Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, December 08, 2015

SPX challenging the 200-day Moving Average / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is down approximately 1% and appears to be resting just above the 200-day Moving Average at 2064.60.

The catalyst may be China. ZeroHedge reports, “Over the weekend, in its latest quarterly presentation, the Bank of International Settlements made what may have been a very premature assessment that China is now contained. To wit:

In October, equity markets staged a remarkable recovery, recording their strongest one-month gain in recent years. Market nerves were partly calmed by receding fears over tail risk in China. The improvement was broad-based. European and American stocks recouped nearly all losses experienced in the third quarter, while China’s stocks also made up some lost ground

Tuesday, December 08, 2015

Draghi Leaves Financial Markets Hungry For More QE / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Sam_Kirtley

The most significant event for the markets last week was Draghi disappointing markets that were eager for an increase in ECB QE. Instead, the ECB President cut the deposit rate by 10 basis points to -0.30% and extended the current easing measures to March 2017, and beyond if necessary. Markets saw this action as insufficient with expectations across the board being that the ECB would sizeably increase their current easing measures, rather than just extend them. This was shown be clear declines in both stocks and bond prices, as well as a significant rally in the Euro.

Tuesday, December 08, 2015

Stock Market Reversing Lower....Range Bound....2020 and 2116 Is The Game / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Just when it felt as if all was good with Friday's big upside stick things turned right around today and headed lower with force. Not as bad as Friday was good, but a nasty reversal. More importantly, it stopped the big move up dead in its tracks. No follow-through, which is what you get in an ending bull market. But again, that still doesn't mean we won't try higher again and again for weeks or months to come. It's just that this is the type of action you see near long-term tops. Lots of head fakes both ways. No one thought we wouldn't follow through today, or at worst, pull back gently to work off some overbought, sixty-minute, index-stochastic readings. The mood wasn't one that was about getting smoked after such perfect candle sticks on Friday, but the bulls were dealt a technical blow today with the gap down and run.

Monday, December 07, 2015

Stock Market Santa Rally 2015 to New All Time Highs - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's Déjà Vu for the stock market following another bumper US Jobs report of +211k that beat the academic economist average expectations of 180k that follows hot on the heels of the November US Jobs positive surprise that once more prompted the consensus to quickly conclude that a Fed December US interest rate hike was a near certainty and likely to result in strongly negative consequences for stocks.

Monday, December 07, 2015

The Fed is About to Trigger a $9 Trillion Debt Implosion / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Graham_Summers

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) and European Central Bank (ECB) have created a very dangerous situation.

Throughout the last six years, there has been a sense of coordination between the Fed and ECB. This was evident both in terms of where capital went as well as how it was delivered via monetary policy.

Monday, December 07, 2015

Stock Market Sell Signals Developing... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has declined through Short-term support, 2-hour mid-Cycle support and hourly mid-Cycle support to give it a sell signal again. Further confirmation may come beneath the 200-day Moving Average at 2064.56.

My new Wave count appears not to be valid. This market has whip-sawed the best and I am not exempt. However, the support/resistance levels still play an important role in determining the market direction.

Monday, December 07, 2015

Nasdaq and NYSE Index Pointing to Higher Market Prices for 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sol_Palha

"Don't ever take a fence down until you know why it was put up." ~ Robert Frost

We have seen the same song sung over and over again by the Doctors of Doom; the markets are going to crash, the world is going to come to an end, or some other pretentious title. Let's cut to the chase, the markets are not going to crash; they could experience a strong correction at some future date but that would just present you with another opportunity to buy quality stocks. Could the markets crash? That is a possibility, but you could kick the bucket before the event plays out the way the naysayers have envisioned. In fact, one could go as far as to state that there has never been a real market crash in the true sense of the word and that every so-called crash event was nothing but a buying opportunity in disguise. Crash or correction is a matter of perspective and that perspective depends on where you boarded the train; if you got in towards the end of the ride, then it will certainly feel like a crash. We will examine this concept in more detail in a follow-up article.

Monday, December 07, 2015

The NYA Index is in a Triangular Pattern ... Very Close to a Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

A money battle is going on as Inflowing Liquidity levels are trying to keep the market up and Institutional Investors are resisting by staying in low Distribution and not taking Inflowing Liquidity's direction yet.

This should be a volatile week with higher than normal risk levels.

Monday, December 07, 2015

Soros' Financial Markets Reflexivity Gone Too Far / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Evidence of Soros' Theory of Reflexivity remaining prevalent in financial markets re-emerged this week as the euro made its biggest single day advance since the Fed's announcement of QE in 2009. Simply put, the euro soared 4% due to misplaced and unfulfilled market expectations that the ECB would increase the size of its monthly asset purchases. The crowding out of euro-short algos was pivotal in the magnitude of the resulting short squeeze. But questioning the intensity of euro shorts deserves more time and attention than criticizing or doubting a central banker's decision.

Monday, December 07, 2015

Stocks Retraced Thursday's Decline - New Rally or More Sideways Action? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Monday, December 07, 2015

Will The Fed Hurt The S&P 500? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Stock markets have had a very interesting year in 2015, and many investors have viewed some of the activity with a high degree of skepticism and uncertainty.  There are good reasons for this, as it has been very difficult to assess whether or not the US Federal Reserve is actually prepared to start raising interest rates.  Without solid information in this area, it can be difficult to start identify the true directional trend that is present in the market.  Luckily for investors, these scenarios have started to change. 

Monday, December 07, 2015

Shaking the Stock Market Bush / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

First I would like to apologize for not having any posts on Friday as I had a previous commitment made several weeks ago. I told Fullgoldcrown Thursday night, of all the days to miss work it would have to be Friday. That’s one of the reasons I exited the stock market trades as I know how volatile these 3 X etf’s can be and with the numbers coming out Friday morning I wanted to play it safe right or wrong.

All in all we had some pretty interesting price action in the stock markets on Friday that was very positive. Lets start by looking at the INDU which I’ve been showing a H&S consolidation pattern forming. Thursday’s the price action closed below the 200 dma which is another reason I exited the stock market trades but Friday’s rally closed the day just below of the neckline and back above the 200 dma. What I find interesting is Thursday’s low was a reverse symmetry low taken from the left shoulder’s higher low on the far left hand side of the chart that matches the higher right shoulder low on the right side of the chart, Friday’s price action. We now have two neckline symmetry lines. The neckline symmetry lines are just parallel lines taken from the big neckline that sometimes shows us where to look for the lows for the right shoulders. So at this point the reverse symmetry is as pretty as it gets as shown by the S’s.

Monday, December 07, 2015

Wild Week for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - SPX has resumed its uptrend in order to complete the last phase of the bull market.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, December 06, 2015

Stock Market Déjà Vu, Santa Rally New All Time High Forecast After FOMC Meeting / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's Déjà Vu for the stock market following another bumper US Jobs report of +211k that beat the academic economist average expectations of 180k that follows hot on the heels of the November US Jobs positive surprise that once more prompted the consensus to quickly conclude that a Fed December US interest rate hike was a near certainty and likely to result in strongly negative consequences for stocks. However, this is the same consensus that has been blindly betting against the stock market rally for at least the past 3 months.

Sunday, December 06, 2015

Is the Stocks Bull Market Over? These Charts Say So / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Graham_Summers

For weeks we have been warning not to trust the bounce in stocks. We were worried that a Bear Market had begun.

The most critical item we were concerned with was the fact that the S&P 500, despite its massive bounce, had failed to regain its former trendline. This would suggest a Bear Market was possibly about to begin

Sunday, December 06, 2015

Erdogan Blackmails NATO Allies / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Mike_Whitney

You know the country has really gone to the dogs when Washington’s main allies in its war on Syria are the two biggest terrorist incubators on the planet. I’m talking about Saudi Arabia and Turkey, both of which are run by fanatical Islamic zealots devoted to spreading violent jihad to the four corners of the earth. Not that the US doesn’t have blood on its hands too. It does, but that’s beside the point.

The point is that if you’re trying to sell your fake war on terror to the public, then you might want to think twice about lining up with Grand Sultan Erdogan and King Chop-Chop of Riyadh. The optics alone should have sent the White House PR team running for cover. I mean, couldn’t they have hired squeaky-clean Iceland to join the fray just to persuade the public that the ongoing proxy war wasn’t a complete sham. Which it is.

Sunday, December 06, 2015

More Wild Swings Ahead For Stock and Gold Markets? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Richard_Cox

Last week saw the SPX drop more than I thought it would (Dec 3 has been on my radar for a couple of weeks, the 7 week low) on the Drahgi speech that strengthened the Euro vs. the Dollar causing gold to spike. The short euro/$ pair was too heavily tilted in that direction causing a reverse of positions.

The stock market's "come back" on Friday did not surprise me, however, gold's strong spike caught me off guard. The recent action in GDX has been corrective, but in E-wave terms it is turning out to be a 'rare' running correction. I have been looking for a gold low on December 2nd, but this kind of move off a bottom is rare.

Saturday, December 05, 2015

Stock Market Primary V Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

A wild week! The market started off the week at SPX 2090. After a tick up to SPX 2094 Monday morning the market pulled back to 2080 by the close. Tuesday we had a gap up to SPX 2099, a drop to 2087, then a rally to end the day at 2103. Wednesday the market ticked up to SPX 2104, then started to sell off. On Thursday the selloff hit a low of SPX 2042, and then the market rallied into a Friday high of 2094 before ending the week at 2092. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.20%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.55%, and the DJ World index was down 0.40%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the uptick: construction spending, factory orders, the WLEI and the ADP. On the downtick: the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing/services, monthly payrolls, the GNP, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week will be highlighted by Retail sales, Export/Import prices and the PPI.

Saturday, December 05, 2015

Stock Market Bouncing Right Back.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steinman

And why not. Just when it looked really bad, with another test of 2020 on the S&P 500 looming, the bulls took an oversold, sixty-minute, index-charts scenario and turned it into their own little rally party. It was quite a good rally as well. Much stronger than anyone should have expected, considering the nature of the selling the past couple of days. The oscillators looked bad, along with price losing major exponential moving averages. The market was set up for further losses. Not to be whatsoever. The bulls had a decent Jobs Report, which allowed the futures to move way up. However, just before the market opened most of those gains were wiped out. Now, with the sixty-minute charts in the low 20's on RSI, it was clear we'd rally some to unwind, even though all the pre-market gains were gone for the most part.

Saturday, December 05, 2015

Financial Markets and the Cycle of Debt Release / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Clif_Droke

To many investors cycles are the holy grail of the financial market.  Many investors have devoted years to the study of them.  Some have even claimed to have found the ideal cycles for consistently predicting price movements.  What no one can seem to agree upon is exactly which cycles are most accurate for anticipating market moves.  But what all studies of the cycles share in common is an unshakable conviction that cycles hold the answers for what is coming in the future.