Monday, July 24, 2017

Last Chance For US Dollar To Rally / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Savage

I think we need to focus on what is happening to the dollar. The intermediate cycle is now 63 weeks long. Clearly that isn’t normal. I’ve maintained for several years that the end game was going to play out in the currency markets. There has to be consequences to printing trillions and trillions of currency units , and leaving interest rates at 0 for 8 years. I don’t think the consequences are going to be deflation. I think the end game will be inflation, just like it was in the 70’s, and just like it was in 2007 and 2008.

It’s taken a while to manifest as other countries have jumped into the game and turned on their printing presses as well, so the collapse in the currency I’ve been looking for has taken quite a while to unfold. The first leg down ended in 2008.

Sunday, July 23, 2017

Scaramucci Trump's Phase2 - Scaramouche, Scaramouche, Will You Do the Fandango? / Politics / US Politics

By: Raul_I_Meijer

So sorry to see Sean Spicer go, even if I never watch TV, so I only got snippets of his acting performances -and Melissa McCarthy’s. One of the very few SNL and other ‘comedy’ shows skids that was actually funny, in the same way that very few of the New York Times and Washington Post ‘articles’ on Trump have been actually news.

As I wrote to a friend earlier today, sure Spicer’s gone, but there’ll be other entertaining characters to replace him. Say what you will about the Trump administration, but never a dull moment. Having Mike Pence become president would kill all the fun.

Sunday, July 23, 2017

Sheffield Tramlines Music Festival 2017 at Peace Gardens / Local / Sheffield

By: Anika_Walayat

Sheffield is holding it's annual Tramlines Music festival weekend (Friday 21st to Sunday 23rd July), with music stages situated not just across the city centre but across many of Sheffield's best parks, pumping out music to cater for all tastes, and you don't have to pay for expensive wrist bands to enjoy the Tramlines experience as there are many free stages across the city such as in the Peace Gardens which we visited Saturday amongst other venues. Here's how the Peace Gardens music went down, where the crowd was about half that of last year, probably due to a poor weather forecast for Saturday. And remember that Tramlines continues Sunday across the city for its third and final day.

Saturday, July 22, 2017

UK House Prices Momentum Crash Warns of 2017 Bear Market - Video / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The June 8th general election result delivering 'chaos and uncertainty' instead of 'strong and stable' not only shocked Britain's political and media establishment but also looks like the UK economy suffered a heart attack with confidence fast evaporating as the economy slows down which makes a mockery of the Bank of England MPC clowns persisting in their talk of raising UK interest rates this year. And along with evaporating economic confidence is the confidence in the UK housing market that risks bringing a 5 year housing bull market to an abrupt end! And this is even before we see the chaos that will ensue once Theresa May quits as PM that risks triggering another chaos inducing general election!

Saturday, July 22, 2017

Crude Oil, Gold, ETFs & more: Pro-grade Market Forecasts / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

Are you paying attention to commodities? You should be.

Major moves in oil, gold and other commodities have offered up huge opportunities for traders in 2017.

Our friends at Elliott Wave International have kept our subscribers ahead of many big commodity moves.

Saturday, July 22, 2017

Prepare for a 30-year Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Clif_Droke

Heading into 2017, Wall Street was excited by the prospect of a U.S. president who sympathized completely with business.  His promised tax and healthcare reforms were widely cheered by investors in the wake of his election.  Yet the Congress has so far failed to deliver on those promises and investors are no longer giving the Trump administration a free pass based on the assumption that tax breaks are on the way.

Saturday, July 22, 2017

Market Reality Is Going to Bite Back Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: short in wave (3) red.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave
Long term wave count: lower in wave (3) red
Important risk events: EUR: Flash Manufacturing PMI, Flash Services PMI.

Friday, July 21, 2017

Are Central Bankers Secretly Terrified? / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Graham_Summers

Central Bankers are absolutely terrified.

In the last month, both Fed President Janet Yellen and ECB President Mario Draghi have issued somewhat hawkish statements, only to turn around within 48 hours and walk back their comments.

Again, two of the most powerful Central Bankers in the world couldn’t even last three days being hawks.

Friday, July 21, 2017

Warning: The Fed Is Preparing to Crash the Financial System Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Very few investors caught on to it, but a few weeks ago the Fed made its single largest announcement in eight years.

First let me provide some context.

For eight years now, the Fed has propped up the stock market. In terms of formal monetary policy the Fed has:

·      Kept interest rates at ZERO for seven years making money virtually free and forcing investors into stocks and junk bonds in search of yield.

·      Engaged in over $3.5 TRILLION in Quantitative Easing or QE, providing an amount of liquidity to the US financial system that is greater than the GDP of Germany.

Friday, July 21, 2017

Gold / Silver Shorts Extreme / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold-futures and silver-futures short positions held by speculators have rocketed up to extremes in recent weeks.  These elite traders are aggressively betting for further weakness in gold and silver prices.  But history has proven extreme shorts are a powerful contrarian indicator.  Right as speculators wax the most bearish as evidenced by their collective bets, gold and silver decisively bottom and birth major new rallies.

Futures trading has a wildly-outsized impact on gold and silver prices, especially over the short term.  It is amazing how much volatility futures speculators’ collective buying and selling generates, often drowning out everything else.  Two factors are responsible for this dominance.  The extreme leverage inherent in futures trading and the unfortunate fact the resulting gold and silver prices are the world’s reference ones.

Friday, July 21, 2017

XIV Hits All Time Highs As The VIX Sets Records That May Never Be Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Submissions

By Mike Golembesky : In last week’s article, I had noted that as long as the XIV was able to hold the 83.93 level, I expected to see it hit the 87.76 – 91.53 zone into this week with the potential to see a move into the mid 90’s prior to making a large degree top.

On Tuesday of this week, the XIV closed at the upper end of this 91.53 zone and then on continued to extend higher into Wednesday, and as of Thursday’s close is now trading at the 93.83 level having so far been contained by the 238.2 Fibonacci extension level of the move up off of the 7/6 low.

Friday, July 21, 2017

GBP/USD Bearish Factors / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Tuesday, British pound move lower against the greenback, which resulted in an invalidation of the breakout above two important resistances. How did this negative development affect the technical picture of GBP/USD?

In our opinion the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:

EUR/USD: none
GBP/USD: short (a stop-loss order at 1.3232; the initial downside target at 1.2375)
USD/JPY: none
USD/CAD: none
USD/CHF: none
AUD/USD: none

Friday, July 21, 2017

Gold Hedges Against Currency Devaluation and Cost Of Fuel, Food, Beer and Housing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Gold hedge against currency devaluation – cost of fuel, food, housing
– True inflation figures reflect impact on household spending
– Household items climbed by average 964%
– Pint of beer sees biggest increase in basket of goods – rise of 2464%

Friday, July 21, 2017

Is It Worth Investing in Palladium? / Commodities / Palladium

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Palladium is another element with great importance to the modern economy, but it’s often overshadowed by the other more famous and expensive precious metals. As the chart below shows, palladium has been generally cheaper than platinum – its more expensive substitute in industrial use and jewelry.

Friday, July 21, 2017

“Dirty, Difficult, And Dangerous”: Why Millennials Won’t Work In Oil Industry / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

By Tsvetana Paraskova : Like many industries today, the oil industry is trying to sell its many job opportunities to the fastest growing portion of the global workforce: Millennials. But unlike any other industry, oil and gas is facing more challenges in persuading the environmentally-conscious Millennials that oil is “cool”.

During the Super Bowl earlier this year, the American Petroleum Institute (API) launched an ad geared toward Millennials, who now make up the largest generation in the U.S. labor force.

Friday, July 21, 2017

UK House Prices Momentum Crash Threatens Mini Bear Market 2017 / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The June 8th general election result delivering 'chaos and uncertainty' instead of 'strong and stable' not only shocked Britain's political and media establishment but also looks like the UK economy suffered a heart attack with confidence fast evaporating as the economy slows down which makes a mockery of the Bank of England MPC clowns persisting in their talk of raising UK interest rates this year. And along with evaporating economic confidence is the confidence in the UK housing market that risks bringing a 5 year housing bull market to an abrupt end! And this is even before we see the chaos that will ensue once Theresa May quits as PM that risks triggering another chaos inducing general election!

Thursday, July 20, 2017

The Fed May Show Trump No Love / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Peter_Schiff

Typically, U.S. Presidents are wary of claiming stock market performance as a referendum on their success. Most have seemed to understand that taking credit also means accepting blame, and no one would want to make the tortured argument that the positive moves reflect well on their presidency but that the negative moves do not. But Donald Trump has shown no reluctance to make any argument that suits his political purpose of the day, no matter its absurdity, and no matter if he has to contradict the arguments he made last year, or last week. Perhaps he assumes, as most investors seem to, that the risks are minimal because the Federal Reserve will jump in to save the markets if things turn bad. But in binding his performance so closely to the markets he overlooks the possibility that the Fed will be far less charitable to him than it was to Obama.

Thursday, July 20, 2017

The 3 Best Asset Classes To Brace Your Portfolio For The Next Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017

By: John_Mauldin

By Jake Weber : No one knows when the next financial crisis will hit.

The 2008 financial crisis originated in sub-prime mortgages. Rampant speculation in dot-com stocks triggered a market panic in the early 2000s.

What will spark the next crisis?

Fed Chair Janet Yellen said last month that she didn’t expect a financial crisis in our lifetimes…. Of course, later she downplayed her comments, but it doesn’t change the message.

Thursday, July 20, 2017

Stock Market Decline May Have Begun. Be Careful About Taking Short Positions / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

While the decline doesn’t look like much yet, some of you brave souls who agree with my Cycles and Elliott Wave analysis may wish to begin adding partial short positions.

With that recommendation I warn that there are no confirmations from either the VIX or the Hi-Lo Index. It appears that both of those indicators will be laggards at this juncture. In addition, there may be some blow-back from the algos’ automatic buy programs in an attempt to keep the markets elevated. The first support is the Cycle Top at 2463.58. Positions may be added as we see supports being broken.

Thursday, July 20, 2017

Gold Stocks and Bonds - Preparing for THE Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In the first part of the Preparing for THE Bottom series, we emphasized the need to be sure to stay alert and focused in the precious metals market, even though it may not appear all that interesting. We argued that preparing for the big moves in gold that are likely to be seen later this year should prove extremely worth one’s while. In the second part of the series, we discussed when, approximately, one can expect the key bottom in gold to form (reminder: this winter appears a likely target) and in the third part of the series, we discussed one of the confirmations that could indicate that the final bottom is in or at hand – the gold to silver ratio. The latter is not the only important ratio that one needs to keep in mind and in today’s article, we’re going to discuss two additional ones: the one based on gold and the bond market and a second one, which includes gold stocks and gold. Both ratios add to the clarity regarding the upcoming bottom and they could be used as confirmations that the bottom is indeed in or at hand.