Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, February 04, 2016
Gold and Stock Markets Inflection Points Galore / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Rambus_Chartology
There is alot of action going on this week in all the different areas of the markets. The PM complex has been rallying, the US dollar tanking today and the stock markets trying to make up their mind which way they want to go in the short term. I have a ton of work to do on the side bar where all the trades are listed so I'm going to show you what I would like to see happen in regards to the HUI, gold and silver.
If the PM complex is bottoming in here it has to show us its hand. There is no way around it. Usually when a bottom or top is formed the first move out of the reversal pattern, after a possible backtest, should be very strong or impulsive in nature. The bigger and stronger the move is the better. Below is a weekly chart for the HUI with few annotations on it so you can see the clean picture. Most of the time you will either see some type of H&S reversal pattern or double top or bottom reversal pattern.
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Thursday, February 04, 2016
Putin Cries Dyadya (Uncle), Is Saudi Arabia Listening? / Commodities / Russia
By: OilPrice_Com
In recent days, signs of a possible breakthrough in the year-long stand-off between Russia and Saudi Arabia on crude production strategy have emerged. Saudi Arabia, OPEC's dominant member, has long insisted OPEC (read Saudi Arabia) would not reduce output to balance supply and demand absent corresponding cuts from non-OPEC members (read Russia), while Russia has consistently insisted harsh climactic conditions prevent Russian producers from reducing output and in any case Russia insists it could withstand low prices as well as any other country.
Thursday, February 04, 2016
Gold Price Golden Bottom? Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Savage
In today's video I’m going to cover stocks, currencies, oil and gold. This would normally be the nightly report on the premium website, but I’m going to make it public so everyone can get a taste for what is included in the premium reports.
Thursday, February 04, 2016
HUI Now Confirming Gold Price Move Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
The comatose mining stocks finally came to life today and showed signs of some determined buying, something that has been missing in the recent leg higher in the gold market.
From a technical analysis perspective, the fact that they were able not only to breach that stubborn band of resistance near 125 which has kept them in check, but also managed to soar through the mid-July 2015 low near 128 is very impressive.
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Thursday, February 04, 2016
Crude Oil Price Forecast 2016 As Good As It Gets / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Joseph_Russo
In observing the enormous triple digit percentage gains achieved amid Crude Oil's northward thrusts versus its debilitating double digit losses during its major spills, it becomes rather clear why market participants prefer buying low in a newly forming bull market vs. selling short at the onset of a bear market.
On a relative basis, in the not too distant future, a cyclical bottom will form and the long-term trend in Crude will reverse to the upside - providing bullish speculators with yet another rare opportunity at the chance of humongous triple digit upside returns.
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Thursday, February 04, 2016
A Giga Breakout In A Mid-Sized Gold Miner / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: InvestingHaven
Gold has broken through its important resistance point at $1,130 USD/oz. That is an important price point, as it coincides with gold’s 200 day moving average and the midpoint in the trend channel that started in July of 2013 (see first chart).
We have published our gold price chart several times, but it remains a spot-on chart. Below is the latest version. As clearly seen, major resistance kicks in around $1,210 USD/oz, which is 6.1% above today’s closing price. If gold manages to break through that level, we believe a major trend change would be underway.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Gold and Silver More 'Flight To Safety' Active February / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
Gold showed some strength today in an add on to the flight to safety trade, even though there was a midday hit on price that was pure antics. The dollar moved lower and silver wallowed.
I posted an update to the NAV of Precious Metals Funds and Trusts today. Sprott has successfully absorbed the Central Gold Trust. It raised some cash and added substantially to their bullion and shares under management, so its a good deal for them. Let's see if time shows if it is a good deal for the trust unit holders.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Is Silver Really a Weak Link / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Submissions
Robert Alexander writes: I am not what many consider to be a Perma Gold Bull, but I do expect a 3rd phase of the 2000 Gold run to take place and end in a spectacular blow off top phase. That being the case, I also watch intently when we get these bear market lows for signs of a bigger picture change. Lately I am hearing that “Silver is weak”. “Silver cant get out of its own way. It is setting up to plunge now.” I’ve been discussing these lows and successfully trading them for weeks now. Is that the way I see current conditions? Is Silver really the weak link? Not the way I look at things. To the charts…
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Gold to Beat Stocks 2016? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Axel_Merk
"Stocks beat gold in the long run!" is a 'rallying cry' to buy stocks we have heard lately that gets me riled up. It’s upsetting to me for two reasons: first, an out of context comparison, in my opinion, misguides investors. It might be the wrong assertion in the short to medium term.
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Silver Price Fix – “Future Of The Fix Is Fraught” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
The silver price fix debacle from last week and the new London silver price fix has received a litany of severe criticism in recent days.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Keeping an Eye on Gold Bullion Supply and Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Clint Siegner writes: A lot is riding on the demand side of the equation when it comes to metals' price performance this year. Demand is the bigger wildcard with signals thus far being mixed in gold and silver bullion markets. The outlook for supply is more certain, and it isn't pretty.
Endeavor Silver, one of the largest primary silver mining companies, announced last week that it expects to reduce production of the white metal by roughly 30%. The company's El Cubo mine is not profitable despite efforts to reduce costs. Endeavor plans to halt development and exploration at the mine and process accessible ore only. By year end, the mine will be placed on “care and maintenance.”
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
How the Blockchain and Gold Can Work Together / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Thorsten_Polleit
A look into monetary history shows that people, when given freedom of choice, opted for precious metals as money. This doesn’t come as a surprise. Precious metals have the physical properties a medium must have to serve as legal tender: They are scarce, homogenous, durable, divisible, mintable, and transportable. They are held in high esteem and represent considerable value per unit of weight. Gold fulfills these requirements par excellence, and this is why it has always been peoples’ first choice in terms of money. Gold has proven its merits as money for millennia; it is the ultimate means of payment.
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Monday, February 01, 2016
Central Bank Created Silver Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
Central banks have created a mess, unless you enjoy unemployment, crashing economies, a wave of bankruptcies, and half of the world’s assets owned by only a few people.
Monday, February 01, 2016
Gold and Silver Bullion Up 5.3% and 3.4% In January as Stocks Fall Sharply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Gold and silver rallied (5.3% and 3.4% respectively) in January, as stocks fell sharply.
Turmoil and sharp falls in Chinese and global stock markets, plunging oil prices, rising stress in credit markets and further signs of weak US and global growth led to a renewed bout of risk aversion in January.
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Sunday, January 31, 2016
Nice week for Gold : It’s All about Sentiment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
I wanted to take a bit of time in this post to discuss one of the most important things that those wishing to be successful in trading/investing need to learn, namely detecting shifts in sentiment.
Those of you who have been reading my work for a while will be familiar with my constant reference to this topic. It is primarily for some of the newer readers that I wanted to write this but also to reinforce the concept in the minds of some of the more seasoned hands.
Sentiment is what moves markets. Never forget this. Bullish sentiment drives prices higher; bearish sentiment drives prices lower. It matters not what we MIGHT THINK the current fundamentals happen to be; that is irrelevant. Price will move in the direction that the majority of market participants happen to think it should move in; not in the direction that one’s own understanding of the fundamentals dictates it should. Understand this and you are well on your way to becoming profitable.
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Sunday, January 31, 2016
Silver Price Breaks Higher on Rising Anxiety / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: AnyOption
Echoing the perilous financial market volatility of late, silver prices have gradually moved to the highest levels since December as growing risk aversion and shifting sentiment see safety bids gain momentum. While not necessarily indicative of a resumption of the trend higher that began in the depths of the last financial crisis, several factors are pointing to increased potential gains in the precious metal as investors are forced to pivot from yield to quality in an effort to hedge against ongoing turmoil. While inflation may remain low, dragging on prices over the medium-term, tightness in the physical supply chain alongside increased interest in hedging against uncertainty of monetary policy and central banking continue to contribute to upside in silver.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 30, 2016
Gold And Silver Current Prices Do Not Matter / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_Noonan
Truth be known, short of an uprising or revolution by the masses, which is highly unlikely, the elites have won over the masses, hands down, and the end game is in the final and irreversible stages. Time and again, we have reiterated the elites formulaic strategy of Problem, Reaction, Solution. The most current is the outrageous Mid East refugee situation where European countries are being forced to accept hundreds of thousands of displaced refugees from the war-torn Middle East.
It is no secret that the US has been covertly responsible for much of the destruction and strife in that area. Where not covertly involved, the US has provided arms and logistics to Saudi Arabia as the Saudis are destroying helpless Yemenis in the proxy war against Iran.
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Saturday, January 30, 2016
Gold Price Potential Upside 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Peter_Degraaf
The most important chart of 2016!
Charts in this essay are courtesy Stockcharts.com unless indicated.
Saturday, January 30, 2016
The Curious Case of Copper... / Commodities / Copper
By: Clive_Maund
I recently watched a movie called The Curious Case of Benjamin Button which some of you may have seen. In this film the lead role, played by Brad Pitt, is born as a decrepit old man and gets steadily younger until he eventually died of old age as a baby. To say that it's ridiculous is the understatement of the millennium. Yet many people come away from watching this film thinking "How wonderful, if we all kept getting younger!" As a contrarian I instead found myself wondering about the catastrophic effect on the cosmetics industry, as the market for anti-aging creams would collapse.
Friday, January 29, 2016
No Change in Outlook for Gold and Silver 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
With each passing rally hope has bloomed that the bear market in precious metals may be over. The long and deep “forever bear” has to end but it hasn’t yet. Under the surface, the bear market is getting weaker and Gold is growing stronger. It’s showing strength against foreign currencies and has broken its downtrend relative to equities. These are very positive developments and a precursor to the birth of a new bull market. However, the weak rebounds in the metals coupled with the potential for a US Dollar breakout advise us to continue to remain patient and cautious.
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