Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, December 06, 2015

More Wild Swings Ahead For Stock and Gold Markets? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Richard_Cox

Last week saw the SPX drop more than I thought it would (Dec 3 has been on my radar for a couple of weeks, the 7 week low) on the Drahgi speech that strengthened the Euro vs. the Dollar causing gold to spike. The short euro/$ pair was too heavily tilted in that direction causing a reverse of positions.

The stock market's "come back" on Friday did not surprise me, however, gold's strong spike caught me off guard. The recent action in GDX has been corrective, but in E-wave terms it is turning out to be a 'rare' running correction. I have been looking for a gold low on December 2nd, but this kind of move off a bottom is rare.

Saturday, December 05, 2015

Stock Market Primary V Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

A wild week! The market started off the week at SPX 2090. After a tick up to SPX 2094 Monday morning the market pulled back to 2080 by the close. Tuesday we had a gap up to SPX 2099, a drop to 2087, then a rally to end the day at 2103. Wednesday the market ticked up to SPX 2104, then started to sell off. On Thursday the selloff hit a low of SPX 2042, and then the market rallied into a Friday high of 2094 before ending the week at 2092. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.20%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.55%, and the DJ World index was down 0.40%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the uptick: construction spending, factory orders, the WLEI and the ADP. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing/services, monthly payrolls, the GNP, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by Retail sales, Export/Import prices and the PPI.

Saturday, December 05, 2015

Stock Market Bouncing Right Back.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steinman

And why not. Just when it looked really bad, with another test of 2020 on the S&P 500 looming, the bulls took an oversold, sixty-minute, index-charts scenario and turned it into their own little rally party. It was quite a good rally as well. Much stronger than anyone should have expected, considering the nature of the selling the past couple of days. The oscillators looked bad, along with price losing major exponential moving averages. The market was set up for further losses. Not to be whatsoever. The bulls had a decent Jobs Report, which allowed the futures to move way up. However, just before the market opened most of those gains were wiped out. Now, with the sixty-minute charts in the low 20's on RSI, it was clear we'd rally some to unwind, even though all the pre-market gains were gone for the most part.

Saturday, December 05, 2015

Financial Markets and the Cycle of Debt Release / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Clif_Droke

To many investors cycles are the holy grail of the financial market.  Many investors have devoted years to the study of them.  Some have even claimed to have found the ideal cycles for consistently predicting price movements.  What no one can seem to agree upon is exactly which cycles are most accurate for anticipating market moves.  But what all studies of the cycles share in common is an unshakable conviction that cycles hold the answers for what is coming in the future.

Friday, December 04, 2015

SPX An Expanded Flat Correction at 61.8% / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Unless I am mistaken, we have just witnessed an Expanded Flat Wave [ii] just a point shy of a 61.8% retracement. The labeling would be too fine for the hourly chart, so I am simplifying it to a [i] – [ii] count. The reversal may take hold after the European close at 11:30 am.

Friday, December 04, 2015

How to Profit from the End of the Longest Running War in the Americas / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

Drug cartels. Kidnappings. Assassinations. A war for billions in cocaine profits. Leftist guerrillas looking for a piece of the action.

If you’ve seen a movie with this stuff in it, there’s a good chance it was set in Colombia.

Popular culture has depicted Colombia this way for decades. The media has pounded this image into the public’s consciousness. So it’s no surprise most people think of the country as a scary, dangerous place.

Friday, December 04, 2015

Stock Market and the FOMC Meeting / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Gary_Savage

I expect the Fed is going to make a big effort to push the market back up in time for the FOMC meeting on the 16th, but the forces trying to pull stocks down right now are massive. There are times when its just best to sit on the sidelines.

Friday, December 04, 2015

Financial Markets Had Been Obedient, Until Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

Euro 50 Flips Draghi the Bird, S&P 500 Fails at a Key Parameter, Semi’s are Fundamentally Bearish and Gold Has a Sentiment Washout Within its Bear Market

Markets Had Been Obedient, Until Today

Despite Janet Yellen’s protests to the contrary, the 7 year long asset market bailout (ZIRP + QE’s 1, 2 & 3 with a side of Operation Twist) has served to further enrich formerly troubled asset holders and provide a handy wealth effect for regular 401k holders to boot.

Friday, December 04, 2015

How Stocks Bull Markets End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

By Jared Dillian

Many people think that they ring a bell at the top of a bull market. Ding-a-ling-a-ling.

That is indeed often the case. The bell was rung in 2000 at the top of the dot-com bubble—I like to think it was 3Com spinning off Palm that broke its back.

But sometimes there is no bell, no catalyst, no story to tell. A bull market becomes a bear market, and it happens just like that.

Thursday, December 03, 2015

Stock Market Trifecta of Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has bounced from its 200-day Moving Average at 2064.97 in an impulsive decline. It made a low of 2067.49. It has retested Intermediate-term resistance at 2073.77, but may go higher.

Despite the probability of a stronger retracement, it is now on an aggressive sell signal with final confirmation of that signal beneath the 200-day Moving Average at 2065.00.

Thursday, December 03, 2015

Stock Market Positive Expectations Following Yesterday's Move Down, Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, December 03, 2015

Stock Market SPX Approaching its Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX bounced from its Short-term support at 2076.36, making a low of 2077.51. Chances are good that it may slip through Short-term support and the 2-hour mid-Cycle support at 2073.90. However, there is a likely bounce due at the 200-day Moving Average at 2065.10, where it appears to complete Minute Wave [i]. This decline has a long way to go in only a week’s time or so.

Wednesday, December 02, 2015

Merk Markets, US Dollar and Gold Outlook 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Axel_Merk

Up! Buy the dips! What could possibly go wrong? A hell of a lot, actually, so investors might want to take precautions before, rather after, bad things happen to one's portfolio. We take a stab at where one may find opportunities in 2016.

Wednesday, December 02, 2015

Stock Market Blue Skies, Unicorns, and Santa Claus Rallies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jesse

"Unhappy events abroad have retaught us two simple truths about the liberty of a democratic people.

The first truth is that the liberty of a democracy is not safe if the people tolerate the growth of private power to a point where it becomes stronger than their democratic state itself. That, in its essence, is Fascism—ownership of Government by an individual, by a group, or by any other controlling private power.

Wednesday, December 02, 2015

Stock Market Correction Nearing Its End... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

What appears to be a final fifth wave has appeared, morphing the former double zigzag into an a-b-c Wave 2…

…that is, if it reverses very soon. You see, Wave (iii), which is 18.39 points long, cannot be the smallest wave in the series. That may happen if the SPX peaks above 2105.16. So the issue remains unresolved until morning.

Tuesday, December 01, 2015

SPX Does a Double Zigzag Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have formed a double zigzag correction, usually rare for a Wave 2. Crossing the hourly mid-Cycle support at 2078.65 may confirm that observation.

This may be an ideal aggressive short entry if you have any dry powder or if you have been stopped out. Otherwise we wait for the confirmations at lower levels.

Tuesday, December 01, 2015

Stock Market January Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

In last week’s Hybrid Lindsay forecast, Middle Section forecasts from both the Basic and Multiple cycles pointed to a high for the November run-up in the Dow on Monday, November 23. As of last Friday, both the closing and intra-day highs occurred one trading day early, the previous Friday, November 20.

Moving from the Dow Industrials to small caps… according to Stock Traders’ Almanac, the January Effect (the tendency for small caps to outperform large caps in January) now begins in mid-December.  The chart below shows the relative performance of small caps (RUT) versus the broader market (SPX).  In October, the ratio tested the low of the last four years set during the previous October.

Tuesday, December 01, 2015

Stock Market Unwinding... ISM Manufacturing On Deck.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

It's never a bad thing to see a market unwind from overbought conditions, especially in this particular environment, because the market is tougher and tougher these days, thus, the concept of buying at overbought is very tough indeed. Removing some of the risk to our souls is not a bad thing which equates to buying closer to, or at, oversold on those short-term, sixty-minute charts. While there's no guarantee we will ever get to the old highs at S&P 500 2134, but we still have a decent shot, since there's still no evidence of a topping pattern long-term. Understand that there's no particular requirement for that to take place, but it usually does. There is usually some type of hints being thrown our way, such as overbought with negative divergences on multiple time frames, or a massive gap down on higher volume.

Monday, November 30, 2015

Elliott Wave Analysis of SPX Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: WavePatternTraders

I decided to switch ideas, although I am happy to switch back should we see a solid break under 2019SPX, the lack of downside is supporting the market is most likely in wave 5 and not still in wave 4, initially I was looking for a decline to either 1900SPX for wave [C] of a triangle or even 1850SPX for wave [C] of a flat pattern to end wave 4 on the weekly charts. But the reluctance to break down a few weeks back is strongly suggesting it's most likely in wave 5 and further more it could well be inside in wave [5] of 5 as shown.

Monday, November 30, 2015

Stock Market Mixed Expectations Ahead Of December, New Economic Data Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish