Category: Gold & Silver
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, November 22, 2007
Gold Holds Steady as Base Metals Plunge & Oil Slips on Paulson's US Home-Loan Default Warning / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES traded in a $4 range around $803 an ounce in London Thursday morning, as global stock markets struggled to end three weeks of losses and crude oil slipped further away from $100 per barrel.
Ahead of the long holiday weekend in the US – starting with today's New York shutdown for Thanksgiving – equity markets in Asia lost another 0.6% on average today, led down by a 2.3% loss in Hong Kong .
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Wednesday, November 21, 2007
Gold Dumps $12 Per Ounce After 4.5% Surge as Dollar Hits Crisis; Change in Oil's Currency Regime Now "Inevitable" / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT GOLD MARKET dumped more than $12 an ounce in London on Wednesday morning after peaking at $807.45 late in the Asian session – nearly 4.5% above Tuesday's low.
This wild volatility hit Gold Prices as world stock markets plunged, the US Dollar sank to new all-time lows, and crude oil came within 71¢ of $100 per barrel.
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Wednesday, November 21, 2007
Gold in Second Gear - US Fed Out of Gas! / Commodities / Gold & Silver
As observed in August , gold has broken out of its first gear and ratcheted into second gear back in early 2006, not long before its top for that year. Although it broke down in May of '06, it has steadfastly remained atop its then-established bottom trendline, which was the upper limit of the bull market's "first gear" stage.
When the August "Gold Uptrend" article was published, this second gear was merely a possibility, based on the latter observation (i.e., that it never dipped significantly below its former uptrend ceiling. The recent top near $850/oz last Friday has now confirmed that formerly theoretical second gear stage as a valid second trend channel piggybacking right on top of the first gear stage.
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Wednesday, November 21, 2007
GOLD THOUGHTS - Gold is in a Structural Bull Market - Buy On Corrections / Commodities / Gold & Silver
So, OPEC finally figured out what the western world has been doing to them. Oil producers have been swapping oil for green pieces of paper. Suddenly, they discovered the intrinsic value of those green pieces of paper, the market value of the paper and ink. Only governments can take paper, cover it with ink, and make it worthless.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 20, 2007
Gold Price Experiencing Extreme Volatility / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold is showing extreme volatility now and consolidating after its tremendous gains of the past month.
I have told not to be too bullish and I feel I am about as balanced as I can be. Of course short term I never attempt to speculate. But long term I see a great deal of volatility. And short term I see a great deal of volatility. Already we are observing price movements of 25 dollars and more in a single 24 hour period.
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Tuesday, November 20, 2007
Gold Continues to Tumble Despite US Dollar Weakness / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldGold was down $8.90 to $776.50 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was down 31 cents to $14.12 per ounce. Gold has since moved upwards in Asia and European trading and is at $790.10 per ounce at 1130 GMT. It has thus recovered much of the ground lost yesterday. Gold is trading at £382 GBP (from £387 on Friday) and €534 EUR (down from €541 on Friday).
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Tuesday, November 20, 2007
Gold Rallies Hard as Euro Hits New Record High Ahead of Fed Minutes; Oil Drifts Lower, Global Stock Markets Bounce / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES leapt 2.2% from a new four-week low in Asian and early London trade on Tuesday, breaking above last week's close to hit $789.65 by the Morning Fix.
"Gold broke down through the [three-month] uptrend line at $785 yesterday and fell to a low of $773 overnight," notes today's Gold Market report from Mitsui Precious Metals in London .
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Monday, November 19, 2007
Gold Comes Under Selling Pressure / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Gold prices and the GLD are under pressure again today. Let's notice that the GLD has violated Thursday's reaction low at 77.30, which triggered new selling pressure that points next to 76.00 -- on the way to my optimal target zone of 74.00. At this juncture, only a rally that hurdles and sustains above 79.00 will neutralize my still-bearish outlook.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 19, 2007
Silver Bull Market Blow Off Forecast for 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Bulls climb a wall of worry and bears slide down the slope of hope. So go two well-known investment proverbs. The first one could apply to gold and silver investors.
As silver and gold break out into new highs, we begin to hear the calls for an end of the precious metals bull market. This may come in articles, which state that the US Dollar plunge is now over or perhaps high prices have finally unleashed new supply onto the markets. I even read one article that stated that though gold had advanced over one hundred dollars above its last major high of $730 back in May 2006, it was STILL in a correction phase. Come on guys, a bit of common sense would not go amiss here, in my book gold breaking $100 above old highs is not a correction, it's a bull market!
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Monday, November 19, 2007
Gold Gives Back Early Gains as Dollar & Yen Rally; Oil Rises Again After US Treasury-Bond Yields Turn Negative / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES gave back most of an early $6 rally on Monday morning, trading below $788 per ounce by midday in London after losing 5.7% last week – the biggest one-week decline since March.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 18, 2007
Gold Short-term Uncertainty, Long-term Bullish - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver
A double whammy and some minor moves and gold is down 5.6% on the week. Is this just the start or near the end -- who knows?
GOLD : LONG TERM
One week does nothing from the long term term perspective. The indicators change very slowly so one week is but a blip. The P&F chart has reversed direction but is a long way from any change in trend. The momentum and volume indicators are well in the positive zones and the moving average is still pointing upwards. All is still well and the long term rating remains BULLISH .
Sunday, November 18, 2007
Gold and Silver Analysis - Is the Fed All Talk? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
“The power of the Fed to literally change the game… cannot be ignored. Anti-gold forces now stand as ready as ever to force a consolidation in precious metals. There's also a rising probability that the dollar will at last see at least a relief rally, which could have metals trading weaker … so, the game plan continues to be resisting the temptation to short without confirmation and using the 5-week sma in gold and the 5-day sma in silver to signal a major reversal. Curiously, a 38.2% Fibonacci retrace of the move off the summer '06 lows in gold would bring us back to the May '06 highs.” ~ Precious Points: Judgments Affirmed! November 11, 2007Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 17, 2007
What is the Real Price of Gold and Whose Buying? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
It's become a knee-jerk reaction to look at the gold price in the U.S. $ and to comment on its moves in that currency. And there is good reason to do so, for the U.S.$ is the global reserve currency at present even if it is beginning to look of dubious value. Why don't we measure it in a strong currency such as the Euro? Although that is an ‘up and coming' reserve currency, it has not taken a sufficient hold of the world's monetary system to be accepted as the U.S. $'s equal.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 16, 2007
Invest in Gold ETF To Gain Gold Price Exposure / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Three years ago on November 18th a landmark event polarized the gold world. The first gold exchange-traded fund to trade in the United States , the StreetTracks Gold Shares, was launched. Although born in controversy, even GLD's original detractors cannot argue with this ETF's stunning success since.
Nearing its third birthday, GLD just reported massive holdings of 19.3m ounces of gold held in trust for its investors. When your gold holdings get this large though, you don't even measure them in ounces anymore. Instead you switch to metric tonnes. This week, GLD reported nearly 600 tonnes of physical gold bullion under management for American investors. This is a staggering amount of gold.
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Friday, November 16, 2007
Gold Short-term Tedhnical Damage / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldGold was down $26.70 to $785.70 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was down 57 cents to $14.42 per ounce. Gold has since traded sideways in Asia and European trading and is at $790.10 per ounce at 1200 GMT. Tentative dollar strength and oil weakness may have contributed to the sell off. Gold was also down in GBP and EUR but not by as much. It is trading at £387 GBP (from £392.80) and €541 EUR (down from €549.80).
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Friday, November 16, 2007
Gold Holds in $5 Range as Yen Rises Again; Link with Oil Prices Weakening; Gold Mining Output Falling "Much Faster" than Expected / Commodities / Gold & Silver
SPOT GOLD PRICES held steady in a $5 range early Friday, rising above $790 per ounce by the Morning Fix in London but standing more than 5% below their level of this time last week.
"After yesterday's sell-off, the Gold Market will be watching closely for the next move," said Standard Bank's gold note from Johannesburg earlier.
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Thursday, November 15, 2007
Robust Global Gold Demand - Rising by 19% in Third Quarter / Commodities / Gold & Silver
GoldGold was up $15.40 to $812.40 per ounce in New York yesterday and silver was up 44 cents to $14.99 per ounce. It traded sideways in Asia and has sold off in European trading and is at $803.50 per ounce at 1200 GMT. Gold is flat in GBP and EUR. It is trading at £392.90 GBP (from £393) and €549.80 EUR (down from €550).
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Thursday, November 15, 2007
Gold Gives Back Overnight Rally as British Pound Slumps, Bonds Rise & Stock Markets Slide on Fresh Economic Worries / Commodities / Gold & Silver
THE SPOT GOLD PRICE failed to hold onto its overnight gains early on Thursday, dropping back to bounce off $802 per ounce after recording an AM Fix in London of $806.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 15, 2007
Hinde Gold Hedge Fund Funds Overly Complicates Investing in Gold to Profit From Management Fees / Commodities / Gold & Silver
"...If you need to chase 25% gains each year to get a good night's sleep, then the City of London's got just the 'structured' gold fund you might be looking for..."
WHY MAKE SOMETHING SIMPLE when you can make it complex?
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Wednesday, November 14, 2007
Gold Breakdown Below $800 - What is Happening? / Commodities / Gold & Silver
Well, gold has broken through the 800 barrier and climbed as high as 845. What gives? Why is gold moving on like this? I can say it a hundred times but never enough times really. This is not about gold. Gold is merely a barometer.
True, the gold barometer has been broken for a long time due to intervention by others. But I believe that barometer is back together again and in working order. As always gold merely reflects the circumstances around it. By the way. It looks like 800 just may become the new floor price for gold and not its ceiling.
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