Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, December 14, 2015

Stock Market Forecast: What Next for the S&P 500? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Submissions

Ken Ticehurst writes: The S&P 500 fell last week towards what we think is more than likely support. As we close in on the end of the year it finds itself struggling to print a positive yearly close. We remain bullish the S&P 500 as our forecast shows, however we are cautious as we watch to see how this bull consolidation forms over the next few months.

Monday, December 14, 2015

Stock Market New Downtrend or Just Another Pullback Within Two-Month Long Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,060 and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Monday, December 14, 2015

The Coming Economic Collapse Will Crash Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

In 2008, the world experienced the worst economic collapse in 80+ years. This collapse triggered a stock market crash that erased $30 trillion in wealth.

Since that time, collectively Central Banks have cut interest rates over 600 times and have printed over $15 trillion in new money… money that has failed to generate sustained economic growth… money that has set the stage for another stock market crash.

Monday, December 14, 2015

Stock Market Low Near, Santa Rally on the Way? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The S&P 500 is doing almost identically what it did last year: an important top the Friday after Thanksgiving (Dec 4), a rejection of the 20 day moving average the Thursday after that (Dec 10) and a large down day on the following Friday (Dec 11). We had the negative Mars square Pluto Dec 6 translating the really negative Mars opposite Uranus Dec 10 last week. The culmination of the low should occur late Tuesday Dec 15 when Uranus/square Pluto loses its hard aspect on the markets and tax selling is complete.

Sunday, December 13, 2015

Are We In a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

SPX: Intermediate trend - has retraced 50% of its uptrend from 1872.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, December 13, 2015

The Great Stock Market and Economic Train Wreck of 2016... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Clive_Maund

Today we are going to review irrefutable evidence that a slow motion train wreck is already well underway across global markets, that will end with the last wagons on the train, the S&P500 index and the Dow Jones Industrials, disappearing into the abyss right after their immediate predecessors.

There are still a remarkable number of investors out there, and an even more remarkable percentage of mainstream financial journalists, who seem to think that everything is alright just because the flagship indices like the Dow Jones Industrials and the S&P500 haven't caved in yet, but as we will now see they are probably just about to.

Sunday, December 13, 2015

US Bull Market to Extend Well into 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2092. Monday started the week with a gap down opening. The market gapped down again on Tuesday and Wednesday before hitting a low at SPX 2037. Then after a quiet Thursday opening the market rallied to SPX 2068, before resuming its decline with another gap down opening on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 3.55%, the NDX/NAZ lost 3.95%, and the DJ World lost 3.5%. Economic reports for the week started off negative, but ended mixed. On the downtick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, export/import prices, plus the budget deficit and weekly jobless claims increased. On the uptick: the PPI, MMIS, GNP, WLEI, retail sales and consumer sentiment. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, Industrial production, Housing and Options expiration.

Saturday, December 12, 2015

Stock Market Turning More Bearish.....VIX Explodes... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Last night we saw the futures slowly start to erode. Nothing terrible at first, and even this morning they were down some but nothing to lose sleep over. The S&P 500 trading around 2035/2040. Suddenly, and without warning, the futures began to fall. By the time the market opened it was pure nastiness. The market gapped down and headed right for 2020 bottoming out at 2021. From there it rocked up ten points. As the day wore on it did a double test at 2021 before trying higher again, but this move back up was far weaker.

Saturday, December 12, 2015

Market Investor’s Great Divide; Stocks Crossing the 200 Day Moving Average / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Doug_Wakefield

“Reuters, the British news agency, moved a story on its wire at 11:39 A.M. Tuesday, May 8, saying that Continental had denied as “totally preposterous” rumors that the bank was considering bankruptcy….

Ordinarily, Continental would have refused to comment on the rumor by Reuters. Instead, it reacted with a quick denial, perhaps in the hope of placating the foreign depositors….

Thursday, December 10, 2015

Do You Have to Settle for Mediocre Returns in The Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sol_Palha

"In the republic of mediocrity, genius is dangerous." ~ Robert Green Ingersoll

Morgan Stanley surprised everyone or, at least, tried to by stating that it was no longer going to be easy to make money in the equity markets. Let's stop, right there; was it ever really easy. If it were everyone that jumped into the markets would be wealthy, instead the opposite is true. Right of the bat, we can state that the best place for such advice is the dustbin.

Thursday, December 10, 2015

Stock Market Investors' Sentiment Worsens, New Downtrend or More Fluctuations? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Thursday, December 10, 2015

Global Market Instability - Reversing the Damage of Economic Austerity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Clif_Droke

A significant undercurrent of internal weakness is plaguing the NYSE broad market. This weakness is primarily visible in the dangerously high numbers of stocks making new 52-week lows. Lately that number has exceeded 300 on a daily basis, though it has been above 40 for the last few months in a sign that the market's health is less than optimal. The best way of showing this internal weakness is in the following exhibit which graphs the cumulative new 52-week highs and lows on the NYSE.

Thursday, December 10, 2015

Will the Fed Rescue the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Gary_Savage

If the Fed is going to rescue the market ahead of the FOMC meeting (they won't be able to raise interest rates unless they do) then they have two days left to repair the weekly charts. The intervention should start in earnest today. Personally I wouldn't advise trying to play the bounce as the forces trying to pull the market down are huge. This may be the first time the Fed fails to keep the market propped up.

Thursday, December 10, 2015

Stock Market 20-Day Back-Test Failure.....2020 Getting Closer.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The market is slowly, but surely, turning. We haven't taken out 2020 on the S&P 500, yet, so there's nothing to get bearish about. But you can see the subtle changes. The market head faked the masses today as these markets tend to do by blasting, and I mean blasting, up and through the 20-day exponential moving average. The bulls are in full control, or so it seemed. That's when a tiring market, such as we have kicked in, and left the buying bulls feeling bad about those purchases. About chasing the rally. The market fell, and fell hard, initially letting the bulls know they had made an error in their constant bullish behavior. A swift move below the 20's, and the selling was on. It's always about knowing where you are in the market in terms of bull, bear, or agnostic. Then you have to determine if the agnostic market is really a market sending a new message.

Wednesday, December 09, 2015

Stock Market Panic Decline May Have Begun / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

We didn’t have long to wait for the sell signal. At 2058.00. The interesting part is that the 50-day Moving Average is now at 2051.80.

The Orthodox Broadening Top trendline is at 2045.00 and the 2-hour Cycle Bottom is at 2042.45, which have also been violated. Beneath that is a lot of air, which strongly suggests a panic decline.

Wednesday, December 09, 2015

Buckle Up, It’s Very Likely the Bull Market in Stocks is Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Graham_Summers

As I warned last week… it’s very likely that the Bull Market in stocks is over.

Stocks have broken their bull market trendline. Not only that, but they’ve been rejected by this line TWICE, indicating that the momentum is GONE.

The next move will be SHARPLY DOWN.

Wednesday, December 09, 2015

Stock Market Testing the Limits of the Diamond Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX bounced from the lower trendline of its Diamond formation at 2056.00 this morning and is probing the 2-hour mid-Cycle resistance and the upper trendline at 2080.00. So far, the peak appears to be 2080.33, but it doesn’t appear to have broken the trendline. The top view is that the probe may be over and we may see a break at the bottom trendline soon. The trendline is now at 2058.00. While the Diamond formation has its own sell signal at 2058.00, the “official” sell signal is still at the 200day Moving Average at 2065.00.

Wednesday, December 09, 2015

SPX May Have a Diamond Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that SPX is forming a Diamond formation that implies at least a 205 decline from the lower trendline. The Diamond trendline may be broken at 2056.00. Tomorrow is the next Pivot day, so I would anticipate the formation to be triggered then.

Tuesday, December 08, 2015

Unwinding Carry Trades and Unintended Consequences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Michael_Pento

The European Central Bank under the auspices of Mario Draghi has created a market destabilizing condition known as the euro carry trade. Mr. Draghi recently telegraphed to the markets a more aggressive attack on the value of the currency heading into the ECB meeting held on December 3rd. In fact, he went on record saying the ECB’s imperative is to, “Do what we must to create inflation as quickly as possible.” Because Draghi promised to destroy the euro at an even quicker pace than it was already falling, financial institutions front ran the ECB’s increased bid for bonds and equities, sending these prices soaring in the weeks prior to the meeting.

Tuesday, December 08, 2015

Stock Market Investor Sentiment / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Ed_Carlson

Technicians typically look for signs of excess bullishness or bearishness in sentiment polls to conclude markets have swung too far in one direction or the other. An extreme in bullishness is often followed by a decline in equities and an extreme in bearishness is often followed by a rally.