Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, October 12, 2008
The Crushing Potential of Financial Derivatives / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: David_Haas
George Soros, one of the world's foremost investor-speculators, has said many times that he stays away from financial derivatives because “no one understands them”. In the world of finance, derivatives might be comparable to the theoretical study of linear particle acceleration in nuclear physics. Such theories appear to be “understood” mainly based on current assumptions accepted in academic circles, often with little provable working knowledge of how such currently-held theories might ultimately manifest themselves over the long run in the real world. The problem with assumptions is that they generally change…often sooner than we think.
Sunday, October 12, 2008
Jim Cramer Time to Get Out of Stock Market a Buy Signal? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Casey's Charts: Market mayhem has the Fed off balance “The Fed has resorted to new extremes in this financial crisis by selling off and lending its good assets, US Treasuries, in exchange for toxic waste. The result: the Federal Reserve's balance sheet has been completely restructured – including innovative off-balance-sheet hocus-pocus – and looks like it's headed for exhaustion.
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Sunday, October 12, 2008
Stock Market Crash Bloodbath Frustration / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
I have been away from the trading desk, and the stock market's bloodbath, during the past few days as I am on a business visit in Geneva. Just as well, but I can nevertheless associate with the frustration of the trader in the animated image (hat tip: Rob Fraim). Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 12, 2008
How We Called the Stock Market Crash of 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Robert_McHugh_PhD
We wrote in our September 12th, weekend newsletter, page 7, “September 29th could be a kickoff to a devastating stock market crash.” That has proven true to the precise day, the Industrials crashing 3,260 points, or 29 percent since September 29th. But, how did we know? Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 12, 2008
Stock Market Imminent Seasonal Lows at Historic Times / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: We are living through great theatre. On October 20, 1987 there were 1174 new lows on the NYSE, about 57% of the 2076 issues that traded that day, a percentage record that held until recently. Last Friday there were 2901 new lows on the NYSE, about 88% of the 3306 issues traded. New lows have been calculated with their present methodology since January 1, 1978. At the 1987 low the S&P 500 (SPX) was 33.2% off its all time high set about 6 weeks earlier. On Friday the SPX was 42.5% off its all time high set about 1 year earlier.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 12, 2008
Dow Jones Crash Shows $700 Billion Bailout an Exercise in Futility / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Professor_Emeritus
Troubled Ass Relief Program (Tarp)
- As the precipitous drop of the Dow Jones index of industrial stocks to the 8600 level on Thursday shows, the $700 billion bailout is an exercise in futility. The rescue effort administers one wrong medicine after another. Shunting rotten assets to the balance sheet of the central bank is not the way to go. Consolidating banks through forced mergers is not the way to go. Cutting interest rates is not the way to go. These measures make the problem worse, not better. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 11, 2008
The Once in a Lifetime Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Weekly_Wizards
Why wasn't that a perfect reversal Jack? Because the advance decline line wasn't right. Slightly more losers than gainers on the Nas but 2/1 negative on the Nyse. You want 2/1 or 3/1 advancers to decliners. I know today seemed exciting with such a massive reversal but many stocks lagged badly and some were absolutely crushed. You won't see that when we make just the right reversal. The rally occurred for two reasons. Incredibly oversold and massive short covering ahead of the G7 meeting this weekend which will be a meeting to try and find more solutions for the current credit crisis. The shorts are afraid of them coming up with a solution that the market will like. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 11, 2008
Stock Market Capitulation Low? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The most salient aspect of the weekly chart of the S&P 500 is that despite
the fact that the index closed 60 points off of Friday's low, the index at
899.22 also closed 198 points from the week's high, which means that the net
result of this week is downside continuation. Although I would not be
surprised to see the SPX climb to 960-1000 sooner than later, I also think
that another loop down to 839 must take place thereafter.
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Saturday, October 11, 2008
Credit Crisis Collapse What Happens Next? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Mauldin
- Construction Lending: The Next Shoe to Drop
- Lehman at the Center
- Iceland Guarantees What?
- Letters of Credit: Going, Going Gone?
- What to Do and Where Do We Go from Here?
I have been writing for almost a year that the next shoe to drop on US banks would be commercial construction lending. Today we look at some hard numbers. We look across the pond to sort out the problems in Europe. We look at the consequences of the losses stemming from Lehman. Then we look at one of the more serious consequences of the banking crisis, one that will bring the crisis home to you. Finally, we look at what the various governments of the world must do in response. It may not be fun, but it should be interesting. And it is important. Feel free to forward this letter to anyone who asks why we not only need the bailout but will need even more coordinated government action.
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Saturday, October 11, 2008
Stock Market Crash Chart Price Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
“I set a watchman over you, saying, ‘Give heed to the sound of the trumpet!' But they said, ‘We will not give heed!' Therefore hear, O nations, and know, O congregation, what will happen to them. Hear O earth; behold, I am bringing evil upon this people, the fruit of their devices , because they have not given heed to my words; and as for my law, they have rejected it.”Jeremiah 6:17 Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 11, 2008
Financial Crash and TV Media Machines Perpetual Buy Recommendations / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Mike_Stathis
Maybe there's a good reason why CNBC has a show called Fast Money. If you follow the advice of these guys, your money is likely to evaporate very fast. Likewise, I'm beginning to see why Cramer's show is called Mad Money. You're likely to get mad if you follow his advice. Or maybe you have to be a mad man to watch it. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 11, 2008
Anatomy of Financial and Economic Disaster -Part2 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Andy_Sutton
Last week we looked at some historical milestones as we compared the events leading up to the Great Depression to what we're seeing now. While apples to apples comparisons are problematic due to vast differences in the way economic statistics are measured and reported, it is a much more simple matter to see the big picture. This week, we take a look at things from a monetary perspective. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 11, 2008
Dow Jones Reverses 860 Points Higher in 40 Minutes, but Still Closes Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Harry_Boxer
Another historical day and probably one of the most volatile days I've ever seen, including a late historical rally as well.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 10, 2008
Stock Market Bottom, Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Dr_Janice_Dorn
These are unprecedented times. The markets are showing their true animal nature because they are trading on emotions, rather than on technicals or fundamentals. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 10, 2008
1929 Style Financial Markets Panic: The De-leveraging Margin Debt / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Marty_Chenard
Panic levels are reaching levels not seen since 1929. We are now in the 3rd. Phase of a de-leveraging process.
Some of you may remember the NYSE Margin chart I posted in late 2007. Basically, it showed that 2007 margin levels were starting to drop from an "extreme" level. Historically, every time we have reached extreme margin levels, they always got unwound . That is where we are now, in an accelerating Phase 3.
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Friday, October 10, 2008
Trading Stock Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Zeal_LLC
Last week was one of the wildest witnessed in the stock markets in modern history. On Monday September 29th stocks started plunging immediately after the US House of Representatives voted down the Wall Street bailout. This steep decline ignited a massive fear spike unlike anything seen in years. It was awe-inspiring to behold. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 10, 2008
Nasdaq Q's Capitulation Lows? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
So, the $64,000 question is whether or not we saw THE capitulation low during the first 20 minutes of trading this morning, or one of a series of capitulation lows that will be forthcoming in the upcoming hours/days? Let's be aware that all of the major indices remain in negative territory on the session, which eliminates Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 10, 2008
Stock Market Crash 2008 Performance Round-up / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
I normally publish a performance review of global stock markets at the end of each month, but the meltdown around the world of the past few days necessitated an update.
“If a man does not know what port he is steering for, no wind is favorable to him,” said philosopher Seneca in 4 BC 65 AD. Why am I constantly reminded of this quote when looking at some of the rather haphazard actions taken by governments to alleviate the financial turmoil?
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Friday, October 10, 2008
China Stocks Attractive After Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: Other than cash, gold, and a few select natural resource stocks, the only other investments I'd make in these wild and crazy times are in Chinese companies, buying them hand over fist for the long haul.
Yes, that's right. Even bearing in mind the recent milk/melamine scandal, which is outrageous.
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Friday, October 10, 2008
Central Banks Panic as Bailouts Fail to Halt Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Mike_Shedlock
The global economic dam has now cracked wide open. Water is pouring everywhere. The bursting of the dam is a fitting tribute to Paulson's and Bush's $700 billion boondoggle to add liquidity to banks. The public was overwhelmingly against the plan (and rightly so) as were close to 200 economists. Paulson, Bush, Trichet, and Brown all goaded Congress to waste $700 billion of taxpayer money on grounds there would be a global meltdown if the plan was not passed. Congress had it right the first time. The $700 billion bailout helped bust the dam.
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