Thursday, February 07, 2019
The Global Economy Has Run Off a Cliff… and the Stock Markets Know It / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Graham_Summers
Stocks continue to live in la la land.
While the media and investment herd celebrate a V-shaped stock recovery based on the Fed admitting things are far worse than previously known, more and more signals are appearing that the global economy has run off a cliff.
Germany and France are bordering on recession. Italy is definitively already in recession. Japan is on the verge of another contraction. And China is facing a systemic collapse (real GDP growth is 2%, not the ridiculous 6% they claim).
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Wednesday, February 06, 2019
Higher Interest Rates & Market Risks Require Active, Careful Investment Management / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up Axel Merk of Merk Investments joins me for a terrific conversation about gold, the Fed, stocks and the dollar. And find out why he believes investors will soon realize that it DOES matter again about where you put your money. Don’t miss my interview with Axel Merk, coming up after this week’s market update.
Gold and silver markets closed out the month of January on a high note as the Federal Reserve signaled it would back off on further rate hikes.
On Wednesday, Fed policymakers voted unanimously to leave the central bank’s benchmark interest rate unchanged. Fed chairman Jerome Powell cited recent weakness in economic growth forecasts.
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Wednesday, February 06, 2019
Global Debt: This Time Will Be Different / Politics / Global Debt Crisis 2019
By: John_Mauldin
For almost 40 years, we’ve lived in an era of low rates and easy money. It let governments and businesses worldwide run up piles of debt.
Global debt could easily reach $500 trillion in a few years. And yet everyone acts like that is normal and can continue.
Just like subprime mortgage debt triggered the last recession, corporate debt will trigger the next one. This will start a liquidity crisis and create havoc in all sorts of “unrelated” markets.
Wednesday, February 06, 2019
A Cold War with China Spells Trouble for Stocks / Politics / China US Conflict
By: John_Mauldin
Last week, George Soros said that we are in a cold war with China that could turn into a hot war. While Soros and I don’t often agree on politics, I did find my head nodding at times in his latest CNBC interview.Then Luke Gromen of Forest for the Trees wrote about change in the geopolitical climate, which is not his usual beat.
Gromen argues that US national security may be more important than risk asset performance for the first time in decades.
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Wednesday, February 06, 2019
Donald Tusk States " There is a Special Place in Hell for Brexit Campaigners" FULL Video / Politics / BrExit
By: N_Walayat
In a shocking statement, European Commission President Donald Tusk today in a press conference effectively stated that "there was a special place in hell for Brexit campaigners" as the following video of the FULL statement illustrates. The EU effectively declaring war on the people of Northern Ireland (Ulster), as it is now to be known as the Island of Ireland with no distinction between Northern Ireland and Eire.
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Wednesday, February 06, 2019
The New Cold War and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Richard_Mills
In December President Trump pounded out a tweet that raised a lot of eyebrows in the Twitterverse. It had to do with America’s defense spending, perceived by Trump to be much too high. He wrote:
Didn’t Trump campaign on a stronger military, to crack down on ISIS? To make America safer again? He did, and so the head-scratching began. It was especially odd considering that Trump signed off on a HUGE increase in defense spending in August. The 2019 National Defense Spending Authorization Act has a budget of $717 billion that will raise America’s troop levels to the highest in a decade. The NDSAA allocated $616.9 billion for the Pentagon, $69 billion for overseas operations and $21.9 billion for nuclear weapons programs.
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Wednesday, February 06, 2019
Crude Oil – The Ground Is Starting to Shake / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Yesterday we witnessed a good attempt to move to the downside. The sellers were partially rebutted. How did the big picture stand the test of yesterday and what are we to do about it?
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Wednesday, February 06, 2019
Olympus TG-5 Underwater Swimming Pool Video Test - Waterproof Tough Camera Review / ConsumerWatch / Technology
By: HGR
Here is our 7th REAL user video review of the Olympus Tough TG-5 Camera, where we test to see if it lives up to its primary sales pitch of being waterproof by plunging the camera into a swimming pool for the first time! So find out what the quality of the video and sound is like from the TG-5 once its been plunged under water a few times.
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Wednesday, February 06, 2019
Importance of CompTIA A+ 220-902 Exam and A+ Certification / Personal_Finance / Education
By: Submissions
In the fast-paced world, technology has changed the way we live and work. Individuals who are planning for a career or thinking of a career, networking technology are sure to provide greater prospects. Computer networking has become an important part of the most business. To meet the requirements and work with much better networking degrees and certifications have now become mandatory. There is a multitude of training centers and online courses that offer these certifications. One such exam is CompTIA A+ 220-902 Exam.
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Tuesday, February 05, 2019
LBMA’s Forecasters Are Modestly Bullish on Gold. And You? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The LBMA published its annual forecast survey for precious metals prices in 2019. Gold prices range from $1,150 to $1,475. Who is right?
Gold Prices Will Modestly Increase
As one year ago, the views of 30 precious market analysts in this year’s forecasts are strongly divergent. The average price of gold is projected to be $1,311.71 , so it is expected to be around the current level (when we write this Gold News Monitor, the price of gold amounts to $1,320.70). It implies a modest increase of 1.8 percent compared to the average price in the first half of January 2019 (when the forecasts have been done), and higher jump of 3.4 percent from the average price in 2018. However, the projected trading range for gold is between $1,150 and $1,475, or $325. So, prepare yourself for a really interesting year for the gold market!
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Tuesday, February 05, 2019
This Will Confirm The Gold Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Hubert_Moolman
Gold is moving closer to confirming a multi-year bull market per my long-term comparison. A decisive mover higher than the $1375 area would be confirmation of the bull.
Below, is the updated long-term comparison:
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Tuesday, February 05, 2019
This Stock Market Rally is Crazy, It Can’t Keep Going On! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P is now almost at its 200 day moving average. After a very rapid decline in December 2018, the stock market is making an equally rapid rally right now. Extremes happen in both directions.
This has been a V shaped recovery.
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Tuesday, February 05, 2019
A Crash is Coming - Bonds Yields, Oil and Credit Are Rolling Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Graham_Summers
Let’s cut through the nonsense.
The only reason that stocks are rallying is because investors are hoping the Fed has reinstated its policy of inflating stocks…
However, HOPE is very different from reality. And the Fed hinting at halting its rate hikes and possibly altering the schedule of QT is VERY different from cutting rates and engaging in QE.
Put simply, a Fed that says it might be less hawkish is not a dovish Fed. And the markets know it, though stocks always “get it last.”
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Tuesday, February 05, 2019
Debt Can’t Save China Anymore / Economics / China Debt Crisis
By: John_Mauldin
The 2008 financial crisis hit China hard, as it did everyone else.
Not every country responded like China did, though. Most couldn’t do what China did because they lacked either financial resources or political ability.
China had both. And so it launched a stimulus program of mind-boggling proportions.
Tuesday, February 05, 2019
Australia Stock Market to Enter a Very Sad Period - Update / Stock-Markets / Austrailia
By: readtheticker
The ASX has held up since 2009, and it has done this ugly!
Previous Posts
Australia to enter a very sad period
Power of Mean Reversion with the Aussie ASX
The video below explains the main fundamentals concerning the Australian equity and currency markets.
On a possible US or World recession.
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Tuesday, February 05, 2019
NewsGuard Filter Starts the Next Fake News Trend / Politics / Mainstream Media
By: BATR
Any search engine that filters content is engaged in censorship. When the tech giants were starting out they used traffic stats as a basis for popular ranking of results. Yahoo and Google provided reasonable and mostly reliable information retrieval. Those days are long gone and the fallout of banishing information or banning entire sites to a black memory hole has only one conclusion. The artificial intelligence revolution leads to the heterodoxy of the culture. Couple such algorithms with the underlying social and political bias of the technocratic snobs, who want to control a false reality, and you end up with a planet that is unable to decipher the truth.
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Monday, February 04, 2019
Two Winning Gold Trade Setups – GDXJ and ROKU / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We are not always correct in our calls about the market. Professional researchers and analysts must understand that attempting to accurately predict the future outcome of any commodity, stock, index or ETF is impossible to be 100% accurate. Yet, we are pleased that our proprietary price modeling and analysis tools continue to provide us with very clear triggers and alert us to price moves before they happen.
Today, we are sharing two recent trades we executed with our members that resulted in some decent profits. The first example is our GDXJ trade. We had been in a Long position since before the beginning of 2019 expecting Gold and Miners to rally. Our price modeling systems suggested that after price reached $1300, we may experience a brief price pause over the next 45 days or so. Thus, we pulled the profits in this trade recently to lock in 10.5% profit and to allow us to re-enter when our modeling systems suggest the price pullback has ended.
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Monday, February 04, 2019
Stocks Going Sideways, Flat Correction or Some Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stocks were mixed on Friday, as investors hesitated following the recent advances. The S&P 500 index remained above the 2,700 mark. So will the uptrend continue? Or is this a topping pattern ahead of a downward reversal?
The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -0.3% and +0.3% on Friday, as investors hesitated following the recent advances. So volatility was relatively small despite the monthly jobs data release. The S&P 500 index broke above its short-term consolidation on Wednesday and it continued slightly higher in the late last week. The market is now at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its October-December downward correction of 20.2% (2,713.88). It has gained 370 points from the late December medium-term low, but it is still around 235 points below the September 21st record high of 2,940.91. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.3% and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.3% on Friday.
The nearest important resistance level of the S&P 500 index is at 2,710-2,720, marked by the mentioned 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and Friday's daily high. The resistance level is also at 2,750-2,760. On the other hand, the support level is at 2,650, marked by the recent fluctuations. The support level is also at 2,615-2,625, marked by the short-term local lows.
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Monday, February 04, 2019
Time for a Breakout in Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
First we need to define what a breakout actually is. Its when the price breaks a pattern or a range and a new trend is therefore established.
Today, people are all too quick to refer to almost every move higher as a breakout. Just google “Gold Breakout” and you’ll see what I mean.
Sure, closing above $1300 was a breakout for Gold. But that’s hardly significant. If and when Gold surpasses the wall (resistance at $1350-$1375), it will mark a real breakout.
The good news is Gold is currently in a much better position both fundamentally and technically than it was in 2016, 2017 and 2018.
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Monday, February 04, 2019
Bitcoin Price Analysis and Trend Forecast 2019 / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
2018 was the year the bitcoin crypto bubble burst that witnessed the bitcoin price first collapse to a floor of $6000, from which each attempted bounce failed to generate any follow through, and the longer the failure for a breakout higher continued then the greater the probability that the price would eventually break lower, below the $6000 floor. Which is what transpired during November that saw Bitcoin plunge to a new low of $3,100 by Mid December, a far cry from the fantasy of first revisiting $20k and then $50k that a naive 'manipulated' Bitcoin community had pinned their hopes and dreams on whilst immersed in an endless feedback loop of perma bull bitcoin pump mania commentary, that was the mainstay of the internet during 2018, whilst the manipulators were dumping their holdings onto the naive players. Just like what the pump and dumpers have been doing with penny stocks for over 100 years!