Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, September 02, 2018

Gold is the Sun, and an Anchor / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

The ‘Gold as Inflation Hedge’ Canard

On the one hand you have the sons of Harvey & Erb, who called gold to $800/oz. and caused a stir in the gold “community”. Per Campbell Harvey in this video with Kitco’s Daniella (dig the flowing golden locks of hair)…

“Gold is just too volatile” to be an effective inflation hedge.

Saturday, September 01, 2018

Upside Targets for Gold, Gold Stocks & Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

After a vicious selloff precious metals have stabilized. Its not a surprise given the breadth and sentiment extremes we noted and had predicted earlier. Although recent gains have met some resistance, the immediate path of least resistance should be higher. Let’s take a look at the key support and resistance levels for the metals and the miners.

Gold has retreated after hitting $1220/oz a few days ago. That was the first area of resistance for this rebound. The next resistance level would be around $1235. If Gold can surpass $1235 then look for a move up to $1260. There is very strong resistance above $1260 while $1180 should be strong support.

Saturday, September 01, 2018

Silver DSLV 3X Short ETF Chartology / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today DSLV 3 X short silver etf, is breaking out from a possible bearish falling wedge. I’m going to take an initial position and buy 150 shares at the market at 34.74 with the sell/stop on a daily close below the 50 day ema which is currently at 30.06. ZSL is a 2 X leveraged etf if you don’t want all the leverage. DSLV can be pretty volatile so take small bites. A backtest to the top rail would come into play around the 34.15 area for a slightly lower risk entry point.

Friday, August 31, 2018

Are Silver and Gold 'at the Flood'? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

There is a tide in the affairs of men...

Thus, begins one of the most famous quotes ever uttered, taken from Shakespeare's play, Julius Caesar. Brutus, talking to Cassius, says, "There is a tide in the affairs of men. Which taken at the flood, leads on to fortune..."

A flood tide takes place at the very crest in the water's height. Once the "tide turns," there is no stopping its ebb until, much later, it reaches an extended, even a minus low.

Friday, August 31, 2018

The Final Gold Bull Market Confirmation Is Very Close / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Hubert_Moolman

We are getting very close to what I believe is the final confirmation of the coming multi-year gold bull market. Although it is very clear that gold is going higher from around these levels, a move pass the $1375 area would be that final confirmation, based on the update of this previously shown comparison:

Friday, August 31, 2018

Eleven Reasons Why I Am Super Bullish On Gold and Silver. / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Peter_Degraaf

                           The Ducks are Lining Up!
This chart is courtesy Real Investment Advice.com and borrowed from a recent article:  ‘Wicksell’s Elegant Model’.   The brown areas in the chart highlight the periods when ‘real rates’ were and are negative.  Gold tends to perform best during those periods.

Friday, August 31, 2018

How to Invest in The Farming and Agriculture Industries / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Dylan_Moran

Agriculture is always  a solid choice to invest. People always need to eat no matter the current economic outlook. This is why many people consider agricultural investments to be recession proof. The good news is that you don’t actually have to own a farm to invest in them. Here is a look at how to invest in farms, all without having to actually own one.

Wednesday, August 29, 2018

Preparing for THE Gold Price Bottom - Buy-and-Hold on Steroids / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

All investors start their adventure in the capital markets with dreams of immediate wealth, luxurious cars, yachts, holidays in five-star hotels and making all the people around happy in a million ways. Virtually all investors have to lose a lot of money before they learn hubris and realistic expectations. Some give up investing completely, others become very conservative and claim that you can only count on long-term buy-and-hold types of investments.

Some of the people who survive the first – unavoidable – losses never give up their initial dreams and continually seek ways to make them come true. Are they doomed to fail spectacularly over and over again? Skeptics will say that searching for the Holy Grail of speculation has no sense and that the market is simply a complicated tool to drain naive investors of their capital. Enthusiasts, on the contrary, will try to convince you not to listen to the skeptics since you shouldn’t “blame the floor if you can’t dance.”

Wednesday, August 29, 2018

Gold and the Great Stage of Fools / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Richard_Mills

Gold prices briefly traded above $1200 on Wednesday due to the legal and political troubles facing Donald Trump following the Paul Manafort guilty verdict on Tuesday. Kitco’s Jim Wykoff reports:

Wednesday saw some trader and investor anxiety as Trump is in some hot water. Two of his close associates are likely going to jail. This has added a bit of uncertainty to the world marketplace at mid-week. There is talk Trump could pardon those associates, or that he could be impeached. And the mid-term congressional elections are right around the corner.

Gold actually climbed for five straight sessions on US dollar weakness, giving some relief to gold bugs shell-shocked by the $1174 low hit on August 22 – the worst level since January 2017. The metal of kings on Wednesday finished above the psychologically important $1200 an ounce, with gold futures trading at $1202.90, though the spot price stayed under, at $1189.70. Gold had a mini-rally on Friday, hitting $1208 an ounce (at time of writing) on comments from Fed chair Jerome Powell that the central bank is committed to gradually, not suddenly, raising interest rates.
Unfortunately however, it doesn’t look like there’s much light at the end of gold’s tunnel which has seen an especially dark summer. Minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee held July 31 to August 1 signalled that the Federal Reserve is likely to raise interest rates next month due to what it deems solid economic growth.

Wednesday, August 29, 2018

What Would Impeaching Trump Mean for Gold and Silver? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner : Robert Mueller appeared to be spinning his wheels for the last year and a half. But recent prosecutions of prominent Trump campaign figures now have Democrats giddy over the possibility of being handed grounds for impeachment.

Tasked with investigating whether or not Donald Trump and people working for him colluded with the Russians during the presidential campaign, the special counsel finally got some traction last week.

Wednesday, August 29, 2018

US Dollar vs. Other Currencies and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Investment advisor Jayant Bhandari, in this conversation with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable, discusses recent moves in the U.S. dollar, the role of gold, and several arbitrage opportunities he sees.

Maurice Jackson: Welcome to Proven and Probable. I'm your host, Maurice Jackson. Joining us is Jayant Bhandari, the host of the highly acclaimed Capitalism & Morality seminar, and a prominent, sought-after advisor to institutional investors. Today we will discuss geopolitical events between the United States and third world nations.

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Silver Price Forecast 2018-2019 - These Indicators Are Predicting New All-time High Silver Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Hubert_Moolman

The Dow/Gold ratio is a very reliable measure for where we are on the long-term economic timetable. It allows for an accurate reading of key economic conditions that are present at a particular period of time.

With regards to silver, the period after a Dow/Gold peak is generally great conditions for silver prices. After every major Dow/Gold ratio peak over the last 100 years, silver has gone to new all-time high prices, except for the period since the 1999 Dow/Gold ratio peak (see the silver vs Dow chart below:)

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Gold And U.S. Dollar, Buffett, Trump, – Nothing Has Changed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

“Even in the U.S., where the wish for a stable currency is strong, the dollar has fallen a staggering 86% in value since 1965, when I took over management of Berkshire…” — Warren Buffett Feb2012

During that same period (1965 – 2012) the price of gold increased from $35.00 per ounce to more than $1800.00 per ounce – a whopping 5000%.  Seven years ago this month (August 2011), the price of gold peaked at $1879.00 per ounce, and has since fallen 30% to approximately $1200.00 per ounce currently. That drop in price is the inverse reflection of the U.S dollar’s temporary strength and stability, which is up by 30%. You can see that on the chart GOLD PRICES AND US DOLLAR CORRELATION below…

Sunday, August 26, 2018

Gold has Reversed. Will the Bounce Continue? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Gold has been in a very strong downtrend until this past week. But thanks to this week’s bounce, gold has snapped its 6 week loss streak.

Sunday, August 26, 2018

Trade Wars, the Dollar and Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Rob McEwen, chairman and chief owner of McEwen Mining and former CEO of Goldcorp, speaks to Streetwise Reports about the impact of trade wars on the dollar and precious metals, where he sees the growth in precious metals equities, and how he plans to qualify McEwen Mining for the S&P 500.

The Gold Report: Prices of some commodities have been falling. What are your thoughts on the current commodities market?

Rob McEwen: The commodities market has been adversely impacted by the strong dollar and the discussion of a trade war possibility, which may already be happening. With the economies of America, Europe and Asia picking up, most investors are asking, why buy gold or silver? The dollar is the key. When it starts dropping, we will see the price of gold, silver and all commodities improve.

Saturday, August 25, 2018

Golds Wyckoff Price Road Map / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: readtheticker

Applying Richard Wyckoff and Richard Ney logic. (A wealth of knowledge on this subject is disclosed via the RTT Plus service found at readtheticker.com)

Question: Is there evidence to suggest a accumulation within gold.

First, we must understand gold is controlled large positions of : futures longs, futures shorts, futures calls buy and sell, futures puts buy and sells. Each of these will be large and must be positioned before a powerful move higher or lower can occur.

1) The sharp sell off during 2013/14/15 allowed the shorts to profit, short covering occurred late 2015/16/17. The short trade from the 2011 high is done! This is good news for bulls as these positions are mostly cleared.

Friday, August 24, 2018

Gold Junior Stocks Q2 2018 Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The junior gold miners’ stocks have been thrashed in August, plummeting to brutal multi-year lows.  Such carnage naturally left sentiment far more bearish than usual in this forsaken contrarian sector.  But these extremely-battered gold-stock prices certainly aren’t justified fundamentally.  Junior gold miners’ collective results from their just-completed Q2’18 earnings season prove their stock prices need to mean revert way higher.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 45 calendar days after quarter-ends.  Canadian companies have similar requirements.  In other countries with half-year reporting, many companies still partially report quarterly.

Friday, August 24, 2018

A Saudi-Iran Oil War Could Break Up OPEC / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

When OPEC and Russia shook on increasing crude oil production by a million barrels daily to stop the oil price climb that had begun getting uncomfortable for consumers from Asia to the United States, there was no sign of what was to come just two months later: slowing demand in Asia, ample supply, and a brewing price war between Saudi Arabia and Iran.

Thursday, August 23, 2018

Gold Bullion Bank Charades and the Importance of Long-Term Thinking / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Recently, I gave an inside look into the competitive and honest market in which precious metals dealers operate. It’s a market based on supply and demand for actual physical metal in the form of coins, bars, or rounds.

However, the futures market – where global spot silver and gold prices are set – is another story.

The supply and demand for actual physical bars is pretty much irrelevant when exchanging paper contracts.

Thursday, August 23, 2018

Is The 50-year Gold Mining Bear Market Coming To An End? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Hubert_Moolman

Gold stocks is in a 50-year bear market when measured in gold. This (very) roughly means that on average, it has been more economical to buy gold rather than to mine it.

Interestingly, South African gold mining production peaked two years after, in 1970, as if to confirm that mining was getting rather uneconomical.

There are a peculiar set of reasons why gold mining was so uneconomical, and this I address in my other publications.