Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, February 22, 2016
Gold Ratio Chartology Quietly Suggesting a Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight I would like to update a few of the ratio charts we've been following that are still showing an important low or bear market low is in place for gold. There are so many things we read where this analysis says this and that analysis says that but the more one reads the more confused they become. There is no Holy Grail when it comes to trading the markets although everyone is looking for one. Every trading discipline has its own unique characteristics that if one has the discipline to study it long enough they may eventually get pretty good at interpreting what it's saying. Find something that matches your own personality and through trial and error you maybe surprised at what you may discover.
Monday, February 22, 2016
Crude Oil Price Bottom, Forecast to Double Before End of 2016 / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The crude oil price last close of $32 stands $6 higher than its recent multi-year bear market low of $26. Whilst little has changed fundamentally so far in terms of supply i.e. OPEC and others are still pumping flat out and Iran continues to ramp up production, nevertheless demand destruction of many smaller oil producers operating at below break even prices is finally starting to be discounted by the market.
Monday, February 22, 2016
Silver Underperforms Gold in Early Stages of Bull Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Clive_Maund
In the early part of Precious Metal bullmarkets, gold performs better than silver, but in the latter part silver outperforms gold. The reason is that the early part of bullmarkets in the sector are characterized by more serious and sober value oriented investors, whereas the latter part is characterized by momentum traders and speculators trying to make a fast buck, and they are attracted by the high leverage of silver relative to gold. This is the reason that the giant ramp in silver in the opening months of 2011 to a final parabolic slingshot peak in April - May signaled that it was all over, many months before gold itself topped out.
Monday, February 22, 2016
Gold Price Finally Breaking Out to Commence a Major Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Clive_Maund
This has been a momentous month for gold, with it finally breaking out of its long downtrend to commence a major bullmarket. Thus it is amusing to see Goldman Sachs talking about it dropping back to $1000 again. Those timorously wondering whether they are right should stop and ask themselves whose interests are paramount to Goldman, the government and Wall St, or the Little Guy trying to protect what's left of his capital. Those still in doubt should read Goldman Capitulates .
We have been wondering over the past week whether gold and silver have been starting to mark out bull Flags or whether they are instead at intermediate tops. That question is answered for us by the latest COTs which reveal that Commercial short positions have exploded in recent weeks, particularly in silver, where they are now at "nosebleed levels". We therefore now expect a correction, which could be quite heavy - so Curb your Enthusiasm, people. When it happens don't be fooled into thinking that the bearmarket is back on and Goldman is right. Instead take the opportunity to back up the truck and load up on PM sectors investments, many of which have risen too far too fast in recent weeks.
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Sunday, February 21, 2016
Gold Has Outperformed Stocks Since… 1967!?!?! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Graham_Summers
Almost every other day I read an article telling me that owning Gold is dumb or that Gold is doomed as an investment.
These articles would be useful or insightful if they weren’t based on “analysis” that is either misleading or downright wrong.
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Sunday, February 21, 2016
Venezuela's Gold Heads East - Ubi Caritas / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jesse
"We suspect that shorting gold has come to seem like a riskless proposition as long as there is confidence in the Fed. Synthetic gold is the perfect substance for a carry trade: an easy borrow with very low carrying cost and little upside basis risk. Such a hypothesis, in our opinion, does much to explain the incongruity of a declining gold price while fundamentals for paper currency, and the U.S. dollar in particular, obviously deteriorate; while demand for physical gold has exceeded new mine supply for several years running; and while above-ground 400-ounce .995-gold bars located in London, New York, and other financial capitals (in cohabitation with speculative trading activity in paper markets) have steadily dwindled and disappeared into Asian financial centers reformulated as .9999 kilo bars."
Sunday, February 21, 2016
The Gold Bull Is Just Getting Started - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Savage
The latest crutch used by the bears is that the COT reports are bearish so gold is going back down. That is not necessarily the case if a new bull market has begun.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
Gold And Silver – Charts Only / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Michael_Noonan
We are strong advocates of the charts providing the best and most reliable information. Even the most respected gold and silver experts do not know when the effects of globalist bankers' manipulation will lose their impact. Each week is one week closer to a final resolve, but no one knows if there are 2 more weeks, 20 more weeks or how much longer price can continue sideways to lower in a bottoming process.
Back on the 6th of February, we posited that there was no bottom confirmed, [See Is A Bottom In? Nothing Confirmed , if you missed the article.], and we maintain that there has not been any identified market activity that suggests a final bottom for the current multi- year correction lower. This week, we focus strictly on the charts.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
Silver Price Trend Forecast - Silver has more work to do.. / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Submissions
Goldvybe writes: While I primarily analyze and trade gold, I do tend to look at the action in silver as the sister metal can provide us with some very interesting clues about where gold is headed next. Over the years the Commitment of Traders (COT) report which is released at the end of each trading week by the CFTC can alert us to some very interesting developments in the precious metals markets.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
OPEC Lost the Shale-Oil-War: Deflation Looms / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Andrew_Butter
In the unspoken plan to shut down what the oil-aristocrats called, “high cost producers”, let’s call that the Shale-Oil-War, the war-word was never mentioned. But it was war and there were casualties, Big-Time. There will be more bankruptcies in the Exploration and Production (E&P) sector and painful write-downs by the banks who supported it; many once oil-rich countries have been pushed into recession and the ripples are traveling down the value chain...there are long lines of cold-stacked brand-new drilling barges built on credit, closed steel plants and the mines that fed them, all the way through to the FAO Food-price Index that tracks oil prices. No wonder China is in some sort of recession, they were the final assembly point for a good part of the stuff you need to get oil out of the ground.
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Saturday, February 20, 2016
When Will Gold and Gold Stocks Correct? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Wednesday evening we raised a question in a subscriber update. We wrote: The current question for Gold and gold stocks is if they will push to higher targets before or a correction or if a correction has already started. We should know the answer in the next day or two. The gold stocks exploded higher on Thursday. GDX gained 6% while GDXJ surged 7.4%. Meanwhile, Gold solidified its support at $1200/oz. Markets that become overbought within strong trends can become extremely overbought before they correct. Recent price action in the precious metals complex argues that the path of least resistance in the short term continues to be higher.
Friday, February 19, 2016
Gold Mining Stocks Thrive in Bleak Q4 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold miners’ stocks have soared this year as investors flock back into this long-abandoned sector. Many traders wonder if these eye-popping gains are merely the product of fleeting sentiment that could reverse anytime, or are supported by strong underlying fundamentals. With the gold miners reporting their latest quarterly operating results, this extensive new data offers great insights into gold mining’s fundamentals.
By law, publicly-traded companies must file quarterly earnings reports four times a year. These yield a treasure trove of valuable information for traders, and are easily the single-most-important contribution to financial-market transparency. The Securities and Exchange Commission requires companies traded on the US stock markets to file quarterly earnings reports no later than 45 days after their quarters end.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Is the Gold Price Manipulated? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The belief in manipulation in the gold market is associated with the notion of discrepancies between the paper and physical price of gold. The latter is artificially set lower by futures markets creating tons of synthetic gold. Hence the price of gold does not reflect its fundamentals. But the divergence between paper gold and ‘real’ gold cannot last forever; therefore the day of reckoning will finally come, and the paper gold market will collapse and the price of gold will skyrocket.
Friday, February 19, 2016
Marc Faber Warns “Own Some Solid Currency, In Other Words … Gold” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
“Leave a million dollars with a bank, and in a year, you get only something like $990,000 back,” Marc Faber, respected publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, told Bloomberg by phone yesterday.
“I would rather want to own some solid currency, in other words … gold” warned Faber.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Fascinating Gold Charts With Hidden Trendlines / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: InvestingHaven
Gold had another very strong day, closing the day 2% higher. After a strong run over the last couple of weeks, the question is where gold stands, and how much upside potential it has. Let’s revise the charts and leading indicators in this article.
First, our daily gold chart (since gold peaked) shows that gold recently broke out of its downtrend. Interestingly, the gold price retraced this week to just below the resistance line, and closed today 1% above it. So far so good, this is strong price action without any doubt.
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Friday, February 19, 2016
Trump Candidacy Is Sign of a Falling Empire and a Rising Resource Market / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: The_Gold_Report
Dramatic daily moves in the U.S. dollar, gold prices and the larger markets are pointing to a global banking collapse that will send resource prices higher in 2016, according to 321gold.com founder Bob Moriarty. In this interview with The Gold Report, he shares his insights on how mining equities will react and five names he is watching.
Thursday, February 18, 2016
Gold BUGZ v. MR. NASTI / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Denali_Guide
Now before you get down on Mr. Nasti's ($NASI) case, just realize he is just the bagman for the US TREAS, BOJ, BOE, ECB, ESF, JPM, and PPT. They all helped jump start the volume which has brought the mullets and some institutions back as well as BIG foreign money coming to the USA as tax dodge in their own countries. Ironic isn't, the USE Red-Letters all the other tax havens and busts them, not to increase the US's legal take, but to steal their business !
Wow what a plan !! They did that in plain view and not one figured it out !!
Thursday, February 18, 2016
Precious Metal’s War: Central bankers have Not lost & Never will / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Sol_Palha
An empty head is not really empty; it is stuffed with rubbish. Hence the difficulty of forcing anything into an empty head. Eric HofferThey might lose a battle or two, but war is a composition of battles, and when it comes to war, these guys never lose as their principle is simple. Take no prisoners, shoot to kill and ask questions only if the enemy survives the onslaught of bullets. This would be a good time to read the book “the art of war” by Sun Tzu.
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
Two Top Reasons Why Silver Is A Must-Have / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Hubert_Moolman
The timing of this silver rally relative to the gold silver ratio (GSR).
In the last 100 years, there were three significant silver rallies, with the current one still in progress. Below is a long-term Gold/Silver Ratio chart showing those silver rallies:
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Thursday, February 18, 2016
ABN AMRO Predict Gold At $1,300 By Year End, Up From $900 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Gold is holding solidly above $1,200, brushing off news of the freshly released Fed minutes. Iranians cautiously welcome the Saudi-Russian oil production pact, while stating that they support cooperation to achieve higher oil prices, they also have domestic pressure to ramp up export of supply and cash in after years of being locked out of the market. This may possibly weigh down future oil price rises.
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