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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Thursday, July 22, 2021

Bitcoin Black Swan - Will Crypto Currencies Get Banned? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst we can all get carried away projecting into the future based on past trends, comfortable in the reliability of calculations. However, there are always black swans lurking out of sight that could result in that panic event that few see coming. And where Bitcoin and the crypto's are concerned is if the Governments decide to BAN trading and investing in crypto's.

I know the crypto bugs will come out with statements such as it is impossible to ban decentralised crypto currencies.

However, bitcoin / crypto's threaten the fiat currency banking system that effectively the worlds central banks have a monopoly over.

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Currencies

Thursday, July 22, 2021

Bitcoin Price Enters Stage #4 Excess Phase Peak Breakdown – Where To Next? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Over the past few months, I’ve been interviewed in podcasts and on Kitco where I’ve discussed the US and global market setups and trends based on my unique understanding of Technical Analysis and price patterns.  Even though I’ve heard/read some comments from viewers sharing their own opinions which may not always agree with my interpretation of the market setups, I like to let the market trends do their thing and ultimately someone will be proven correct at the end of the day.  Today, we’ll revisit some research I completed back in November 2020 and see how that research played out to today with Bitcoin.

Attempting to predict any future trend in any market is a difficult task, to say the least.  The markets do what they do and part of my experience is to understand technical analysis setups and the underlying psychological aspect to the market cycles.  I’m never 100% accurate in my predictions or expectations either – no one is 100% accurate in predicting any future event.  All we can do is try our best at identifying these setups and take trades when the opportunity strikes for profits.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Bitcoin Price CRASH, How to SELL BTC at $40k! Real Analysis vs Shill Coin Pumper's and Clueless Newbs / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

For the duration of this crypto bear market the so called crypto experts that populate Youtube, vested interest in their HODL psychosis have seen every dip to buy more and that the bottom was in, and so was the response to the latest dive lower to below BTC $30k, with the moronic response across the broad spectrum of crypto youtube channels proclaiming it to be another buying opportunity just as has been the case for the past 30,000 points drop to date! The reality is that whilst they are good at producing youtube videos, gathering millions of views but in reality they don't have a clue of how to actually analyse markets hence the example of the WYCOFF pattern endlessly regurgitated that in reality has no more value in forecasting trends than a COIN FLIP!. And then you have the crypto shills, selling their garbage scam coins such as Tech Lead's ,Million token alt scam coin videos pumping for liquidity to an extreme, with every video now with a click bait title "My wife left me for Bitcoin, Please Buy My Scam Coin" etc. Just focused on pumping their Alt garbage coins.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 21, 2021

Would Transparency Help Crypto? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Adam_Walker

Throughout 2021, the prices of different cryptocurrency options have changed quite a lot with bitcoin going through the biggest swing of hitting a height of $60,000 a couple of times through the year before dropping to below $30,000 recently. Having been picked up for usage by multiple online sources as this is a good resource of the gaming options that use Bitcoin, it still holds a bit of a negative view from some as a history of being attached to less than legitimate sales and offerings – but would more transparency help crypto as a whole?

Recently there had been pressure from European regulators as well as some within the us too with plans to make crypto currencies more traceable as part of a crackdown on the more negative view of crypto particularly from money laundering and similar. If banks were to pick up crypto the common thought is that a client would need all of the regular information like name, address, date of birth, and other information too with anonymity being removed completely – it would certainly help with the stigma attached that the majority of crypto usage particularly for bitcoin is for less than legitimate purposes.
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Currencies

Sunday, July 18, 2021

Bitcoin Halvings Price Forecast and Stock to Flow Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is part 2 (part 1 Investing in the Tulip Crypto Mania 2021) of my extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.

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Currencies

Sunday, July 18, 2021

Bitcoin Halving's Price Projection Forecasts Trend Trajectory / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The supply of bitcoin is capped at 21 million coins. Imagine what would happen to the price of Gold if no more Gold could be mined, that's the trend trajectory that Bitcoin appears to be on i.e. there will come a time when NO MORE bitcoin can be mined!

So the simplest thing to do would be to to buy bitcoin when cheap and forget about it for a decade or so and then likely see a return of X10 that which one paid for it.

Total bitcoins mined to date number 18,700,000, 210,000 blocks will be mined from May 2020 to roughly March 2024, totaling 1.3 million bitcoins, which implies a total of 20 million bitcoins by the time of the next halving of rewards for miners to 3.125 bitcoin rewards per block mined (block rewards to miners is how the block chain works).

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Currencies

Thursday, July 15, 2021

Will the U.S. Dollar Lose Momentum In the Second Half of 2021? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

As the world’s most traded currency, the US dollar has significant impacts on global trade. With interest rates at record lows and an uncertain macro-environment, it has risen at a stellar pace against major currencies in the last decade.

The US dollar is also the world’s most widely held currency, with an estimated $2 trillion in circulation. The strength of the greenback depends on a variety of factors, including economic and geopolitical stability, interest rates, inflation, and political influence.

It is important for investors and people who have exposure to the USD to understand how the dollar’s value could impact their wealth and future plans.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 14, 2021

Bitcoin Stock to Flow Model Forecasts Infinity and Beyond! / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Once you venture into the realm of bitcoins future prospects then you are pretty soon going to be presented with Stock to Flow model projections. Which is basically how many years will it take for new annual supply of bitcoins to cover total available supply of bitcoins and what it suggests for future pricing given that Bitcoins future supply is reducing with each halving.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 14, 2021

Meet SuperMania and its Ever-Present Sidekick, SuperMeltdown / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: EWI

Advance warnings about the recent crypto crash were there all along.

How did almost everyone miss them?


Anyone on Planet Earth in 2021 knows about the rise and fall of digital currencies.

Even many kids are aware.

But what has baffled just about everyone is what's BEHIND the moves.

This was made especially clear by the recent cryptocurrency crash, which saw Bitcoin plunge 50% from its April 15 peak. That move alone eliminated $1.3 trillion of wealth.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 14, 2021

How NFTs Are Shaking Up Arts Trading / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Adam_Walker

While the argument around the veracity of cryptocurrencies and their real-world value continues to rage unabated, there are offshoots of the blockchain technology that are beginning to have genuine impacts and outcomes on traditional industries and sectors around the world.

One of these offshoots is the NFT, or Non-Fungible Token, which shot to prominence at the beginning of 2021 thanks to an experienced digital artist called Beeple, who sold a collection of his artworks in NFT format for over $60 million.

This was then followed by a whole host of other hugely popular online auctions of NFTs, which took place on NFT auction sites such as Nifty Gateway and Rarible.

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 07, 2021

BITCOIN PRICE HALVINGS TREND TRAJECTORY / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The supply of bitcoin is capped at 21 million coins. Imagine what would happen to the price of Gold if no more Gold could be mined, that's the trend trajectory that Bitcoin appears to be on i.e. there will come a time when NO MORE bitcoin can be mined!

So the simplest thing to do would be to to buy bitcoin when cheap and forget about it for a decade or so and then likely see a return of X10 that which one paid for it.

Total bitcoins mined to date number 18,700,000, 210,000 blocks will be mined from May 2020 to roughly March 2024, totaling 1.3 million bitcoins, which implies a total of 20 million bitcoins by the time of the next halving of rewards for miners to 3.125 bitcoin rewards per block mined (block rewards to miners is how the block chain works).

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Currencies

Wednesday, July 07, 2021

Is Wall Street’s ESG a threat to the BTC industry? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: S_N_Chatterjee

The energy consumption of Bitcoin transactions has been a hot topic for a while. The reason is that the technology used by Bitcoin’s mining transactions requires a considerable amount of electricity.

The majority of the energy Bitcoin consumes is from mining transactions. This consumption escalates when BTC’s price increases, since that leads to increased demand for coins.
It is a chain effect because coal-fired power stations mainly supply the electricity consumed by Bitcoin transactions. As we know, fossil fuels are not environmentally sources of energy.

Therefore, the more electricity is consumed, the higher the coal consumption and waste emissions increase, which in the long term contributes to global warming.

According to Digiconomist’s Bitcoin Energy Consumption Index, the annual power consumption of Bitcoin is around 118.9TWh and astonishingly can be compared to the consumption of countries like Pakistan (125.9TWh) and the Netherlands (117.1TWh).

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Currencies

Friday, July 02, 2021

NFTs Continue to Grow in Popularity – Can they affect the broad cryptocurrency market? / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: S_N_Chatterjee

As cryptocurrencies continue to grow in popularity, due to the emergence of trading platforms, like Global Solution, numerous other blockchain applications are attracting the wider public. Digitalization seems to be the one-way street for the global economy and entire industries are changing in the process.

One of the sectors that is not yet benefiting from increased attention, but continues to grow exponentially, is represented by non-fungible tokens (NFTs). These unique and valuable digital assets are being used for digital art, collectibles, music, games, sports, or fashion, and since their application is so diverse, people need to know what are NFTs, and more important than that, if these tokens can have an impact on the traditional cryptocurrency market.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 30, 2021

Will ‘Infrastructure’ Spending Collapse the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: MoneyMetals

Recent collapses of bridges and a Florida condo building highlight what can go wrong when basic structural and foundational elements are neglected and allowed to deteriorate.

As corrosion and cracking spread, they may go little noticed at first, with repairs and upgrades put off. Meanwhile, the risks steadily build of a single point of failure leading to catastrophic consequences.

America’s deteriorating infrastructure is badly in need of fixing. On that issue, there is wide bipartisan agreement.

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Currencies

Monday, June 28, 2021

Four Best Cryptocurrencies to Start Spot Trading / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Umer_Mahmood

Cryptocurrency refers to digital money. It is a decentralized currency, which the government does not monitor. Crypto is instead dependent on blockchain technology. One cryptocurrency that all of you must know about is Bitcoin. However, it is not the only one available. With the popularity of digital money on Wall Street, there is an array of options available. As of today, there are over 5000 cryptocurrencies in the market. Typically you can use crypto to make purchases, but you can most certainly utilize it as a long-term investment option. So, which are the best cryptocurrencies in the world? Here is a quick rundown of some of the best cryptocurrencies in the world. Let us get started and address them one by one. 

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Currencies

Sunday, June 27, 2021

Investing in the Crypto Bear Market of 2021 for the Bitcoin, Eth Tulip Mania Bull Market of 2022 / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This video is part 1 of an extensive full spectrum analysis of the crypto markets, of what I expect to happen over the next 6 months in terms of a Bitcoin price trend forecast, and the strategy I am deploying to capitalise on as well as 5 potential black swans that could collapse the crypto markets where Stable Coins such as USDT are what could be imminent catalysts for.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 23, 2021

Could Bitcoin Price CRASH Target A Bottom Below $7500? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Bitcoin has followed our Excess Phase Peak breakdown pattern almost perfectly.  Each phase of any Excess Phase Peak is important to understand as it relates to other asset classes.  For example, as an asset, like Bitcoin, begins a Excess Phase breakdown in trend, other assets will likely follow along. The psychological impact of a major decline can often result in traders also expecting breakdown events in various other asset classes.

Before we begin to go into deeper detail regarding this Excess Phase Peak setup in Bitcoin, I suggest taking a minute or two to review our earlier research posts related to this pattern: How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part I November 25, 2020; How To Spot The End Of An Excess Phase – Part II November 27, 2020; and, Bitcoin Completes Phase #3 Of Excess Phase Top Pattern – What Next May 20, 2021.  As this breakdown continues to unfold, we want to warn you that other asset classes (as mentioned above) may follow this trend as trader/investor psychology often impacts future expectations/trends across the globe.

If traders suddenly develop an expectation that the recent price rally in the global markets is at risk of failing, or that the downtrend in Bitcoin may have broader implications across other assets, we may see a bigger rotation in the global markets throughout the rest or 2021 (and beyond).

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 23, 2021

Bitcoin and cryptos: Your 'long-term investment'? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: EWI

Hi reader,

Bitcoin fell some 12% to start the week, and you may be wondering:

"Is this FINALLY my moment to buy?"

You're not alone. In early June, over 12,000 crypto fans visited Miami to take part in "Bitcoin 2021," the largest Bitcoin event in the world. Although it took place with Bitcoin trading near $30K, half of where it was in April, the enthusiasm for the King of Cryptos was palpable.

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 22, 2021

USDT Ponzi Scheme FINAL WARNING To EXIT Before Tether Collapses Crypto Exchange Markets / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Tether, TETHER is a Ponzi Scheme! Backed probably by less than 3% of actual US Dollars that it's fake paper trail suggest its backed up, which has allowed TETHER to print over $62 billion to date and thus provides the vast majority of volume for the worlds crypto exchanges such as Binance who alone has $17 billion USDY sloshing around in their exchange allowing transactions to take place, vested interests in his Ponzi scheme with bot's busy buying and selling USDT to ensure the price does not deviate from $1 supposed pegged value else the game would be up and Tether would collapse towards zero and along with it so would the crypto markets. Therefore it is not a question of IF Tether will collapse but rather WHEN which could be imminent, therefore take this as your FINAL warning to GET OUT of Tether before it is too late!

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Currencies

Sunday, June 20, 2021

How Binance SCAMs Crypto Traders with UP DOWN Coins, Futures, Options and Leverage - Don't Get Bogdanoffed! / Currencies / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

BINANCE the is the ultimate crypto trading and investing platform, loads of pairs, great charts, very low commission fee of 0.1%, easy to deposit without incurring a FEE

Compare this to the coinbase garbage that charges 3.8% just to get cash onto account, and then 0.5% per trade so that is 4.3% for your first crypto trade! Coinbase appears to be designed to extract funds from customers via high commission fees

So what's the problem, why am I then doing this video warning about Binance? Find out why before you get Bogdanoffed!

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