Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, February 29, 2020
Dow Stock Market Coronavirus Trend Forecast Conclusion - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.
This video is part 4 of a series of analysis that warned of the increasing probability for a Coronavirus stocks bear market that was first made available to Patrons who support my work. Will CoronaVirus Pandemic Trigger a Stocks Bear Market 2020?. Which illustrates that the key driver for the stock market trend for much of 2020 is not going to be fundamental, or technical but rather VIRAL!.
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Saturday, February 29, 2020
Is This A Repeat of February 2018 Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Back in early 2018, after a dramatic rally in early January 2018, the US stock market collapsed suddenly and violently – falling nearly 12% in a matter of just 9 trading days. Our researchers asked the question, is the current collapse similar to this type of move and could we expect a sudden market bottom to setup?
Although there are similarities between the setups of these two events, our researchers believe there are two unique differences between the selloff in 2018 and the current selloff. We’ll attempt to cover these components and setups in detail.
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Saturday, February 29, 2020
Stock Market Trend and Elliott Wave Analysis - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.
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Friday, February 28, 2020
Stock Market Coronavirus Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.
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Friday, February 28, 2020
Stock Market SPX to Rise back to 3350 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: MEHABE
Global stocks tumbled to four-month lows, government debt yields sunk to unprecedented levels and crude oil extended declines as anxiety over the spread of the coronavirus surged. While climbing from the lows of the day, the six-day slide has still pushed the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average indexes down by more than 10% from all-time highs set this month, a so-called correction. The drop of as much as 10% since Friday puts the S&P on pace for its worst week since the 2008 global financial crisis. The MSCI All-Country World Index fell to the lowest since October, while the Stoxx Europe 600 also entered a correction.
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Friday, February 28, 2020
Stock Performance in the Rising Coronavirus Fever / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The bulls didn’t really get their act together yesterday, and the early gains evaporated a few hours into the session. As stocks closed near their daily lows, what chances of invalidating Tuesday’s breakdown below the important support do the buyers have?
Let’s briefly check what kind of progress the bears made yesterday on the weekly chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Friday, February 28, 2020
Stock Market SPY Breaks Below Fibonacci Bearish Trigger Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team wanted to share this chart with our friends and followers. This dramatic breakdown in price over the past 4+ days has resulted in a very clear bearish trigger which was confirmed by our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system. We believe this downside move will target the $251 level on the SPY over the next few weeks and months.
Some recent headline articles worth reading:
On January 29, 2020, we issued this research post about a potential WaterFall selloff
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Friday, February 28, 2020
Will CoronaVirus Pandemic Trigger Stocks Bear Market 2020? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.
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Thursday, February 27, 2020
Dow Long-term Trend Analysis - Coronavirus Triggering a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
- Stock Market Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020
- QE4EVER
- As Goes January So Goes the Year
- Short-term Trend Analysis
- Long-term Trend Analysis
- ELLIOTT WAVES
- Formulating a Stock Market Trend Forecast
- Dow Stock Market Forecast Conclusion
- TRADING THE DOW
- Will Trump Win US Presidential Election 2020?
TREND ANALYSIS
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Thursday, February 27, 2020
India's Nifty 50 Stocks: Does the Bad Jobs Outlook Spell Trouble for Stocks? / Stock-Markets / India
By: EWI
India's "employment outlook" just reached its lowest level in 14 years.
There are a lot of mouths to feed in India -- north of 1.3 billion.
That means a lot of jobs are required to put food on the table for a lot of people. But there's a problem: the jobs picture in the world's second most populous nation isn't pretty.
As far back as a year ago, the Washington Post said (Feb. 1, 2019):
**India's jobs crisis is worse than people thought ...
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Thursday, February 27, 2020
Has the Stock Market Waterfall Event Started Or A Buying Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past 5+ days, a very clear change in market direction has taken place in the US and global markets. Prior to this, the US markets were reacting to Q4 earnings data and minimizing the potential global pandemic of the Coronavirus. The continued “rally to the peak” process was taking place and was very impressive from a purely euphoric trader standpoint. Our researchers found it amazing that the markets continued to rally many weeks after the news of economic contraction and quarantines setup in China/Asia.
Make sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter before you continue reading this or you may miss our next special report!
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Fake Markets Are on Collision Course with Reality / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: MoneyMetals
Keeping up appearances is about to get a lot harder for the central planners trying to manage perceptions of the U.S. (and global) economy. The coronavirus is going to have a meaningful impact on global supply chains, even if stock market cheerleaders haven’t fully realized it yet.
This might be because the corporate media and ruling elites are burning a lot of what is left of their fading credibility trying to ignore or downplay the problem.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Is This What Falling Through the Floor Looks Like in Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
While last week brought us higher stock prices, Thursday and Friday were bad days for the bulls. And little wonder, as the technical deterioration continues to play out. Looking at both the closing prices on Friday and today’s premarket action, how close to the end in this correction are we?
Let’s check yesterday’s price action in the weekly chart’s context (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend from the 2009 low continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: Uncertain. Need time to evaluate
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net
Tuesday, February 25, 2020
Has Stock Market Waterfall Event Started Or A Buying Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past 5+ days, a very clear change in market direction has taken place in the US and global markets. Prior to this, the US markets were reacting to Q4 earnings data and minimizing the potential global pandemic of the Coronavirus. The continued “rally to the peak” process was taking place and was very impressive from a purely euphoric trader standpoint. Our researchers found it amazing that the markets continued to rally many weeks after the news of economic contraction and quarantines setup in China/Asia.
Make sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter before you continue reading this or you may miss our next special report!
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 24, 2020
Dow Short-term Trend Analysis - Coronavirus Trigger a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
- Stock Market Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020
- QE4EVER
- As Goes January So Goes the Year
- Short-term Trend Analysis
- Long-term Trend Analysis
- ELLIOTT WAVES
- Formulating a Stock Market Trend Forecast
- Dow Stock Market Forecast Conclusion
- TRADING THE DOW
- Will Trump Win US Presidential Election 2020?
TREND ANALYSIS
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Saturday, February 22, 2020
Stock Market Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My analysis of 30th December 2019 (Stock Market Trend Forecast Outlook for 2020) concluded in an overall outlook for the stock market for 2020 to target a trend towards 30,750 to 31,000 for a gain of between 8% to 9% for the year. This acts as a road map against which to measure relative strength or weakness as the Dow charts it's trend through the year.
A linear trend to 31,000 by end of 2020 would price the Dow at 28,830 today, against the last close of 29,102 which shows +272 point deviation against the linear trend, despite early January's surge to +750 that many had taken to imply 30,000 was just around the corner, instead resolving in a -600 deviation.
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Saturday, February 22, 2020
The Shanghai Composite and Coronavirus: A Revealing Perspective / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
China's Shanghai Composite has been in a large-scale downtrend for about 13 years.
So, when the news of the coronavirus outbreak hit, it came as less of a shock to Elliott Wave International's global analysts.
You may ask, "What in the world does one have to do with the other?"
Our just-published February Global Market Perspective provides insight:
When a major infectious disease breaks out, we find that a stock market correction has usually preceded it. That observation is germane right now because China's Shanghai Composite has been tracing out a large-degree correction since its peak in 2007 and, not coincidentally, China has experienced numerous outbreaks of highly lethal infectious diseases over the 13-years-and-counting period.
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Saturday, February 22, 2020
Baltic Dry, Copper, Oil, Tech and China Continue Call for Stock Market Crash Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Clive_Maund
Technical analyst Clive Maund takes a hard look at various charts and sees an impending breakdown of commodity and tech markets.
In this update we are going to review a small but important range of commodities and lead indicators that strongly suggest the seemingly endless bull market in U.S. equities is living on borrowed time and will end sooner rather than later. Given how long it has lasted and how extremely overvalued the market has become, the downturn will likely start with a crash phase.
Regardless of what the eventual impact of the coronavirus epidemic is, U.S. stock markets, in particular, seem to be in a state of denial about the actual real-world consequences of the Chinese shutdown and its impact on the global supply chain and corporate profitability everywhere, and some elements even seem to be gloating about China's misfortune and predicament, completely oblivious to the fact that this is going to have a negative impact on almost everyone.
The following points were made by a reader, and while I don't necessarily concur with all he has written, I am open to the possibility that all or much of this may be correct, and if it is, we are looking at serious problems emerging before much longer.
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Saturday, February 22, 2020
Is The Technology Sector FANG Stocks Setting Up For A Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
FANG stocks seem uniquely positioned for some extreme rotation over the next 6+ months. The continued capital shift that has taken place over the past 5+ years has driven investment and capital into the Technology sector – much like the DOT COM rally. The euphoric rally in the late 1990s seems quite similar to today.
The biggest difference this time is that global central banks have pushed an easy-money monetary policy since just after 2000. The policies and rallies that took place after 9/11 were a result of policies put in place by George W. Bush and Alan Greenspan. Our research team believes these policies set up a process where foreign markets gorged on cheap US Dollars to expand industry and manufacturing throughout the late 1990s and most of the early 2000s. This process sets up a scenario where the US pumped US Dollars into the global markets after the 9/11 terrorist attacks and foreign markets gobbled this capital up knowing they could expand infrastructure, industry, and manufacturing, then sell these products back to the US and other markets for profits. Multiple QE attempts by the US Fed continued to fuel this capital shift.
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