Tuesday, March 29, 2022
Stocks: Should We Expect More Upside? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stocks extended their short-term uptrend on Friday, but this week we may see some more uncertainty and a possible profit-taking action.The S&P 500 index gained 0.53% on Friday following its Thursday’s advance of 1.4%. The broad stock market’s gauge extended its short-term uptrend after breaking above the 4,500 level. It gained over 380 points from the Mar. 14 local low of around 4,162. There have been no confirmed negative signals so far. However, we may see another correction and a profit-taking action at some point.
There’s still a lot of uncertainty concerning the ongoing Ukraine conflict, but investors were recently jumping back into stocks despite that geopolitical uncertainty. This morning the index is expected to open virtually flat after an overnight advance followed by its retracement.
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Monday, March 28, 2022
GOOGLE TO BE SLICIED INTO 20 PIECES! / Companies / Google
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Strong earnings growth and news of a 20 to 1 STOCK SPLIT sent GOOGLE soaring towards it's all time highs, Stocks tend to run higher into a split and fall afterwards so I plan to be fully invested by Mid June and will likely take profits on the split on 15th July. If you hold whole shares then you will get 20 new Google shares, if you hold fractional shares you will likely get $$$'s in exchange for your fractional holdings which may not be so bad given that the stock should fall after the split. Google is Numero uno! Should be at the very core of every stock portfolio, at 2.4% of my portfolio my holding is light, I want to see my holding rise to about 7% of portfolio. Again just remember if you own a fractional share then you will likely get cash instead of split shares, so if you hold say 1.8 shares right now then you definitely want to look at pepping your holding up to over 2.0, unless you want the cash.
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Monday, March 28, 2022
Volatility Retreats As Stocks & Commodities Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is a real-time index. It is derived from the prices of SPX index options with near-term expiration dates that are utilized to generate a 30-day forward projection of volatility. The VIX allows us to gauge market sentiment or the degree of fear among market participants. As the Volatility Index VIX goes up, fear increases, and as it goes down, fear dissipates.
Commodities and equities are both showing renewed strength on the heels of global interest rate increases. Inflation shows no sign of abating as energy, metals, food products, and housing continues their upward bias.
During the last 18-months, the VIX has been trading between its upper resistance of 36.00 and its lower support of 16.00. As the Volatility Index VIX falls, fear subsides, and money flows back into stocks.
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Monday, March 28, 2022
Currency Wars Center on Russia’s Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: MoneyMetals
In response to Russia’s war on Ukraine, the U.S. and G-7 countries have launched a currency war against the Kremlin. Sanctions imposed on the Russian central bank have effectively blacklisted the country from the U.S. dollar-dominated global financial system.
Now the Biden administration is attempting to prevent Russia from using gold as an alternative medium of exchange.
Last week, the Treasury Department declared, “US persons are prohibited from engaging in any transaction – including gold-related transactions – involving the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, the National Wealth Fund of the Russian Federation or the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation.”
Monday, March 28, 2022
Smart Ways of Financing Commercially Viable Projects When the Cash is Scarce / Companies / SME
By: Steve_Barker
It's no secret that cash flow is often the biggest hurdle for businesses looking to get their projects off the ground. Commercial viability is key, but if you can't find a way to finance your venture, it'll never see the light of day. In this article, we'll discuss some smart ways to finance your project when money is tight.
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Sunday, March 27, 2022
High Inflation Forecast for Whole of this Decade Due to Rampant Money Printing, Recession Risk 2022 / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK CP LIE Inflation hits 6.2%, whilst RPI that which most corporations raise their prices to has rocketed higher to 8.2% whilst real UK inflation stands at at least 15%, meanwhile across the atlantic US CP Lie inflation at 7.9 % stands on the bring of breaking above 8% with real inflation also at around 15% So much for the Pandemic deflationary depression that the clueless mainstream media had been promoting for the whole off 2020 and then sleep walked into mantra of transitory inflation of 2021, finally wakening during 2022 to what amounts to out control inflation of 2022.
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Saturday, March 26, 2022
North Korea Leader WARNS Don't Forget About Me! Launches New Nuclear Ballistic Missile - WW3 / Politics / Nuclear Power
By: N_Walayat
With Putin stealing the limelight in European, Don't You forget about me was the message from North Korea's Dear Fat leader has he donned his Sunday best, black leathers, shades and all to show off his latest boys Toy, a huge mobile intercontinental ballistic missile capable of carrying multiple nuclear warheads that could hit the Western seaboard of the United States!
Hear that Biden? Don't forget about me!
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Saturday, March 26, 2022
Buying a 'Pristine' iPhone mobile phone off Ebay, Empty Box? Did we Get Scammed? / Personal_Finance / Scams
By: Anika_Walayat
We bought a 'pristine' iPhone 11 off ebay, box has been delivered, does not weigh much, is there even anything inside of it? Did we just get scammed? Let's find out as we open the box to reveal either an expensive box or an iPhone.
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Friday, March 25, 2022
Quantum AI Tech Stocks Bear Market Buying Levels / Stock-Markets / Quantum AI Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is how I expect things to play out over the next few weeks -
The prime candidates for busting to new lows are - Nvidia, AMAT, Facebook, Tesla, LRCX, ASM, MSFT, MED,
Stocks that could hold their lows are AMD, AVGO, iNTEL, QCOM, TSM but it's 50/50.
Whilst Google and Amazon have settled into trading ranges, i.e. it is a tough ask to expect new lows given their recent powerful rallies on the back of strong earnings.
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Friday, March 25, 2022
Is There Any Gold in Virtual Worlds Like Metaverse? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Imagine all the people… living life in the Metaverse. Once we immerse ourselves in the digital sphere, gold may go out of fashion. Or maybe not?
Do you already have your avatar? If not, maybe you should consider creating one, as the Metaverse is coming! What is the Metaverse? It is a digital, three-dimensional world where people are represented by avatars, a network of 3D virtual worlds focused on social connection, the next evolution of the internet, “extended reality,” and the latest buzzword in the marketplace since Facebook changed its name to Meta. If you still have no idea what I’m talking about, you can watch this educational video or just Spielberg’s Ready Player One.
The idea of personalities being uploaded online is an intriguing concept, isn’t it? In this vision, people meet with others, play, and simply hang out in a digital world. Imagine friends turning group chats on Messenger or WhatsApp into group meetups in the Metaverse of family gatherings in virtual homes. Ultimately, people will probably be doing pretty much everything there, except eating, sleeping, and using the restroom.
Friday, March 25, 2022
The Yield Curve flattener and a Coming Transition / Interest-Rates / Inverted Yield Curve
By: Gary_Tanashian
As the Yield Curve flattens, this inflation is different from the 2020 inflation
In 2020 an inflationary yield curve steepener was in the bag as the Fed dropped and pinned the Funds Rate and sucked up every bond it could get its hands on (in order to monetize/print). The bond market made the logical signals about the resulting inflation as the short end was pinned by a combination of Fed policy and the frightened, risk ‘off’ herds clustered in T-Bills and short-term Treasuries, relative to the long end.
Gold and then stocks picked up on it first, followed by commodities, which were tardy but are now the star performer late in the inflation cycle. Hmm…
Side Note: The most buyable looking chart in the lower panels? On this big picture, that would be gold.
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Friday, March 25, 2022
Hot Commodities! Is the 2-year rally nearly Done or Jjust Starting? / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: EWI
FREE March 28 - April 1.
Hi,
You may already know that the CRB Commodities Index is up 200% since the April 2020 low.
Even if you haven’t been following the broad Index, you've no doubt felt the effects of rising commodity prices in your wallet.
But there is a silver-lining flip side: Over the past 2 years, commodities have also offered massive opportunities. And they're not done.
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Friday, March 25, 2022
Crush inflation with These Magic Words / Economics / Inflation
By: Stephen_McBride
Are you feeling the pinch?
Inflation is getting out of hand.
I buy the same items every week at the grocery store… yet my bill has shot up 50% in the last six months.
Gas prices just hit $8/gallon here in Ireland… and the cost of heating a home jumped by roughly $500 this winter.
Today, I’ll show you the best way to crush inflation with your investments.
Hint: You want to buy companies that possess two magic words—more on that in a moment…
Monday, March 21, 2022
Is the Fed trying to blow another, more covert asset bubble? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The asset bubble that almost ended in Q1 2020 was rescued by two main saviors, 1) unsustainable bearish (no, terrorized) sentiment and even more so, 2) balls out central bank inflation, led by the US Federal Reserve. The resulting bubble leg was in the bag from the moment the dovish Fed made its first headline about asset purchases and rate cuts.
This latest leg of the asset bubble has been under stress in 2022, as the supposed reflection of ‘good’ inflation, the stock market (SPX), has trended down all year. More recently, commodities and precious metals have gotten dinged as well after spiking upward on the Russia/Ukraine war, which exacerbated the Fed’s inflation (as manufactured in Q1-Q2 2020) after the inflationary effects on commodity prices were already exacerbated by pandemic-related supply chain issues.
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Monday, March 21, 2022
How to Cash in on the “Big Supply Shortage” / Companies / Investing 2022
By: Submissions
By Justin Spittler Have you been to the grocery store lately?If you have, you’ve probably noticed many of the shelves are half-stocked, or empty.
In recent weeks, members of our team have had trouble getting everyday items like nursery water and pet food. According to the Consumer Brands Association, grocery stores usually have around 7–10% of items out of stock. But now it’s about 12% for all products. And 15% when it comes to food and drinks.
Online shopping hasn’t been a much better experience. These days, it can take weeks for a pair of sunglasses or shoes to show up at my doorstep.
But it’s not all bad news. In a minute, I’ll explain why the “Big Shortage” is sending a specific group of stocks higher—and how you can capitalize.
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Sunday, March 20, 2022
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast Current State / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
We are in for a volatile trend with a downwards bias for much of 2022, as I wrote to expect on the 5th of Dec 2021 accompanied by revised trend forecast graph.
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Sunday, March 20, 2022
Your Journey to High-Confidence Stock and Commodity Markets Trading Starts Now With Corrective Elliott Wave Patterns / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
By: EWI
Soybeans and Apple stock (AAPL): Corrective patterns signaled opportunities in these disparate markets. Your market could be next!The last 2 years have been a time of immense global adversity with the most challenging human health crisis in over a century.
But it has also been a time of immense personal growth. The uncomfortable realization of our dependence on others for everything from entertainment, education, nourishment, and income came into stark, swift focus. And with it, how quickly those things can be taken away without warning because of that dependence.
In turn, the pandemic saw an insatiable industry of online self-improvement crash courses emerge on home garden horticulture, podcast making, home building, home schooling, and -- learning to trade financial markets to "ensure a steady livelihood despite economic setbacks."
The problem is, learning to trade isn't like learning to plant tubers in your backyard. It's much more complicated and can't be fully conveyed with mock "trials" or simulated positions. At best, many of such courses get people in the door, but not seated at the table of real-world practice and risk-management.
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Sunday, March 20, 2022
US Fed Announces Minimum Interest Rate Hike, Spooked by Ukraine War Impact / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: MoneyMetals
Dysfunctional U.S. Mint Runs Out of Silver Blanks Again, Halting Sales of Some Items - Precious metals markets sold off ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve policy meeting. But after Fed officials announced their rate hike, prices recovered somewhat.
Another market that has gone haywire is nickel. It’s not a metal that typically drives headlines, but prices swung so violently in futures markets that trading had to be halted for the first time in 24 years.
Nickel prices doubled in matter of hours last week. An institutional trader had placed big bets that nickel prices would fall and was forced to cover, or buy back, his short positions. An epic short squeeze ensued, followed by a massive sell-off this week.
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Friday, March 18, 2022
Quantum AI Stocks Buying Levels to Capitalise on the Stock Market Panic of 2022 / Companies / Quantum AI Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
So have you managed to capitalise on the great tech stocks bear market of 2022?
My portfolio and likely similar for many of my patrons has gone from 22.7% invest in late January -
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Friday, March 18, 2022
China Stock Market Selling Pressure Could Be Over, Now What? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Chris_Vermeulen
THE SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX HAS DROPPED MORE
THAN 40% FROM ITS PEAK IN JUST 2 ½ MONTHS!
China Stocks: This morning bottom pickers around the globe are snatching up what they believe to be “bargain basement priced stocks” as the Hang Seng Index gained 9.1% during today’s March 16, 2022 trading session. It was the best day for the HSI since the 2008 financial crisis as the Chinese government pledged to support markets.
Tensions are running high as Chinese nickel giant Tsingshan Holding Group, the world’s biggest producer of nickel used in stainless steel and electric-vehicle batteries was sitting on $8 billion in trading losses.
According to the Wall Street Journal on March 9, 2022 “The London Metal Exchange suspended the nickel market early last Tuesday, the first time it had paused trading in a metal contract since the collapse of an international tin cartel in 1985. The decision followed a near doubling in prices over a few hours.”
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