Wednesday, June 28, 2017
China’s First Half of 2017: Growth amid Deleveraging / Economics / China Economy
By: Dan_Steinbock
Despite seemingly mixed messages, China’s great shift from easing to tightening has begun. While growth will continue to decelerate, it can still remain on the deceleration track, even as deleveraging has begun.
In May, Moody’s Investor Service downgraded China’s credit rating. But it took less than a day for Chinese financial markets to recover from the downgrade. Recently, index giant MSCI announced the partial inclusion of China-traded A-shares in the MSCI Emerging Market Index. After all, China is currently under-represented in global equity indices relative to its economic influence. The inclusion is predicated on a long and gradual move.
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Wednesday, June 28, 2017
Crude Oil Sinks 20%: Why "Oversupply" Isn't the Half of It / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: EWI
Oil prices have defied bullish efforts to curb oversupply. Here's our take on why.
I have a friend... let's call him Larry. Let's just say, Larry is not a fan of taking risks. He likes his reflexes fast, his cars slow, and his financial markets secure for the long haul.
So, when Larry called me up at the beginning of this year to say he's boarding the highly-volatile crude oil market, I was appropriately stunned. But here's the thing. He was still being "wary Larry," meticulously weighing the risks. It just so happens they seemed to pale in comparison to the overwhelming rewards.
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Wednesday, June 28, 2017
Important Money Management Tips For Teenagers / Personal_Finance / Student Finances
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
Financial literacy among teenagers is much lower than it should be. This is, in part, because money management education is not properly taught in schools. Most of the teens have no idea what personal finance is and why it is important. Parents are the ones that need to teach teens about money management. Obviously, this is much more difficult than it seems. The good news is that raising financially literate teenagers can be done. Follow these tips to do exactly that. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 28, 2017
The Coming Battery Bonanza / Companies / Lithium
By: The_Energy_Report
James Dines, author of The Dines Letter, discusses the importance of graphite in the manufacture of lithium-ion batteries and highlights one graphite company he expects to have an edge.
Lithium Batteries for Autos and Home Storage
Someday, as sneaky years whisper past, batteries will be seen to have been a crucial wave of the investing future. Uses for lithium ion batteries (LIB) are expanding and will be the main technology for mobility and stationary storage for many years to come. LIB's have been improved over the last 25 years, but it might take that long for any new battery design to pass through the development process to ensure they are safe for consumer use. Electrification of vehicles and the storage of green energy is driving massive growth in LIB cell manufacturing, forecast to increase 170% from today's current capacity of 103 GwH to 278 GwH by 2021 to meet the demands of electrification of automotive vehicles. Also, lithium batteries will be used for stationary storage in houses; they would charge with wind or sunlight present, to be consumed later. Many will buy rooftop solar along with batteries. The 2015 world market value of lithium ion batteries was $18 billion and is forecast to double to $36 billion by 2025—which we personally believe will be much larger.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Overlooked Stock Investments To Keep An Eye On in 2017 / Companies / Investing 2017
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
The best returns in stock investment rarely come from the highly publicized companies. Fund managers are always looking for hidden or overlooked opportunities. This is exactly what we will talk about below. While many are focused on Donald Trump’s gold rally, companies that may or may not go public and defense industry predictions are just some of the areas where money is to be made. With that mind, here are some possible investments in overlooked stocks for 2017.
Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Here’s Why Robots Should Take the Fed’s Job / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : The Federal Reserve hiked interest rates again last week.
Higher rates aren’t entirely bad. They might help savers holding cash—though I wonder why anyone would still hold cash after almost a decade of punishment. The Fed has forced Americans into riskier assets, using every tool but horsewhips.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
We Are Witnessing the Largest Twin Bubbles in History / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : In the coming years, we will have to deal with the largest twin bubbles in history. It’s global debt (especially government debt) and the even larger bubble of government promises.
Together, these twin bubbles make up what John Mauldin calls “The Great Reset.” Nobody can tell how this crisis will play out, but one thing is for sure, it will affect everyone in a big way.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
The Ultimate Regulatory Reform: Abolish Fractional Reserve Banking! / Politics / Fiat Currency
By: Antonius_Aquinas
The Trump Administration has presented the first part of its plan to overhaul a number of Wall Street financial regulations, many of which were enacted in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis. The report is in response to Executive Order 13772 in which the US Treasury Department is to provide findings “examining the United States’ financial regulatory system and detailing executive actions and regulatory changes that can be immediately undertaken to provide much-needed relief.”*
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
USDCNH Broke Above Key Resistance / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Franco_Shao
USDCNH’s bullish movement from the June 1 low of 6.7210 extended to as high as 6.8583 and broke above the key resistance at the March 15 low of 6.8450, suggesting that the long term uptrend from the January 2014 low of 6.0152 has resumed.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
The Federal Reserve And Drug Addiction – A Prediction / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Kelsey_Williams
The Federal Reserve Bank was established in 1913. Its stated purpose was to control the economic cycles; more specifically to avoid panics and crashes by smoothing out the variances in the stages (prosperity, inflation, recession, depression) of the economic cycle.
The plan centered around control (expansion and contraction) of the money supply and exertion of any influence it could muster regarding direction (up, down, or stable) of interest rates.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Charts Show Why Emerging Markets Will Be an Essential Part of Your Portfolio Going Forward / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : A major theme at the 2017 Strategic Investment Conference was the shift in economic power from developed markets to emerging markets (EMs).
For example, in 1960, the combined GDP of China and India made up only 5% of global GDP; today, it’s 30%.
In 1970, the G7 bloc made up half of global trade; now it makes up just 30%. It’s no wonder emerging markets are growing at almost three times the rate as the G7.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Former Lehman Brothers Trader: I Bet My Reputation That Stocks Bubble Will Pop In A Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : It wasn’t always this way. We never used to get a giant, speculative bubble every 7–8 years. We really didn’t.
In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.
In 2007, we had the housing bubble.
In 2017, we have the everything bubble.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Sheffield Broomhall Hanover Tower Block Fails Safety Test, Cladding Removal Today / Local / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
The first Sheffield tower block to be tested has failed a fire safety test that has prompted the city council to in a panic start to remove cladding from the Broomhall Hanover Tower Block today, though at the same time the council is reassuring residents that it is safe to remain in the block whilst the emergency removable of the cladding is underway. Whilst it could take upto 3 weeks for the cladding to ve removed and so the Council have offered temporary accommodation for those who want to move out.
Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Crude Oil In A New Bear Market? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The newest bear market is in crude oil. The definition of a bear market is when an ‘asset class’ is down more than 20% from its recent high: (Bear Market Rally Definition Investopedia). It has been more than five years since the market fell so hard so fast from its’ high. Two months later, it was even lower. During the past 20 years, the SPX has struggled when oil fell into a bear market!
Tuesday, June 27, 2017
US Bonds and Related Market Indicators / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Gary_Tanashian
Excerpted from the June 25 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, which also included comprehensive analysis of US and global stock markets, commodities, precious metals and stock charts galore (with the Market Internals segment, in particular, having evolved into what I find to be a must-have guide).
TLT is now a buck from its target of 129. Tell me, where is all that mania about rising interest rates and the likes of the “R.I.P. Bond Bull Market” headlines (Bloomberg called the bottom almost to the day with that Louise Yamada hype). Now a mature bounce labors on. 129 does not need to stop the move, but it’s a long-standing marker, so…
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Stocks At Record Highs: Market Sentiment Still Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Is There Still Hope For Higher Oil Prices? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Oil prices have cratered in recent weeks, dipping to their lowest levels in more than seven months and any sense of optimism has almost entirely disappeared. All signs point to a period of “lower for longer” for oil prices, a refrain that is all too familiar to those in the industry.
WTI dipped below $44 per barrel on Tuesday, and the bearish indicators are starting to pile up.
Libya’s production just topped 900,000 bpd, a new multi-year high that is up sharply even from just a few weeks ago. Libyan officials are hoping that they will hit many more milestones in the coming months. Next stop is 1 million barrels per day (mb/d), which Libya hopes to breach by the end of July.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Stock Market Running Out of Steam / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending-pattern appears to be forming.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, June 26, 2017
... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: OilPrice_Com
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Monday, June 26, 2017
Increased Choice in UK Credit Impaired Subprime Mortgages / Housing-Market / Mortgages
By: MoneyFacts
While the subprime market all but died out after the financial crisis, the latest figures from moneyfacts.co.uk show that credit impaired mortgages are starting to make a comeback, with the number of credit impair deals having increased by 167 products in the past quarter.
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