Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, September 13, 2013
Gold and Silver Price Manipulation Ends With the Death of Fiat Currency / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The silver and gold market has been rife with speculation about ongoing price manipulation. Most investors are now familiar with this concept, and even the mainstream has admitted that undue market influence has occurred.
Nevertheless, ending this unfortunate fact of life for precious metal investors and allowing prices to rise to their fair value would probably create a U.S. Dollar panic.
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Friday, September 13, 2013
Syria Conflict Could Be Good for Energy Investors / Commodities / Energy Resources
Conflict in the Middle East has Europe scrambling to find reliable energy sources closer to home. This means investors should consider watching for a big shale discovery in a friendly location. Marin Katusa, energy expert with Casey Research, is constantly looking for the next big thing. In this interview with The Energy Report, Katusa profiles natural gas and uranium companies that could offer stable supply in a time of crisis.
The Energy Report: Energy investing is a truly global venture. What does the possibility of military action in Syria mean for energy investors?
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
Crude Oil Prices, Syria, and the Probability of a Price Shock / Commodities / Crude Oil
Oil prices have been in the spotlight as the Syrian chemical weapons crisis became front and center in the media. As the political process has unfolded, price volatility in oil futures in both directions has been extreme. Oil prices have traded in a wide range the past two weeks between $104 – $112 dollars per barrel.
As a professional option trader, I wanted to look at what the implied volatility within options on oil futures was saying about future oil prices. The oil futures option chain would give me some possible clues about near and intermediate term price direction.
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
Planned Attack on Gold Begins, Waiting for Manipulation to End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
As I was afraid would happen, gold suffered an overnight hit that drove it back below the $1350 support zone. The drop occurred in the span of one minute so it's pretty obvious this was a planned attack with the intent of taking out that support zone in the thin overnight market when there would not be any buyers to defend the against the attack.
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
Why I Won’t Be Buying Gold Anytime Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
George Leong writes: When gold surged to over $1,400 an ounce, I was still not a believer in its potential as a buying opportunity—rather, I thought it was more a trade against the possibility of an expanded conflict arising in Syria.
The gold bugs were suggesting the time for the yellow metal was here again, and I even heard a target price of $1,700 an ounce. Now, with the situation in Syria looking to be resolved, the safe haven’s gains over the past few weeks are beginning to fade away as the price falls below $1,400.
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
Gold Price Hits 1-Month Low Pre-Fed, Asian Stockpiles Cut Bar Demand Outlook in Half / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
LONDON PRICES for wholesale gold slipped to 1-month lows at $1334 per ounce Thursday lunchtime, extending an early $20 slump in what one dealer called "anaemic trade".
European stock markets reversed morning losses, and crude oil rallied, as the US and Russian foreign ministers met in Switzerland to discuss Syria's chemical weapons.
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
Crude Oil Price Forecast: The "Syrian Premium" Is Not Temporary / Commodities / Crude Oil
Dr. Kent Moors writes: By an apparent agreement to place its chemical weapons under international control, Syria seems to have dodged an imminent American military attack.
Yet even as the world takes a step back from the brink, three critical questions still remain:
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
India's Anti-Gold Policies: Symptom, Not Cure / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Miguel Perez-Santalla writes: Controls on gold inflows don't fix the causes of capital outflows...
WHAT'S GOING on in India is nothing new. We've seen it over and over again throughout struggling economies.
These attempts to control movement of currency are very common when a government is faced with problems like India's. They actually create a more crippling environment than the one they are put in place to improve.
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
Gold and Silver Stocks Ten Week Counter Trend Rally ..Up Close and Personal / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013
Tonight I would like to show you some charts of what this nearly 10 week counter trend rally looks like compared to this downtrend that has been in place since the highs made one year ago. I want to start with a one year two month chart for the HUI that starts with the right shoulder top, for the massive H&S topping pattern, Big S. This chart may look a little busy but if you start at the top left side corner, Big S, you will see the downtrend channel that has been in place for one year now and shows all the consolidation patterns that have formed during this time. Looking at the top left side of the chart the first chart pattern you see is the black bearish falling wedge which at the time I thought would be a bullish falling wedge. Note the two day hard break below the bottom black rail of the bearish falling wedge. That was my cue that the black 5 point falling wedge was a reversal pattern to the downside. The red arrow and the purple vertical dashed line shows you where we took our first position in DUST, which is a 3 X short the precious metals stocks index, on December 3rd, 2012. As you can see we bought the backtest to the underside of the black falling wedge reversal pattern. We slowly kept building our short position as the downtrend unfolded.
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Thursday, September 12, 2013
Gold Price in India: Stronger Rupee Pushed Gold Lower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Yesterday, the Indian rupee rose to a two-week high as expectations for a narrower trade deficit and receding concerns about Syria helped the currency continue its recent recovery from record lows hit last month. Today, the Indian currency extended gains and added as much as 1.52%. It's worth noting that the rupee posted a fifth consecutive session of gains after former International Monetary Fund Chief Economist Raghuram Rajan took the helm of the central bank last Wednesday and quickly unveiled a spate of measures to support the currency and open up markets.
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Wednesday, September 11, 2013
Silver, Butter and TANSTAAFL / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
TANSTAAFL is the acronym for “There ain’t no such thing as a free lunch.” The saying has been used for years, even prior to Robert Heinlein’s use of it in “The Moon Is A Harsh Mistress.” It is another way of saying there is always a price that must be paid.
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Wednesday, September 11, 2013
Gold Bullion Continues to Slowly Bleed Out of COMEX / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
"Though justice often moves slowly, it seldom fails to overtake the unjust." - Horace, Odes
There were no deposits into the COMEX warehouses yesterday. Apparently GLD was not able to squeeze out any bars for the banks.
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Wednesday, September 11, 2013
Gold and Silver Bounce from 3-Week Lows as Syria "Averted" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
WHOLESALE bullion prices bounced on Wednesday from new 3-week lows as the US cancelled a Congressional vote on Syria, and traders pointed to next week's expected "tapering" of quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve.
Oil prices and other commodities also stemmed this week's drop. World stock markets rose sharply.
Wednesday, September 11, 2013
Is Platinum the New Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The Goldrums of June are giving way to a new dawn for platinum group metals, says David Franklin, a market strategist at Sprott Asset Management. While white metal miners face a variety of challenges, there is an increasing demand for platinum and palladium from vehicle manufacturers in the U.S. and China. And supplies of the hard-to-find metal are vanishing day by day. Now is the time to buy into existing stockpiles of the precious metal, Franklin tells The Metals Report.
The Metals Report: David, can you give us your recap on gold's recent performance?
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Wednesday, September 11, 2013
Uranium Price Headed for $50 in 2014, Taking Stocks Higher / Commodities / Uranium
The stubborn spot price of uranium has frustrated market watchers for the past year. But that's not the whole story. As most long-term contracts have been made at higher prices, astute investors have been slowly moving into the stocks of uranium producers and explorers in anticipation of the delayed commodity price move expected in 2014. In this interview with The Energy Report, Cantor Fitzgerald Canada Metals and Mining Analyst Rob Chang explains what lies ahead and how the turnaround in the uranium market will benefit the companies he thinks investors should focus on for maximum profits.
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Wednesday, September 11, 2013
Could This Be the Next Bakken Resources Discovery? / Commodities / Resources Investing
Everyone is looking to make the "Big Score" in the resource sector—that one special discovery that is not just elephant- but brontosaurus-size: big enough to put you into the annals of resource exploration and make fortunes for your investors.
Everyone knows that investing in the junior resource sector can be dangerous. In fact, there are few investments where the odds are so high that they will fail and you will lose your money.
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Wednesday, September 11, 2013
Energy Factor To Push Gold Price To New Highs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
One of the most misunderstood factors that will impact the price of gold is energy. Many analysts forecast the future value of gold relative to the amount of fiat money circulating in the system as well as total government treasury and bond debt. However, the world may not have the available energy supply in the future to satisfy these massive debts.
Gold and silver are monetary metals because they function as a store of "Economic Energy", a term coined my Mike Maloney. Basically, the precious metals are batteries that store this trade-able energy value.
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Tuesday, September 10, 2013
Gold - September Usually the Best Month of the Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
I often talk about how the gold trade is really two separate trades. There’s the Fear Trade that buys gold out of fear of war or poor government policies. This crowd sees the precious metal as a safe haven during times of crisis, such as when gold rose over the fear of a war in Syria, but eased when a much more limited military action became likely.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 10, 2013
Gold Drops as Assad Accepts Russian Plan, Analysts Start Pricing Fed's Cut to QE / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
BENCHMARK London prices for physical gold fell to $1363 lunchtime Tuesday, down 2.3% from Monday's high as the Assad regime in Syria accepted a Russian-backed plan to give its chemical weapons to international control.
The Rupee meantime rose to a 2-session high after new Indian trade data showed gold imports falling and exports rising in August.
Monday, September 09, 2013
Crude Oil’s Relationship with Oil Stocks and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
In our previous Oil Update we examined major factors, which previously fueled the price of light crude. Before we move on to the technical part of our Oil Update, let’s take a closer look at the events of the previous week.
At the beginning of the last week President Barack Obama won the backing of key figures in the U.S. Congress, including Republicans, in his call for limited strikes on Syria. Additionally, a missile test by Israeli forces training in the Mediterranean with the U.S. Navy set nerves on edge. These circumstances fueled the oil market and resulted in a sharp pullback to over $108 per barrel. In spite of this growth, in the following days, the price of light crude was trading in the narrow range between the Tuesday’s low and top.
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