Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

Gold Stocks vs. Gold – Cryin’ Time Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

When will people wake up to the fact that investing in gold mining shares is not a good idea?

What are the experts seeing and thinking when they talk about the “positive outlook for mining shares”? For the life of me, I just don’t get it.

And, as far as gold stocks outperforming gold, well, just forget about it. 

Wednesday, November 14, 2018

JPMorgan Chase Trader Pleads Guilty to Gold Manipulation, Turns State's Evidence / Commodities / Market Manipulation

By: MoneyMetals

Gold and silver investors got a rare bit of good news on the enforcement front last week.

A trader from JPMorgan Chase pled guilty to rigging the precious metals futures markets.

John Edmonds admitted to cheating the bank’s clients and plenty of other people naive enough to expect fair treatment on the COMEX and other exchanges.

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Warning: Precious Metals’ Gold and Silver Prices are about to Collapse! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Silver just moved to its 2018 bottom. Not somewhat above it, not relatively close to it – silver’s Friday’s close of $14.14 equals the previous lowest closing price of 2018 that was formed on September 14th. That’s not yet a breakdown, but the implications are severe.

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Why the End of the Longest Crude Oil Bull Market Since 2008? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Dan_Steinbock

In the past two years, crude oil has steadily advanced, supported by global recovery. But in just 10 days, oil has posted the longest losing streak since mid-1984 – thanks to overcapacity and the Trump trade wars.

Half a year ago, crude oil prices were expected to climb from $53 per barrel in 2017 to $65 per barrel by the year-end and to remain around that level through 2019. By mid-October, crude had soared to $75 and the rise was expected to continue.

Tuesday, November 13, 2018

Will Crude Oil Price Find Support Near $60? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team warned of this move in Crude Oil back on October 7, 2018.  At that time, we warned that Oil may follow a historical price pattern, moving dramatically lower and that lows near $65 may become the ultimate bottom for that move.  Here we are with a price below that level and many are asking “where will it go from here?”.

Monday, November 12, 2018

Cyclical Commodities Continue to Weaken, Gold Moves in Relation / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gary_Tanashian

Crude Oil and Industrial Metals continue downward. This is significant per this NFTRH monthly chart showing these items and the broad CRB itself having hit trend lines from the 2008 highs. These pullbacks from long-term trend lines are notable and qualify cyclical commodities as risk indicators for the cyclical macro.

Monday, November 12, 2018

5 Things That Precede Gold Price Major Bottoms / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The recent weakness in Gold and gold mining stocks is not over. In fact, we are worried about another leg down getting underway.

If that comes to pass, we are positioned to profit from it. But I digress.

Long-term oriented investors and speculators should be aware of the near term trends but they should also be aware of the conditions that will lead to a shift from a bear market to a bull market.

Here, we focus on five factors that precede major bottoms in precious metals.

Sunday, November 11, 2018

Gold Asks: Are US Bonds Overvalued? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

“We are in a bond market bubble that’s beginning to unwind.” This is the statement of Alan Greenspan. Is he right? We invite you to read our today’s article about the US bond market and find out whether it is in bubble or not – and what does it all mean for the precious metals market. 

Bond yields are in an upward trend since 2016/2017. And they hit the accelerator again last month. The 10-year Treasury yield topped 3.2 percent, the highest level since May 2011. Other yields have also increased recently: on 30-year Treasuries hit 3.40 in October, while on 5-year US government bonds jumped above 3 percent, as one can see in the chart below.

Sunday, November 11, 2018

GDX - Will you Buy This Hated Stock with Me? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Stephen_McBride

Will you listen to me?

Will you buy the stock I recommend in this issue?

I hope so… because we have a realistic shot to make roughly 140% on our money in just a few months.

Stock markets don’t often hand us opportunities like this. I study markets for a living and I see one setup like it a year, max.

Saturday, November 10, 2018

In US Elections Both Parties Won. And Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

US mid-term elections are behind us. Surprisingly, both parties won! How is it possible? Let’s read our article and find out! We will also explain what the election results imply for the world and the gold market.

Democrats Win

The elections were very interesting. We provide you with the key takeaways, focusing on the possible implications for the precious metals. First, Democrats took control of the House, the first time in eight years. Their victory will make it harder for Trump to push his agenda forward. Given that investors liked his pro-business stance, the change should upset the Wall Street. It implies weaker greenback, while stronger gold.

Thursday, November 08, 2018

End in Sight for 'Unloved' Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund charts silver and explains why he believes the metal's prospects are changing. Silver continues to be a singularly neglected and unloved investment, and has been for years now, but as we will proceed to see, this is not a situation that is likely to continue for much longer.

On its 10-year chart we can see that silver has basically been moving sideways marking out a low base pattern since late 2014–late 2015, following a severe bear market from its 2011 highs. For a while this year it was thought to be marking out a downsloping Head-and-Shoulders bottom, but with the renewed decline from June through late August, it was clear that the pattern had morphed into something else, and on the basis of what we are seeing in other metals, principally copper, gold and platinum, it now looks like it may instead be completing a large Double Bottom pattern, and if this is what it is, then it is very close to the second low of the Double Bottom here, and thus at an excellent point to buy.

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Outlook for Gold & Silver Precious Metals Sector is 'Positive' / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

The precious metals sector continues to be viewed with disdain, posits technical analyst Clive Maund, who discusses the factors that he sees are behind changes in the market. The precious metals sector continues to be viewed with disdain and skepticism by the vast majority of investors, which is exactly what you want and expect to see at the earliest stages of a major bull market. However, the charts continue to shape up well, as we will now see.

Starting with the long-term 10-year chart for gold, we see that it is approaching completion of a more or less symmetrical complex Head-and-Shoulders bottom, with multiple shoulders. It is now believed to be rising up to complete the final Right Shoulder, that should be followed by a breakout above the resistance at the top of the pattern, which will be a positive technical development of huge significance.

Thursday, November 08, 2018

A Great Day for Metals as Platinum Price Breaks Out / Commodities / Platinum

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund tracks movements in the platinum, gold and silver markets.

It was a very good day for the metals Friday, as they rose sharply in response to the dollar going into reverse after a sizable run-up. A very significant development was that platinum broke out of its Head-and-Shoulders bottom on strong volume, a move which we had expected that marks the start of a bull market. Copper, gold and silver also rose with silver having a particularly strong day, and although copper and silver have yet to break out of their Head-and-Shoulders bottom patterns, the breakout by platinum is a sign that they will follow suit and break out soon. We can see the breakout by platinum out of its fine Head-and-Shoulders bottom on its latest 6-month chart below.

Thursday, November 08, 2018

Tale of Two Metals: One WAY More Valuable Than Gold, The Other Historically Undervalued / Commodities / Platinum

By: MoneyMetals

Gold is the metal of kings, the ultimate money, an eternal store of value, an untarnishable embodiment of beauty. Gold is all those things. But it is not the most valuable metal you can own on a cost-per-ounce basis.

Often, platinum commands a higher price than gold. Lately, platinum has traded at an abnormally large discount to the yellow metal.

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

Is Oil's Freefall Over? Here's a FreePass to Find Out NOW / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

While most traders have been watching the S&P, oil plunged 18% in October. In the process, crude broke below a key long-term trendline. You know what that means: It's an exciting potential opportunity.

Wednesday, November 07, 2018

USD’s Weekly Breakout and the Gold Golden Spring / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

USDX’s Friday’s close was its highest weekly closing prices of 2018. This is an extremely significant confirmation of the bullish outlook for the US currency that followed the verification of the breakout above the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The implications are clearly bullish for the US dollar. But are they clearly bearish for gold? The yellow metal ended the week close to its October lows and the SLV ETF closed at the highest level since late August. Is the outlook for the precious metals market really bearish?

Yes, it is. Precious metals’ reaction to the action in the USD could be delayed at times and it's most likely the case also this time. The current times are far from being calm due to the recent volatility on the stock market and because we are just before US elections. Consequently, it’s not that odd to see gold and silver hold up relatively well despite the build-up in the bearish implications from many long-term charts and from the USD Index.

Tuesday, November 06, 2018

Positive Implications for Gold Miners if Crude Oil Breaks Down / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Gary_Tanashian

It’s an over obsessed upon commodity, previously hyped for its (Hubbert’s) “peak” status by “experts” like T Boone Pickens and a whole clown show of promoters amplified by the media at the time.

Now WTI Crude Oil has reached a thick resistance zone (as managed in NFTRH for the last couple of years) and may be breaking down from a peak of a whole other kind. Here is the monthly chart we use.

Tuesday, November 06, 2018

Energy Markets Analysis FreePass / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

While most traders have been watching the S&P, oil plunged 18% in October. In the process, crude broke below a key long-term trendline. You know what that means: It's an exciting potential opportunity.

That's why we've got an exciting free event starting Tuesday, Nov. 6. We call it our Energy FreePass event, where we unlock our trader-focused Energy Pro Service for 3 days. It's free for everyone.

Monday, November 05, 2018

Is the Gold Bull Back? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Peter_Degraaf

The Price of Gold appears to have bottomed, after declining since 2011. Here is a look at the weekly trend.

Monday, November 05, 2018

Gold Stocks Winter Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks suffered a rough late summer this year.  A rare forced capitulation walloped them to deep new lows, short-circuiting their usual autumn rally.  That’s left this sector anomalously low as the subsequent winter rally gets underway, gold stocks’ strongest seasonal surge of the year.  Starting from beaten-down levels after skipping the prior seasonal rally gives gold stocks exceptionally-bullish upside potential.

Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year.  While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behavior driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals.  We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally colors our trading decisions.  The calendar year’s passage affects the timing and intensity of buying and selling.