Tuesday, December 01, 2015
SPX Does a Double Zigzag Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX appears to have formed a double zigzag correction, usually rare for a Wave 2. Crossing the hourly mid-Cycle support at 2078.65 may confirm that observation.
This may be an ideal aggressive short entry if you have any dry powder or if you have been stopped out. Otherwise we wait for the confirmations at lower levels.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
The Demographic Nightmare Caused by Gender Selection / Politics / Demographics
I took a year off after college. I don’t remember it having a cool name like “gap year” back then. Most people considered it goofing off. I spent the summer and fall on the coast in Florida waiting tables, then moved out west to Jackson Hole, WY for the ski season. I worked at a hotel at night and skied during the day. It was a modest existence, no doubt, but it was also just as awesome as it sounds.Back then Jackson Hole was still a hole. The airport had not been expanded, so there was no large jet service. However, changes were already happening. It was clear the place was about to explode. The owner of the hotel at which I worked called me into his office at the end of season. He offered me a job as a real estate agent, working with him selling vacation properties to tourists.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Why We Won’t See Gold $5,000 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
I have so many bets on the go with gold bugs like Porter Stansberry (Stansberry Research) and Jeff Clark at Casey Research… and I just keep winning ‘em.That’s something to be happy about, right?
But I’m more pained than happy about it because, when I debate these guys (including Peter Schiff), we all agree that we’re in an unprecedented debt and financial bubble with QE adding kerosene to the fire. We all agree that things are about to end very badly.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
U.S. Mint Gold Eagles See Sales Surge, Silver at Record / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
“The U.S. Mint’s sales of American Eagle coins surged in November, with gold nearly tripling month-over-month and silver already reaching a new annual record as bullion prices fell to multi-year lows” reported Reuters.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Gold Price and Stocks Divergence / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
This appears to be the only time in this bear market that miners are diverging form the price of gold as it moves down into the intermediate cycle low.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Stock Market January Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
In last week’s Hybrid Lindsay forecast, Middle Section forecasts from both the Basic and Multiple cycles pointed to a high for the November run-up in the Dow on Monday, November 23. As of last Friday, both the closing and intra-day highs occurred one trading day early, the previous Friday, November 20.
Moving from the Dow Industrials to small caps… according to Stock Traders’ Almanac, the January Effect (the tendency for small caps to outperform large caps in January) now begins in mid-December. The chart below shows the relative performance of small caps (RUT) versus the broader market (SPX). In October, the ratio tested the low of the last four years set during the previous October.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Globalist Lockdown is here to Stay / Politics / New World Order
The theater that has become the international political scene is entering its last act. As the actors play out their specific roles and read from the script that was written for them by the mega elites, the general audience in the crowd do not know to clap or hiss the production. All the absurd instances that rip apart the last vestige of civilized culture are ready for the final imposition of the Illuminati system for total control. The few brave souls that remain in the struggle for combating the evil forces of globalism are the prime target for elimination.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Stock Market Unwinding... ISM Manufacturing On Deck.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It's never a bad thing to see a market unwind from overbought conditions, especially in this particular environment, because the market is tougher and tougher these days, thus, the concept of buying at overbought is very tough indeed. Removing some of the risk to our souls is not a bad thing which equates to buying closer to, or at, oversold on those short-term, sixty-minute charts. While there's no guarantee we will ever get to the old highs at S&P 500 2134, but we still have a decent shot, since there's still no evidence of a topping pattern long-term. Understand that there's no particular requirement for that to take place, but it usually does. There is usually some type of hints being thrown our way, such as overbought with negative divergences on multiple time frames, or a massive gap down on higher volume.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
The Upside of a Down Gold Mining Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
When the instinct is strongest to curl up in a ball and wait out the ravages of the down market is also when smart companies snap up distressed projects and get to work while capital costs are low. In this interview with The Gold Report, veteran investors Bob Moriarty of 321gold.com and Adrian Day of Adrian Day Asset Management share their messages to mining company CEOs and investors about advancing frugally to avoid being left in the dark. To make investing in teams doing the right things even easier, they identify a dozen companies that have already taken the contrarian advice to heart.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Bank Regulations Continue To Hinder The U.S. Economic Recovery / Economics / Market Regulation
Money matters — it’s one of Milton Friedman’s maxims that I repeat often in my columns. Since the Northern Rock bank run of 2007 — the “opening shot” of the financial crisis — the money supply, broadly measured, in the United States, Great Britain, and the Eurozone has taken a beating.
Recently, in the United States, money supply growth has started to rebound somewhat. This is a positive sign, because the quantity of money and nominal gross domestic product (GDP), as well as related measures of aggregate demand, are all closely related. Indeed, if broad money growth is robust, the nominal GDP, which is composed of real and inflation components, will be robust and vice versa.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
ISIS, Turkey And Oil – The Bigger Picture: Interview With Pelicourt / Commodities / Crude Oil
As the terrorist attack in Paris sparks worldwide fear of similar reprisals and a bloody shootout and hostage situation in a five-star Mali hotel exacerbates those concerns, global energy security reels under the pressure of unfathomable geopolitics. In an exclusive interview with Oilprice.com, Robert Bensh—managing director and partner at Pelicourt, a Western-owned oil and gas company navigating tricky conflict zones—discusses:Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Thanksgiving Amid the Terror Threats / Politics / Religion
“Nobody in Europe will be abandoned. Nobody in Europe will be excluded. Europe only succeeds if we work together.”
– Angela Merkel, December 15, 2010
“Within our mandate, the ECB is ready to do whatever it takes to preserve the euro. Believe me, it will be enough.”
– Mario Draghi, July 25, 2012
“We have to safeguard the spirit behind Schengen,” Mr Juncker told the European Parliament on Wednesday. “Yes, the Schengen system is partly comatose. But . . . a single currency does not exist if Schengen fails. It is one of the pillars of the construction of Europe.”
– London Telegraph, November 25, 2015
Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Crude Oil Erases Price Gains / Commodities / Crude Oil
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at $54.12 and initial (!) target price at $35.72 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Friday, crude oil lost 3.31% as a stronger greenback weighed on the price of the commodity. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude moved away from its key resistance area and closed another week below it. Will this event encourage oil bears to act in the coming days?
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Precious Metals - If You're Out of the Room, You're Out of the Deal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
David Smith writes: There's a saying in the resource sector investment community regarding whether or not a person might be privy to a good private placement or the inside scoop on a company that's working on a lucrative gold or silver project. The saying goes: “If you're out of the room, you're out of the deal.”
As the day comes closer when the precious metals turn to the upside in earnest – well before the public mania phase alerts everyone on the planet to the potential – we could confront an event which moves the precious metals upward so quickly and violently, that people don't have at least a core holding beforehand will be left standing at the proverbial station. That train might not just pull away, but instead launch down the rails like a rocket.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Collapsing Global Economic Trade / Economics / Global Economy
The global economic trade is down 8.4 percent so far this year. Among the many economic indicators that experts use to gauge the health of the world economy, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) usually goes unnoticed. This Index offers an indication of the global demand and supply of major stock materials that are used by manufacturers at the beginning of production. And the shocking truth is that the index has been plummeting to reach a new low not seen before.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2015
Gold Demand in China Heading For Record and Reserves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
While gold prices continue to languish in the doldrums and are on course for their worst month since 2013, global demand and especially Chinese retail, investor and official demand continues to remain very robust. Indeed, China looks likely to see a new record demand for gold annually again in 2015.
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Monday, November 30, 2015
Don't Sell Your Gold Because of Mario Draghi / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
European Central Bank President, Mario Draghi, has been trying to lower the value of the euro by promising to pursue inflation with a vengeance. His inflation rhetoric was stepped up during a speech he gave to Germany on November 20th of this year. In that speech Mr. Draghi vowed to "do what we must to raise inflation as quickly as possible."
Draghi's efforts to crush the euro have somehow been taken by Wall Street as a great opportunity to sell gold. But there shouldn't be a person alive having an IQ greater than a mentally challenged ameba that can rationalize why it is appropriate to sell gold simply because of Mario Draghi's obsession with creating inflation and destroying the euro.
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Monday, November 30, 2015
Elliott Wave Analysis of SPX Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I decided to switch ideas, although I am happy to switch back should we see a solid break under 2019SPX, the lack of downside is supporting the market is most likely in wave 5 and not still in wave 4, initially I was looking for a decline to either 1900SPX for wave [C] of a triangle or even 1850SPX for wave [C] of a flat pattern to end wave 4 on the weekly charts. But the reluctance to break down a few weeks back is strongly suggesting it's most likely in wave 5 and further more it could well be inside in wave [5] of 5 as shown.
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Monday, November 30, 2015
Savers Start Saving for Christmas… 2016! / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts
Christmas is just around the corner and our annual festive splurging is starting to step up. But with households expected to spend an average of £614.96* on Christmas this year, many are wondering why they didn’t put more money aside for the festivities.
Although it may seem a little early to start thinking about Christmas 2016, the fact that many of the best savings deals are fixed for 12 months means that, if you start now, your savings account will mature just in time for next year’s spending spree (see table below).
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Monday, November 30, 2015
Stock Market Mixed Expectations Ahead Of December, New Economic Data Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish