Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, July 05, 2011
Stock Market Rally Shows Bull Market Still Has Some Kick Left / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
U.S. stocks ripped higher every day of the past week following positive news on U.S. manufacturing, Greek sovereign debt and an absolutely epic amount of short-covering.
The past week's rally has shown at least that the spirit of the bull market still lives. It rarely pays to be bearish for more than a few weeks at a time, and even then only very selectively. So long-term investors need to keep their eyes on the on the horizon until sellers can prove their moxie.
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Tuesday, July 05, 2011
Stock Market Rally Overbought, Correction Likely / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive, cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which evolved into a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Monday, July 04, 2011
Stock Market Flashing A Buy Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I hope you fellow Canadians had a great Canada Day long weekend and Happy Independence Day to those south of the boarder!A couple weeks back on June 19th I posted my analysis on how the stock market was bottoming and that we needed a couple key sectors to participate before we would get a solid bounce. You can quickly review the charts here if you like: http://www.thegoldandoilguy.com/....
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Monday, July 04, 2011
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis, Bear Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Dr_John_Trapp
That is the question. Is this a Wave 2 or Wave B or a deeper or much deeper correction, or is this the beginning of a Wave 5 that will take us to new heights. My bottom line position is that this is the beginning of Wave 5 that will take us to a new high. I base this in part on looking at other indices, but will show you both sides of the argument.
Saturday, July 02, 2011
Stock Market New Uptrend ... Higher Highs Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
An eventful week as the US market had its biggest upsurge since early July 2010. Economic reports ended the week with a positive bias too: positives outpacing negatives 9 to 6. On the negative side: the monetary base, WLEI, construction spending, consumer sentiment, and consumer confidence all declined.
Saturday, July 02, 2011
Stock Market On a Roll, FX Correlations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: WavePatternTraders
Impressive is the best word to describe the rally, in what has became one of the biggest 5 days rallies in history, I had to go back to Nov 2005 to find anything remotely like it, although I was actively looking for the reversal. (read the last 2 articles) to see such a huge rally like that, I think blew most traders away, hence the word impressive gets randomly used, but in this case it fits well.
Unless you have been living in a cave for the past few days, the market has made mince meat of traders that never respected the trend change, its only after 3-4 days that traders are finally accepting the trend has changed.
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Saturday, July 02, 2011
Stock Market Climbing Against The Herd....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Markets have a way of making everyone look bad or foolish. Just when you think one trend is firmly established, and there's no hope for the other side of the game, things turn. Euphoria can turn to despair and despair can turn to euphoria in the blink of an eye. Literally! When the market was pulling down hard, seemingly every day, the negativity could be felt everywhere by everyone. You could see it in people's faces and you could hear in their voices when confronting them on how things were going. The first thing they'd bring up is things look bad for me as my 401k, etc., is getting annihilated. They had a long look on their faces as if they just lost a dear one. People take the market seriously, and when it goes against them, they feel the pain. In the last two weeks the looks have changed as has the sense of well being. No longer in desperate straits they are now feeling a bit more euphoric, although cautious for sure.
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Saturday, July 02, 2011
Stock Market Summer Rally Arrived On Schedule! / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Sy_Harding
It’s remarkable how consistently the market moves in seasonal patterns.
For example, it tends to make most of its gains in the winter months and experience most of its corrections in the summer months, as expressed in the old adage ‘Sell in May and Go Away’.
Friday, July 01, 2011
How A Credit Market Prices In Economic Recession / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
In a prior post I compared the 2007 SPX topping pattern to the current May 2011 high. The assumption being the US economy is on the verge of an economic recession now as it was in December 07 when the recession officially began. The similarities were unquestionable (chart below). The unknown is are we building point E. Those believing recession is at hand will say yes, those saying it is a soft patch will say no.
Friday, July 01, 2011
Derivatives: A Capital Markets Gong Show For Whom The Bell Tolls / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Rob_Kirby
Back in early March, 2011 – PIMCO’s Bill Gross were calling for much higher rates and telling the world that they were selling U.S. Government Bonds.
PIMCO's Bill Gross Says to Sell U.S. Treasuries Now
03/03/2011
……To wit, he predicts that when the Fed’s QE2 bond-buying binge ends at the end of June, there will be nobody to take the Fed’s place as last-resort buyer of U.S. Treasuries at artificially low rates. Treasury yields will need to ramp up sharply by 1.5 percentage points to attract private buyers. Given that the ten-year U.S. Treasury is currently yielding only 3.5%, a 1.5 percentage point jump would equal a 43% increase in interest rates (1.5/3.5). That’s a big move in interest-rate land and would have a significantly negative effect on bond prices.
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Friday, July 01, 2011
U.S. Dollar Speaks While Gold, Silver, Oil and S&P500 Listen / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
Investors and traders alike were watching the action unfold across the pond earlier this week. It was seemingly a foregone conclusion that Greece would get the bailout they desired in order to prevent a potentially catastrophic default. The Greek default situation increased volatility in financial markets around the world. In addition to the Greek dilemma, the end of the 2nd quarter and the customary window dressing by institutional money managers only heightened the volatile situation.
Thursday, June 30, 2011
Dumb Monkeys And The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
Rally, as forecast by the indicators. Two market sayings perplex me: Only monkeys pick bottoms; No-one rings a bell at the bottom.
Thursday, June 30, 2011
I am Not a Ninja Assassin Who Brings Down Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Bloomberg
Carson Block of Muddy Waters spoke to Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker about Sino-Forest earlier today. Block said he is still short Sino-Forest and that he isn't a "ninja assassin" who brings down stocks. He thinks of himself as someone who is "protecting investors."
Thursday, June 30, 2011
The Personality of Stock Market Waves / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: EWI
Elliott waves don't merely reflect prices plotted over time. Each wave has its own "personality." Listen to this video by EWI's Wayne Gorman to learn more about the psychology behind the waves and how it affects your investment decisions.
Thursday, June 30, 2011
Three Ways to Slash Your Risk ... And Still Make a Killing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: With everything from the Greek debt crisis to worries about China's growth roiling the markets these days, the investing outlook seems to get shakier by the minute. And that means the same old tricks won't work any longer.
It's not going to be enough, for example, to simply pick stocks or spread your risk among large-cap, small-cap and a blend of domestic and international stocks and bonds thrown in for good measure.
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Thursday, June 30, 2011
Possible Stock Market Bottom as Key Sectors Breaking Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The past month we have seen stocks pick up momentum to the down side after an already very weak month prior (May - Sell in May and go away). This second wave of high volume selling in June was enough to spook the masses out of the market shifting the sentiment from bullish to bearish. But just recently we are starting to see big money accumulate stocks down at these oversold prices, which has me thinking we just may be headed higher sooner than later.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 30, 2011
How the Stock Market Prices In Recession / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
I'm not going to even begin to try and make sense out of today's market. Watching fires burn and teargas fired in Greece, 100 pip moves in the EUR/USD in minutes and computer algos tripping over each other was surreal beyond words. This market right now is a lottery. Calling equities forward looking or a pricing mechanism is beyond ridiculous.
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Investors Around The World Monitoring Expiration Of QE2 / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Jeb_Handwerger
We are witnessing an important watershed in world history with the unwinding of QE2. Every citizen no matter where, has a ready camera eye on the world, carried in his smart phone case. Even more so does the internet provide the anvil for major nations to forge economic strategies. "Swords are being hammered into cybershares."
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Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Goldman Sucks, Risk Trade Returns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Adam_Brochert
The "risk on" trade seems to have returned. It may last 2 weeks or it may last 8, potentially even a few more. It may even be good for a new high in "advanced" Western markets like the United States. Everyone knows Greece is going to blow up, along with lots of other countries.
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Stock Market Volatility Skew Still Shows Complacency / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Tony_Pallotta
I continue to "obsess" about the volatility skew. For those new to the skew and what is means please read here first. After the May 2010 correction the skew and vix both converged and continued to correlate for the most part through August 2010. Since that time they have diverged as some investors began buying further out of the money options versus the masses who continue to sell volatility whether as a form of speculation (selling puts) or simply ignoring the need for portfolio insurance.Read full article... Read full article...