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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Economics

Monday, July 03, 2017

4 Obvious Signs the US Economy Is Stalling—Here’s What to Do / Economics / US Economy

By: John_Mauldin

BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : Despite a surge in optimism after the election, nominal GDP growth in 2016 was just 2.95%. This makes 2016 the second-worst year on record since 1959.

And with key economic indicators flashing warnings signs, it looks like the US economy is heading toward big trouble rather than revival.

Here are four signs that paint the picture best.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 03, 2017

Wall Street Is Now Ruled By Physics PhDs, Not Traders / Stock-Markets / HFT

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : One of the reasons I am where I am today is because I did not study hard in school.

I was barely in the top 10 percent of my high school class. I probably could have been number one, but I was too busy screwing around.

I intentionally failed physics my senior year because I didn’t like the teacher.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 03, 2017

NY Fed President Just Admitted Ignoring The Bond Market… I Have A Theory / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Mauldin

Speaking at a Business Roundtable event, New York Fed President William Dudley reportedly expressed great confidence in both the economy and the Fed’s policy moves.

Dudley is not even slightly concerned about the Fed’s overshooting with its rate hikes. In fact, he is supremely confident that inflation will overshoot if the Fed doesn’t tighten policy.

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Politics

Monday, July 03, 2017

Nikki Haley: Warmonger Extraordinaire! / Politics / US Politics

By: Antonius_Aquinas

It must now be a prerequisite of those who become an American ambassador to the UN to possess certain characteristics and traits, the most important of which are rabid warmonger, child killer, and outright liar.

Remember it was Madeleine Albright when asked about the US blockading Iraq which prevented medicine and medical equipment from entering the country that resulted in the estimated death of a half a million children who coldly responded: “I think that is a very hard choice, but the price, we think, the price is worth it.” Then there is Colin “Weapons of Mass Destruction” Powell who told a bald-face lie about Iraq’s nuclear capabilities which paved the way for the US destruction of the country.

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Commodities

Monday, July 03, 2017

Gold Up 8% In First Half 2017; Builds On 8.5% Gain In 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Gold up 8% in first half 2017; builds on 8.5% gain in 2016
– U.S. dollar down 6.5% – worst quarter in seven years
– Gold higher in all currencies except Draghi’s euro 

– Gold outperforms bonds; similar gains as stock indices
– S&P 500 and Dax outperform gold marginally

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 03, 2017

Wall Street Stock Market Correction Looms on the Horizon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: I_M_Vronsky

The following S&P500 Index - 90 Year Historical Chart shows the yearly gain or loss from 1929 through 2016. The following conclusions may be drawn from this very illustrative bar chart of Wall Street’s yearly stock performance during this prolonged period.
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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 03, 2017

Stock Market Positive Expectations Ahead Of Shortened Trading Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Housing-Market

Monday, July 03, 2017

UK Average Fixed Mortgage Arrangement Fee Breaches £1,000 / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Competition in the mortgage market has reached full throttle, with borrowers seeing some of the lowest rates on record, particularly in the fixed rate market. However, despite this ongoing price war, the latest research from moneyfacts.co.uk shows that fees on fixed rate mortgages are on the rise, having now reached their highest point since August 2013.

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Currencies

Monday, July 03, 2017

USDCNH Is In Correction Pullback / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Franco_Shao

After breaking above the support-turned-resistance at 6.8450 on the daily chart, the USDCNH pair failed to extend its bullish movement from 6.7210 and pulled back from 6.8583, indicating that correction for the uptrend is underway.

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Commodities

Monday, July 03, 2017

Precious Metals Sector On Major Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.

Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.

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Economics

Monday, July 03, 2017

Are Advanced Economies Ready for Recovery, Really? / Economics / Global Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

Or Global Reflation As China Begins Tightening
Until recently, the conventional wisdom was that China’s contribution to global reflation would be increasingly accompanied by those of the US and Europe. Yet, the realities may look grimmer than anticipated.

Usually, the term ‘reflation’ is used to describe the first phase of economic recovery after a period of contraction. More recently, ‘global reflation’ has been deployed to refer to the post-crisis past decade, which has been characterized by lingering recovery from the global crisis, despite ultra-low rates and quantitative easing.

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Commodities

Monday, July 03, 2017

Gold: Are We All Dead Wrong? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

The natural resource sector is the most volatile sector to invest in, says Lior Gantz, editor of Wealth Research Group, and he discusses factors to take into consideration when investing.

The fact remains that the natural resource sector is the most volatile sector we can invest in.

In your brokerage account, if you see reds and not greens, as you did between January 2016 and August, then make sure you read today's piece thoroughly.

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Commodities

Monday, July 03, 2017

Copper New Intermediate Cycle : Bullish / Commodities / Copper

By: SurfCity

Copper confirmed a new Intermediate Cycle this week with a breach and close above my Red Yearly Cycle Down trend line (see first two charts). Given that this last Yearly Cycle was extremely Right Translated, cycle methodology would indicate we should expect Copper to make new highs in the year ahead of us.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 03, 2017

Kuwait Stock Exchange Index (KWSE): Watch out below! / Stock-Markets / Middle East

By: MarketsToday

The Kuwait Stock Exchange Index (KWSE) is sitting on the edge of a cliff. We may soon see a decisive reversal of the uptrend begun from the January 2016 low. Following the January 2016 low the KWSE advanced as much as 44.4 per cent as of the 7,091.46 peak reached in early-April. That high completed a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the long-term downtrend.

During the rally the index moved well above the pivotal 40-week exponential moving average (ema), and as of January broke out above the long-term downtrend line. This is all bullish behavior for the long-term.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 03, 2017

Is this the Stock Market Top?  / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.

SPX Intermediate trend:  An ending diagonal appears to be forming.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 02, 2017

Central Bankers Just Lit the Fuse on a $217 TRILLION Debt Bomb / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2017

By: Graham_Summers

As we noted yesterday, the world’s Central Banks have begun sending signals that the price of money in the financial system (bond yields) is going to be rising.

Why is this a big deal?

Because globally the world has packed on $68 TRILLION in debt since 2007. And ALL of this was issued based on the assumption that bond yields would be remaining at or near record lows.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 02, 2017

Are Central Bankers Going to Intentionally Crash the System? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Since 2007, the world has packed on a truly staggering amount of debt.  That year (2007) is now commonly referred to as a debt bubble. And at that time, global debt was $149 trillion.

Today, 10 years later, it stands at $217 trillion.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


ElectionOracle

Sunday, July 02, 2017

UK Election 2017 Disaster, Fake BrExit Chaos, Forecasting Lessons for Next Time / ElectionOracle / UK General Election

By: Nadeem_Walayat

During Mid April everything appeared to be going smoothly for Britain, Article 50 had been triggered without any political opposition apart from Sturgeons shrill cry's for another Independence referendum from north of the Scottish border. But then Theresa May made the fatal mistake of believing the tripe that calls itself Britain's polling industry, that convinced her that a snap general election would yield a landslide victory, thus strengthening her hand in the about to begin BrEXIT negotiations.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Economics

Sunday, July 02, 2017

The China-EU-US-Triangle Déjà Vu / Economics / Global Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

The new rapprochement between Brussels and Beijing involves converging economic interests between Europe and China – and diverging strategic interests between Europe and America.

A day after the terror attacks of September 11, 2001, Le Monde declared that “we are all Americans.” But the honeymoon of shared suffering ended quickly when US military revenge raged across Afghanistan, Iraq, and elsewhere. Instead, a deep and broad transatlantic rift emerged, thanks to bitter disagreements about President Bush’s foreign policy revolution.

Today, many feel an odd sense of déjà vu.
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Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 02, 2017

Janet Yellen Just Said The Most Ridiculous Thing We’ve Heard All Year! / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Jeff_Berwick

Of all people, the last person you should ever ask about what is going to happen in the economy is a central banker or a Keynesian economist.

They are, after all, communists trying to centrally plan the economy. Commies are always clueless about economics.

And, their track record of predicting the economic future is almost perfect in that they almost always say “this time things are different” just moments before another crash happens.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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