Category: Ukraine Civil War
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, September 07, 2014
‘We’ Don’t Want The Ukraine Ceasefire To Hold / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
It’s exceedingly safe to assume that the main reason the Kiev government agreed to a ceasefire on Friday was that the Ukraine army was losing on just about all fronts. Which they blame on Russian troops and weaponry being involved in increasing numbers, but there’s still to this day no proof for that.
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Saturday, August 30, 2014
Obama’s “Catastrophic Defeat” in Ukraine / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
Read full article... Read full article...“We are currently witnessing an epic and historic event. The Ukrainian regular army and the punitive battalions are suffering a catastrophic defeat to the south of Donetsk…..It still is not quite clear how the Junta intends to avoid a complete defeat here…. By squandering the most combat-capable brigades in systematic offensive operations, the Junta sustained enormous losses and at the same time suffered a crushing, purely military defeat. The southern front has collapsed.” – The Southern Front Catastrophe – August 27, 2014″, Colonel Cassad, Military Briefing, Novorossiya, Ukraine
Sunday, August 24, 2014
Instigating War in Europe - Understanding Ukraine in 15 Minutes / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
If you want to understand what is going on in Ukraine, then you need to watch this 15 minute video with Putin advisor and friend, Sergei Glaziev. Glaziev explains how structural changes in the global economy and a shift to Asia have precipitated a desperate attempt by US policymakers to maintain their grip on power by instigating a war in Europe. Whether readers agree with this analysis or not, they will find Glaziev is brilliant, erudite and passionate in his beliefs. For that alone, the video is well worth the time.
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Wednesday, August 20, 2014
Ukraine Interest Rates Soars to 17.5% As External Debt Cannot be Repaid / Interest-Rates / Ukraine Civil War
It's crystal clear Ukraine has no interest in a ceasefire under any terms. Instead it demands rebels lay down weapons and for Russia to stop intervention. In short, Ukraine demands surrender.
Thus death and destruction will continue, possibly long after Ukraine takes over Luhansk and Donetsk (or rather what's left of Luhansk and Donetsk).
Tuesday, August 19, 2014
Ukraine's Next Crisis? Economic Disaster / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
Ukraine's next crisis will be a devastatingly economic one, as violent conflict destroys critical infrastructure in the east and brings key industry to a halt, furthering weakening the energy sector by crippling coal-based electricity production.
The Ukrainian military's showdown with separatists in the industrial east has forced coal mines to severely cut production or close down entirely. This has led to an electricity crisis that can only be staunched by cutting domestic production along with exports to Europe, Crimea, and Belarus -- or worse, getting more imports from Russia.
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Sunday, August 17, 2014
Ukraine - Whose Spin Are We Caught Up In Here? / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
Let’s assume for the moment that the two Guardian and Telegraph journalists who reported seeing 23 Russian army vehicles cross the border into Ukraine on Thursday were duped. Because if we don’t assume that, we must conclude they are accomplices, in a strange plot.
On Friday the Ukraine government, first through military spokesman Andriy Lysenko, and then through President Poroshenko, sent out a claim into the world that its army had destroyed a number of Russian vehicles on Ukraine territory.
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Tuesday, August 12, 2014
Ukraine Will Destroy Itself With New Gas Tax / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
Ukraine doesn't need Russia to take it down-Kiev is doing fine destroying itself, most recently with a new tax code that doubles taxes for private gas producers and promises to irreparably cripple new investment in the energy sector at a time when reform and outside investment were the country's only hope.
Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko on August 1 signed off on a new tax code that effectively doubles the tax private gas producers in Ukraine will have to pay, calling into question any new investment, as well as commitment from key producers already operating in the country.
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Sunday, August 10, 2014
What if There’s a Real War in Ukraine? / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
Russia and the West are at war – over fruits, veggies, pork, and bank loans. The cause is Ukraine, a vast emptiness formerly unknown to the western world, but now deemed a vital national security interest worthy of a risking a very scary war.
Economic embargos such as those launched by the US against Russia may seem relatively harmless. They are not. Trade sanctions are a form of strategic warfare that is sometimes followed by bullets and shells.
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Ukraine Nuclear Doomsday Scenario / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
No Pleasure To Write This Article
For almost sure but not certainly, if there's a nuance of difference between them, I will be accused of sowing dangerous and seditious ideas, but I have already published on this theme and I am not talking about fantasies – but facts. Removed from the arena of constantly rising western sanctions against Russia and Russian counter-sanctions against the west, the Ukraine civil war goes on.
Monday, August 04, 2014
Ron Paul - Why Won't Obama Just Leave Ukraine Alone? / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
President Obama announced last week that he was imposing yet another round of sanctions on Russia, this time targeting financial, arms, and energy sectors. The European Union, as it has done each time, quickly followed suit.
These sanctions will not produce the results Washington demands, but they will hurt the economies of the US and EU, as well as Russia.
Friday, August 01, 2014
Flagrant Rush To War In The Ukraine Crisis / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
Rush to War – Fog of War
Fog of war is used by many war historians to describe what drove Europe into World War I and destroyed a century of rising European wealth and colonial power. There were no fixed and set, clearly identifiable triggers and thresholds. Claims that the assassination of Archduke Ferdinand and his wife in Sarajevo was the sole trigger or at least the main driver, or that the Lusitania ship-sinking incident was the sole driver of the USA's very late entry to this war are easy to qualify or invalidate. There was a fog of war that had been building for at least a decade, some historians say.
Thursday, July 24, 2014
Ukraine: What To Do When Economic Growth Is Gone / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
“The fact that the coalition has fallen apart, that laws haven’t been voted on, that soldiers can’t be paid, that there is no money to buy rifles, that there is no possibility to fill gas storages. What options do we have now?” This is, as per Bloomberg, what US handpicked handpuppet and – now former – Ukraine PM Yatsenyuk told the Kiev parliament earlier today during a speech in which he announced the resignation of his “government”. Several of his coalition partners, including right wing Svoboda, had left the government not long before.
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Friday, July 18, 2014
Flight MH17 – Kiev Flash Mob's Last False Flag? / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
Escalating To War
Financial markets reacted with a predictable kneejerk massive gold-and-oil price spike, to news of the mid-air destruction by missile or (theoretically-only) by an onboard bomb explosion, of Malaysian Airlines flight MH17 near Donetsk in Ukraine. The recent-model Boeing 777 had 290 persons on board, all of whom died. Known data on the flight, until it suddenly went off-air, is that the flight was progressing normally at the plane's design cruise speed (about 0.84 Mach or 1000 kilomtres/hour), and its normal cruise altitude of 10 000 metres or 33 000 feet.
Sunday, July 13, 2014
Washington Pushing Ukraine to the Brink / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
What does a pipeline in Afghanistan have to do with the crisis in Ukraine?
Everything. It reveals the commercial interests that drive US policy. Just as the War in Afghanistan was largely fought to facilitate the transfer of natural gas from Turkmenistan to the Arabian Sea, so too, Washington engineered the bloody coup in Kiev to cut off energy supplies from Russia to Europe to facilitate the US pivot to Asia.
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Monday, July 07, 2014
The Chilling Threat Of Nuclear Civil War In Ukraine / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
Playing With Fire
The WNA-World Nuclear Association which tirelessly promotes nuclear power presents Ukraine as a poster child of civil nuclear power. It says that after construction of Ukraine's first-ever civil nuclear power complex – at Chernobyl in 1970 – Ukraine's present 15 NPPs (nuclear reactors) grouped into 4 major complexes operated by State monopoly NNEGC Energoatom had a combined capacity of about 13 900 MW and were all VVER-type reactors (mostly VVER-320s) of Soviet design. Using 2009 data, they produced about 48% of Ukraine's total electricity output of 177 billion kWh of which 4 billion kWh was exported.
Thursday, May 29, 2014
Ukraine: The Real Energy Crisis Starts in June / Commodities / Ukraine Civil War
Kiev is feeling emboldened by the successful election of a new Ukrainian president and a bloody surge against separatists in the east, but in just a few days, Russia says it will twist the gas spigot, and there's very little Kiev can do to stop that.On June 3, Russia plans to reduce the gas supply to Ukraine — and hence, to Europe — if Kiev has failed to pay in advance for next month's gas deliveries, the price for which has been doubled as a result of the political crisis.
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Monday, May 12, 2014
Done Deal For Independent East Ukraine / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
Novorossiya Starts in Crimea
In interview with CBS, May 11, former US Secretary of Defence Robert Gates firstly said that Russia's annexation of Crimea was “a done deal” and that “there’s nothing we can do to change the situation.” He openly questioned what the real motives of Vladimir Putin in eastern Ukraine may be. Gates said: “I’m not sure he knows at this point, other than to....protecting the Russians and making sure the Ukraine ultimately leans back toward Russia”. For Gates the done deal in Crimea can easily morph into eastern Ukraine becoming a Russian satrape. He said. “I don’t think he’ll rest until there’s a pro-Russian government in Kiev or a federated Ukraine where the eastern part of the country, for all practical purposes, looks to Russia.”
Monday, May 12, 2014
Ukraine Separatists Ask Putin to Annex Donetsk Following Referendum; Sanctions Hypocrisy / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
Separatists in Donetsk claim a turnout of 74.9% in a referendum on self-determination with 89.7% voting in favor of self-rule.
Ukraine says turnout was 32%. I suspect the truth is somewhere in between but that's a pretty wide gap. Even 32% turnout seems respectable given the circumstances.
Friday, May 09, 2014
Odessa False Flag - Pathetic U.S. Media Coverage / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
Read full article... Read full article...“According to the evidence that I’ve seen …Odessa was a giant false flag operation. It… was one of those staged massacres that the pro-Western forces from Bosnia to Kosovo, now Ukraine, excel at staging, intended to draw Russia to overreact and commit military forces … I believe that the fact that they are willing to stage such a horrendous atrocity shows the depth of their desperation at this point.”– Nebojsa Malic, political analyst, Russia Today
“Not under foreign skies Nor under foreign wings protected - I shared all this with my own people There, where misfortune had abandoned us.”– “Requiem” – Anna Akhmatova
Wednesday, May 07, 2014
Warning: Ukraine Is At A Flashpoint / Politics / Ukraine Civil War
Regrettably, I am very close to issuing an official Alert over the situation in Ukraine as it has continued to both escalate and deteriorate.
More than 50 people died in violence on Friday, May 2, in Odessa and other eastern cities in Ukraine. Relations between Russia and the US are finding new low,s while China and Russia grow closer.
For those living in Europe who are exposed to the possible fallout that would result from the loss of supplies of Russian energy, the time to begin preparing is right now. As we say often on this site, you’d much rather be a year early than a day late in your preparations.
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