Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, October 16, 2008
Stock Market Buy and Hold Strategy Smashed / Stock-Markets / Investing
Have you heard these statements from your financial planner, mutual fund advisor, or stock broker?
- In the long term the market rises 8% per year.
- Investors cannot time the market. The best strategy for investing is to buy and hold for the long term.
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
Wall of Liquidity Was Wall of Leverage / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
"What we thought was a wall of liquidity, turned out to be a wall of leverage." – Paul Davies in the FT , quoting "a number of senior bankers..."
WANNA KNOW WHY your stock market shares keep on tumbling, right back to what one Fox news anchor just called "the absolute lows" from the end of last week?
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Wednesday, October 15, 2008
Stock Market Crash Alert! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Dear Friends,
I have been surprised so far at how orderly the market has been, despite the heavy l losses. Just as it seemed that the market would roll over into “the big one,” it would rally back from the brink. Tonight I was reminded of an interview I had with Andrew Smithers in 2005 and the article I had written about it. I did a follow-up article again in 2006. I had identified the problem correctly, but was too early. The original link to an article that was published in Barron's has been turned off, but here is another link that quotes the original article verbatim. Read the articles. This is very important.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2008
Losers in the Financial Markets Paper Money Casino / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
When the Dow soared 936 points on October 13th , its 11.1 % rise was its best percentage advance since 1933—an advance which had occurred during the Great Depression.
Five years after its 1933 historic advance, the Dow Industrials were down 90 % from its highs and in 1953, the Dow was still down 75 %. When speculative bubbles collapse, the losses are staggering and prolonged.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2008
Stock Market Pullback Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The indices had a pullback session yesterday, which would be expected after Monday's sharp rally.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 15, 2008
Derivatives Crunch Means Savings Is the New Investing / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Welcome to the Weekly Report. As I write this on Saturday afternoon, I see nothing from the G7 statements that can be taken as co-ordinated action. Indeed all I see is a repeat of what is becoming a tired mantra:
- At the White House, Mr Bush pledged the G7 most industrialised nations would take robust action together.
On Friday, G7 finance ministers agreed to take moves to free the flow of credit, back efforts by banks to raise money and revive the mortgage market.
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Stock Markets Bounce– A Reversal of Fortune? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
My first day back in office after a visit to Geneva and Dublin coincided with the best day ever for European stock markets and the biggest points increase in the Dow Jones Industrial Average's history. A pattern has started developing that the good days occur when I am in the office, whereas the sharp sell-offs tend to happen when I am travelling. I will keep you posted on my travel plans in case you want to factor that into your trading models!Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Market Crash Presents Asian Stocks Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Tony Sagami writes: If you're an early riser and watch Fox News, you may have seen me on TV last Thursday morning. Markets all over the globe were falling in response to the plunge in our stock market and the network invited me to participate in a panel discussion about Asian stocks.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
U.S. Mistakes Triggered Financial Markets Crash / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Shah Gilani writes: In the mid-80s, I ran a private partnership – call it a hedge fund – from the floor of the Chicago Board of Options Exchange Inc . (CBOE). I was an independent market maker , meaning I could walk into any trading pit on the floor and trade any options and any stocks. More often than not, one of my principal trading plans was to play the crowd.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Stock Market Crash Forecast in June 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Bottoms' Up?
Top down? It really does not matter now that the fat lady is singing at the top of her lungs. The ultimate effect however is yet unknown. One thing is certain; the era of corrupt 20th century capitalism is OVER.
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Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Stock Market Crash Forecast- What Comes Next? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Is “A” bottom in?
Should the masters of the universe be successful (at least for a time) in maintaining their illusory, and subtle monopolies over the masses, the best hope that exists today, (or upon a marginal retest) is for an interim (a) wave terminal marking a low prior to a much more punishing (c) wave into the 2009 period.
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Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Worst of the Credit Crisis Over, Britain Leads the Way / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
The credit crisis is global. Interestingly, some of the more creative and straight forward solutions are coming from England. This week in Outside the Box I am presenting you with a very well written (even entertaining) letter from Bedlam Asset Management from London www.bedlamplc.com on their view of the crisis. It is always instructive to look at your problems from the point of view of another party, and even more some when they give you some thoughtful and cogent analysis.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Average Returns Expected for Stock Market Investors / Stock-Markets / Investing
What else is there to add to a historic week (and not in a good way!)? The markets declined, just in the month of October a percentage roughly equal to the crash in 1987. All the various acronymed bailout packages have not done the trick and confidence among banks is very low. We keep hearing of lack of lending between banks, a lock-up in the bond and money markets as well as commercial paper markets. Industry as we know it could come to a screeching halt without the grease of loans to buy goods for inventory or to make daily/weekly cash commitments.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 13, 2008
Historic Financial Month as Events Spiraled Out of Control / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
So much has happened this month, where to begin? It's been a month to end all months with one monumental crisis following another. At times, events were moving so quickly it was hard to keep up. Many analysts we know stayed up all night, several times, as developments and markets spiraled out of control in what's being called a financial tsunami.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 13, 2008
Nasdaq Q's Completes Initial Upleg? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
The pattern carved out by the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) off of Friday's low at 29.38 into the 33.63 high today (so far) has the right look of a completed initial upleg -- ahead of a pullback that should re-enter this morning's up-gap between 32.30 and 31.40. Only continued strength that hurdles 34.00-34.20 will argue that the current advance has considerably more power than I am willing to ascribe to the upmove off of Friday's low.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 13, 2008
Financial Armageddon and the Last Man Standing / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
As you know from yesterday's brief message I had a very bad feeling about what was coming based on the tentative title of today's piece, and sure enough Awaiting Armageddon appears to have been right on the mark in terms of outcomes in the equity markets, but certainly sooner than anybody had expected. And although I was not quite sure if precious metals would join this party concurrently or not, I did have my suspicions that were confirmed in yesterday's bloodbath, with not just the shares being dragged down due to liquidity fears, but also, the metals themselves. Why did this occur? Answer: Because in essence what we have here is a ‘deflation scare' that could quickly turn into the real McCoy if growth rates of the M's do not begin to accelerate upward immediately.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 13, 2008
Analysts who Forecast the Stock Market Crash of 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
We have just lived through one of the greatest stock market crashes in history, on par and in many cases exceeding October 1987. As I have iterated several times that the stock market crash would comprise of many crashette's rather than a single one day crash of the 1987 variety as 'most' of the worlds governments following 1987 have implemented circuit breakers and plunge protection teams in place so as to prevent a one day crash, and have thus stepped in during market freefall's to engineer a bounce, this has happened many times over the last 3 weeks. Still falls of as much as 10% in a single day's closing basis are still pretty significant crashette's!Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 13, 2008
S&P Stock Index Targeting 400 Bear Market Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The S&P 500 has experienced price level growth in the 1990's through today (Oct 10) that is substantially greater than the price growth it experienced in the 40 years after 1950.
We've all partied in the growth rates of the last approximate 20 years, but the party may be over.
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Monday, October 13, 2008
Is the Stock Market Crash of 2008 Over? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Chaos and uncertainty rule in this market. People are scared and are in a panic. I'm sure you feel it yourself, especially if you have 401K's or other long-term investments in the stock market. Even though I've made a lot of money this year trading against the market and have been in cash for weeks now, I felt the fear myself after I tried to go long last Friday and took a 2% hit in my own portfolio for sticking my toe in the market just for a few hours.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 13, 2008
U.S. Fed Announces Unlimited Borrowing / Stock-Markets / Nationalization
This morning the Fed issued a Press Release On Unlimited Borrowing .In order to provide broad access to liquidity and funding to financial institutions, the Bank of England (BoE), the European Central Bank (ECB), the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) are jointly announcing further measures to improve liquidity in short-term U.S. dollar funding markets.
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