Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, June 10, 2010
High Hurricane Activity Threatens Gulf Oil Production, Cleanup Efforts / Commodities / Crude Oil
As hurricane season begins in the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, forecasters are predicting higher-than-usual activity that could disrupt oil and gas production in the Gulf and hinder efforts to clean up the Deepwater Horizon oil spill.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 10, 2010
Gold Analysts "Bullish" as Dollar Slips / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
GOLD DEALT IN large wholesale bars slipped in price for the second session running in London on Thursday, dropping 2.5% from Tuesday's record highs as European stock markets held flat and the US Dollar ticked lower on the currency market.
The central banks of both the Eurozone and the UK voted to keep interest rates on hold, sticking since spring 2009 at 0.5% and 1.0% respectively.
Thursday, June 10, 2010
A Must See Chart for Gold Stock Investors / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Brian Hunt writes: In late 2008, shares in gold stocks suffered one of the worst wipeouts in market history.
Most small, speculative gold stocks lost over 80% of their value in just a few months. Even the bigger, more established gold miners lost nearly 70% of their value in seven months.
Thursday, June 10, 2010
Silver Underpriced, Insufficient Supply to Meet China’s Growing Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Richard Daughty writes: Most people have never heard of “the invisible hand” of the market, which is the surprising result of everyone working to get money with which to satisfy their own selfish interests, and it ends up benefiting everybody, a result that is so glorious that it seems that things are being guided by some “invisible hand.”
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Thursday, June 10, 2010
Bernanke's Claims That He Does Not "Fully Understand the Movement in the Gold Price" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold is currently trading at $1,223/oz and in euro, GBP, CHF, and JPY terms, at €1,017/oz, £840/oz, CHF 1,402/oz, JPY 111,318/oz respectively. Gold has fallen in all currencies today as traders have taken profits after the recent surge in prices. Gold priced in euros, UK pounds, Swiss francs and US dollars surged to record nominal highs on Tuesday on demand for a store of value. Concerns of a global economic slowdown allied with fears that debt laden European countries like Greece, Spain, Portugal and Hungary could default and lead to contagion have led to safe haven demand for gold in recent weeks.
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Thursday, June 10, 2010
Bernanke says Gold Acting Differently than Rest of Commodities Group / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
It's not often I agree with Ben Bernanke, but this time, in regards to gold, I do. Please consider Bernanke Says Gold, Commodities Conflict on Inflation.
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Thursday, June 10, 2010
Gold Trade for This Week / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Hello All, This stuff is somewhat time sensitive.
The August Gold is leaving little “technical” gaps all over the place. Classical technical analysis suggests that gaps on a chart will be filled. (It doesn’t specify when though.) I will not worry about the gap on the downside being filled and instead, focus on the upside.
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Thursday, June 10, 2010
Riding the Palladium Roller Coaster / Commodities / Palladium
As I discussed in my February article, “Palladium Still Shines,” palladium is a versatile element used in everything from electronics to polyester production to cancer therapy. In most applications, such as autocatalysts, cheaper metals can't be substituted. In fact, if hydrogen-based fuel cells become significant in local power and automotive applications, those high-tech uses would also require palladium.
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Thursday, June 10, 2010
Silver Likely Market Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the i-Shares Silver Trust (symbol: SLV). The pink labeled price bars are negative divergence bars. The divergence is between an oscillator indicator (called value charts) and price. (Of note, there is nothing unique about value charts as an oscillator other than I can program with it; as a matter of record, this is the same oscillator I use in all my charts.)
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Thursday, June 10, 2010
Gold and Inflation, Looking Ahead of the Curve / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Rob McEwen, whose Midas touch in mining has been as transformational as anyone's, sat down recently for this exclusive, wide-ranging interview with The Gold Report. Hoping we manage to avoid the "darkest hour" he envisions, he describes fearsome parallels between the Weimar Republic of the late '20s and early '30s to the United States of today. Fast-forwarding to the future, he also explores a few of the things the mining industry might do to start making itself invisible in terms of environmental impact.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
Gold prices nudge $1250/oz, are you prepared? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
We will kick off with a quick at the chart for gold prices and what a great chart it is. Despite the bears constantly jostling to be the first bear to call a major correction for gold prices to drop back to the depths of the last decade, gold is just not listening and continues to strengthen as the demand for real value grows.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
Albania, the New Frontier for Crude Oil Investors / Commodities / Crude Oil
By Marin Katusa, Chief Market Strategist, Casey Research Energy Division writes: After a troubled past, resource-rich Albania is trying to modernize itself into a good place to do business... and with astonishing success.
Over the years, we've visited Albania more times than we'd care to admit. Although it's not a place we'd recommend for a family vacation, your investment dollars will find a happy home there. Unlike the rocky tale of Albania itself, the latest oil development stories are bound to have a much happier ending.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
Natural Gas Stocks: Why NOW Is the Time to Buy Them / Commodities / Natural Gas
This is what I call the “shopping season” for natural gas stocks. And even though I’m a longer-term bear on natural gas, there is one part of the natural gas market that is not well known, I think mis-understood, and potentially mis-priced. As a result, I think it could make me money this year – and I think now is the time for me to be buying this little subset.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 09, 2010
Gold Consolidates Near Record Nominal Highs in Nearly All Currencies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold rose to new record nominal highs in nearly all major currencies yesterday (record highs in US Dollars, euros, sterling, Swiss francs, South African rand, Indian rupees, Chinese renminbi/yuan etc) on growing concerns of sovereign debt contagion and concerns about the robustness of the global economic recovery. Concerns that large industrial nations with huge debt burdens will attempt to inflate away their debts thereby devaluing currencies is also leading to investment demand for the finite currency that is gold. Gold is currently trading at $1,236/oz and in euro, GBP, CHF, and JPY terms, at €1,035/oz, £855/oz, CHF 1,423/oz, JPY 112,870/oz respectively.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
Is Commodities Plunge Signaling a Stocks Bear Market? / Commodities / Financial Markets 2010
Don Miller writes: The biggest slump in commodity prices since 2008 is undermining confidence on Wall Street and fueling speculation that a new bear market has been born.
Despite forecasts for accelerating economic growth and higher prices, commodities, with the notable exception of gold, are taking a big hit.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
The Gold Stocks Bull Market In Uncertainty / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The herd is running for the exits. Mutual fund investors are selling out at a faster and faster pace each week.
The Investment Company Institute, which tracks mutual fund inflow and outflows, reports redemptions have been surging in equity mutual funds. The last week of April, investors put in a net $1.85 billion into stock mutual funds. Since then though, it has been all downhill.
Wednesday, June 09, 2010
Gold and Debt Backed Paper Currencies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Debt-backed paper currency is always a castle made of sand but "eventually" corresponds with debt saturation. Once debt can't be paid back and everyone knows it, what happens? Default or aggressive debasement. There is no "Goldilocks" in between just as there wasn't when CNBC said there was all throughout 2007 (the big boyz needed someone to buy their stocks...). Two options. Literally default or default "in spirit" by paying back the nominal amounts owed using a fresh pile of counterfeited monopoly money that everyone knows you just counterfeited.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
BP Spill Provides Unprecedented Buying Opportunity for Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
A. Schaef writes: During President Obama’s May 27, 2010 press conference he announced that he would be extending the moratorium on offshore drilling for at least another 6 months. This announcement just happens to coincide with the time of year that the demand for oil historically spikes – the summer time. Of course, all you economics majors out there know that a decrease in production at a time of historically increasing consumption is a recipe for inflated prices.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
The Euro Index and Gold - The Most Important Pair? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Markets are skittish and the pace and force of financial crises has taken a frightening turn for the worse. It seems like the fuse gets shorter between each crisis. We barely catch our breath from one when confronted with the next. Looking back three decades a crisis had taken place, on average, every three years. But now, a scant 18 months after the 2008 meltdown, Europe’s Greek sovereign debt crisis hit with full, fulminating force. One crisis begets another and it seems like the world’s economy is on a treacherous bumper-to- bumper course where any misstatement from politicians can cause a multiple car pile up. Still, the fact worth keeping in mind is that the main stock indices lead, not follow the main economic indicators, such as the GDP growth.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
The Shift to Natural Gas Will Not Lower Energy Costs / Commodities / Natural Gas
Serving as a catalyst for BP's oil spill, Obama recently addressed the need for the U.S. to move forward with an initiative to emphasize utilization of its vast natural gas reserves. This is just another distraction by Obama to cover up from his failed healthcare reform and the soon to be failed Wall Street reform.Read full article... Read full article...