Monday, June 11, 2018

Inflation to Skyrocket When Fed Reverts to New QE & Interest Rate Cuts / Stock-Markets / Inflation

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies joins me examine what’s happening beneath the surface in the markets right now, and why we should all be very leery of putting too much stock into what we’re hearing from the mainstream financial media these days regarding the economy. Don’t miss another sensational interview with Michael Pento, coming up after this week’s market update.

Gold prices see-sawed around the $1,300 level this week as silver prices advanced to 7-week highs. As of this Friday recording, gold trades at $1,298 an ounce, up 0.2% for the week. Silver prices come in at $16.75, good for a 1.8% weekly gain.

Monday, June 11, 2018

Stock Market Topping Pattern or Just Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks traded within a short-term consolidation on Friday, as investors took some profits off the table following the recent advance. The broad stock market accelerated its uptrend after breaking above three-week-long consolidation a week ago. Will it continue its uptrend or is this some topping pattern ahead of downward reversal? There are still two possible medium-term scenarios.

The U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.1-0.3% on Friday, as they fluctuated following the recent advance. The S&P 500 index remained close to its mid-March local high of around 2,800. It currently trades 3.9% below January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.3%, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.1%, as it was relatively weaker than the broad stock market on Friday.

Monday, June 11, 2018

Study: What Happens Next to Stocks When the Put/Call Ratio is Very Low / Forecasts / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The Equity-Only Put/Call Ratio was very low last Tuesday, falling below 0.5 for the first time since January 2018. This is commonly seen as a bearish sign. It isn’t. Here’s the data to prove it.

Monday, June 11, 2018

UK Average Two-year Tracker Mortgage Interest Rates Fall / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report data (not yet published) shows that the average two-year tracker rate has fallen for the third consecutive month to reach 1.92%, the lowest it has been since the base rate rise back in November

Monday, June 11, 2018

G7 Chaos, Central Banks and US Fed Will Drive Stock Prices This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

After last weeks closing bell for stocks and the early signs of the Capital Market Shift which we mentioned previously was taking place are now clearly evident. We wanted to alert all of our followers that this week could be very dramatic with a number of key events playing into global expectations.

Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. have been combing through the charts trying to find hints of what may happen and what to expect in terms of price volatility next week.  We know our ADL price modeling system is telling us that certain price weakness will continue in certain sectors and strength in others – but we are searching for the next opportunities for great trades.

Monday, June 11, 2018

Is It 2016 Again For U.S. Equities, Emerging Markets And Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

Bears seem to be roaming wherever you look, whether it be in the US equity market, the gold market, and especially in the emerging markets as of recently. Whether I read articles, or the comments to those articles, it seems there is a common expectation that “emerging market dominoes are falling” and it will “cause deleveraging and contagion” across portfolios worldwide.

It certainly sounds like a dire situation is developing in the world today. Does it not?

Monday, June 11, 2018

SPX Unshackled / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 has ended and a new intermediate uptrend has started with the bottoming of the 40-wk cycle on 5/29.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Monday, June 11, 2018

When Trump Met Fibonacci And Won / Politics / GeoPolitics

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Something curious happened during the Trump love fest at the G7 over the weekend. And I don’t think many people would have got it. In fact the entire western press, far as I could see, were blaming Trump for the dissolution of the treaties and whatall that the political class had worked so hard on for 50+ years.

But when you look at the whole thing from an energy level, Trump obviously won hands down. Merkel, Macron and Trudeau had no idea what to do with such a disruptive figure -though it could hardly have been a surprise to them- and so they sort of cowered back into a defensive posture as a group, saying Trump shouldn’t rock their boat. But that’s what he came there to do.

Monday, June 11, 2018

FREE Theme Park Entry with Cadbury's Choc's! Legoland, Alton Towers, Chessington.... / Personal_Finance / Theme Parks

By: Anika_Walayat

The school summer holidays are only a few weeks away and families are busy planning their holidays that usually include many trips to Britain's Theme parks where the king of UK attractions is Merlin with it's 32 theme parks spread out across the UK. We'll here is some great money saving news for you all as Cadbury's are running their theme parks promotion again that allows entry into the UK's top theme parks for the whole of 2018 for FREE! So plenty of time to use the coupons to gain entry into 14 UK theme parks that include Alton Towers, Legoland, Chessington, the Dungeon, Sea Life, Shreks Adventure and Madame Tussaud's etc... See the video for details.

Sunday, June 10, 2018

Stock Market Could Pullback for 1-2 weeks, But Medium Term Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

As always, the economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why the stock market could pullback for 1-2 weeks, but the medium term is bullish.

Let’s go from the long term, to the medium term, to the short term.

Long term is bullish

The Medium-Long Term Model states that there is no “significant correction” or bear market for U.S. equities on the horizon.

Sunday, June 10, 2018

End of the World Stock Market Chart! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

I have only one chart to show you tonight which I call the “History Chart of the End of the World,” which I built out in 2013. I usually show this chart a couple of times a year just to keep the big picture in perspective. This long term monthly chart shows all the earth shattering events that felt like the end of the world when they occurred and I can personally attest to that fact because I was in the markets in each one of those events.

The crash into the 2009 low was the last time we had anything that really felt like it would be a life changing event similar to the 1929 crash. As you can see, that end of the world event in 2009, formed the fourth reversal point in that 10 year blue triangle consolidation pattern. The last slightly little thing to put a scare into investors was the BREXIT vote in early 2016 that turned out to be a non event. Most have already forgotten about it, but for several weeks it was big news.

Sunday, June 10, 2018

All US Homes Are Overvalued / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Raul_I_Meijer

My long time pal Jesse Colombo, now at Real Investment Advice, recently linked on Twitter to a Zero Hedge article, which quoted CoreLogic as saying more than half of American homes are overvalued. CoreLogic calls itself “a leading provider of consumer, financial and property data, analytics and services to business and government.”

Well, CoreLogic is way off. All American homes are overvalued. How can we tell? It’s easy. It’s so easy it’s perhaps no wonder that people overlook the reasons why. But we all know them: The Fed has pushed some $20 trillion down the throats of the financial system. It has also lowered interest rates to near zero Kelvin. Then the government added a “relaxation” of lending standards and an upward tweak of credit scores. And Bob’s your uncle.

Sunday, June 10, 2018

Thorpe Theme Park London Car Park Exit Nightmare - Drivers Beware! / ConsumerWatch / Theme Parks

By: N_Walayat

Summer is here and families will be busy planning multiple visits to Britains theme parks, where the number 1 UK operator is the Merlin group with it's 32 theme parks and attractions including 10 or so in and around London, which includes Thorpe Park situated in Chertsey. However, motorists need to be fully aware of the nightmare that is this theme parks car park! As was our recent experience when we visited Thorpe Park for the first and LAST time! So whilst the theme park itself was great, especially the Walking Dead rides and attractions, unfortunately the living nightmare continued AFTER the park rides closed as the park becoming a dangerous nightmare to escape!

Saturday, June 09, 2018

Gold Price Summer Doldrums / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

Early summer is the weakest time of the year seasonally for gold, silver, and their miners’ stocks.  With traders’ attention diverted to vacations and summer fun, their precious-metals interest and investment demand wane considerably.  Thus this entire sector, and often the markets in general, suffer a seasonal lull this time of year.  But these summer doldrums offer the best seasonal buying opportunities of the year.

This doldrums term is very apt for gold’s summer predicament.  It describes a zone in the world’s oceans surrounding the equator.  There hot air is constantly rising, creating long-lived low-pressure areas.  They are often calm, with little or no prevailing winds.  History is full of accounts of sailing ships getting trapped in this zone for days or even weeks, unable to make any headway.  The doldrums were murder on ships’ morale.

Saturday, June 09, 2018

How to Prepare for Economic Uncertainty with Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Chris Marcus of Arcadia Economics speaks with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable about what investors can do to prepare for economic uncertainty.

Maurice Jackson: Today we will cover equity markets in a clever, simple way to hedge your portfolio. Joining us for conversation is Chris Marcus, of Arcadia Economics.

Who is Arcadia Economics, and what is your underlying thesis?

Chris Marcus: Arcadia Economics is what I started after leaving Wall Street back in 2012 where I was sitting on the New York Stock Exchange when everything was imploding in 2008 and 2009. Eventually I started reading Austrian economics, realizing that things actually work quite a bit differently than we were told. I really left to share what I saw, which on one hand, I think is incredible, because if you're giving the real version of how interest rates affect the markets and all these things are interconnected, it sometimes may be of a longer perspective. But it reminds me of Grays Sports Almanac in "Back to the Future," where if you can understand that if the banks do this with the money supply, then you can get what's going to happen.

Saturday, June 09, 2018

5 "Tells" that the Stock Markets Are About to Reverse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

Our friends at Elliott Wave International (elliottwave.com) just released a new, free report: "5 'Tells' that the Markets Are About to Reverse”. It reveals many false indicators – a.k.a. “head fakes” -- investors like you and me see every hour of every day.

Saturday, June 09, 2018

Billionaire Schools Teacher in NAFTA Trade Talks / Politics / Protectionism

By: Richard_Mills

What’s the best way to deal with a teacher who comes into your school and starts threatening all the other teachers? Well if you’re Liberal party leader, and Canada’s Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau, the answer is to lecture the bullying teacher about how his approach isn’t the way to get along with all the other teachers. If you’re the bully, you’re not going to listen to that, and instead, will react to the head teacher’s scolding by insulting him, or maybe putting him in a headlock. If that doesn’t work in getting your way, you could try to turn the other teachers against each other, dealing with them separately instead of with the whole teaching staff. “Divide and conquer” works well for bullies.

This little analogy is how we might look at the way Donald Trump has manipulated Canada and Mexico into a situation where not only have they failed to recognize and counter a typical Trump “art of the deal” strategy in coming up with a renewed tri-lateral trade agreement, but where the two countries may now be forced to negotiate separate trade deals with their largest trading partner. How did we get here and what does this ratcheted-up trade war mean for Canada, the United States and investors? This article will address these questions.

Saturday, June 09, 2018

Land Rover Discovery Sport ECO Mode Real World Driving MPG Fuel Economy / ConsumerWatch / Motoring

By: N_Walayat

This is the latest video in our Land Rover Discovery Sport's series that answers the question of what to expect in terms of fuel economy for this great looking and Land Rover model as compared against Land Rovers sales pitch of 53.3MPG, which in reality no one really expects to achieve, still 40MPG for a fairly new car should be achievable should it not? Well find out in our real conditions world test of driving 1100 miles in ECO Mode so as to maximise fuel economy that answers what one should expect from a 18 month old Land Rover Discovery Sport where the driving was approx 50% on motorways (50-70 mph) and the balance in city driving.

Friday, June 08, 2018

Crude Oil Bullish Weekly Reversal vs. Bearish Monthly Reversal / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Crude oil moved significantly lower after topping at long-term retracement levels and since the monthly decline took place on big volume (biggest in almost a year), the black gold should move lower. But instead of moving lower this week, it seems to be forming a weekly bullish reversal. The individual daily volume levels were not low this week, so if the bullish reversal does indeed form, we’ll have a quite reliable bullish signal. Will the monthly bearish sign be invalidated? Will crude oil rally shortly?

Friday, June 08, 2018

Fed’s Interest Rate Hike is Short term Bearish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The Fed is expected to hike interest rates next Wednesday.

Rate hikes in the current rate hike cycle have been a short term bearish factor for the stock market. The stock market has tended to go down or swing sideways during the next 2 weeks after a rate hike.

Here’s what happened to the S&P 500 after each rate hike in the current rate hike cycle.