Category: Pandemic
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, February 16, 2020
UK Coronavirus COVID-19 Pandemic WARNING! Sheffield, Manchester, Birmingham Outbreaks Probable / Local / Pandemic
By: N_Walayat
Sheffield Britains fifth largest city like the rest of Britain's big cities is in the calm before the Coronavirus storm stage. Where barely a couple of weeks from now everything isa likely to change when Corona viral outbreaks start taking place across the UK. Because unfortunately the NHS is barely able to cope with the regular winter flu let alone a strain that is 100 times as deadly so the NHS will soon be overwhelmed with seriously ill patients requiring intensive care, and it won't take more than a dozen such patients to tip the healthcare systems in each of Britain's big cities such as Sheffield, unable to cope with even small volumes of Coronavirus ill where the only response to 111 calls will be for patients to self quarantine themselves at home as hospitals become hotbeds for the transmission of the virus, so places definitely to steer clear of to avoid becoming infected.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 15, 2020
UK Calm Before Corona Virus Storm - Infections Forecast into End March 2020 / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This week the people of Britain got a taste for how the Coronavirus epidemic is going to break out in the UK. As apparently a Chinese woman infected with the Coronavirus virus flew from China to the UK before she was put into quarantine in China, boarded a flight to the UK, with no regard to the risks of infecting fellow passengers on the plane. No regard to the staff and the thousands of passengers at Heathrow airport.
Where instead of declaring that she was infected with the killer virus on arrival, went through customs and border control, exited the airport and then proceeded to take a Uber taxi without regard to the driver and his family or the other passengers who would ride in the Uber after her, to the nearby Lewisham hospital . Walking into the A&E department without regard to the staff and patients sat there, effectively declaring that I am ill with Coronavirus so give me treatment!
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 14, 2020
UK Coronavirus COVID-19 Infections and Deaths Trend Forecast 2020 / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This week the people of Britain got a taste for how the Coronavirus epidemic is going to break out in the UK. As apparently a Chinese woman infected with the Coronavirus flew from China to the UK before she was put into quarantine in China, boarded a flight to the UK, with no regard to the risks of infecting fellow passengers on the plane. No regard to the staff and the thousands of passengers at Heathrow airport.
Where instead of declaring that she was infected with the killer virus on arrival, went through customs and border control, exited the airport and then proceeded to take a Uber taxi without regard to the driver and his family or the other passengers who would ride in the Uber after her, to the nearby Lewisham hospital . Walking into the A&E department without regard to the staff and patients sat there, effectively declaring that I am ill with Coronavirus so give me treatment!
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 13, 2020
China Coronavirus Infections Soar by 1/3rd to 60,000, Deaths Jump to 1,367 / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Chinese communist regime's propaganda of the past week of having brought the Coronavirus outbreak under control by referring to daily falling infection rates from a peak of about 4,500 to 2000 has now been completely blown away following the declaration of a huge 33% jump in the number of infections (15,000) totalling 60,000 today! Also the number of deaths has jumped sharply higher to 1369 from 1115.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 12, 2020
China Under Reporting Coronavirus COVID-19 Infections, Africa and South America Hidden Outbreaks / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
China continues to lock down cities in an attempt to halt the spread of Coronavirus as apparently the virus can spread as an aerosol spray which would make it far more infectious than previously thought, which if true explains why passengers quarantined in their cabins on board the Diamond Princess in Japan are continuing to become infected, with the total now at 175 infected passengers and crew.
All this whilst official Chinese infections and deaths statistics appear to have hit a plateau with China reporting a falling rate of infection (+2000). But it's not a question of whether we should believe any statistics coming out of a totalitarian state where what the government states to be the facts are to be believed to be so under threat of punishment, rather it is also likely that propaganda is being coupled with the fact that the China is hitting capacity constraints in it's ability to diagnose infected persons or the cause of deaths as a consequence of Coronavirus, where actual cases presented beyond a certain number are either being rejected by the system or literally cremated as the dead are so as to prevent the spread of the virus.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 12, 2020
China Under Reporting Coronavirus COVID-19 Infections by 66% Due to Capacity Constraints / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
China continues to lock down cities in an attempt to halt the spread of Coronavirus as apparently the virus can spread as an aerosol spray which would make it far more infectious than previously thought, which if true explains why passengers quarantined in their cabins on board the Diamond Princess in Japan are continuing to become infected, with the total now at 175 infected passengers and crew.
All this whilst official Chinese infections and deaths statistics appear to have hit a plateau with China reporting a falling rate of infection (+2000). But it's not a question of whether we should believe any statistics coming out of a totalitarian state where what the government states to be the facts are to be believed to be so under threat of punishment, rather it is also likely that propaganda is being coupled with the fact that the China is hitting capacity constraints in it's ability to diagnose infected persons or the cause of deaths as a consequence of Coronavirus, where actual cases presented beyond a certain number are either being rejected by the system or literally cremated as the dead are so as to prevent the spread of the virus.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 11, 2020
CoronaVirus Pandemic Stocks Bear Market Risk 2020? - Video / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market is confounding growing Coronavirus fears by recovering all of the late January's drop in the wake of Coronavirus news out of China that started global alarm bells ringing of what could transpire right across the world. The Dow retraced all of its drop from 29400 to 28200 to Thursday's high of 29408, a new all time high! Clearly where the markets are concerned it's a case of virus? What virus? So discounting the Coronavirus as background noise, unlikely to have any significant economic or market events outside of a few cities in China, are the markets wrong?
That and the Democrats busted flush Impeachment of Trump that clearly did not have a hope in hells chances of succeeding given that the Democrats only managed to convince 1 Republican senator (Mick Romney) to vote for Impeachment, so reduced political uncertainties resolves in market calm before the Coronavirus storm? Find out as I chart the prospects for the Dow's trend over the next couple of months.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 09, 2020
Will CoronaVirus Pandemic Trigger a Stocks Bear Market 2020? Part1 / Stock-Markets / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market is confounding growing Coronavirus fears by recovering all of the late January's drop in the wake of Coronavirus news out of China that started global alarm bells ringing of what could transpire right across the world. The Dow retraced all of its drop from 29400 to 28200 to Thursday's high of 29408, a new all time high! Clearly where the markets are concerned it's a case of virus? What virus? So discounting the Coronavirus as background noise, unlikely to have any significant economic or market events outside of a few cities in China, are the markets wrong?
That and the Democrats busted flush Impeachment of Trump that clearly did not have a hope in hells chances of succeeding given that the Democrats only managed to convince 1 Republican senator (Mick Romney) to vote for Impeachment, so reduced political uncertainties resolves in market calm before the Coronavirus storm? Find out as I chart the prospects for the Dow's trend over the next couple of months.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 05, 2020
China Building Coronavirus Infections Concentration Camps Rather than Hospitals - Pandemic Day 57 / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
As of today the World, mostly China has 20,450 confirmed cases of Coronavirus infections. Where the UK's tally currently stands at 3 as Friday's number of 2 was increased by 1 following the UK flying in infected persons from Wuhan. Though likely there are more than a dozen unreported infections in the UK courtesy of 120,000 Chinese students. Whilst those that say that the Coronavirus is over hyped and not that worst than the usual winter flu do not understand that the Coronavirus death rate of 2.1% is about 200 TIMES more deadly than the usual winter flu! That and 200 times as many people falling seriously ill and thus overwhelming healthcare systems!
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 04, 2020
Coronavirus Targeting 1.14 million Infections, 24,000 Deaths by End February - Global Pandemic Day 57 / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
As of today the World, mostly China has 20,450 confirmed cases of Coronavirus infections. Where the UK's tally currently stands at 3 as Friday's number of 2 was increased by 1 following the UK flying in infected persons from Wuhan. Though likely there are more than a dozen unreported infections in the UK courtesy of 120,000 Chinese students. Whilst those that say that the Coronavirus is over hyped and not that worst than the usual winter flu do not understand that the Coronavirus death rate of 2.1% is about 200 TIMES more deadly than the usual winter flu! That and 200 times as many people falling seriously ill and thus overwhelming healthcare systems!
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 03, 2020
UK Fly's Home Infected Coronavirus Nationals, China New 'Hospitals' in Wuhan are Quarantine Camps / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
What was blatantly obvious from the outset has now happened, namely that if you fly in people from Wuhan, the epicentre of the Coronavirus outbreak then it is inevitable that a number of those people WILL be infected and thus create a risk of spreading the virus to what had been an outbreak free nation. And so it has now transpired with the news on Day 57 of the Pandemic that the UK now has at 3 declared cases courtesy of the Baldrick's in charge of handing the health emergency with their cunning plan to combat the virus by flying in infected people. Though likely dozens are infected across the nation (Universities) courtesy of 120,000 Chinese students, a number of whom are infected with the virus.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 02, 2020
Coronavirus Being Spread by Chinese Students - Pandemic Trend Analysis Day 55 / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The primary conduit for the spread of the Coronavirus outside of China are Chinese people (mostly students) who traveled out of China during the past few weeks, including several tens of thousands from the Wuhan epicentre of the outbreak. So it should not come as much of a surprise that the first declared infection in the UK is from a Chinese student at York University who has sent authorities scrambling to investigate all contacts that the student had as potential sources for further outbreaks of this deadly coronavirus.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 01, 2020
Chinese Students Spreading Coronavirus Infections Across UK Universities - Pandemic Day 55 / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The primary conduit for the spread of the Coronavirus outside of China are Chinese people (mostly students) who traveled out of China during the past few weeks, including several tens of thousands from the Wuhan epicentre of the outbreak. So it should not come as much of a surprise that the first declared infection in the UK is from a Chinese student at York University who has sent authorities scrambling to investigate all contacts that the student had as potential sources for further outbreaks of this deadly coronavirus.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 31, 2020
Chinese Family Fleeing Wuhan Bring CoronaVirus to UK - Pandemic Outbreak Day 54 / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The primary conduit for the spread of the virus are Chinese people fleeing a collapsing healthcare system in China which has resulted in the inevitable, Britain's first cases of Coronavirus as a Chinese family arriving into the UK on Wednesday 29th January, virtually on arrival at their York hotel called paramedics that they were infected and thus began Britain's first virus outbreak. This is likely the first of many such occurrences of Chinese families having fled chinese virus hotspots to burden western healthcare systems as they fear a near death sentence in their own country due to the magnitude of the outbreak in their nation that their selfish actions now seek to replicate elsewhere.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 31, 2020
China Coronavirus Infections Spread vs Forecast Pandemic Update Video / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Coronavirus continues it's exponential spread across China, this despite Chinese state propaganda peddling a line of measures taken especially earlier in the month having limited the spread of the virus that is not being born out by data released that on a daily basis shows the spread is exponential to across the whole of China and likely neighbouring nations.
My analysis and concluding forecast of 28th January based on data up until the 27th of January utilised trend analysis to forecast that the Coronavirus could infect over 1 million people by the end of February 2020, which given the apparent fatality rate of 3.5% at the time converted into an death toll of at least 35,000. Which if it transpired would be far worse than the 2002-2003 SARS pandemic that infected 8,098 over 8 months resulting in 774 deaths, and thus the Coronavirus would have significant economic and market consequences.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 31, 2020
... / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
...
Thursday, January 30, 2020
Coronavirus Infections Spread vs Forecast - 30th Jan 2020 Pandemic Update / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Coronavirus continues it's exponential spread across China, this despite Chinese state propaganda peddling a line of measures taken especially earlier in the month having limited the spread of the virus that is not being born out by data released that on a daily basis shows the spread is exponential to across the whole of China and likely neighbouring nations.
My analysis and concluding forecast of 28th January based on data up until the 27th of January utilised trend analysis to forecast that the Coronavirus could infect over 1 million people by the end of February 2020, which given the apparent fatality rate of 3.5% at the time converted into an death toll of at least 35,000. Which if it transpired would be far worse than the 2002-2003 SARS pandemic that infected 8,098 over 8 months resulting in 774 deaths, and this the Coronavirus would have significant economic and market consequences.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 28, 2020
Coronavirus Infection Spread and Deaths Forecast 2020 - Video / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
One of the worst places for a pandemic to begin is from within a totalitarian state as local party minions tend to be too scared to pass bad news up the chain of command, and obediently wait on orders from leaders residing many hundreds of miles away, by which time it's too late where virus's are concerned, and so it has been with the Corona virus outbreak in China. Don't be fooled by Chinese state propaganda of panic building of hospitals, chinese communist party bureaucracy ensures that it is already too late! The Corona virus has spread throughout China!
I am sure you have all seen news footage of deserted Wuhan streets. Though none of the news reporters appear to have put 2 and 2 together and worked out the reason why the streets are empty is because most of the people living there have already FLED the city, taking their Corona virus infections with them! TOO LATE, OUT OF CONTROL!
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 28, 2020
Corona Virus Wuhan Global Pandemic 2020 Deaths Forecast and Market Consequences / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
One of the worst places for a pandemic to begin is from within a totalitarian state as local party minions tend to be too scared to pass bad news up the chain of command, and obediently wait on orders from leaders residing many hundreds of miles away, by which time it's too late where virus's are concerned, and so it has been with the Corona virus outbreak in China. Don't be fooled by Chinese state propaganda of panic building of hospitals, chinese communist party bureaucracy ensures that it is already too late! The Corona virus has spread throughout China!
I am sure you have all seen news footage of deserted Wuhan streets. Though none of the news reporters appear to have put 2 and 2 together and worked out the reason why the streets are empty is because most of the people living there have already FLED the city, taking their Corona virus infections with them! TOO LATE, OUT OF CONTROL!
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 26, 2020
The Wuhan Wipeout – Could It Happen? / Politics / Pandemic
By: Chris_Vermeulen
News is traveling fast about the Corona Virus that originated in Wuhan, China. Two new confirmed cases in the US, one in Europe and hundreds in China. As we learn more about this potential pandemic outbreak, we are learning that China did very little to contain this problem from the start. Now, quarantining two cities and trying to control the potential outbreak, may become a futile effort.
In most of Asia, the Chinese New Year is already in full swing. Hong Kong, China, Singapore, Malaysia, India and a host of other countries are already starting to celebrate the 7 to 10 day long New Year. Millions of people have already traveled hundreds of thousands of miles to visit family throughout this massive celebration. We are certain that hundreds or thousands have traveled to all parts of the world by now. The potential for exponential growth in the threat from this virus could be just days or weeks away.
Read full article... Read full article...