Friday, January 22, 2016
Stock Markets Waiting on U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that the outcome of the world markets may depend on the behavior of the USD. The pattern is now clear, after a long consolidation. The rising domestic markets have been dependent on the rising dollar. This has made especially so by the emerging markets as they have to buy back dollars to repay dollar-denominated debts which they so eagerly took over the past several years. This has caused a terrible squeeze on their economies and the Emerging Markets stocks and bonds.
Friday, January 22, 2016
Gold Maintains Value Despite Oil and Stock Market Crash / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Jeb_Handwerger
Investors should analyze 2016 year to date action as it is generally a good predictor of how the year will look.
Major capitulation in oil and global market rout sends investors to the sidelines seeking out capital preservation.
Volatility is soaring and precious metals are holding their values in January.
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Friday, January 22, 2016
Crude Oil Price Bear Market Bottom? As WTIC Pops Back Over $30 / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The crude oil price hit a new low on Wednesday of just under $27, prompting many doom merchants to emerge to proclaim / reaffirm that $20 and even $10 is on the horizon. However, on following day the oil price rallied strongly to just shy of $30 to end Thursday at $29.85 and this morning has popped just above $30 to currently stand at $30.20. With the key question being asked is are we witnessing the early stages of an oil price bottom (WTIC) or is this just a few days of calm before the next oil price crash storm?
Thursday, January 21, 2016
The Fed’s Role in the Stock Market Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Mike_Whitney
When the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and S&P peaked in May 2015, investors were still confident that the Fed “had their back” and that any steep or prolonged downturn in stocks would be met with additional liquidity and a firm commitment to maintain zero rates as long as necessary. But now that the Fed has started its long-awaited rate-hike cycle, investors aren’t sure what to expect.
Thursday, January 21, 2016
Gold Stock Set Up In 1 Chart Cartel~Buster® !, For You / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Denali_Guide
LAST time we got a very nice signal, say Nov 5-9th, we spent about 5 or 6 market sessions in limbo before the GDX (dashed gold line) price responded fully, although individual stocks responded, some faster (AEM), some slower (AUY).
Today provisional signal is not really any different. Each panel on this chart of my proprietary measure “CARTEL~BUSTER® !, contains its own Tripwire Zones, for buying and selling. Either or both works well. Thus the bottom panel is a bit faster for shorter trades.
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Thursday, January 21, 2016
Crude Oil Foretells Additional Ruble Losses / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: AnyOption
Warnings from the IEA and new lows in key global benchmarks continues to weigh on the outlook for energy prices, hurting the foremost global oil and gas exporters. Russia has experienced a reversed rags to riches tale over the last two years as the impact of sanctions and the slump in the energy patch have kept the Ruble under extreme pressure. The underperformance continues to echo the losses in oil prices as the supply and demand imbalance remains largely unchanged, only set to grow in coming months with the expansion of Iranian crude oil exports. With market dynamics expected to be weak and existing projections forecasting no rebound in prices, the weakness in the Ruble is only likely to accelerate over time, matching losses in oil prices.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 21, 2016
Fantasy Stock Market: “NIFTY NINE” FINALLY BECAME JUST “FANTAsy”! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
In the November Issue of Triggers we discussed “FANG & NOSH”. In December we further discussed the mutation of this group to the “NIFTY9”. This month as markets fall we need to discuss how the “NIFTY9” finally became just “FANTAsy” and the potential $1T seriousness of what this means.
Thursday, January 21, 2016
US Dollar Drop Gold Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: Toby_Connor
Once the dollar starts to drop into its intermediate cycle low in earnest gold should produce an intermediate degree rally
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Thursday, January 21, 2016
S&P 500 Fell 15% Below Last Year's All Time High - Correction or New Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence. However, we decided to change our long-term outlook to neutral, following recent move down below medium-term lows.
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, January 21, 2016
Stock Market Indices Rally to Cut Huge Sell-Off in Half / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a really interesting day today, which included a very sharp decline in the morning, getting the indices to an extremely negative tick of minus 1373, and the McClellan Oscillator to minus 200-plus. After reaching a level midday where the indices seemed to be washed out, they staged a very strong rally, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 3993 all the way up to 4180, a 187-point rally straight up with a 5-wave advance. The S&P 500, during that time, went from 1812 to 1878, a 66-point rally.
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Thursday, January 21, 2016
How to Survive and Prosper in a Global Financial Crisis 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
There's no time to waste.
The Dow's worst start to a year since the Great Depression continues to shock investors and traders with massive daily plummets.
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Thursday, January 21, 2016
Why We Need a Recession / Economics / Recession 2016
By: MISES
Ronald-Peter Stöferle writes: According to the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), a recession is defined as a “significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months.” Often, this is understood as two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth as measured by a country’s GDP.
Thursday, January 21, 2016
Stock Market Short Sellers Back In The Saddle: Q&A With Bearing Asset Management / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Rubino
The improbable success of The Big Short, a scathing and hilarious tutorial on making money during a financial crisis, probably has a lot of people thinking that now might be a good time to start betting against the current bubble(s).
That’s a well-timed thought because it comes after three long years in which shorting was really, really hard. Why was it hard? Because easy money — at first — floats all boats. When interest rates are low and financing is readily available, even the crappiest companies can pay their bond interest and support their share price with debt-fueled share repurchases. The uniformity of the past few years’ bull market was so extreme that buying the most heavily-shorted stocks — on the assumption that those companies would have access to sufficient capital to support their market value, thus forcing the shorts to cover at ever-higher prices — was a successful and widely-practiced strategy.
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Thursday, January 21, 2016
Stock Market Trying To Bounce....Closed Below 1867 Or The August Low.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
These are very, very interesting times folks. The market behaving poorly for the first time on an extended basis after nearly seven years. The bulls are so used to having things go their way day after day, week after week and year after year. That ended suddenly in 2015 when the markets were overall red, but barely so. Not enough of a push lower to get anyone thinking the end of the bull run is near. Most thought it was simply a year of basing after a long move higher that would lead to yet another leg up.
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Thursday, January 21, 2016
Investors "Think About How to Mitigate Your Losses" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long deliberates with Eric Sprott about the outlook for the global economy in 2016. Eric Sprott is a Canadian hedge fund manager and founder of Sprott Asset Management. He became a billionaire on paper with the initial public offering of Sprott Inc, the parent of his Sprott Asset Management firm. In August 2011, Sprott was acknowledged by Bloomberg as a 'hidden billionaire.' The publication estimated Sprott's worth at $1.3 billion, largely based on his publicly disclosed holdings in Sprott Inc. and Sprott Physical Gold Trust. Sprott started his career as an analyst at Merrill Lynch covering everything but commodities. He eventually became known as a natural-resources and energy investor.
Wednesday, January 20, 2016
The Next Financial Crisis Has Begun / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Graham_Summers
Last year we predicted that the world had reached peak centralization and that going forward things would begin to fracture.
What is centralization?
Centralization is the process by which the world grows increasingly centralized, relying on Centralized organizations (Central Banks, sovereign governments, etc.) to determine the direction of capital and focus.
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Wednesday, January 20, 2016
Will the Crude Oil Price Crash become even Worse in 2016? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Sol_Palha
A patient mind is the best remedy for trouble-
Plaut
2015 was not a good year for speculators trying to time the oil markets. Oil kept cutting through each support level like a hot knife cutting through butter. It would give the appearance that it was ready to mount a rally, but that rally would fade, and oil prices would drift lower. We penned an article in Nov of last year, where we stated that oil would have to close above $50 on a weekly basis for it to see higher prices. However, it failed to do that and drifted lower. When it closed below $32 on a weekly basis, it neutralized any tiny bullish signals it was issuing in 2015. Is oil close to putting in a bottom or will it once again let everyone down and plunge into a series of new lows. There is a saying that the cure for low prices is lower prices and vice versa; having said, that we expect one final wave of selling before oil bottoms out and starts to trend slowly upwards. We do not expect any violent upward reversals unless the situation between Iran and Saudi heats up to the point that a new war breaks out.
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Wednesday, January 20, 2016
A Stock Market Bounce is Due / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX hit its Ending Diagonal trendline, making a throw-under at 1812.25. A bounce that re-enters the trading band currently at 1833.69 and retests the Cycle Bottom constitutes a reversal pattern that may be traded. In the meantime, the pattern calls for an exit of short positions.
ZeroHedge writes, “History repeats, if you're just willing to listen. The "Dead-Cat-Bubble" is dead as global stocks enter a bear market (down 20% from May 2015 highs) and US equities catch down to the rest of the world.
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Wednesday, January 20, 2016
Marc Faber Warns Invest In Gold Now As Stock Market To Crash / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Marc Faber, editor of the “Gloom, Doom & Boom Report,” has advised investors that now is a good time to invest in gold because stocks will crash over 40% and the world is on the verge of a new liquidity and debt crisis.
Faber says investors would be prudent to diversify into safe haven in gold bullion which has risen 3% this year and is currently at $1,096 an ounce.
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Wednesday, January 20, 2016
Silver Price Hitting Major Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: InvestingHaven
The long term silver chart is truly spectactular. It has basically 3 time periods since it started its bull market.
Phase I started in 2003 and lasted till 2010. Phase II was a trend change, indicated with the rectangle below, between 2011 and 2013, an extremely volatile period. Phase III is the current phase, and is basically a clear downtrend.
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