Category: Eurozone Debt Crisis
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, September 09, 2012
Most Germans Want Constitutional Court to Kill the Euro-zone Bailout Fund / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Moment of Recognition
It appears a majority of German citizens have finally had enough of chancellor Angela Merkel saying one thing and doing another in regards to bailouts. They have also had enough of Mario Draghi and his policies.
Saturday, September 08, 2012
Euro-zone Debt Crisis, Germany vs Greece, and Spain and... / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Why read: Because things can happen very quickly, and it may be that 'push' finally may be coming to 'shove' in the Eurozone.
Commentary: Even if 'push' and 'shove' don't meet in the Eurozone over Greece (and Spain) in the next few weeks and months, time nonetheless seems to be shortening for Greece (and Spain), and eventually 'push' and 'shove' must meet. I have said for months now that:
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 07, 2012
Supra Mario Bond Vigilante / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis
"The objective of this programme? It is to repair monetary policy transmission and to recreate the singleness of monetary policy for the euro area." ~ Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, Thurs 6 Sept 2012
For the second time or more since May, today's Handelsblatt newspaper in Germany carries a big picture of Edvard Munch's The Scream.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 07, 2012
Mario Draghi Over and Out / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
A collapsing order will do what it takes to retain power, no matter its abuse of law or decency. Writing in Die Zeit on August 29, 2012, European Central Bank president Mario Draghi wrote (in German): "[I]t should be understood that fulfilling our mandate sometimes requires us to go beyond standard monetary policy tools. When markets are fragmented or influenced by irrational fears, our monetary policy signals do not reach citizens evenly across the euro area. We have to fix such blockages to ensure a single monetary policy and therefore price stability for all euro area citizens. This may at times require exceptional measures. But this is our responsibility as the central bank of the euro area as a whole."
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 07, 2012
Enjoy the Stock Market Rally While it Lasts, Super Mario Draghi’s Bazooka is a Dud / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Not too long ago I mentioned that whatever European Central Bank President "Super Mario" Draghi delivers, it had better be big.
Because the only way he could hope to shore up the beleaguered e uro, wrest control of interest rates from the modern day financial pirates that dominate credit default swaps and break the impasse between skittish investors was with a monetary "bazooka."
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 06, 2012
September 12th Looms Large for Germany on Euro-zone Debt Financing Decision / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
The German economy is undoubtedly the powerhouse of Europe. As a result, an understanding of the developments within Germany can offer a strong indication of the path that the rest of Europe is likely to take. Until recently, Germany stood as a bastion of sound money against those Keynesian led regimes in the developed nations that favor continual currency debasement as an economic panacea.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 05, 2012
Eurozone Crisis Spain's Capital Flight Is Now Bigger Than Asian Financial Crisis / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Spain is emerging as the centre of the battlefield for the survival of the Eurozone as the probability for further fragmentation and exits increases dramatically. The flight of capital from Spain is now bigger than what Indonesia, one of the hardest hit countries during the Asian financial crisis experienced in the late 1990s. On an annualised basis, portfolio and investment outflows from Spain now total more than USD 750 billion, ie, more than 50 percent of the country’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as measured by the World Bank.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 30, 2012
Three Questions for Super Mario Draghi / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Mr Draghi… a few questions for you…
You say that whatever measure you take… it will be “enough” to support the Euro. Seeing as you’ve already spent over €1 trillion via your LTRO 1 and LTRO 2 schemes only to find that:
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 29, 2012
Mario Draghi Transparent Poker Face / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
The European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve have both telegraphed that another round of currency depreciation is in the offing. The ECB’s Mario Draghi has pledged to do “whatever it takes” to save the Euro currency by setting specific targets for Italian and Spanish bond yields. And the Bernanke Fed has stated that addition monetary stimulation is warranted soon unless there is a “substantial and sustainable strengthening in the pace of the economic recovery.” Fed Presidents Charles Evans and Eric Rosengren have both recently indicated what action would be taken by saying that the U.S. central bank needs to expand its balance sheet until more favorable targets are reached on the unemployment rate and nominal GDP.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 27, 2012
Angela Merkel Just Revealed the Truth About Europe / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
For several months now, I’ve been stating that the world’s central banks are in a bind. That bind is that their monetary policies are becoming less and less effective at placating the markets while the consequences of said policies (higher costs of living, the targeting of troubled banks in the credit market, etc.) are increasing.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 26, 2012
Dear Angela Merkel , It's Time To Do The Right Thing / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Dear Angela,
You know, it's sort of funny that just as I started to write this letter, I read about a plan (yours?) for a possible temporary Greece exit from the eurozone.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 22, 2012
Eurozone Debt Crisis: Will The Grexit Finally Become Reality? / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Ben Gersten writes: The Eurozone debt crisis has long needed a "Grexit" or some other landmark event to occur to change the direction the beleaguered continent is headed.
When Mario Draghi announced that he would do whatever he can to preserve the euro, it seemed that moment was imminent. Since he uttered those words on July 26, the IBEX 35 in Spain has gained 17%, while Italy's FTSE Milano Italia Borsa is up 13%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 22, 2012
What Happened To The Debt? / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Alright, OK, so we have new sorts of relative highs in European and US stock markets, even as we keep a w(e)ary eye on Shanghai's new lows. The western highs seem to have a lot to do with all kinds of expectations of ECB sovereign bond purchases and/or cooling German resistance against them.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 20, 2012
ECB Capping Rates on PIIGS? Wait Till Traders Call Its Bluff / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis
The big buzz about the debt-embattled Euro Zone on an otherwise quiet Sunday came from German news magazine Der Spiegel that ECB is considering measures to cap the borrowing costs of the crisis-central PIIGS countries. According to Bloomberg,
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 15, 2012
Eurozone Crisis Escalates, Smuggled Cash, Gold & Silver Seizures Soar at Italy's Borders,Diamonds Are Forever? / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Panicked savers are smuggling cash from Italy resulting in 41 million euros being seized in random spot checks in the first seven months of 2012, which is almost 80 per cent up year-on-year. For each seizure by the border-control authorities and Guardia di Finanza -- Italian financial law enforcement -- it is likely that at least ten more cases slip under the radar of overworked and, in some cases, sympathetic police and border guards. Italian police are now deploying cash sniffing Labrador dogs that are trained to sniff out bank notes to counter the rising flight-of-capital from Eurozone's third largest economy. A number of seizures have been made at Leonardo da Vinci di Fiumicino airport in Rome and Malpensa airport in Milan where smugglers frequently attempt to get to the banking safe haven of Switzerland, which lies outside the clutches of the European Union and the Italian state.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, August 12, 2012
Euro-zone Disaster Zone, Breaking Up is Hard to Do, Who do You Trust? / Economics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
They say that breaking up is hard to do. Now I know, I know that it's true Don't say that this is the end. Instead of breaking up I wish that we were making up again. – Neil Sedaka, 1962
I have contended for some time that Europe is faced with two choices: Disaster A, which is the break-up of the eurozone, or Disaster B, which is the creation of a fiscal union, which keeps the euro more or less intact. Over the last few months I have come to realize that there is indeed a third option, which now looks increasingly possible. This is rather sad, as the third option is just an even worse Disaster C. Each choice carries with it its own unique set of problems, but the outcome of any of the choices will be that the people of Europe face a serious recession, if not a depression. This will impact global growth for more than a short time and, depending on the choice, could plunge the world into a crisis as bad as or worse than the recent credit crisis. In today’s letter we look at all three choices, meanwhile musing on how we arrived at the bottom of such a deep hole, shovels flailing.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 10, 2012
European Bankers and Top Politicians Fear Collapse of the Euro / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Until recently, it was a sign of political correctness not even to consider the possibility of a euro collapse. Investment experts at Deutsche Bank -- Germany's largest bank -- now feel that a collapse of the common currency is "a very likely scenario." Germany's second-largest bank -- Commerzbank -- has also flagged fears of a Eurozone collapse whilst bracing for a worsening of the euro-crisis. "The greatest downside risk remains an uncertainty shock from an escalation of the sovereign debt crisis, ie, the collapse of the monetary union," Commerzbank states in its latest quarterly report released this week, adding that it thought the risk was higher now than in autumn last year.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 10, 2012
Eurodystopia: A Future Divided / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Just about everyone will recognize the family name. Fewer will be familiar with the man behind it. But Alfred (Freddy) Heineken was an interesting man regardless. Starting in 1941, he took over the family firm founded by his grandfather, bought back shares and never looked back. Freddy built the Heineken brand into one of the best marketed ones in the world for any product, and today, 10 years after his death, it is still in the very top of world breweries.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 09, 2012
Exactly What Can the ECB Do? / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis
The markets are continuing their short squeeze, Euro-phoria induced lunacy. As a quick reminder the S&P 500 is up nearly 5% while many European indexes have rallied double digits (Spain’s Ibex is up an unbelievable 17%!)
In light of this, we need to take a look at the facts, because much of this feels too much like 2008 (at that time the S&P 500 rallied 7%, 11%, even 18% based on various “interventions” all of which turned out to be duds)
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 08, 2012
Europe Is Not a Matter of Opinion… It’s a Matter of Math / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis
It’s a simply question of math.
I realize my views on Europe are much in the minority. The entire world continues to believe that somehow Mario Draghi or Ben Bernanke have a magical button they can hit that will solve the EU Crisis.
Read full article... Read full article...