Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, October 03, 2007
US Investment Outlook - 4th Quarter 2007 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: David_Urban
So long as the dollar continues its freefall stock prices will rise. This will be more due to the collapse of the dollar than anything else. If you are in the US it will be a very good time to invest in large cap stocks but the best investments will be in gold and oil alternatives.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 03, 2007
Lower Interest Rates = Lower Stock Market - The Double Failure of the So-Called Fed Model / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Bob_Bronson
Lower interest rates will lower, not raise, the stock market's P/E the stock market decline will accelerate as the fed lowers interest rates : Despite the popularity of the so-called two-factor Fed Model among institutional investors, we've explained why and how it is a faulty way to value the stock market. For example, Treasury-based interest rates (“interest rates”) lower than the earnings yield (inverse of the stock market's P/E ratio, or E/P) does not mean the stock market is undervalued, as is hyped by TV talking heads and reported by most all of the financial media. A third factor, risk aversion (investor mood), must be considered. (Past article)
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Tuesday, October 02, 2007
Hong Kong Stock Market Moon Shots! / Stock-Markets / Hong Kong
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami Writes: Every year when the moon reaches its brightest stage, the Chinese celebrate the Moon Festival ( Zhong Qiu Jie ), which dates back more than 3,000 years.
The festival happens on the fifteenth day of the eighth month of the lunar calendar, and is a celebration of the abundance of the summer harvest. This year's event happened last week.
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Tuesday, October 02, 2007
Pharmaceuticals ETF Breaking Out / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Mike_Paulenoff
After 8 days of high-level consolidation at the high of its recent upleg off the August low at 73.09, the Pharmaceutical HLDRs (AMEX: PPH) appears to be breaking out to new highs and starting a new upleg. Today's close is very important. If the majority of the breakout upmove is preserved, then I expect the PPH to climb towards 81.50/80, and then to the 82.20 area. Let's notice that today's strength represents a thrust off of the rising 200 DMA, which usually triggers very powerful upmoves. At this juncture, only a decline that breaks below 79.80 will wreck today's constructive action.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 02, 2007
Making Money In a Supercycle Bear Market Without Margin Or Trading Or Paying Commissions / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Bob_Bronson
If you are a money manager, or professionally advise investors, you may be interested in a market commentary showing some of our latest economic reasoning, which an investment advisor client of ours has been using to make money for their managed accounts during this Supercycle Bear Market – and with extremely low downside volatility.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 01, 2007
Leverage and Liquidity being Thrown at the Global Banking System - The Morgan Legacy / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Captain_Hook
That's the extent of leverage being thrown at the financial system in keeping the Western banking model (he set the stage for way back when) – and better known today as ‘globalization' – afloat. If the bank run in England currently underway is any indication however, in spite of these efforts big changes are now at our doorstep. And if history is a good guide, even exploding derivatives growth and money supply will be unable to prevent the system from collapsing onto its own weight, even though increasing hyperinflation practices will be employed in an attempting to preserve current political regimes and power structures. Why is this the case? Because in the end change is inevitable, where those attempting to model themselves after J.P. Morgan (the bail out king) today will discover it's better to think in these terms at the beginning of a larger cycle (the Fed cycle began with its birth in 1913) than the end.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 30, 2007
UK FTSE 100 and Germany's DAX Index - Elliott Wave Stock Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Robert_McHugh_PhD
Both major stock markets are completing tops , and are about to start multi-week declines.
The London FTSE topped in July, 2007, and since has been tracing out the first two legs of an a- down, b -up, c- down Intermediate degree wave 2 decline. Wave b- up has retraced about 73.6 percent of the decline from July into August. That wave should complete soon. Then a strong decline, wave c- down should begin. A Fibonacci .786 retrace of wave a- down would take the FTSE up as high as 6,554.
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Sunday, September 30, 2007
Stock Market Update: Eyes of the Beholder / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Dominick
Last week's update warned that “big moves are still out there, building just below the surface”, but they didn't really materialize in this mostly sideways week as Wall Street looked to dress up its balance books at the close of the quarter. Financials, for example, were untouchable on Friday after trading higher earlier in the week on a spurious rumor about Warren Buffet and Bear Sterns. Oh jeez, it's enough to make someone forget about the news and just trade the charts!Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 29, 2007
Stocks Bull Market With a Recession? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: John_Mauldin
In this issue:
Inflation is Not a Problem - Until It Is
The House of Pain
A Bull Market and a Recession?
The Return of Muddle Through
King Dollar and the Guillotine, Part Two
Birthdays and the Ground Rush Effect
The dollar reaches new lows. The housing market shows no sign of a bottom. Oil almost touches $84 before backing off. Interest rates go up after the Fed cuts. So naturally the stock market keeps climbing. But then, consumer spending came in strong, employment looks like it may be ok, inflation (at least by one measure) came in below 2%. This week we look at the question of whether you could have a continued bull market and a recession. (Maybe.) We look at the bigger picture for the dollar and interest rates and examine the ugly data from the housing sector. Inflation or deflation?
Saturday, September 29, 2007
Weekly Financial Markets Analysis - A Credit Crisis Is Looming / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
FedWatch: The discount window has moved.
The original $2 billion borrowed at the Fed discount window has been repaid. Two weeks ago, yet another $7.2 billion borrowed by other banks was outstanding. This week, there are no outstanding loans at the Federal Reserve Discount window. End of story…or is it?
The Federal Reserve has another tool called the Federal Temporary Open Market Operations (FOMO), which is used to influence the Federal Funds market. The purpose of FOMO is, “To implement monetary policy, short-term repurchase and reverse repurchase agreements are used to temporarily affect the size of the Federal Reserve System's portfolio and influence day-to-day trading in the federal funds market.”
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Wednesday, September 26, 2007
Crouching Dollar, Golden Investment Opportunity! / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: The U.S. dollar is on a slippery slope — down more than 8% from its highs earlier this year and down 54% from its all-time highs.
Make no mistake: The fundamentals have not changed, and the buck probably has lower to go — perhaps much lower. Here's a quick summary of what's driving the greenback lower …
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Wednesday, September 26, 2007
Macro Musings: Northern Rock Exposure / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
By: Justice_Litle
BY NOW YOU HAVE probably heard about Northern Rock—the UK mortgage bank that got, er, rocked.
"It was a very British bank run," portfolio manager Tim Price reports. "The queues were orderly, but the emotional impact will scar people for generations."
What's remarkable is how long it's been since the last one. Northern Rock was Britain's first bank run since 1866.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2007
Upside Breakout Expected for Semiconductor Tek Stocks / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Time for a look at the Semiconductor HOLDRs ETF (AMEX: SMH), which looks to me like it is heading for an upside breakout that will be precipitated by strength in Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), Applied Materials (Nasdaq: AMAT), Analog Devices (NYSE: ADI)...in the upcoming hours/days...Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 25, 2007
What Foreign Investors Will Do Next As Falling Dollar Makes US Assets Cheaper / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony Sagami writes: Did you jump for joy when the Federal Reserve Bank lowered interest rates by half a percentage point? If you own a significant stake in the U.S. stock market, you probably did.
I say that because the Dow Jones added 417 points from last Tuesday (the day of the Fed announcement) through last Friday. For all of last week, the Dow gained 2.8% and the Nasdaq tacked on 2.7%.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2007
Adam Hamilton on Options, LEAPS and Warrants / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
By: Dudley_Baker
In the July issue of Zeal Intelligence , Adam Hamilton focused on alternative methods for investing in the mining shares. His subscribers were presented with more trading tools in building their portfolios in addition to purchasing the common shares. He discussed the long awaited Market Vector Gold Miners ETF (GDX) which launched in May 2006 and additionally, he discussed in depth, options, LEAPS and warrants.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 25, 2007
Stock Market Returns After Interest Rate Cuts / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
By: Hans_Wagner
On September 18, 2007 the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered the Federal Funds rate and the Discount rate by 0.50% and the stock market leapt up by 2.9% for the day. Many investors were surprised by the Fed's move and wished they had been fully invested in the market. So, will the market continue up as a result of the move by the Fed? It turns out that there are a couple of studies that we might use to give us some guidance. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 24, 2007
Investment Flash: Hyper-Bearish / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Paul_Lamont
What we think of as ‘money' has been tremendously expanded by the use of debt. Now that fear has entered the credit market, money has become scarce putting pressure on leveraged asset prices. Margin calls are becoming more numerous throughout the system. Central banks, through various schemes, will attempt to reflate the credit bubble. But they will fail because they cannot create confidence.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 24, 2007
Urgent Financial Self-Defense and Massive Profit Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: We are on the verge of some of the greatest market convulsions of a lifetime.
And we're already seeing the first symptoms: Oil surging to all-time highs … gold making a beeline for $800 per ounce … long-term bonds suffering their worst one-day decline since 2003 … and behind it all, the US dollar getting slammed day after day, now within just an inch of its lowest level in history.
That's why we just held our Emergency Video Summit. And that's why we created this 14-page gala issue of Money and Markets …
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Monday, September 24, 2007
Markets Rate Cut Enthusiasm Maybe Short lived / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Many traders will be breathing a heavy sigh of relief this week as the economic calendar lightens comparatively. The US interest rate decision weighed heavily on trading action last week. The FOMC announcement had top billing and it certainly didn't disappoint. Many analysts were expecting a 25 base point cut, with much speculation on when the next cut would be. The 50 base point cut took many by surprise and the market reacted with typical enthusiasm.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 23, 2007
Fed Acts to Head off Recession, Stock Market Investment Implications / Stock-Markets / Investing
By: Roger_Conrad
You can throw out your economic models, quantitative analysis and research reports. It really just boils down to economics 101: The Federal Reserve is prepared to do whatever it takes to head off a credit collapse and potential recession.
This economy and market still have some bumps ahead. But the key to stanching any credit crunch is to provide more credit. And with the Fed apparently willing to do anything short of throwing bags of money out of airplanes, the odds of a global economic catastrophe are fading fast.
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