Wednesday, July 19, 2017
Discover Why A Major American Revolution Is Brewing / Politics / US Politics
I have written many articles on how extremely polarized our politics has become in the last decade. I’ve dedicated several Leading Edge newsletters to the topic. I talked about it at our 2016 Irrational Economic Summit. I even discuss it briefly in my new book, Trump, Brexit, and the Next Civil War, which will be available around mid-August.I talk about it so much because it’s related to the mega 250-Year Revolution Cycle sweeping over us right now. We’ll feel the effects of this cycle for decades to come… which I detail in my new book.
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Wednesday, July 19, 2017
We Will Face The Greatest Stock Market Turning Point In October- Beware! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Normally the worst season for the stock market is between July and November, especially August through mid-October, with September the worst month for losses (on average, of course).
The first wave of the 1929 to 1932 crash ran from early September into mid-November, claiming a loss of 47% in just two and a half months.
Wednesday, July 19, 2017
US Housing Market - Goodbye Hotel California / Housing-Market / US Housing
Not everything about my recent move from Florida to Texas was tough. I didn’t enjoy the packing and cleaning, or the unpacking and more cleaning. But there was one thing that made me smile.I kicked my storage unit to the curb.
Five years ago we decided to downsize. There was no way to put 4,000 square feet of furniture into 2,100 square feet of space. We made tough decisions on what to keep and what to give away or sell, but in the end we had a few items that had no home in the new house, but we couldn’t part with.
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Wednesday, July 19, 2017
iGaming – Stock Prices / Companies / Investing 2017
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Banks Are “Pulling the Plug” On Another Debt Bubble, CRASH is Coming / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
The credit cycle is turning for the worse.
Delinquency rates are creeping up in the consumer loan and commercial/industrial loan space. This is a clear signal that both the consumer and the corporate sectors of the economy are beginning to run out of steam.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Here’s Why China’s One Belt, One Road Is Doomed To Failure / Economics / China Economy
One Belt, One Road (OBOR) is China’s ambitious initiative unveiled in 2013. In fact, it’s two plans combined to form a larger framework of new trade routes.
The first of these is One Belt (the orange line in the above map). It refers to the development of new infrastructure—particularly railroads and highways—to connect China’s interior provinces with Europe by way of Russia, Central Asia, and the Middle East. It’s a tall order, and expectations are low that China would be able to build them.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
The Socionomic Theory of Finance By Robert Prechter - Book Review / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
Here is my review of Robert Prechter's latest BOOK "The Socionomic Theory of Finance", which is a 800 page monster of a work. I first became aware of the Robert Prechter's writings in the 1980's as his book "The Major Works of R. N. Elliot" was my first foray into Elliott Wave Theory, in which Robert Prechter was already in the last few pages seeking to go beyond Elliott Wave Theory, and now 30 years later here is the latest manifestation of Robert Prechter's journey into a socioeconomic model of markets and economies that began as elliott wave theory.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Nasdaq: Third Times a Charm? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
This is the Nasdaq's third attempt to break out of the bull market channel. Once it holds we should shift into a higher gear as the bubble phase progresses.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Ethereum Versus Bitcoin – Which Cryptocurrency Will Win The War? / Currencies / BlockChain
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Fixed Interest Rate Bond Rises Fuel Recovery in UK Savings Market / Personal_Finance / Savings Accounts
The latest data from moneyfacts.co.uk reveals that the savings market has now had six consecutive months wherein rate rises have outweighed cuts, with June seeing 125 rises versus 21 cuts.
Fixed rate bonds have been playing a huge part in the recovery of the market since the start of 2017, with last month showing that 78% of the recorded rate rises were for fixed rate bonds.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
USDCAD Facing Important Support At 1.2460 / Currencies / Canadian $
The USDCAD pair recently broke below the channel support and 1.2968 key support on its weekly chart, indicating that the long term bearish movement from the January 2016 high of 1.4689 has resumed. The pair extended its bearish movement to as low as 1.2627, facing an important support level at the May 2016 low of 1.2460.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Gold and GDX Trading Cycle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Short term we have started a new Trading or Daily Cycle. The much bigger question is have we also found a 5-6 month Intermediate Cycle Low? That is still an open question.
I have Gold on day 4 and GDX on day 5 of their new Trading/Daily Cycles.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Calling for Stock Market Top Within The Next Three Weeks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Last week, I noted to members: "As long as last week’s low is not broken, the market still has a set up in place to rally up towards the 2500SPX region."
And, as we saw, the market has rallied up towards our long-term target region. The high we struck on Friday is now only 24 points from the bottom of our long-term target box, which we set several years ago.
Since bottoming back in February of 2016, the S&P500 has rallied 38%. That is one of the best runs in the market’s history. But, were you prepared for it?
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Accepting a Society of Government Tyranny / Politics / US Politics
Rational thinking and moral conduct are rare in a society that has no respect for other individuals or succumb to the dictates of an all powerful government. Without free will, the dignity of the person is removed from the social relationship. Tyranny is not simply a state of mind, but is an imposition of compulsion designed to control the behavior of subjects of whatever form of government claiming legitimate rule.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Gold Cheaper Than Buying Greek Villas in 2012 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Tom Beck, founder of Portfolio Wealth Global, delves into the factors that drives gold investment demand.
Gold prices peaked in 2011 at a price of $1,925 per ounce, and since then, it has plummeted.
The bottom was set in 2015 when gold was hated and disregarded by investors—it was trading for $1,099.
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Tuesday, July 18, 2017
Why & How to Hedge the Growing Risks of Holding Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up we’ll hear from Axel Merk, President and Chief Investment Officer of Merk Investments and manager of the Merk Funds. Axel breaks down investor complacency, the risk of putting too much money into risk assets and gives advice on the proper weighting of precious metals in your own portfolio. Don’t miss a sensational interview with Axel Merk, coming up after this week’s market update.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Relocation: Everything You Need to do for a Smooth Transition Abroad / Personal_Finance / Immigration
Justin Weinger writes: Dreaming of moving abroad? It’s not full steam ahead until you’ve sorted out some vital things including your finances, your housing and where on earth you’re going to store all of your belongings in the meantime. Here’s a relocation guide that will benefit you no matter where you’re going.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Too Much Capital / Stock-Markets / Economic Theory
Henri Schneider writes: Truisms and banalities: Investors must be able to assess the productivity of their capital. This is done by comparing returns to interest rates. But what, if all interest rates are rigged? What if they are artificially lower than they should be? Then, not only too much capital is invested, but it is invested in the wrong places. Even more pressing: what if there is simply too much capital in the financial system?
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Monday, July 17, 2017
A Former Lehman Brothers Trader: It’s Time To Buy Brick And Mortar Retailers / Companies / Retail Sector
BY JARED DILLIAN : Everyone thinks it is only a matter of time before Amazon puts every department store, every mall, every brick-and-mortar retailer out of business. Amazon gets an infinity market cap and everyone else gets zero.
Sound familiar?
That’s the accepted wisdom.
Is Amazon a great business? Yes.
Is a department store a bad business? Probably.
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Monday, July 17, 2017
Bank Of England Warns “Bigger Systemic Risk” Now Than 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
– Bank of England warn that “bigger systemic risk” now than in 2008
– BOE, Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) concerns re financial system
– Banks accused of “balance sheet trickery” -undermining spirit of post-08 rules
– EU & UK corporate bond markets may be bigger source of instability than ’08
– Credit card debt and car loan surge could cause another financial crisis
– PRA warn banks returning to similar practices to those that sparked 08 crisis
– ‘Conscious that corporate memories can be shed surprisingly fast’ warns PRA Chair