Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, July 06, 2019
Stock Market Surging 25%... or Falling 25%? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Harry_Dent
I sent a market update to Boom & Bust subscribers in our 5 Day Forecast last Monday. I explained that stocks saw their biggest correction since late 2011, which makes that a 4th wave correction leading into a 5th wave final blow-off rally… what I have been calling the Dark Window scenario. My target is around 10,000 on the leading index, the Nasdaq, and around 33,000 on the Dow.It’s likely we saw the first wave up into early May with two more strong surges ahead. We have just made new highs on the Dow and S&P 500, with the Nasdaq coming close to a new high.
Is this a breakout in the next wave up?
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Friday, July 05, 2019
The Lucrative Profitability Of A Move To Negative Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Negative Interest Rates
By: Dan_Amerman
"Following the money" can be a good way of unraveling complexity. Sometimes what the technical jargon is covering up can be as simple as Insider A handing money over to Insider B in massive quantities - and when we understand that, our whole perspective can change.
In this analysis, we will explore how a potential future of negative interest rates in combination with quantitative easing could become one of the largest redistributions of wealth in U.S. history, with hundreds of billions of dollars in profits going disproportionately to insiders - at the expense of the general public. As illustrated with a step by step example, when we follow the money - $279 billion out of every $1 trillion in newly created money could end up going straight into the hands of organizations and individuals who make up a relatively small percentage of the nation.
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Friday, July 05, 2019
Investing Today Is All About Predicting What Trump Wants / Stock-Markets / Investing 2019
By: Jared_Dillian
Trump is the most polarizing figure of all time.
If you say something good about him, half of people will hate you. If you say something bad about him, the other half will hate you.
It is a no-win situation. So financial writers, myself included, never write about him.
But that’s dumb! Donald J. Trump is the biggest driver of financial markets in the world. Hands down. How can you not write about him?
So here is what we are going to do.
Thursday, July 04, 2019
Stocks Can’t Even Rally on a Trade War “Cease Fire” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Graham_Summers
Yesterday’s market action was a MAJOR wake up call.
Stocks erupted 1.5% higher on announcements that the US/ China reached some form of a trade deal…
However, the rally barely lasted, giving up most of its gains by mid-day. It was only through a desperate end of the session manipulation (red box in the chart below) that stocks didn’t end the day flat.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Transportation Index Warns Of Stock Market Trouble Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Any weakness in the Transportation Index near current levels would indicate investors and traders believe the global economy may continue to contract going forward and may be an ominous sign for the global stock markets.
The Transportation Index is a measure of the current expectations related to shipping, trucking, trains and all measure of forward expectations for goods, products and raw materials to be moved across nations, seas, states, and locations. When the economy is gaining strength, we typically expect to see the Transportation Index moving higher. When the economy is weakening, we typically expect to see the Transportation Index moving lower.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Stock Market Final S/T Push? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate-term correction continues to unfold.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Forex Market Charts and Setups: GOLD follows our Path Down / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
Global equities rose on Monday as the G20 summit in Osaka fuelled optimism that trade tensions will ease, while havens fell out of favour and oil rallied on an extension of production cuts by Opec+ countries. The agreement between the US and China to resume trade talks and halt the imposition of further tariffs, fed hopes that the trade war may be easing up. European stock indices followed their Asian peers higher, with the international Stoxx 600 up 0.9 per cent, led by sectors sensitive to the outlook for trade relations. The Stoxx index tracking carmakers rose 2.1 per cent and Frankfurt’s Xetra Dax 30, home to a range of exporters, was up 1.8 per cent. London’s FTSE 100 rose 0.9 per cent. S&P 500 futures tipped US stocks to open up by over 1 per cent.
The move out of havens was brisk and set gold on course for its biggest single fall in a calendar year, down 1.7 per cent to $1,385.70. Japan’s yen weakened by 0.5 per cent to ¥108.38 per dollar. The yield on 10-year US Treasuries rose by 4.5 basis points as investors move out of the debt gathered pace, taking it to 2.0447 per cent. We had suggested the short gold trade here: GOLD TO FALL 10%. Currently Gold has cracked 1385.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Re-examining a Popular Stock Market Long Term Bearish Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
The stock market has been very choppy in the past year. Over the past few months, the yield curve has been extremely hyped-up in the media and social media. I found some interesting data that makes you re-think how useful the yield curve really is for marketing timing. Today’s headlines:
- Long term volatility is high
- VVIX tanked
- Weekend gap up
- Few -1% down days
- ISM PMI
- Gold’s sentiment is retreating
- How useful is the yield curve?
Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Playing the Stocks Bull Market Till the Music Stops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Submissions
The last week of June completed as an inside week that traded very close to within our expected 2969-2915 high-level consolidation range on the Emini S&P 500 (ES). The actual range for the week was 2961.75-2914.5.
Essentially, the market action started the consolidation late Monday. It backtested against 2915, a major must-hold level, with 2914.5 printed as the "sticksave" to become the low of the week by Wednesday June 26.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Stock Index Trend Trading Strategy / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last week was a great week for trading as we locked in profits on a trade and raised our stops to protect the rest of our open positions.
take a look at how my trading system identifies trends, trades, and targets in the chart below.
Tuesday, July 02, 2019
G20 News Drive Big Moves In The Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This past weekend was full of exciting news and information. Combine this with the strong US economic activity, the potential for some type of reprieve in the US/China trade issues and the historic meeting in North Korea between President Trump and Kim Jun Un, and the markets were set up for a big move at the open of trading in Tokyo.
The other big news originated from the Bank of International Settlements (BIS). This Swiss-based central banking committee for “central banks” released an annual report on the progress of global central banks and the global economy last weekend. They urged central banks not to chase easy money policies any longer and to focus on core policy changes, practical economic practices, and real leadership to help drive future growth. They urged nations that easy money policies may help to show some types of immediate economic improvements – but that the risks of continuing such policies and lack of true economic reforms do nothing but pack risk into the back end of these efforts.
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Saturday, June 29, 2019
The Trump Stock Market Trap May Be Triggered / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
From the Christian Bible, John 8:32 - Jesus speaking: “If you abide in My word, you are My disciples indeed. And you shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.”
So, we have it on pretty good authority, Jesus Christ, that freedom is spawned from truth. If humans want to be free, they must therefore seek the truth.
The current day media, news - sports - financial, has gone full bore communist state mouth piece. They only report what they want us to believe. Deceivers push falsehoods to enhance their own power with the hope of enslaving the masses. The serpent doesn’t use an apple today. The serpent uses the microphone, politicians, entertainers, complete human ignorance, electronic media, and social media for deceit.
This is a truth we know. Low taxes plus low government regulation results in robust economies. Yet, no government on Earth facilitates this truth. In fact, they are the opposite and therefore in a spiritual sense, evil.
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Friday, June 28, 2019
Is the Market Sending a Crisis Era Signal on the Economy and Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
As the stock market continues to trend higher and Treasury yields continue to collapse, two groups of stocks are about to send crisis-era signals on the economy (according to Bloomberg). Today’s headlines:
- Crisis era signals
- Stocks continue to rally and Treasury yields continue to fall
- Citigroup Economic Surprise Index still deep in negative territory
- Gold’s sentiment extreme and volume
- Bonds sentiment extreme
Wednesday, June 26, 2019
Stocks and XAU Gold Miners Next Bull and Bear Markets are Now Set Up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Sharing market analysis and my opinions every day is far from easy and sometimes I feel like a song on repeat. My focus and goal has always been to try to alert fellow traders and investors of what is unfolding now in the financial markets around the globe because it appears we are about to experience another financial life-changing event much like the 2000 stock market top, and the late 2007 bull market top which will play out over the next 24+ months
If you lost money during the last bear market then you need a new game plan to take advantage of falling prices and the solution is not just to by gold, silver, and miners. In fact, you could lose a lot buying and holding them over the next year if you are not careful. We all know what the precious metals sector did during the last equities bear market (they crashed 64% with the stock market before starting to rally).
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Tuesday, June 25, 2019
Is the Stock Market About to Drop? This Chart Says “YES” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Graham_Summers
Sometimes it’s good to take a big picture look at the stock market.
By “big picture” I mean a monthly chart that is at least three years long.
Here’s one that caught my eye over the weekend.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2019
Stock Market Bulls In Control, but Don't Get Complacent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Ricky_Wen
The third week of June went according to the game plan as the market’s price action just followed the white line projections as we demonstrated in real-time.
If you recall, we got the eventual breakout above 2911 on the Emini S&P 500 (ES) that pumped into the all time highs target. The bulls fulfilled their goal by the end of the week with the high print close of the week’s range and bears are still considered dead. Who knew?
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Monday, June 24, 2019
Stock Market New High, but…! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate-term correction continues to unfold.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, June 24, 2019
Formula for when the Great Stock Market Rally Ends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: readtheticker
When valuations for the boring water company or the boring electric company is trading like your Facebook, Apple, Amazon or Netflix or Google (ie FANG) you know something is wrong.
This is when a seriously over valued market is screaming at you.
Of course the reader must understand in a world where money printing goes super nuts (Zimbabwe style) the stock market may go hyper inflationary and picking a time frame for a top is never a good idea, but we are not there yet. There is no Ben Bernanke helicopter money to the masses yet (ie MMT).
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Sunday, June 23, 2019
Financial Sector Paints A Clear Picture For Stock Market Trading Profits / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
After the incredible week we’ve seen, with the Fed leaving rates unchanged and precious metals rocketing higher above their previous five-year highs, it’s time we pay attention to what’s happening in the financial sector and the US stock market majors. Closing out this week, we heard all traders and investors pay very close attention to the US dollar, precious metals, and the US major indexes.
There are a number of major factors taking place throughout the world that will likely drive future price trends over the next 30 to 60 days. Tensions in the Middle East, debt issues in China and Europe, central bank actions throughout the world and the US, and the ultimate driver of price moves – fear and greed. We’ve mentioned to a number of associates recently that our research focuses on the transition of traders from fear into greed. Our belief is that as traders begin to fear certain events or price trends, the price action tends to become more volatile. As this volatility increases and trends accelerate, traders transition this fear into greed where they attempt to take advantage of opportunities generated by large price swings.
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Saturday, June 22, 2019
How Do Stock Prices React to Fed Interest Rate Cuts? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Dimitri_Speck
The “Greatest Economy in History” Stumbles
“This is the greatest economy in the history of our country”, Donald Trump opined just a few months ago.
Alas, recently there is growing evidence of an economic slowdown.
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