Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Wednesday, December 16, 2015
Junk Bond Market Crash Stock Market Warning! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Chris_Vermeulen
We are approaching the most anticipated and crucial week of the past seven years, and the global markets have been selling off. Last week, saw crude oil, junk bonds and the stock market competing with one another, while on their way down. Is there a connection between the three, or is it just a co-incidence that all three have fallen concurrently? Is the fall of one market, signaling a warning sign to the other(s)?
If you have any interest in either market, by way of investments, or if you are planning to become a part of the market, this article is for you. The junk bond markets are flashing a red signal, therefore, you should heed the warning.
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Wednesday, December 16, 2015
Stock Market Expanding Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Thursday, 12/10/15, stock indices rose because (so all the pundits reckon) Fed Chair Yellen made a speech reinforcing her determination to begin raising interest rates on December 16. Friday, 12/11/15, the next day, stock indices plummeted because, well, for the same reason. In bubbles, indices can rise or fall for exactly the same reason.
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Wednesday, December 16, 2015
Fed Interest Rate Hike Stock Market Crash Bear Apocalypse? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It's D-day for the stock market according to the bears when an Fed interest rate hike of 0.25% is expected to at least confirm a stocks bear market is already underway and even said will herald a stock market apocalypse crash, 'End Times', which has been consistently re-iterated by the consensus and BlogosFear since the August stocks plunge (correction). Though as the below chart illustrates that reality does not match the intensity of bear market rhetoric, that of double and triple tops, head and shoulder patterns, 5th waves and domed houses, all utilised each month as irrefutable proof with religious zeal that the stocks bull market is finally over, that this month has coalesced around today's FOMC meeting decision, with the apocalypse scheduled to occur at 2pm eastern time, 7pm UK.
Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Share Buybacks just another Wall Street Scam / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sol_Palha
Better a diamond with a flaw than a pebble without one.
Chinese Proverb
Wall Street has a new hobby use good money to create the illusion that all is well; only unlike most hobbies, the intent is to distort reality and reward lazy insiders for doing next to nothing. Gone are the days of actually trying to improve the bottom line, by improving efficiency, find new markets, etc.; now the idea is simply cut the supply of outstanding shares, thereby magically boosting the EPS. Why are executives doing this with such impunity? The “safe harbor” rule passed in 1982, essentially allows corporations to repurchase shares without having to face charges of manipulating the price of their shares. Before the passage of this rule, stock repurchases were next to zero. In fact, Senators Elizabeth Warren and Tammy Baldwin both share the sentiment that stock buybacks should be forbidden by the SEC because they are a form of market manipulation.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Stock Market Due for a Pop-n-Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that SPX may do a pop-n-drop that may be over by or near 10:00 am. The reason is that the decline from 2080.33 has taken 42 hours so far. 10:00 completes the 43rd hour.
I have additional conflicts today. A dear friend of mine died and his funeral is later this morning. I may not return to my office until later this afternoon.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Stock Market THREE is a number, Good or Bad, Well that Depends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Submissions
Denali Guide writes:
Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Hybrid Lindsay Christmas Gift / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
My Hybrid Lindsay model calls for a low near last Friday (chart) and a high on Thursday, December 24. This matches typical option expiration behavior seen this year when equities tend to rally into OPEX (this Friday) and change trend soon after.
In addition, the McClellan Oscillator closed on Friday well below its lower Bollinger Band (200, 1.5). History has shown that a quick dip to just below the lower band usually results in a conclusion of the previous correction. However, a dip closer to negative 300 (as on Friday) often forecasts a lower low in equities (after a small bounce) or at least a test of that low.
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Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Stock Market Short-Term Bottom?....Fed On Deck.....Wild Wednesday Coming... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market was up last night thanks to actions taken by the Chinese Government to get stock prices higher. We blasted up on the futures, with the S&P 500 not too far from being up 20 points at the top. Things were looking up big time for the market until reality caught up before the market opened for trading. The futures fell and went red, only to come back a bit. Once trading began, we saw a lot of fluctuations before heading lower, with a bit of force. Suddenly, and out of the blue, in a matter of seconds, the S&P 500 futures exploded nearly fifteen points, but then fell right back down again. My guess was that the fed was unhappy about losing 2020, and, thus, tried to get the market flying back up. It didn't work.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Stock Market Game Changing Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Bob_Loukas
It appears as if the worm has finally turned for the equity markets. The S&P 500 recorded its largest weekly decline since August, and the broader risk markets took a beating. The price of Crude fell under $35 a barrel and high yield bonds took an absolute drubbing. Friday's big decline in equities was on extremely high volume - the highest in 6 weeks - and the volatility index (VIX) jumped 26% in its biggest one-day percentage increase of the year.
This past week's performance notwithstanding, we have been through enough face-ripping reversals in equities to know that, in the end, one move may prove meaningless to the broader trend. Volatility and reversals have been a characteristic of the 2015 market, so we need to consider the current action in that context. But if I can be so bold, I'd like to depart from my normal reliance on evidence to suggest that I have a "sense" that this time might be different for equities.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Stock Market Forecast: What Next for the S&P 500? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Submissions
Ken Ticehurst writes: The S&P 500 fell last week towards what we think is more than likely support. As we close in on the end of the year it finds itself struggling to print a positive yearly close. We remain bullish the S&P 500 as our forecast shows, however we are cautious as we watch to see how this bull consolidation forms over the next few months.
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Monday, December 14, 2015
Stock Market New Downtrend or Just Another Pullback Within Two-Month Long Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,060 and profit target at 1,900, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, December 14, 2015
Stock Market Low Near, Santa Rally on the Way? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The S&P 500 is doing almost identically what it did last year: an important top the Friday after Thanksgiving (Dec 4), a rejection of the 20 day moving average the Thursday after that (Dec 10) and a large down day on the following Friday (Dec 11). We had the negative Mars square Pluto Dec 6 translating the really negative Mars opposite Uranus Dec 10 last week. The culmination of the low should occur late Tuesday Dec 15 when Uranus/square Pluto loses its hard aspect on the markets and tax selling is complete.
Sunday, December 13, 2015
Are We In a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
SPX: Intermediate trend - has retraced 50% of its uptrend from 1872.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Saturday, December 12, 2015
Stock Market Turning More Bearish.....VIX Explodes... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Last night we saw the futures slowly start to erode. Nothing terrible at first, and even this morning they were down some but nothing to lose sleep over. The S&P 500 trading around 2035/2040. Suddenly, and without warning, the futures began to fall. By the time the market opened it was pure nastiness. The market gapped down and headed right for 2020 bottoming out at 2021. From there it rocked up ten points. As the day wore on it did a double test at 2021 before trying higher again, but this move back up was far weaker.
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Saturday, December 12, 2015
Market Investor’s Great Divide; Stocks Crossing the 200 Day Moving Average / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Doug_Wakefield
“Reuters, the British news agency, moved a story on its wire at 11:39 A.M. Tuesday, May 8, saying that Continental had denied as “totally preposterous” rumors that the bank was considering bankruptcy….
Ordinarily, Continental would have refused to comment on the rumor by Reuters. Instead, it reacted with a quick denial, perhaps in the hope of placating the foreign depositors….
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Thursday, December 10, 2015
Do You Have to Settle for Mediocre Returns in The Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sol_Palha
"In the republic of mediocrity, genius is dangerous." ~ Robert Green Ingersoll
Morgan Stanley surprised everyone or, at least, tried to by stating that it was no longer going to be easy to make money in the equity markets. Let's stop, right there; was it ever really easy. If it were everyone that jumped into the markets would be wealthy, instead the opposite is true. Right of the bat, we can state that the best place for such advice is the dustbin.
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Thursday, December 10, 2015
Stock Market Investors' Sentiment Worsens, New Downtrend or More Fluctuations? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140 and profit target at 1,990, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, December 10, 2015
Global Market Instability - Reversing the Damage of Economic Austerity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
A significant undercurrent of internal weakness is plaguing the NYSE broad market. This weakness is primarily visible in the dangerously high numbers of stocks making new 52-week lows. Lately that number has exceeded 300 on a daily basis, though it has been above 40 for the last few months in a sign that the market's health is less than optimal. The best way of showing this internal weakness is in the following exhibit which graphs the cumulative new 52-week highs and lows on the NYSE.
Thursday, December 10, 2015
Will the Fed Rescue the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Gary_Savage
If the Fed is going to rescue the market ahead of the FOMC meeting (they won't be able to raise interest rates unless they do) then they have two days left to repair the weekly charts. The intervention should start in earnest today. Personally I wouldn't advise trying to play the bounce as the forces trying to pull the market down are huge. This may be the first time the Fed fails to keep the market propped up.
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Thursday, December 10, 2015
Stock Market 20-Day Back-Test Failure.....2020 Getting Closer.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market is slowly, but surely, turning. We haven't taken out 2020 on the S&P 500, yet, so there's nothing to get bearish about. But you can see the subtle changes. The market head faked the masses today as these markets tend to do by blasting, and I mean blasting, up and through the 20-day exponential moving average. The bulls are in full control, or so it seemed. That's when a tiring market, such as we have kicked in, and left the buying bulls feeling bad about those purchases. About chasing the rally. The market fell, and fell hard, initially letting the bulls know they had made an error in their constant bullish behavior. A swift move below the 20's, and the selling was on. It's always about knowing where you are in the market in terms of bull, bear, or agnostic. Then you have to determine if the agnostic market is really a market sending a new message.
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