Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, May 17, 2013
Why the Stock Market Boom Will Continue Until 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: The stock market boom so far has been incredible... And it isn't ending anytime soon...
The Dow Jones stock index is up 22% since November. It's hitting new all-time highs. And most people are worried that a bust is just around the corner. But those people don't get why the market is going up...
Thursday, May 16, 2013
Why Knowing the Currency Risk Can Pay Off In Investing / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
Moe Zulfiqar writes: Portfolio management is the key to growing savings over time. The implication behind this is that if an investor manages their portfolio regularly, adjusting asset classes based on market and economic conditions, they can reduce their risk and earn a decent rate of return, as well as peace of mind.
That said, investors need to look out for many different types of risks. To name a few, investors need to protect their portfolio from market fluctuations, reduce industry-specific risks, and keep in mind the rate of inflation.
Thursday, May 16, 2013
Warning: Why My Flash Crash Alert Flag Is Flying High / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Whoa! Investors are acting as if it were 2007 all over again.
USA Today has the story: Emboldened by soaring stock prices and record-low borrowing costs, stock investors are taking out loans against their portfolios at the fastest pace since before the Great Recession hit.
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Thursday, May 16, 2013
Stock Market Stable..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Stable is the best word I can find to use for today's action. The bulls tried a few times to run away with things while the bears made a few attempts of their own. Back and forth they went. In the end, the bulls held their own when you consider how overbought we are. We seem to be staying overbought, and thus, the bears have yet to take advantage. You have to wonder when they will, but for now, they have been unable to get any sustainable down side action going. It seems almost as if they're fearful to even try, getting tired of shorting. It hasn't worked as shortly thereafter they're forced to cover. If you get pounded on your head over and over you would think you'd give it up after a while.
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Wednesday, May 15, 2013
Stocks Disconnect From Reality… and Every Other Asset Class / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The stock market is completely and totally out of control.
Eight of the last ten closes have been new record highs. It’s now been six months since we had a 5% correction. Traders got us to 1,650 on the S&P 500.
At this point, no long term investor in their right mind should be buying. This is especially true given that the S&P 500 is now not only totally disconnected from economic reality, but is disconnected from every other asset class.
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Tuesday, May 14, 2013
It’s Official the Stock Market is In a Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The markets are rallying because today is Tuesday. Stocks have rallied every Tuesday for the last 17 weeks and traders are now conditioned to play for this move. It’s also a POMO day (meaning the Fed is pumping the markets), which adds fuel to the fire for a stock rally.
The market is beyond overstretched. We have not had a 5% correction in six months. Stocks have gone almost straight up for 89 days (we haven’t had a 3+day correction in that long). This is an all time record. The last time stocks rallied without a 3+ day correction was in the buildup to the Crash of 1987.
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Tuesday, May 14, 2013
Stock Market Record Rally Leaving Half of Americans Behind / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
John Whitefoot writes: The stock market continues to chug along, hitting new highs virtually every day. Back in early March, the Dow Jones Industrial Average crossed 14,200 for the first time ever. It has continued to climb over the last two months and is currently sitting near 15,100. So far this year, the Dow Jones is up more than 15%. The S&P 500 is running in step and is up 14.5% in 2013.
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Tuesday, May 14, 2013
Stock Market Top Warning - Major Divergences Taking Place / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Since the middle of April everyone and including their grandmother seems to have been building a short position in the equities market and we know picking tops or bottoms fighting the major underlying trend is risky business but most individuals cannot resist.
The rush one gets trying to pick a major top or bottom is flat out exciting and that is what makes it so darn addicting and irresistible. If you have ever nailed a market top or bottom then you know just how much money can be made. That one big win naturally draws you back to keep doing it much like how a casino works. The chemicals released in the brain during these extremely exciting times are strong enough that even the most focused traders fall victim to breaking rules and trying these type of bets/trades.
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Tuesday, May 14, 2013
France's Youth Wants To Quit / Stock-Markets / France
MAY 1968 WAS 45 YEARS AGO
Widely published in the French press but barely reported on government-friendly audiovisual media, the "generation of '68" which includes President Francois Hollande and ex-president Sarkozy, and their policymakers and spin doctors, got a whiff of what the next generation thinks of the "libertarian and socialist society" that came out of the so-called revolution of 1968.
Monday, May 13, 2013
U.S. Fed Warns of New Financial Bubble Crisis About to Burst / Stock-Markets / US Debt
Ben Gersten writes: Before the housing market crash, economists warned that record low-interest and mortgage rates were fueling a housing bubble.
Unfortunately, those fears were both overlooked and underestimated.
Now, an advisory council to the U.S. Federal Reserve is warning the Fed that its record $85 billon-a-month stimulus and ultra-low interest rates are fueling new bubbles in student loans and farmland.
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Monday, May 13, 2013
Abenomics Proof Japanese Stock Market Investments / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: The Japanese Topix Index is up more than 40% this year (and nearly 71% since July 2012) thanks in large part to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's unlimited stimulus initiative known euphemistically as "Abenomics."
The argument behind this spending is a classic one, at least in economic terms: stimulate the economy to produce higher inflation, weaken the currency and aid the exporters.
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Monday, May 13, 2013
Expectations for Stock Market Decline Not Unreasonable and Even Prudent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX has again delayed is intermediate correction. A new potential target price provided by P&F chart analysis has been set for the top.
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Sunday, May 12, 2013
U.S. Economy Staring Into The Abyss! Only Gold is Worth Buying / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
"Behind every great fortune there is a crime." - Honore de Balzac (1799-1850)
A number of important figures are now talking about the possibility of increasing the US Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing given the “decline in inflation.” In March we heard comments from Fed Presidents Eric Rosengren and Narayana Kocherlakota calling for QE well into 2014 while Chicago Fed President Richard Evens thought the Fed needed to do more. Then in April the St. Louis Fed President James Bullard came out on a number of occasions saying inflationary pressures may be growing too weakly and if they soften further, the central bank may have to boost its asset buying to bring price pressures back up to more desirable levels. They all share one thing in common, they are worried about a decline in the rate of inflation as seen in this chart:
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Sunday, May 12, 2013
Stocks, Gold, Bonds, Markets Looking For a Top? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
This is a chart (courtesy stockcharts.com) that is looking for a top, but it still has some room to overshoot in the next couple of weeks
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Saturday, May 11, 2013
Stock Market Correction Near But Bull Market Has Further to Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The SP 500 has been on a tear as we all know especially since the SP 500 bottomed at 1343 several months ago. My work centers around forecasting using Elliott Wave Theory along with other technical indicators. This helps with projecting the short, intermediate, and longer term paths in the stock market and also precious metals. This larger picture Bull Cycle started in March of 2009 interestingly after an exact 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the entire move from 1974 to 2000 lows to highs. At 666, we had completed a major cycle bottom with about 9 years of movement to retrace 26 years of overall bull cycle. That was a major set of 3 waves (Corrective patterns in Elliott Wave Theory) from the 2000 highs to 2002-3 lows, then 2007 highs to 2009 lows. Once that completed its work, we were free to have a huge new bull market cycle off extreme sentiment and generational lows.
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Saturday, May 11, 2013
US Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
It was another week of all time record highs on Wall Street. The SPX hit 1635, nearly 1,000 points off the March 2009 low. And, the DOW closed over 15,000 for the first time in its 117 year history. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.10%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.45%, and the DJ World index was +1.0%. On the economic front it was a quiet week, but positive reports again outnumbered the negative one 5-1. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, the M1 multiplier, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the Treasury budget improved improved. On the downtick: consumer credit. Next week, options expiration week, the economic flood gates open again: highlighted by Industrial production, PPI/CPI, Retail sales and Housing. Best to your week.
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Saturday, May 11, 2013
If You're Not Buying Stocks Yet, You Need to See These Charts / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
Dr. David Eifrig writes: Last month, I ran through a set of figures that cover a huge concern for retirees.
It's vitally important information that affects nearly every dollar you have invested... yet most of what you hear about this idea is "bunk."
I'm talking about the concern that the U.S. economy is "running off the rails"... that we are in a recession... or worse, a depression.
Saturday, May 11, 2013
Stock Market Bull Hanging Tough / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
What's really left to say that I haven't said for quite some time now. Yes, the market has been ragged at times with many head fakes and whipsaw action, but the bulls have hung very tough, not allowing the bears to seize on things for very long. Every time it seems the bears have made some real progress, the bulls come in unexpectedly and turn things around in a hurry, not allowing the bears to feel they're gaining any confidence. The bulls have squashed all attempts and continue to do so. The bulls were able to recently take out key resistance at S&P 500 1597 and have now spent many days trading above this key resistance level now turned support. Today was another one of those bull-market days, even though the averages were mostly flat except for the Nasdaq.
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Saturday, May 11, 2013
Stock and Commodity Market Forecasts Nuggets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
“After watching the effects of the mediocre payrolls number yesterday (Friday, 5/3/13) which culminated in a push over 1600 in the S&P 500 and a print in the Dow over 15,000, I thought it might be useful to note a few things about this most recent example of a hysteria.
“I am on record here as stating that the entire stock market rally is nothing but a Federal Reserve induced bubble brought about by artificially low interest rates starving investors for yield elsewhere. The Fed, along with the Bank of Japan and the ECB I might add, are determined to corral investors and herd them, unthinking like cattle, into equities; the goal being to create an atmosphere of general euphoria towards the economy boosting consumer confidence in the hopes of inducing them to take on more debt and spend.
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Friday, May 10, 2013
Margin Debt and the Next Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
The latest fear on Wall Street is that record levels of margin debt may end up toppling the stock market rally.
NYSE margin debt recently reached its highest level since 2007 before the last major stock market peak and credit crash. Stephen Suttmeier, technical research analyst at Bank of America, noted that margin debt, rose 28% in March from a year ago to $380 billion. That figure is slightly below the July 2007 peak of $381 billion, although analysts speculate that April's margin debt totals (which haven't yet been released) have already surpassed this mark.
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