Friday, May 06, 2016
When Gold Confiscation Is a Personal Choice / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
The specter of government forcefully confiscating gold is still roaming around out there.
That nagging prospect dampens many buying decisions, unfortunate at a time when gold, and especially silver, are near historically bargain basement prices when measured in fiat currency.
Buy low, sell high only works for those who buy low.
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Friday, May 06, 2016
Stock Market Getting Ready for the Next Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Making sense out of the Wave pattern has been a mind bender. I keep reminding myself, “There is order here. I just have to find it!” The decline since 1500 hours on Monday is not an impulse as I had originally expected.
What I have come up with is a truncated Wave (ii) scenario for today’s move. This may be otherwise known as a “running” Wave (ii), since Wave c has been effectively stopped by the 4.5-year trendline.
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Thursday, May 05, 2016
Barclays 100% Mortgage Pours Fuel on UK House Prices Bull Market / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The UK mortgage providers are once more
innovating new products with old objectives, that of allowing those who cannot afford to buy their first homes, being engineered an helping hand onto the property ladder. Which is what Barclays 100% mortgage (no deposit) represents at upto 5.5X earnings. However we are not quite back to the free for all frenzy of 2007 when the credit markets were so loose that self certified mortgages were rampant and not forgetting savers who could lock in 7%+ yields! Even savvy borrowers could turn the tables on the credit card providers and rake in several thousands of pounds a year by stoozing (borrowing on 0% credit cards and saving in accounts paying as high as 7%).
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Donald Trump, King of Debt Seeks US Presidency / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Peter_Schiff
On a lengthy interview on CNBC this morning, Donald Trump, the now presumptive Republican nominee, looked back on his business history to lay the groundwork to what he would do as President. He came as close as any major presidential contender to saying that America's formula for economic recovery might involve repaying our creditors less than what we owe. This is a major development that should be rewriting the playbook on Wall Street and call into question the risk-free nature of U.S. Treasuries.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Struggling Global Economy It's the Debt, Stupid! / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016
By: Mike_Shedlock
For those still wondering why the global economy is struggling, the simple answer is "It's the debt, stupid."
We will return to the global economy in a moment, but first consider the plight of Greece.
A detailed study shows that of €215.9 billion in Greek aid, only €9.7 billion went to Greece. The rest went to banks and other creditors.
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Thursday, May 05, 2016
Central Planners Versus Contrarian Logic / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Doug_Wakefield
"For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction" - Newton's Third Law, The Physics Classroom
Since the Great Recession, anyone following financial history and markets knows that this period of intervention and debt has surpassed everything seen in history prior to the events of 2007-2009. For every pull back in "risk on" assets, there have been actions to make sure equity markets went higher or back to previous highs, the lead example worldwide being US equity markets.
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Thursday, May 05, 2016
Euro Desperation will achieve Self Destruction - MAP Wave Analysis / Currencies / Euro
By: Marc_Horn
In between migrating sites I have lost some pages and they largely appear to be from currencies!!!
The Euro was what started me off with the development on my analysis and fortunately that was not lost and can be found here from 2012 , as that was what I used initially to explain my methods.
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Stocks Extended Their Short-Term Downtrend But Will They Continue Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Monetary Liquifaction, Gold And The Time Of The Vulture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Darryl_R_Schoon
Liquifaction: … 3: conversion of soil into a fluidlike mass during an earthquake or other seismic event, 4: inability of flooded capital markets to absorb additional capital without destabilizing paper assets, e.g. stocks, bonds, currencies, etc., 5. a monetary phenomena associated with the collapse of capital markets.
Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomena caused by an increase in the money supply, the greater the increase, the greater the inflation. If the money supply expands with sufficient rapidity, inflation becomes hyperinflation and paper money loses all value.
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Thursday, May 05, 2016
US 2016 Election Is a Global Risk / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Dan_Steinbock
As America is struggling amid a historical protest election, the political risk could undermine US economic rebound and the lingering global economic recovery. Europe will be least immune to spillovers, says Dan Steinbock.Currently, the leading Democratic presidential candidates, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, are approaching the final showdown. Concurrently, the Republican establishment – including Senate’s majority leader Mitch McConnell and House Speaker Paul Ryan– is struggling to undermine the real estate mogul Donald Trump’s campaign by promoting Senator Ted Cruz, Governor Kasich and less-known ‘dark horses.’
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Thursday, May 05, 2016
Investing After the Global Commodities Super-Cycle / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Dan_Steinbock
While cyclical challenges remain tough in global commodities, structural realities look more tolerable.According to conventional wisdom, the challenges of global commodities can be attributed to China’s slowdown and poor growth prospects. Advanced economies are not immune. In the US, just two commodity-related sectors – oil and gas, as well as metals and steel – accounted for more than half of the defaults in 2015.
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Thursday, May 05, 2016
The Next 2008 Style Financial Crisis Event Is Lurching Towards Us / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Graham_Summers
As we noted yesterday, the ECB cannot and will not be able to generate GDP growth or inflation.
The EU is simply too leveraged. You cannot have an entire region sporting a Debt to GDP of over 90%… with banks leveraged at 26 to 1 using sovereign debt as collateral on their derivatives trades, and “fix it” using NIRP or QE.
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Thursday, May 05, 2016
A Few Facts About Gold That Nay-Sayers Conveniently Ignore / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Graham_Summers
We continue to see articles by so called “experts” trashing Gold and Silver as investments. Gold is everything from a “Pet Rock” to a “Dumb Investment” or “Barbarous Relic.”
Do these people even bother doing research? Or are they just stock shills?
First and foremost, you cannot compare Gold’s performance relative to stocks anywhere before 1967.
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Thursday, May 05, 2016
Stock Market Holding On By A Thread... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The Nasdaq has long ago broken down below all key, exponential moving averages. Bad action there, but this has been an S&P 500 bull market for the most part the last year plus. The Nasdaq has been performing poorly due to those higher beta, higher P/E stocks the big money wants nothing to do with. Priceline Inc. (PCLN) was down 100+ today on their earnings report. No mercy anywhere if you have higher P/E stocks. The big boys and girls want lower beta. They want lower P/E and they want lower risk.
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Thursday, May 05, 2016
Donald Trump - Make America Great Again / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Peter_Schiff
Donald Trump's critics have heaped scorn on his calls for protective tariffs to deal with America's widening trade imbalance and the resulting loss of higher-paying blue color jobs. Some have accused him of trying to turn back the clock in pursuit of a cheap populist ploy and have said that he simply refuses to acknowledge that America is now an information and service economy for which large trade deficits are the new normal. But voters are sensing that The Donald is right to sound alarm bells, and that something radical needs to be done to revive manufacturing to make America great again. But his tariff solution is hardly the best medicine. To be honest, given the even worse solutions that are being offered by the left, Trump's instincts may be preferable.
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Walkers Crisps Spell & Go - Letters K, C and D Swaps Special to Win Holidays / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps
By: Sami_Walayat
This is a special letters K,C and D update for the Walkers Crisps Spell and Go 20,000 Free Holidays promotion. By now like us after having entered many codes and collected lots of letters you will be realising that the letters K, C and D are just not being randomly given but for reasons explained in this video are either being released in very few numbers or even being completely with-held -
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Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Dow Stocks Bull Not Ready to Crash Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
Have patience. All things are difficult before they become easy.
SaadiOkay, okay, we have heard it before; this market should crash, everything is fake, etc. We are as we have spoken many times over the past two years in a new paradigm. Reality is being recreated; this entire economic recovery is a hoax but despite this, the markets have soared higher. What gives? If you manipulate the data, you can control the outcome, and that’s what has been done throughout this so-called economic recovery phase. Hence, there is no point in looking at the markets through old lenses, because the playing field has changed. The only thing you can focus on now is price and market psychology.
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Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Stocks may "cut loose" after supports are passed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX took all morning to successfully decline through the 4.5-year trendline and retest it. There are two probable paths it may take from here. First, it may complete an impulse at the 50-day Moving Average at 2037.73 and retest the trendline again. Or it may break the 50-day support and 2-hour cycle Bottom at 2026.17 while continuing its decline, as the Wave structure in the chart implies.
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Save the Environment and Your Retirement: Sell Tesla / Companies / US Auto's
By: Michael_Pento
The stock price of Tesla Motors (TSLA) has soared along with the recent announcement that pre-orders (i.e. a fully-refundable $1k deposit) for its Model 3 are approaching 400,000 units. The Model 3 is purported to sell eventually for an estimated $35,000; and is Silicon Valley's inexpensive electric vehicle (EV) offering that appears to be affordable for everyone; except Tesla that is.
After all, Tesla loses more than $4,000 on each of its high-end Model S electric sedans; and that model's cost is between $70 and $108k. With margins like that one has to assume a $35k Model 3 can't be the answer to solving Tesla's red ink.
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Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Fear Not Gold Bugs, Gold Ratios Well Intact / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
What has been going on since mid-February is a burst of the ‘inflation trade’ as evidenced by silver’s leadership in the precious metals sector. This opened the barn door for all kinds of inflated animals to flee into the light of day, and for commodity and inflation boosters to do their thing. As often happens with silver, things were pushed to and even through their limits. Silver went up, oil went up, base metals went up and stocks went up.
But what we should do is retire back to some of the things that actually indicated bullish for the gold sector well before the mini hysteria (and market relief) cropped up. A pullback/correction in gold stocks would be an opportunity.
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