market / US Housing
Why are housing prices falling when the number of houses on the market continues to decline? Usually, when supply shrinks, then prices rise, right? So, why isn’t that happening now?
The reason is that housing market never completely cleared, which is to say that the Fed’s interventions and the manipulation of inventory by the banks prevented the market from finding a bottom. So, now– a full 6 years after the peak in home sales in 2006–the real estate depression continues while prices drift lower still. And–here’s the bad part–no one knows how much farther prices will drop, because the existing inventory of homes on the market (according to the Wall Street Journal) is presently 1.89 million while the shadow inventory (according to CoreLogic)… is “1.6 million units” which represents another 5 months supply, “the same level as reported in July 2011.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 27, 2012
U.S. Housing Market Sales of New Homes Dips by 2.2% / Housing-Market / US Housing
Sales of new single-family homes fell 2.2% to an annual rate of 307,000 in December, putting the annual average at 303,000 units. The tally of sales of new single-family homes in 2011 is the lowest on record (see Chart 1).
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 25, 2012
Home Depot Options Strategy to Play the Housing Market Bottom / Housing-Market / US Housing
Larry D. Spears writes: After more than two years of false starts, the battered U.S. housing market may have finally found a bottom.
If so, that prospect offers options investors a chance to earn higher returns on lower costs using a Home Depot (NYSE: HD) straddle. (More on that later...)
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 21, 2012
U.S. Housing Market Sales of Existing Homes Slow Growth, Price Declines Moderating / Housing-Market / US Housing
Sales of existing homes rose 4.6% to an annual rate 4.61 million units in December, which takes the annual sales to 4.293 million units. Sales numbers of 2009 and early part of 2010 reflect the impact of the first-time home buyer program. The cycle low for sales of existing homes excluding the swings related to the first-time home buyer program was 3.77 million units for all homes and 3.39 million units for single-family, which occurred in November 2008. With reference to this benchmark, sales of existing single-family homes have moved up 21% in roughly three years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 17, 2012
Demand Outweighs UK Mortgage Choice / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Moneyfacts research of the residential mortgage market reveals the choice of mortgages on offer has increased from 2,527 to 3,180 over the last 12 months. At the peak of the banking crisis in 2009, the number of mortgages fell to just 1,209.
The increase in numbers came despite a combination of rises and falls across the range of the loan-to-value tiers. Today, the 60% loan-to-value tier offers the most choice but the high deposit required limits its attraction.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 16, 2012
U.S. Housing Market the Greatest Contrarian Investment Play of 2012 / Housing-Market / US Housing
“Real estate prices may be bottoming out.” – Robert Shiller
Over the weekend, I attended the annual American Economic Association (AEA) meetings in Chicago, and ran into Yale economist and long-time friend Robert Shiller at a luncheon.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 14, 2012
U.S. Housing Market Foreclosure-to-Rental Screwjob / Housing-Market / US Housing
Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke wants US taxpayers to purchase more of the garbage loans and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) that the big banks still have on their books. (Cash for trash) That’s the impetus behind the Fed’s 26-page white paper that was delivered to Congress last Wednesday. The document outlines the Fed’s plan for ‘stabilizing the housing market’, which is a phrase that Bernanke employs when he wants to provide more buy-backs, giveaways, subsidies and other corporate welfare to big finance.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 12, 2012
US Housing Sector Returns / Housing-Market / US Housing
The latest evidence of the rebounding US economy appears in the housing sector. This once battered area has recently jumped to life with housing related sectors providing the best performance on the S&P 500.
Over the last three or four months, industry groups that supply home construction, equipment, financing and renovations have lead the charge on the recovery.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Distressed Properties Continue to Hold Down U.S. House Prices / Housing-Market / US Housing
The CoreLogic Home Price Index inclusive of distressed properties (foreclosures and short sales) fell 4.3% from a year ago after showing a decelerating trend in the three months ended October. Excluding distressed properties, the CoreLogic Home Prices fell only 0.6% from a year ago and it shows of stabilizing (see Chart 4).
Read full article... Read full article...