Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, July 14, 2011
How the Stock Market Market Prices In Recession / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Recently I compared the 2007 equity topping pattern to that of the current market. The premise being today as in 2007 the US economy is quite possibly entering economic recession. Long gone are the days of equity markets being forward looking as proven in 2007 when they peaked just two months before contraction began. A similar pattern is also playing out in the 10 year treasury.
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Thursday, July 14, 2011
The Long Wave Deflation Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Deflation
David Knox Barker is one of the leading authorities on the economic long wave, otherwise known as the Kondratieff Wave (a.k.a. "K Wave"). Barker has had an impressive career both as a financial market writer and long wave analyst, as well as being an entrepreneur in the emerging field of nanotechnology.
Back in the late 1980s and '90s, Barker was known for his insightful and accurate views on the U.S. economy and financial markets via his K Wave Report newsletter. Today he shares his views on the global financial market and economic outlook through his Long Wave Dynamics Letter.
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Thursday, July 14, 2011
Stock Market Panic Levels, the VIX, and the NYSE New Lows... / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Many regard the VIX as a measurement of fear and panic levels in the market. But, how do you really know what the fear level is?
One way is to keep an eye on the NYSE (New York Stock Exchange) New Lows for the day. As fear levels rise, the daily number of New Lows should also be rising ... if they aren't, then you have to question how much fear is really in the market.
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Thursday, July 14, 2011
Stock Markets Trapped in a Contracting Fibonacci Spiral Towards Point of Singularity 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Today's article focuses on an “Aha moment”, while drinking a bottle of home made Port with a visiting friend . Fibonacci sequences were discovered by Fibonacci around 1200 AD...it is only recently that Fibonacci ratios, such as the golden ratio (1.618) were found to exist within the framework of the Universe and evolution of life. Robert Prechter has written volumes of extraordinary articles and books dealing with Fibonacci numbers etc. So I will assume that most readers are familiar with concepts. The Fibonacci sequence is 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 33, 55, 89 etc. Which is based upon no, ni+no.... nj..Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Stock Market Trend Expectations, Anticipate, Monitor and Adjust / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
During the 2002-2007 bull market, equity markets around the world were in impulsive five wave long term uptrends. The fifteen world markets we track had some periods of concern, from time to time, but they all recovered and continued higher. Check the charts using this link, and scroll through pages 7 – 9: http://stockcharts.com/def/...
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Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Are Floundering U.S. Debt Ceiling Talks Causing or Reflecting Uncertainty? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
The chart below – courtesy stockcharts.com – is one example of various currency charts that are giving technical buy or sell signals
These “tentative” breakouts may be symptomatic of a much broader scenario
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Wednesday, July 13, 2011
The Hunt for Eurozone's Own Lehman Bros That Could Trigger Financial Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Does the Eurozone have its own American International Group Inc. (NYSE: AIG), or worse, its own Lehman Bros. when it comes to Greece?
I believe it does.
Why else would the European Union have bent over backwards to "save" a member nation that: A) Accounts for 2.01% of the EU by trade volume; and B) Would essentially be like letting Montana go out of business - no offense to Montanans or Montana!
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Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Merger Mania Returns to Natural Gas Sector / Stock-Markets / Natural Gas
Kent Moors writes: Today we're going out into the Moroccan desert to evaluate shale gas fields here. It's early morning, and I am now awaiting my "ride."
They tell me his name is Saad, which means "happiness" in Arabic. Seems a strange name for what I'm still hoping is a Jeep.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Is Brazil Stock Market Putting Up A Bearish Warning Flag? / Stock-Markets / Brazil
Brazil's Bovespa stock market index closed at fresh lows today. It's rally off the early July low was far weaker than that of most other major world markets. A look at the chart shows that a significant level of support going back to October of 2009 was violated in today's selloff.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Stock Market Reversal Time From Overbought... Italy/Jobs... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
When a market needs to sell it will sell. You had the combination of overbought stochastics, overbought RSI's, and overbought MACD's on all the daily charts. In addition, you also had overbought 60-minute charts across the board repeatedly. Never good to stay that overbought for so long. The market needed to sell off those 99 stochastic readings on the daily index charts along with 70 RSI's. News needed to come along to expedite that process. First, we had the poor Jobs Report on Friday, which started the ball rolling down the hill. The selling was far from bad. Then we had Italy debt problems over the weekend, and that was the final ingredient necessary to get things rolling down the hill quite a bit faster.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Don’t Miss Your Chance to Catch the Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Many people missed the market’s enormous appreciation during the latest equity bull market because they were late to the game or chose to sit on the sidelines. The sideline is a crowded place these days as investors have been reluctant to fully embrace equities.
Household savings for the past 12 months totaled $711 billion, the highest level ever recorded in dollar terms. You can see from the chart that’s roughly double the amount of savings recorded following the Tech Bubble. In fact, household debt-to-savings ratios are currently at levels so low, they’ve not been seen since the mid-1990s.
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Monday, July 11, 2011
Profits and Commodities Part of Mixed Picture for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
In a volatile environment, it is helpful to take a step back and look at the bigger picture. There are serious problems with debt in the United States and Europe, which are representative of the negative side of the bull-bear debate. On the positive side, companies are doing well and the technical picture of stocks remains firmly in bull market territory. According to Bloomberg:
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Monday, July 11, 2011
Stocks Cyclical Bull Market Topping Process / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
As many of you know I believe that we have begun the topping process of this cyclical bull market. In a healthy market an intermediate decline is a profit-taking event after a significant leg up. It should hold well above the prior intermediate bottom. The decline into the June low was not a profit-taking event. The market had not rallied long enough or far enough to warrant an intermediate correction and certainly not one that would test the March lows. The decline in May and June was the first shot over the bow that something is wrong with the fundamentals driving this market.
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Monday, July 11, 2011
Stock Market Quiet Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
DOW
It was a quiet week that never really got going till right at the end, and it needed a “hot” print from the NFP figures to get the markets energized and awake from their slumber.
I think the rally over the past 2 weeks has surprised many with its speed and strength, and yet I still read many trying to top tick the rally, to the extend they still don’t believe in the rally.
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Monday, July 11, 2011
U.S. Dollar Could Send Stocks and Commodities Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
It’s been an exciting couple months as stocks and commodities have moved like they are a roller coaster at a theme park. We all know every good roller coaster has a few monster hills which make their clients scream in fear/excitement that’s what it’s all about!
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Monday, July 11, 2011
Stock Market Near Term Consolidation Has Begun / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive, cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which evolved into a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Sunday, July 10, 2011
Stock Market Winning Week...Losing Economy... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The stock market enjoyed a winning week to be sure, although the economy suffered a knockout on the losing side. The Jobs Report, which came out today, was supposed to show job growth of 125,000 jobs. The number came in at only 18,000. To make matters worse, and to show you how tough it is to keep a job at a good salary, wages fell. They were supposed to rise 0.2%, but actually fell. This is not the sign of a healthy economy, and many are suffering. I'm sure all of you out there know of someone, or many, who are in dire trouble these days. It is really sad and it doesn't seem to be getting any better. Bad times in our economy for sure. However, Wall Street and Main Street often live in two separate worlds. One can be acting very poorly, while the other is doing very well.
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Sunday, July 10, 2011
Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
After the July 4th holiday the market seemed to struggle this week. Tuesday and wednesday were about flat. Then thursday gapped up ending with a new uptrend high, and friday gapped down giving all of thursday’s gains back before a rally into the close. The economic news seemed to reflect the market action ending with 4 positive reports and 5 negative. On the positive side: factory orders swung back into the black, the ADP index was up nicely, wholesale inventories improved, as did the weekly jobless claims.
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Friday, July 08, 2011
The Case for the Future Direction of SPX Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
A few weeks ago traders and market prognosticators were frantically trying to determine if the S&P 500 would hold the 200 period moving average. As it turns out, the 200 period moving was able to hold sellers in check. After a few days of grinding around, the S&P 500 pushed higher. The price action has been spectacular the past two weeks and the S&P 500 could potentially breakout to new 2011 highs. Only Mr. Market can push prices to the brink of disaster only to have them break to new highs in a matter of weeks.
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Friday, July 08, 2011
Financial Markets Shocker, Jobs Are Down and Unemployment's Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Hello traders everywhere, Adam Hewison co-founder of MarketClub just posted his afternoon update for Friday the 8th of July. It was a shocker!
The video is timely, actionable and best of all...FREE!
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