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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 01, 2015

Stock Market January Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

In last week’s Hybrid Lindsay forecast, Middle Section forecasts from both the Basic and Multiple cycles pointed to a high for the November run-up in the Dow on Monday, November 23. As of last Friday, both the closing and intra-day highs occurred one trading day early, the previous Friday, November 20.

Moving from the Dow Industrials to small caps… according to Stock Traders’ Almanac, the January Effect (the tendency for small caps to outperform large caps in January) now begins in mid-December.  The chart below shows the relative performance of small caps (RUT) versus the broader market (SPX).  In October, the ratio tested the low of the last four years set during the previous October.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 01, 2015

Stock Market Unwinding... ISM Manufacturing On Deck.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

It's never a bad thing to see a market unwind from overbought conditions, especially in this particular environment, because the market is tougher and tougher these days, thus, the concept of buying at overbought is very tough indeed. Removing some of the risk to our souls is not a bad thing which equates to buying closer to, or at, oversold on those short-term, sixty-minute charts. While there's no guarantee we will ever get to the old highs at S&P 500 2134, but we still have a decent shot, since there's still no evidence of a topping pattern long-term. Understand that there's no particular requirement for that to take place, but it usually does. There is usually some type of hints being thrown our way, such as overbought with negative divergences on multiple time frames, or a massive gap down on higher volume.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 30, 2015

Elliott Wave Analysis of SPX Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: WavePatternTraders

I decided to switch ideas, although I am happy to switch back should we see a solid break under 2019SPX, the lack of downside is supporting the market is most likely in wave 5 and not still in wave 4, initially I was looking for a decline to either 1900SPX for wave [C] of a triangle or even 1850SPX for wave [C] of a flat pattern to end wave 4 on the weekly charts. But the reluctance to break down a few weeks back is strongly suggesting it's most likely in wave 5 and further more it could well be inside in wave [5] of 5 as shown.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 30, 2015

Stock Market Mixed Expectations Ahead Of December, New Economic Data Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 30, 2015

Stock Market Internal Bleeding, Cheap Tech, And Falling Angels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Rubino

Think of "market internals" as the blood pressure and insulin levels of the financial world. They operate below the surface, frequently unnoticed, but over time they have a big say in the health of the patient.

And right now they're pointing to a heart attack.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 29, 2015

Stock Market Consolidation Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - SPX has resumed its uptrend in order to complete the last phase of the bull market.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 28, 2015

Stock Market Quiet Week as Primary 5 Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the holiday shortened week at SPX 2089. The market rallied to one point below the recent rally high at SPX 2097 on Monday. Then declined, helped by a gap down opening, to SPX 2070 on Tuesday. After hitting that low in the morning the market rallied to SPX 2094 late Tuesday, and then traded in a narrow range to end the week at SPX 2090. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, the NDX/NAZ were mixed, and the DJ World lost 0.2%. Economic reports for the week were solidly positive. On the uptick: Q3 GDP, Case-Shiller, personal income/spending, durable goods, the FHFA, new home sales, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: existing home sales, GDPN, and consumer confidence/sentiment. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by monthly Payrolls, the FED’s Beige book, and the ISMs.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 27, 2015

Stock Market Top Valuations, at a Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The prevailing valuations in the lofty US stock markets are increasingly becoming a bone of contention.  Wall Street calmly asserts stocks are reasonably valued, since it has a huge vested interest in keeping people fully-invested.  But with valuations soaring following a massive rally and weak third-quarter earnings season, they are dangerously high and portend great downside risk.  Stock topping valuations abound.

Since investing is all about buying low then selling high, the price paid for any investment is everything.  Buy good companies at cheap prices, and you’ll multiply your wealth over time.  But buying those very same good companies at expensive prices radically stunts future gains.  While cheap investments have great potential to soar as traders recognize their inherent value, expensive ones have already exhausted their upside.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 24, 2015

Stock Market Supports Are Being Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has clearly broken through its Short-term support at 2078.86 and is headed for the 200-day Moving Average at 2065.06.

ZeroHedge reports that the the third monthly decline as wages crash the most in 4 years. Consumer Confidence is now at 14-month lows, as well. In the meantime, the Pentagon shrugs over the Russian warplane shoot-down.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 24, 2015

Stock Market Fireworks at the Open / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

Stocks are down after a Turkish F-16 downed a Russian warplane. ZeroHedge reports further, “Moments ago a big black geopolitical swan landed when newswires lit up with headlines that a Turkish F-16 shot down what was initially said to be an unidentified warplane near the Syrian border after it violated Turkey's airspace on Tuesday, a Turkish military official said, but the nationality of the downed aircraft was not immediately clear.”

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 24, 2015

Hybrid Lindsay Forecast for a Stock Market High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

The Hybrid Lindsay forecasts occasionally shared with readers in this space are a combination of the work done by the great twentieth-century technician, George Lindsay, and my own, more traditional, cycle work. In last week's commentary I questioned whether the previous Friday's low fulfilled the Hybrid forecast for a low or if it would wait until that day (Monday). We know now that it was the previous Friday. Even without the benefit of the Lindsay work we knew from other metrics that the market was oversold and primed to bounce. Now we use the Hybrid Lindsay model to forecast the next high in the Dow Jones Industrials index. It begins with Lindsay's Middle Section approach.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 23, 2015

Dr Copper, The Economy and The Stock Market No Longer in Sync / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sol_Palha

Doctor copper, can no longer be viewed as a leading indicator, in fact, a name change might be in order. A change of name from Dr Copper to deadbeat copper might in order, given its dismal record over the years. After the financial crisis of 2008-2009, the economy, the stock markets and copper parted ways; while the markets and the economy trended higher, copper plunged into an abyss, and it is still trying to find its footing.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 23, 2015

Stock Market Negative Expectations Following Last Week's Rally - Correction or Reversal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, November 23, 2015

Stock Market Rally Losing Momentum? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - SPX has resumed its uptrend in order to complete the last phase of the bull market.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 21, 2015

The Fed Has Set the Stage for a Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed has set the stage for a stock market crash.

Ever since 2009, anytime the markets came close to a stock market crash, “someone” (read: the FED) has stepped in a propped the markets up.

In 2010, the S&P 500 staged a death cross, where its 50-DMA broke below its 126-DMA (the half year moving average). Stocks were in a perilous state with the 2008 Crash still in everyone’s short-term memory.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 21, 2015

Stock Market Primary V Wave Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2023. After a big gap down Sunday night in index futures trading the market worked its way back up to open at SPX 2019 – the low for the week. After that the market rallied to SPX 2067 by Tuesday, then dipped to SPX 2046 also on Tuesday. Then after a gap up opening on Wednesday and Friday the market hit SPX 2097. Then dipped to end the week at SPX 2089. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.35%, the NDX/NAZ gained 3.85%, and the DJ World index gained 2.70%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the uptick: the CPI, building permits, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims declined. On the downtick: industrial production, the NY FED, the NAHB, and housing starts. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by a FED governors meeting, Q3 GDP, the PCE and more Housing.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 21, 2015

UK Footsie Bulls Set To Foot The Bill / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Austin_Galt

The UK stock index, the Footsie, has been trending down textbook style ever since the all time high set at 7122 in April 2015. This current rally has all the hallmarks of yet another bear market rally with many starting to become bullish.

Let's see what is in store for these bulls if my analysis of the daily and monthly charts is correct.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 20, 2015

End of Schengen, Stock Market’s Technical Strength Grows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Christopher_Quigley

EU Seeking End to Passport-Free Travel.
In an unprecedented move following the horrific attacks in Paris last Friday the 13th the European commission is reviewing its founding treaty with a view to strengthening border controls. This development goes to show the change in European conscious brought about by the sheer scale of the Parisian death and injury. The vision of the founding fathers of the EU saw the end-game being a Federal “one nation” Europe and progressive treaties over the last 70 years or so sought to bring this “binding” about. I believe that recent events have put a stop to this goal once and for all. If the European Union cannot protect its citizens (and it is obvious it cannot) then the only fallback is the individual state, ergo this state cannot be abolished in this new world of hyper-terror. It would thus now appear that David Cameron’s desire to see the EU revert back to being a common market of independent Nation States is going to come about after all. What negotiation was not achieving it would appear radical terrorism has. Who would have thought?  Here is how the Associated Press reported this story:

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 20, 2015

Justice for All and The Curious Case of Zambia / Stock-Markets / Africa

By: John_Mauldin

By Jared Dillian

This chart is driving everything in the financial markets right now.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 20, 2015

Stock Market Nifty-Fifty Becomes Fab-Five; Return of the 'Four Horseman' / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Mike_Shedlock

Anyone recall the logic in the 1960s and 1970s that suggested there were only 50 stocks one needed to look at, and those 50 stocks could never go wrong?

That theory was labeled the "Nifty-Fifty ".

Nonetheless, the long bear market of the 1970s that lasted until 1982 caused valuations of the nifty fifty to fall to low levels along with the rest of the market, with most of the Nifty-Fifty under-performing the broader market averages.

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