Friday, April 22, 2016
Who are Gold Traders? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The Commitments of Traders Report is one of the most important publications on the gold market. It is usually published every Friday at 15:30 Eastern time by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to provide market participants "a breakdown of each Tuesday's open interest for markets in which 20 or more traders hold positions equal to or above the reporting levels established by the CFTC". Unfortunately the readers don't get a full picture because of a three day lag between a report and the actual positioning of traders (though the report is issued on Friday, it contains Tuesday's data). The open interest, analyzed in the report, is the total number of futures contracts not yet liquidated by an offsetting transaction or fulfilled by delivery.
Friday, April 22, 2016
Market Bubbles, Bubbles, Toil and... Pop / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Doug_Wakefield
"Prosperity is like a Jenna tower. Take one piece out and the whole thing can fall." That's a direct quote from John Williams, the President of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank in a speech a few weeks ago. - US Recession Data Shows It's a Very Short Road to Capital Controls, Simon Black, March 15, 2016
Friday, April 22, 2016
Obama Instructs British Poodle to REMAIN Within the EU Superstate / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
President Obama, the leader of the free world visits Britain today for the apparent purpose of instructing the British people to vote to give up their hard won freedoms in THREE wars (1st, 2nd and Cold War) to an bureaucratic undemocratic European Union, something that the American President himself would never contemplate for the US of giving up even an inch of American sovereignty to even nations that border it let alone that which Obama today proposes for the UK. One of sacrificing British sovereignty for the greater American good, one of the British identity being drowned out in a EU soup that is determined to average down living standards and civil liberties so that all europeans are equally poor and disenfranchised.
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Friday, April 22, 2016
Blanket US Student Debt Amnesty Now / Politics / Student Finances
By: Mike_Whitney
A couple weeks ago the Wall Street Journal confirmed our worst fears about the student loan program, that is, that it was going to blow up in the government’s face just like all the other gigantic debt-bubbles that preceded it. For the sake of background, here’s a brief excerpt from the article that will bring readers up-to-date:
Read full article... Read full article...“More than 40% of Americans who borrowed from the government’s main student-loan program aren’t making payments or are behind on more than $200 billion owed, raising worries that millions of them may never repay.
Friday, April 22, 2016
Gold Price Forms Bearish Double Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Austin_Galt
The gold price saw some volatile price action today after hitting upside resistance and reversing back down impulsively. Let's check out the daily and monthly charts and see the bearish pattern that has formed.
Friday, April 22, 2016
Our Day of Reckoning / Politics / Social Issues
By: Richard_Mills
The second half of the 20th century saw the biggest increase in the world’s population in human history.
Our population surged because:
- Medical advances lessened the mortality rate in many countries
- Massive increases in agricultural productivity because of the “Green Revolution”
The global death rate has dropped almost continuously since the start of the industrial revolution - personal hygiene, improved methods of sanitation and the development of antibiotics have all played a major role.
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Friday, April 22, 2016
President Trump? President Clinton? Gold Up in Both Scenarios / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton may have very little in common, but Barry Allan, vice chair of mining for Mackie Research Capital, says if either moves into the White House, the U.S. dollar will fall and gold will rise. A higher gold price bodes well for gold equities, and in this interview with The Gold Report, Allan and his colleague Ryan Hanley share the names of some of their top picks for this environment.
Thursday, April 21, 2016
US To Paint New Pictures On Its Dying, Barbarous Relic of a Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Jeff_Berwick
In a letter to the American tax slaves, US Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew “the Loon” has presented his plan to replace some of the images on the dwindling $20, $10 and $5 Federal Reserve Notes. Slave emancipator, Harriet Tubman, will replace Andrew Jackson on the $20, leaders of the suffrage movement will go on the $10 and images of the Lincoln Memorial will go on the $5.
You’d think with the US government being $19 trillion in debt they’d have bigger priorities than artwork.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
Gold and Silver are on the Cusp of a Massive Rally! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Gold and silver have more or less confirmed they have bottomed and are ready for a multi-year rally. Their trend has not fully ‘reversed’ to the upside yet but the market breadth and internals for the precious metals sector are very bullish. My subscribers know that I am ‘bullish’ on precious metals and believe that they will be the best performing ‘asset class’ within the next three to five years for those who can only buy long (profit from rising prices). There are a few more big opportunities unfolding in other assets also but that is not what this article focuses on.
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Gold, Silver Blow Off in Progress but 'Launch Phase' Confirmed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
On March 4 we reviewed the technical reasons why the gold sector was launching as opposed to blowing off. This, after articles began appearing calling the rise to that point a doomed parabolic blow off using daily charts. Those calling it a blow off were confused; silver in spring 2011 was a blow off in the terminal sense. But when a parabolic move comes off a bottom, it is an impulsive thrust to change the trend, possibly ending the bear market.
Thursday, April 21, 2016
EU's Growing Refugee Panic, How to Change Terms of Deal with Devil (Turkey) / Politics / Refugee Crisis
By: Mike_Shedlock
When you make a deal with the devil, it's certain the devil will insist you keep up your end of the bargain.
That's precisely where we are at today in regards to the European refugee crisis.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel signed off on a deal with the devil (Turkey) that would give 80 million Turkish Muslims visa-free access to the EU. As part of the deal, Turkey will receive €3 billion in aid.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
Harry Dent: Stock Market 70% Crash By Late 2017 – Gold $400-$800 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
FRA Co-founder, Gordon T. Long is joined by Harry Dent to have a detailed discussion about the state of the global economy and how investors can be prepare themselves for the turmoils to come.
Read full article... Read full article...Harry S. Dent, Jr. is the Founder of Dent Research, an economic forecasting firm specializing in demographic trends. His mission is “Helping People Understand Change”. Using exciting new research developed from years of hands-on business experience, Mr. Dent offers unprecedented and refreshingly understandable tools for seeing the key economic trends that will affect your life, your business, and your investments over the rest of your lifetime.
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stocks, Dollar, Oil and Gold - What a Difference a Couple of Months Makes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gary_Savage
My what a difference a couple of months makes. Several months ago everyone was convinced that stocks were starting a protracted bear market. Many expected it to be even worse than the last one in 2008/09.
A couple of months ago everyone was calling for 110-120 on the dollar index.
A couple of months ago everyone knew that oil was going to the low 20’s or even into the teens.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stock Market Highest Since Early November - Will It Continue Even Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Crude Oil Complacency Climbs / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: AnyOption
US production at 18-month lows was partly behind the recent surge in crude oil prices following yet another report of building onshore inventories. Despite the veritable flood of crude oil prices hitting global markets, crude prices continue to rise amid rising speculation that key global producers will elect to increase production even further. Since the freeze deal fell through, Russia has underlined its doubts that any such agreement will be possible, potentially paving the way for OPEC members to further stray from a single policy, opting instead to put national interests ahead of economic rationality. While prices have jumped to the highest levels since November on new forecasts that anticipate a rebalancing of the market my 2017, complacency amongst traders continues to grow as problematic fundamental conditions remain intact.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stocks Bear Market 2016 Illusion Persists Despite Dow Targeting New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The so called great stocks bear market of 2016 that apparently began following the Dow's May 2015 all time high of Dow 18,351, has seen bear market rhetoric reaching its most fever pitch as the Dow bottomed out in late August 2015 at Dow 15,370, and then again more recently in January of this year. So how has this so called bear market been progressing? A bear market heralded by even those who may have been bullish from time to time.
Thursday, April 21, 2016
“Bernie’s gone” and the “new” Trump towers after NY Primary / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Michael_T_Bucci
“Bernie’s gone. You know that? Bernie’s gone,” Trump said on April 20 at a rally in Indianapolis, Indiana, the day after Hillary Clinton routed Sanders in the New York primary. “I love running against crooked Hillary,” he said. “Bernie wouldn’t be as much fun.”
Every election year promises full employment in industry sectors that serve the public with almost daily opinion polls that tell you what one- to two-thousand people (a sampling) think about every candidate and issue; and, in case you can’t think for yourself, a generous assortment of pundits (usually biased) who will connect the dots and tell you what “most Americans think”.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
US Presidential Election Candidates Confirm: No Stock Market Crash This Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Clif_Droke
A CNN Money article this weekend provided contrarian investors with a moment of clarity. “Trump and Cruz predict stock market ‘crash’” the headline proclaimed. Contrarians couldn’t find a more emphatic statement of mainstream bearish capitulation than that.
The market opinions of high-profile public figures are always as fascinating as they are instructive. Most public figures have only an elementary grasp on the financial markets; this is doubly true for politicians and political candidates. In instances when these figures make public predictions about the market it’s almost a guaranteed contrarian bet that they’ll be wrong.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stock Market Sloppy-Choppy, Topsy-Turvy Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy day today as they were up and down more times than ocean waves during a bad storm. They opened to the upside, went down and then up several times, until they had a strong rally to resistance at about 4560 Nasdaq 100, pulled back mid-afternoon, rallied back to that level, took it out by a point, but couldn’t maintain. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 was making higher-highs all day, reaching 2111, not confirmed by the Nasdaq 100. In the afternoon in the last hour, they sold off pretty sharply, gave back a big chunk of the gains, but still managed to close slightly positive.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
All Hail the Mighty Silver Bugs… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger examines silver's recent moves upward.
In my business, there is a great deal of travel, be it to properties in the Peruvian Andes or the Canadian Yukon or to the investment conferences in New Orleans or San Francisco or London, so I get a full psychographic cross section of every type of investor imaginable. First of all, the audiences I have encountered at the "Sound Money" conferences in Nassau or Bermuda are usually quite conservative and usually well-dressed and well-groomed. When the topic is gold and it is a controversial speaker looking for "the end of Western civilization," the audiences tend to be a tad different with hair length and dress code noticeably more avant-garde.
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