Monday, January 20, 2020

Stock Market SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: readtheticker

The biggest known news date in the next 18 months is the US Election. The biggest unknown news date is when the US believes it is in a economic recession.

The Kitchin Cycle is still working.

We must conclude the major 900 period low is now in, and we are now in a up swing, which may top out ate 2020 or late 2021. Any future top out may only generate a 10% to 20% correction, of course this can be deemed very mild. This is expected, but the expected does always play out. 

Monday, January 20, 2020

Why Intel i7-4790k Devils Canyon CPU is STILL GOOD in 2020! / Personal_Finance / Technology

By: HGR

Little did I know back in 2014, just months after Intel released their state of the art i7-4790k processor code named Devils Canyon, an unlocked cpu for system builders to over clock well beyond the base clock of 4ghz all the way towards hitting the magic 5ghz clock speed, that I would still be using my £2,500 system more than 5 years on!

So what is it about the 4790k which means not only has it stood the test of time in terms of processing power, but that it actually costs substantially more to buy NEW or USED then when it first went on sale in 2014!

Sunday, January 19, 2020

Stock Market Final Thrust Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – There are no signs that the bull market is over.

Intermediate trend –  Most likely near an intermediate top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Sunday, January 19, 2020

Gold Trade Usage & Price Effect / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Some basic logic must come to the table in the Gold pricing mechanism. The easiest way to keep the Gold price down is NOT TO USE IT IN TRADE, NOR IN BANKING RESERVES, and to relegate it to the sidelines as the barbaric metal. Some deep amusement comes always in hearing that Gold does not have value, does not earn a yield, and has no uses. Watching the destruction in bond principal value leads the observer to note how Gold holds its value in times of crisis, and even rises against the general paper tide. The bond market crisis is global this time, unlike in 2008. Each debt downgrade to BBB, within the context of fallen angels, brings a realized loss in bond value. All this occurs with a rising Gold price, even with pauses for consolidation. The best way to lift the Gold price is TO USE IT IN TRADE AND IN RESERVES MANAGEMENT. The actual usage further motivates the proper value to be instilled, regardless of type of usage.

Sunday, January 19, 2020

Stock Market Trend Forecast 2020 - Trend Analysis - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

During 2019 the Dow finally breached resistance along a series of sub 28k highs of the past 2 years that propelled the Dow towards 29k.

Sunday, January 19, 2020

Stock Trade-of-the-Week: Dorchester Minerals (DMLP) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Donald_W_Dony

Company profile: Company profile: This company comes from energy sector, oil &gas industry of Nasdaq. Dorchester Minerals, L.P. engages in the acquisition, ownership, and administration of producing and nonproducing natural gas and crude oil royalty, net profits, and leasehold interests in the United States. The company's royalty properties consist of producing and nonproducing mineral, royalty, overriding royalty, net profits, and leasehold interests located in 574 counties and parishes in 25 states.

Saturday, January 18, 2020

INTEL (INTC) Stock Investing in AI Machine Intelligence Mega-trend 2020 and Beyond / Companies / INTEL

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The juggernaut that is Artificial Intelligence continues to rumble along towards an inexorable future, one that most still fail to grasp the magnitude of the changes that are just around the corner as humans think in linear terms whilst the AI trend is EXPONENTIAL. Where developments that even the proponents of AI thought would take several years are taking place in mere MONTHS! That is the power of the unfolding AI MEGA-TREND!

AI has already CHANGED THE WORLD! EXPONENTIALLY! You have an AI super computer right in your pocket for likely less than £1000!

Especially, when one marries AI with other big world changing tech mega-trend "Quantum Computing"! Put the 2 together and we are literally going to see an explosion in SUPER INTELLGENCE that would soon far exceed that of human intelligence, following which it won't be that many years before the AI exceeds the intelligence of the sum of ALL humans! For better or worse, that's the path we are on.

And all those who say AI can be controlled are going to be proven wrong, as new technologies tend to be first sequestered towards military aims. So whilst we focus on the benefits of AI in reality AI is a POWERFUL WEAPON and so the world is in an AI arms race, commercial, economic and military AI arms race.

Saturday, January 18, 2020

Gold Stocks Wavering / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks are wavering, frustrating traders.  For the better part of a half-year, this sector has neither broken out nor broken down.  Instead it has mostly ground sideways since the last upleg’s peak.  Gold stocks being mired in a consolidation so long, even a relatively-high one, is steadily eroding bullish sentiment.  That ups the odds it will roll over into a correction, especially considering gold’s situation.

Last summer the gold stocks were rocking, with the leading GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF just soaring.  Following gold’s decisive bull-market breakout to its first new highs in several years in late June, GDX blasted 29.0% higher over the next 2.5 months!  That generated great bullishness, capping a larger 76.2% upleg over 11.8 months.  The major gold stocks dominating GDX were becoming belles of the ball.

That fast run left them super-overbought, so a correction was highly probable to rebalance sentiment in this hot sector.  And that indeed looked to be getting underway, with GDX retreating 15.4% over the next 1.3 months into mid-October.  The gold stocks mostly bumped along those correction lows for another 1.3 months into late November.  Then GDX rallied a bit, but kept grinding sideways on balance for most of December.

Saturday, January 18, 2020

Best Amazon iPhone Case Fits 6s, 7, 8 by Toovren Review / Personal_Finance / Mobile Technology

By: HGR

This is a hard case for an Iphone 7 and 8 and also fits the iphone 6s sold by Toovren on Amazon £16 / $16.

Amazon UK - https://amzn.to/3aj5gIo

Amazon US - https://amzn.to/38iRtjm

Phone slots into the case and stays put i.e. won't fall out when upside down, the case has a 3 mm lip to protect the screen and a neck strap that can be clipped on and off. I'm sure the neck strap will come in useful when out and about on day trips or longer hol's, makes it easy to snap a photo or take a video.

Friday, January 17, 2020

1. GOOGLE (Alphabet) - Primary AI Tech Stock For Investing 2020 / Companies / Google

By: Nadeem_Walayat

1. GOOGLE (Alphabet) - $GOOGL

I always refer to Alphabet as Google, and maybe one day they will change it's name back to Google.

Google Up 26% in 2019

The underlying juggernaut that is Artificial Intelligence continues to rumble along towards an inexorable future, one that most still fail to grasp the magnitude of the changes that are just around the corner as humans think in linear terms whilst the AI trend is EXPONENTIAL. Where developments that even the proponents of AI thought would take several years are taking place in mere MONTHS! That is the power of the unfolding AI MEGA-TREND!

Friday, January 17, 2020

ERY Energy Bear Continues Basing Setup – Breakout Expected Near January 24th / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: Chris_Vermeulen

After watching Crude Oil fall from the $65 ppb level to the $58 ppb level (-10.7%) over the past few weeks, we still believe the energy sector is setting up for another great trade for skilled investors/traders.

We are all keenly aware that Winter is still here and that heating oil demands may continue to push certain energy prices higher.  Yet Winter is also a time when people don’t travel as much and, overall, energy prices tend to weaken throughout Winter.

Over the past 37 years, the historical monthly breakdown for Crude Oil is as follows: December: Generally lower by -$0.33 to -$0.86.  Averages to the downside: -3.65 to +3.08 January: Generally lower by -$4.57 to -$6.72.  Averages to the downside: -2.68 to +2.27 February: Generally higher by +$8.41 to +13.73.  Averages to the upside +3.07 to -2.54 March: Generally higher by +7.33 to +$15.62.  Averages to the upside by +2.84 to -2.14

Friday, January 17, 2020

What Expiring Stock and Commodity Market Bubbles Look Like / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Gary_Tanashian

The Nasdaq bubble popped in 2000 after motoring upward on increasing volume in two separate phases. Volume rammed upward and RSI diverged. Like shootin’ fish in a barrel it was, except that at the time I was too inexperienced to see it. It was a steep slope and blow out.

Friday, January 17, 2020

Platinum Breaks $1000 On Big Rally - What's Next Forecast / Commodities / Platinum

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Certain precious metals, Gold, Silver, and Platinum, have shown moderate upside price trending over the past 20+ months while Rhodium and Palladium have skyrocketed higher.  These more precious metals, Rhodium and Palladium, have many industrial and consumer uses.  Rhodium is used in electronics and plating and Palladium is used in a variety of consumer products from Automobiles to Medical Devices.

Still, the rally in Rhodium (over 300%) and Palladium (over 70%) over the past 12 months has been more than impressive.  Whey are we not seeing a similar rally in Gold, Silver, and Platinum yet?

Friday, January 17, 2020

Precious Metals Set to Keep Powering Ahead / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: MoneyMetals

Precious metals got off to an explosive early start to 2020 as tensions between the U.S. and Iran drove safe-haven buying.

Of course, gold and silver markets will need more than a geopolitical flare up to drive a long-term bull market advance.

The question for investors is whether the fundamental picture now looks promising or fleeting.

In our view, the fundamentals are turning in favor of higher gold and silver prices.

Thursday, January 16, 2020

Stock Market and the US Presidential Election Cycle  / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The US Presidential cycle pattern has proved REMARKABLY ACCURATE for 2019, where the basic pattern for the US Presidential cycle is for a strong election year and post election year, followed by weak Mid-term then a strong pre-election year which is what we saw with 2019 as the chart from my September update illustrates. That implies to expect similar strength for 2020 as we had for 2019!

Thursday, January 16, 2020

There Is Still Time To Get Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Hubert_Moolman

Silver appears to be very close to an even bigger move higher. Most of the hard work of the double-bottom since 2015 is done.

The coming leg higher is the one that will likely take prices to all-time highs. Below, is a long-term Silver chart:

Thursday, January 16, 2020

Another Repo Market Liquidity Injection for Gold Bulls to Cheer / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Last Thursday, the New York Fed added more than $80 billion in fresh temporary liquidity to the financial markets. Move over folks, nothing to see here – but what does it mean for gold prices?

Repo Crisis Is Not Over

Last week on Thursday, the New York Fed added $83.1 billion in temporary liquidity to financial markets. And banks’ demand for liquidity flared up again on Tuesday. If you haven’t heard of it, don’t worry – almost no one did. After all, journalism is about covering important stories… with a pillow!

The Fed not only injected some fresh liquidity, but also noted that it “may keep adding temporary money to markets for longer than policy makers had expected in September,” at least through April. So much for the normalization of monetary policy…

Thursday, January 16, 2020

Shifting Undercurrents In The US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Even as we write this post, the US Stock Market continues to push higher as global traders and investors pour capital into the continued US rally.  The strong US Dollar continued to attract capital from around the globe and with fresh earning about to hit from Q4 2019, investors are expecting another round of solid income and earnings growth.

Yet, underlying all of this is the undercurrent of shifting capital into safe-havens like precious metals, Cryptos, and under-valued foreign markets.  This shift started to happen late in Q4 2019 and accelerated early in 2019.

Thursday, January 16, 2020

America 2020 – YEAR OF LIVING DANGEROUSLY (PART TWO) / Politics / Social Issues

By: James_Quinn

In Part One of this article I detailed my inability to predict the timing of events during this Fourth Turning, while maintaining the catalysts of debt, civic decay, and global disorder continue to drive the world towards a cliff.

“Every schoolchild will know what happened next, from the Oh-Ohs to the 2020s, as the Fourth Turning unfolded—but academics will surely debate how and why it came to pass. In his history, this great-great-grandson of today’s baby girl will reflect on what the Fourth Turning came to mean for his own time and generation. His history is not yet written. What will it be?” – Strauss & Howe

The Trump team is now poised to go on the offensive as this Constitutional crisis intensifies and hurtles towards a violent conclusion. Barr and Durham are busy building a case against the Obama administration and their illegal activities before and after the election. As the election approaches and Durham concludes his investigation, indictments handed down on Clapper, Brennan, Comey or any of the other conspirators would lead to turmoil not seen since the Civil War. No matter the result of the upcoming election, neither side will accept the outcome.

This country is irretrievably broken and there will be no compromise or negotiated agreements. With Virginia Governor “Blackface” Northam attempting to overturn the 2nd Amendment and forcefully confiscate lawfully owned firearms from his citizens a modern-day Harper’s Ferry confrontation could be in the offing. There are no viable political solutions to our current dilemmas. It’s just a matter of when and where the conflict goes hot and blood is spilled.

Thursday, January 16, 2020

Yes, China Is a Currency Manipulator – And the U.S. Banking System Is a Metals Manipulator / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: MoneyMetals

The U.S. Treasury Department announced Monday that China is no longer on a list of countries deemed to be “currency manipulators.” The timing was awfully convenient, coming just ahead of an expected Phase One trade deal between the two powers.

Nobody actually believes China has stopped manipulating the value of its yuan versus the U.S. dollar.

But the Trump administration is apparently willing to accept a certain degree of currency rigging in exchange for other concessions on trade.

It’s not as if the U.S. government has a stellar record when it comes to heeding principles of free and fair currency markets. It (through the Exchange Stabilization Fund and other vehicles) is constantly trying to manage the value of the dollar versus the currencies of trading partners, too.