Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, May 17, 2011
Gold Stocks Downside Targets / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The gold stocks are in a correction which could turn out to be the largest and deepest since the crash of 2008. Now is not the time to panic but to evaluate where the gold stocks may go and where buying will come in to support the market. We utilize moving averages, Fibonacci retirements, Bollinger bands and price action to get a good idea of where the market may bottom. Additionally, we always consult sentiment polls, fund flows and options activity.
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Monday, May 16, 2011
Rhodium and the Silver Crash of 2011 Contagion / Commodities / Commodities Trading
RHODIUM TRADING THOUGHTS is about timely and profitable trading of precious metals. We do not believe every turn in the market can be called. Our goal is that our recommendations should be profitable. Profits are the goals, not trades. Do not expect all recommendations to be profitable. No system can achieve that lofty goal. Our goal is simply to state whether conditions for a metal are favorable or not. Buy signals are issued when appropriate.
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Monday, May 16, 2011
Gold Steady as Silver Loses Another 4% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
U.S. DOLLAR investors saw gold prices continue to hold just shy of $1500 per ounce on Monday morning in London, while global stock markets fell further along with major industrial commodities led by oil and copper.
Major government bonds ticked lower, nudging interest rates higher.
Monday, May 16, 2011
Gold and Silver Lower Again as U.S. $14.3 Trillion U.S. Debt Ceiling Threatened / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold and silver are lower this morning as the recent bout of weakness continues. Equities in Asia were lower on economic growth and inflation concerns and European indices are also lower as Greek debt talks are in disarray after the weekend arrest IMF’s Dominique Strauss-Kahn.
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Monday, May 16, 2011
Gold, Hard Assets Conference NY Recap / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
The finale of the New York Hard Assets conference last week put on display the opinions of 5 experts in an attempt to find contrarian views regarding the present, past and future market conditions. The resulting consensus as opposed to the intended debate gave investors a long term picture that finds difficulty only in searching for a contrasting opinion.
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Sunday, May 15, 2011
Silver Crash 2011 Probably Not Over / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
It looks like most silver bugs got swept away by the bullish hysteria that is associated with parabolic moves, with outlandish forecasts emerging just as silver was peaking at $49, forget $75, $100 was just a matter of weeks away when the resulting reality was that of a 33% price crash to below $34.
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Sunday, May 15, 2011
Gold, Silver, and Dollar Long Term Trends with Fibonacci Retracements / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Here is some general knowledge on Fibonacci Retracements
The placement of the pattern on the chart is given to some subjectivity. I prefer to do it according to the patterns I am attempting to analyze. Obvoiusly there are other ways of doing it.
Sunday, May 15, 2011
Silver Wanted At $50, But Not At $35 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Aren't silver investors funny?? - they were raving bullish when the price was close to $50, now that it's down about $15 and near to $35 they are despondent. In the words of that famed alien with pointed ears, this is "highly illogical". Here on earthbound www.clivemaund.com we have a simpler term for it: "plain nuts". While picking an exact top or bottom is never easy, you can always rely on the collective behaviour of idiots as a guide. So the fact that they are now wary is good news for silver.
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Sunday, May 15, 2011
Gold Bounce Goes Nowhere / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Well, the gold bounce went nowhere, momentum and volume action were unimpressive. So, what’s next? I would suspect more downside action before things settle down, consolidate and then move back into new highs. But that’s only a hope, not a prediction; unless it happens in which case it was a prediction. An analyst’s first priority is to write in such a way as to be able to say “I told you so” regardless of what happens.
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Sunday, May 15, 2011
How Much Gold and Silver and Which Assets Should You Own? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
It is no longer a matter of whether or not you should buy gold and/or silver but, rather, which type of investment(s) and how much. You don’t need a lot but you do need some – and here is a primer on just what type of investment vehicles are available and recommendations on just how much you should buy.&
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Saturday, May 14, 2011
Gold Canaries / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Investors are always on the alert for a sign that a trend is changing. Investing is like being deep in a mine shaft. It is dark and dangerous and there are a thousand things to focus upon. Perhaps most importantly, we should focus on the canary.
Yes, if the canary falls over, the gas level has increased to a dangerous point and it is time to find the exit. But where is the canary in the stock market?
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Saturday, May 14, 2011
Gold $1,200 is New Normal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
What is good for the U.S. economy is good for gold. John Kaiser, editor of Kaiser Research Online, has proposed a graphic model that relates the value of all above-ground gold stock to global Gross Domestic Product (GDP), thereby explaining why higher real gold prices—even with a recovering American economy—will be the new reality. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he shares his projections about where both gold prices and the U.S. economy could be going in the future.
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Friday, May 13, 2011
The Gold-Silver Ratio, Another Look / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Andrey Dashkov, Casey International Speculator writes: The gold-silver ratio (GSR) measures how many ounces of silver one can purchase for an ounce of gold, on a certain date.
Reference to the ratio has a long history. One of the first mentions was that upon the death of Alexander the Great, the ratio was 12.5 to 1. During the Roman Empire, the ratio was set at 12. By the late 19th century, the ratio had risen to 15.
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Friday, May 13, 2011
Another Harsh Reality, Collapse of World Ocean Fisheries / Commodities / Environmental Issues
In A Harsh Reality I wrote about the Green Revolution and its effects on food production. In this article I’d like to focus your attention on our ocean fisheries.
World fisheries are in a state of collapse – caught between plagues of jellyfish, overfishing, nutrient pollution, bioaccumulation of toxics in marine mammals, carbon emissions turning our oceans acidic, the oceans phytoplankton declining by about 40 per cent over the past century, dead zones, garbage patch’s, increasing ocean temperatures and changing currents - our entire marine food chain seems to be in peril.
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Friday, May 13, 2011
Gold and the Contra-Trend Moves Seen in U.S. Dollar Euro / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
We took a look at the Premium Update from this time last year and we saw that the more things change the more they remain the same. This time last year we wrote about the Greek crises and it seems that the European Union’s strategy of playing for time and hoping that Mr. Ed will learn to speak Greek has not helped the situation much.
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Friday, May 13, 2011
Lies, Damned Lies & the Gold and Silver Z-Score / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
If only silver, gold and oil mapped the nice, neat bell curve which statistical analysis calls "standard distribution"...
WHAT ARE the chances? Things that just shouldn't be just keep happening.
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Friday, May 13, 2011
Silver Crash, Manic Euphoria Obliterated / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
In a single week, the manic euphoria gripping silver recently was utterly obliterated. After promising such rapid wealth creation, this metal collapsed in what can only be described as a near-crash. New investors were left stunned, while leveraged speculators were slaughtered. Sadly, they could have easily avoided these devastating losses. Silver’s massive reversal was both inevitable and predicted well in advance.
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Friday, May 13, 2011
Crude Oil Is Going Down And Will Bottom in November 2011 / Commodities / Crude Oil
This is a continuation, after reflection, of an article posted last week which in turn was a reflection on an article posted two weeks ago, which said oil prices were likely to “reverse” sooner rather than later, (which turned out to have been pretty-much correct).
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Friday, May 13, 2011
Gold Adds 1% for the Week as Eurozone Debt Default Looks Certain / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
DOLLAR PRICES to buy gold continued to rally in London on Friday morning, rising as high as $1516 per ounce before easing back – less than 4% off early May's all-time high – while stock and commodity markets recovered some of Thursday's losses.
Silver prices continued Thursday's late rebound, rising to $36.47 per ounce – a rise of nearly 12% from yesterday's 11-week low – before dipping back down towards $35.
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Friday, May 13, 2011
Silver Forecast to Surge to $450 and Gold to $12,000 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2011
Gold and silver are higher this morning with the dollar, the British pound and commodity currencies falling in value. It is too early to tell whether the recent margin-driven, paper sell off on the COMEX is over but physical supply remains limited while demand remains robust, particularly in China, India and wider Asia.
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