Friday, July 26, 2019
Silver Investing Trend Analysis and Price Forecast 2019 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Formulating a Trend Forecast
The long-term picture is of the Silver price being stuck in a trading range of between $21 and $14 pending a breakout higher with the current resistance at $15.25. Then resistance at $16,25, $18.50 and finally $21.
The silver price only really tends to come alive during a monetary crisis of sorts be it financial or inflation, stock market panic etc. So is there a crisis on the horizon? Well whilst Trump's china trade war is stressing the system a bit, it's not exactly reached the point yet where each side is threatening military action and trade embargo's so we are not quite there yet. Whilst many may argue that another financial crisis is brewing out there, perhaps in student and auto loans. But again we are not quite there yet hence Silver remaining in hibernation. Whilst the US economy may be slowing, it's not exactly teetering on the brink of recession yet.
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Friday, July 26, 2019
Precious Metals Continue to Look Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
Last weekend, the important point of note was that silver had basically run out of room. It had a series of 1’s and 2’s set up for it to “melt up,” but it had to do so rather soon. Well, this past week, I would say that silver finally followed through and it took it directly to the level at which I noted on the chart was our next major resistance level. In fact, we were almost able to top tick the high of the week right at our resistance point, at which time I sent out an alert when I suspected that a pullback was imminent. Within minutes after that alert, silver began its pullback within wave iv.
The reason this is a major resistance level is that it is the 1.00 extension off the low we struck in 2018. Oftentimes, this could present us with an a-b-c corrective structure, wherein a=c. And, for this reason, I have been very cautious about silver holding over the 15.90 region. As long as it holds that support, and continues higher, it makes it less likely (but not impossible) that this rally is a corrective rally pointing us down to levels below those struck in 2018 for a final low.
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Friday, July 26, 2019
Trump Kills the Tea Party / Politics / US Politics
By: Peter_Schiff
After claiming to be the greatest at just about everything, Donald Trump has finally found an area where he can stake a credible claim. By negotiating a disastrous budget deal with Democrats, the President could become the greatest creator of government debt in the history of the country. While Trump is selling the two-year deal as a major victory because it increases military spending and removes the possibility of a government shutdown for two years, in reality, the agreement to suspend the debt ceiling and push annual deficits even further above the trillion dollar mark may only succeed in destroying the Republican Party as we know it.
The Tea Party wave of 2009 and 2010, a Republican movement born in reaction to the budget blowouts of the Obama Presidency, is now officially dead. It's ironic that as Trump hammered the final nail into the Tea Party's coffin, no one seemed happier than the corpse itself! There was hardly a word of discomfort from all the Republican Senators and Congressmen who had so loudly railed against debt when the other party occupied the White House. There is simply no legitimate way that Republicans will ever be able to argue again that they are the party of fiscal discipline. They may try, but only the most partisan and credulous voters will buy it.
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Friday, July 26, 2019
Bitcoin Wyckoff Accumulation Pattern / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: readtheticker
Many see a US recession in the first half of the 2020 decade. The first half of many previous decades suffered a recession, it is normal. But this time it may be different, well kinda different bad!
A reminder of US recessions in a first half of a decade: 1953, 1961, 1970-73, 1980-82, 1991, 2001-2002
Of course the 2007 to 2009 GFC was just short of a new decade. Yet the reader can see the trend of recessions in the first half of a decade is established, and not unusual.
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Friday, July 26, 2019
Many Stock Investors & Traders Expect a Correction Over the Next Few Months / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
After a big 7 month rally, many investors and traders are expecting a pullback/correction sometime in the next few months. This begs the question: if everyone thinks this way, will they all be right? Today’s headlines:
- A big 7 month rally.
- “The stock market today is just like 1998.”
- Volatility continues to fall.
- Semiconductors v-shaped recovery
- Gold:silver ratio continues to fall
- U.S. Dollar’s extremely low volatility
These headlines are from CNBC:
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Friday, July 26, 2019
Can Silver Lead Precious Metals Higher Still? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
It’s not true that yesterday’s session in precious metals was uneventful. While gold and mining stocks didn’t do much, silver moved a bit above its previous high, closing at a fresh 2019 high. Sounds pretty remarkable, doesn’t it? In today’s analysis, we’ll put silver’s breakout into proper perspective and examine if the white metal has much more room to run.
Let’s dive in to the silver chart. The situation there seems to have changed - but is it really the case?
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Friday, July 26, 2019
The Stock Chart That Has the Fed in a Panic / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Graham_Summers
Just what exactly is terrifying the Fed?
Over the last week, multiple Fed officials have surfaced to suggest the Fed needs to start cutting interest rates right now.
Indeed, on Thursday, John Williams, who runs the NY Fed (the branch in charge of market operations) suggested the Fed needs to cut rates to ZERO again.
Not 2%, or 1%, ZERO.
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Friday, July 26, 2019
Gold Is Your Life Insurance / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Jared_Dillian
I have always secretly wanted to work at a precious metals bullion dealer. I love gold. And silver and platinum. I love them philosophically, and I also just like shiny rocks.But if you think about it, trading metals is a really weird business.
Say you are bullish on silver and want to speculate on it, thinking it will appreciate in price. You can buy the ETF, yes, or you can buy silver miners, but the most straightforward way to invest in silver is just to buy coins or bars.
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Friday, July 26, 2019
Next Recession: The Case For A 36% Stock Market Plunge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Dan_Amerman
If there is a recession in the next one to two years, there is also likely to be another bear market for stocks. Based on their experience over their lifetimes, many investors are expecting a "normal" bear market in that event, perhaps in the 20% to 25% range in terms of losses.
However, we are not in normal times, and we have seen a fundamental change in stock valuations over the last more than twenty years. We have also seen a major change in the losses experienced in bear markets, relative to prior decades.
This analysis takes a detailed visual look at the history of the S&P 500 stock index since 1962, and shows how the fundamentals have changed since the mid 1990s. Using simple averages, it then shows why the base case for a new bear market could be a two year inflation-adjusted loss of 36%, which would exceed anything experienced in the 1960s, 1980s or 1990s.
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Thursday, July 25, 2019
Silver Price Target during the Next Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It is time to explore the details of our Gold vs. Silver ratio research and to start to understand the potential for profits within this move in precious metals. The first part of our research article highlighted the Gold vs. Silver ratio and why we believe the “reversion process” that is taking place in price could be an incredible opportunity for traders.
Historically, when the Gold vs. Silver ratio reaches an extreme level, and precious metals begin to rally, a reversion within the ratio takes place, which represents a revaluation process for silver prices compared to gold prices. This typically means that the prices of Silver will accelerate to the upside as the price of gold moves higher – resulting in a decrease in the ratio level.
This reversion process related to precious metals pricing is an opportunity for traders to take advantage of an increased pricing advantage to generate profits.
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Thursday, July 25, 2019
Silver Should Pause At $16.75 Before Next Rally Starts / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our advanced Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that the current Silver rally may be nearing a point where the price will pause and retrace a bit before advancing further. The incredible breakout rally over the past few weeks in Silver was a real surprise for many investors. The sleepy shiny metal that everyone thought was dormant broke well above the $15.50 level on huge volume and continued to rally to levels near $16.65.
We published some incredible research regarding the longer-term potential for precious metals – specifically the potential for Silver as the Gold/Silver ratio continues to decline. Please take a minute to read this research post PART I.
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Thursday, July 25, 2019
UK Heatwave - Sheffield Temperature Hit's 39.1c for Record Hottest July Day / Politics / Climate Change
By: Anika_Walayat
The UK like much of europe is experiencing a heatwave that has seen July records broken across the continent. Today, 25th of July was the UK's turn to set a string of new record highs across the land including in the city of Sheffield that busted through it's previous July high of 36c and the UK previous highest temperature of 36.7c (July 1st at heathrow airport), even beating Met office forecasts of 38.5c by hitting 39.1c during the afternoon and likely a touch higher in some locations later in the afternoon as this video from Sheffield illustrates.
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Thursday, July 25, 2019
Global Banking System Black Hole Being Exposed - PART II / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Nearly a decade ago, the globe experienced the biggest banking system failures we had seen in nearly a century. The exposure to risk that was inherent throughout the global banking system was so completely ignored that when the crisis unfolded, hardly anyone completely understood the depth of the risks at play. Could it happen again? Now?
Have foreign banking institutions extended credit and debt risks beyond safe levels again? Are Deutsche Bank risk factors going to complicate an already fractured Asia, China, and Europe? What are the signs we should be looking for in terms of extended weakness or a breaking point?
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Thursday, July 25, 2019
The Third World Is Imploding: An Argument for Investment in Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: The_Gold_Report
In this interview with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable, Jayant Bhandari presents his world view and discusses how it meshes with investment in the precious metals markets.
Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Jayant Bhandari, the founder of the world-renowned Capitalism and Morality seminar, and a highly sought-out advisor to institutional investors. Mr. Bhandari, welcome to the show, sir.
Jayant Bhandari: Thank you very much for having me, Maurice.
Maurice Jackson: Always glad to have you on our program, sir. We have a number of topics to address that are important for members of our audience to be aware of that may have an impact on their investment decisions. I would like to begin our discussion by addressing geopolitics in areas of the world that many investors and those in the media identify as emerging economies. But in previous interviews you've pointed out that these are not emerging economies but they're Third World economies, and they will remain Third World economies. Let's began in Latin America and go to Venezuela. What has your attention there and why?
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Thursday, July 25, 2019
Will Powell Cutting US Interest Rates Triggering Gold Price Rally? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Yesterday we wrote about Draghi, so today Powell is our hero. Only one week separates us from the pivotal FOMC meeting. What should gold investors expect?
First Fed Cut Since 2008
In a week, the Fed may deliver its first interest rate cut since 2008. Given the market odds, the move is practically a foregone conclusion. Futures traders assign a 100-percent probability of a cut. The bone of contention is the size of the reduction: there are 76.5-percent chances of a standard 25-basis point cut and 23.5-percent odds of a 50-basis point slash. As Powell did nothing to alter these expectations, the U.S. central bank now has to deliver a cut, if it does not want to upset the financial markets. However, the 50-basis point reduction sounds be a bit too much. The economy is not yet in recession, and you do not fire a bazooka as an insurance just in case!
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Thursday, July 25, 2019
How to Raise Brand Awareness Without the Help of Professionals / Companies / SME
By: Submissions
Absolutely all companies take actions pursuing the increase in brand awareness because solid brands guarantee a great number of loyal customers, high level of sales, and substantial profits. When the management of companies realizes that high brand awareness is the key to success, they start planning measures to increase it. Here we offer several recommendations on how to raise brand awareness and boost revenues of any business.
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Wednesday, July 24, 2019
AMAZON Web Services Tensor Flow Machine Learning Stock Investing - Video / Companies / Amazon
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Are you ready for the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend?
In this series of videos I present my Top 10 AI stocks to invest in to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend.
My Top 10 AI stocks are ranked in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. So I consider my Top 5 stocks as primary, then the next 3 as secondary and the last 2 as far more risky tertiary stocks. And remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!
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Wednesday, July 24, 2019
Financial Media Elite Defensively Bash “Useless” Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
At least the Financial Times now has come clean about its hostility to gold – as well as to free markets and elementary journalism.
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee (GATA) friend Chris Kniel of Orinda, California, sent to the newspaper's chief economic columnist, Martin Wolf, the excellent summary of gold and silver market manipulation just written by gold researcher Ronan Manly.
Wolf replied derisively and dismissively: "This is a matter of absolutely no importance whatsoever. Who cares about the prices of useless metals?"
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Wednesday, July 24, 2019
The Cheapest Way to Save the Planet Grows Like a Weed / Politics / Climate Change
By: Ellen_Brown
Planting billions of trees across the world is by far the cheapest and most efficient way to tackle the climate crisis. So states a Guardian article, citing a new analysis published in the journal Science. The author explains:
Read full article... Read full article...As trees grow, they absorb and store the carbon dioxide emissions that are driving global heating. New research estimates that a worldwide planting programme could remove two-thirds of all the emissions that have been pumped into the atmosphere by human activities, a figure the scientists describe as “mind-blowing”.
Wednesday, July 24, 2019
Why Exponential AI Machine Learning Future Trend Will Change EVERYTHING! / Politics / AI
By: Adnaan_Walayat
We are currently galloping full speed along an exponential curve that unlike the neural nets of the 1990's, that promised a lot but delivered very little, this time it really looks like we are on the verge of AI success, not only that but it heralds changes in every aspect of our lives most of which we cannot even imagine today, hence the term the singularity is often used, the AI event horizon beyond which we cannot see.
“Success in creating effective A.I.,” said the late Stephen Hawking, “could be the biggest event in the history of our civilization. Or the worst. We just don’t know.” Are we creating the instruments of our own destruction or exciting tools for our future survival? Once we teach a machine to learn on its own—as the programmers behind AlphaGo have done, to wondrous results—where do we draw moral and computational lines?
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