Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, June 20, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Do or Die Time, Gold Caution / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
FDIC Friday anticipates a Summer break. - The FDIC Failed Bank List announced only one new bank closure this week. Has the FDIC run out of money again? Their trouble bank list is well over 300, so they should be busier than this.
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Sunday, June 20, 2010
Signs of Stock Market Concern in the Economic Recovery Process / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Economic recoveries generally take a fairly standard pattern. The stock market usually bottoms 4 to 8 months before the low in the business cycle. Risk levels that are associated with the final days of the bear market ease. Expanding Gross Domestic Product (GDP) gradually develops and improves. Rising unemployment numbers stabilize and begin to decline. Early advancing industrial groups, such as consumer discretionaries, transportation and technology start to strengthen and outperform. And central banks slowly increase short-term interest rates to keep the fledgling economy in-check. However, when specific signs of weakness remain after over a year of economic expansion, investors should take note.
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Sunday, June 20, 2010
Robert Prechter Stocks Bear Market Long Down Wave / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Robert Prechter discussed the recent global sell-off that has sent all major U.S. averages 10% below their 2010 highs with Yahoo! Finance Tech Ticker host Aaron Task. Prechter says that the current climate shows that "we're in a wave of recognition" where the fundamentals are catching up to the technicals and that it's time to prepare for a "long way down."
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Sunday, June 20, 2010
Stock Market Possible Nascent Bullish Uptrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This is another tough week for me. On the one hand, two of my favorite sources for handicapping the market trend -- Market Edge and Investors Business Daily -- support the existence of a new bullish uptrend in the market based primarily on technical indicators.
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Saturday, June 19, 2010
Stock Market Quiet In The Range.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And that's about all there is folks. Have a nice weekend.
Ok... so I need to write a little bit more, but in truth, there is very little to speak of tonight. The market made two tries to get through the elusive 50-day exponential moving average at 1119 today. It failed. It made three attempts to get through 1105 and failed. It printed 1105 yesterday and hit 1107 two different times on Wednesday. The bulls held where they had to and the bears held where they had to. Neither side able to do anything, yet, in this new range just set up since early in the week when the bulls took S&P 500 1105 for themselves.
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Saturday, June 19, 2010
Stock Market Support is Now Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
(The Atlantic) On the third floor of Citigroup’s Manhattan headquarters, at the far end of a trading floor overlooking the Hudson River, Young Kang, Citi’s global head of algorithmic products, leans over a terminal and monitors the progress of a canny and powerful beast named Dagger. Bred and trained in secret by Citi’s financial engineers, Dagger can stalk through more than 20 markets, public and otherwise—hunting for anomalies, buying and selling, prowling through mountains of historical data—all at the behest of Citi’s clients. Amid the trading-floor din, Dagger fulfills its duties in flickering silence, with a speed and acuity no human can match.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
End of the Financial Mania Era, an Early History of the Great Asset Mania / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It's true that many investors, analysts and certainly the mainstream press have been baffled by the past three years of market volatility and economic chaos.
But when you read in the headlines that, "No one saw it coming," please know, dear reader, that the statement is false.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Investor Profit Opportunity in the Deflation to Hyperinflation Transition / Stock-Markets / HyperInflation
Deflation is the biggest worry now but it will turn into hyperinflation soon…We are poised at a heart-stopping moment in economic times…
Deflation is the issue now because money supply is actually declining…
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Stock Market Choppy Recoveries and Rally Attempts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Before the open on Friday, the markets remained in a mixed state, with neither the bears nor the bulls having a distinct advantage. From a psychological perspective, the bears have a leg up with recent declines having ignited high levels of fear. The bears also have legitimate concerns about the European debt markets.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Stock Markets Focused on Stress Tests And Options Expiry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
While the negative news flow from Europe finally looks like dying down for a while, the U.S. economy has now taken up the mantle of doom-and-gloom provider. Thursday’s Philly Fed Index was weak at 8 versus the 20 Read predicted, along with a positive creep in new and existing jobless claims. Inflation figures remain low, and housing data are very disappointing.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Marc Faber Bullish on Stocks Into September / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Faber is now sort off bullish on stocks into September, though favours asian stocks. Bearish and bullish on U.S. bonds at the same time. His best place to be invested is in Gold and Gold Shares.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Stock Market Rally of 2009 Not likely to Be Repeated In Our Life Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Last year's stock-market rally won't be repeated for the foreseeable future and likely not for decades, Sean Corrigan, chief investment strategist at Diapason Commodities Management, told CNBC Friday.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Big Bear Markets Mean More Than Falling Stock Prices / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Many infamous authoritarian regimes emerged during or after big bear markets
Fear and uncertainty that drive a severe bear market are the same emotions which can set the stage for authoritarianism, in most any nation.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Stock Market Stalls At Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
U.S. stocks rose as a late-day rally in technology, consumer-staples and industrial companies helped the market overcome an early slump spurred by economic reports that cast doubts on the strength of the recovery.
The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index increased 0.1 percent to 1,116.01 at 4 p.m. in New York and remained above its 200-day average for a third day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 24.71 points, or 0.2 percent, to 10,434.17, erasing a drop of as much as 90 points. Both gauges did not turn higher until the final minutes of trading.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Stock Market Indices Edge Higher on Late Snapback / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices swung back and forth most of the session, but a late, sharp rally brought them back into the plus column and they closed not too far off the session highs with gains on the day.
The day started with a gap up, making the session highs at that point. Then the indices dropped, popped and dropped again to reach the session lows within about 90 minutes after they opened. A 3-wave rally brought them back to retest the highs, but they fell short, particularly in the S&P 500, and then sold off rather steadily until about a half hour to go, at which point they snapped back very sharply, and closed positive once again.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Stock Market 60's Unwinding...1105 Holds Again.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
We were overbought starting things out yesterday. The market was close to the top of the range or close to getting through the 50-day exponential moving average at 1119 S&P 500. Overbought at resistance means you're not getting through short-term. The market needed to pull back or at the very least, move laterally so as to work off those overbought 60-minute charts.
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Friday, June 18, 2010
Baltic Dry Goods Chart is Giving Bearish Stock Market Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Steep fall. Too steep for comfort. Implies that volumes of dry goods being shipped, world-wide, is contracting sharply. Might bounce from here but I don’t like that angle of decline. Could just as easily halve as rise.
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Thursday, June 17, 2010
Stock Market Calm Before Next Climb / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The S&P 500 emini contract is pressing towards yet another probe of key support along the 1100 level, which also doubles as the rising 200-day moving average at 1099.70. As long as that support area contains any forthcoming weakness, with an overshoot into the June 8 up-trendline at 1095, my pattern work will consider all the action since the June 15 high at 1111.50 to be a sideways rest-digestion period ahead of another upleg.
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Thursday, June 17, 2010
Spain Clears Funding Hurdle But US Jobs Data Disappoints / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Spain is again the focus both on and off the pitch Wednesday with the Spanish bond market like their defence, beginning to resemble a Swiss cheese. With nerves about Spain’s financing situation rattled ahead of Spain’s bond auctions today and a heavy period of debt redemptions coming up in July totalling €25bn, the spread between Spain and Germany’s 2-year yields rose another 15 bp to another new EMU high of 279 bp a 40 bp rise so far this week and nearly 150 bp rise in the past month. Seems the contagion spread to the football team last night. There are also worries that the release of the results of the recent stress test results for European banks will confirm the markets very worst fears about the level of leverage/under capitalization still lingering nearly 2.5 years into the crisis. I personally think quite the opposite and that the stress test results will focus attention on German banks who have been getting away with being undercapitalized/over leveraged for years.
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Thursday, June 17, 2010
Stock Barometer Analysis, Thursday's U.S. Jobless Claims Rise... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
While economic reports can cause initial reactions, it's important to see the trend that remains. That trend continues higher. For example, oil futures got hit on the economic news, but has recovered. Oil, (UCO) remains my favorite play here and if you were in the chat room yesterday, we were all over that break out.
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