Category: Stock Markets 2012
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Sunday, June 10, 2012
Could Stocks Drop Another 10%? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Greetings,
Literally hundreds of investment reports come out every day.
Only occasionally does one capture the current state of the markets so accurately, so articulately, so impressively that it deserves reading immediately -- before you even think about touching your portfolio.
Sunday, June 10, 2012
U.S. Stock Market Uptrend Appears Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Quite an interesting week. The week started off by making new downtrend lows on monday at SPX 1267. Then the market bounced, from an extremely oversold short term condition and a positive divergence on the daily charts. The bounce then turned into a rally. And, the rally then turned into the best one since the beginning of the last uptrend. After all was said and done the US market ended with impressive gains for the week: SPX/DOW +3.65%, and the NDX/NAZ +4.05%. Asian markets gained 0.1%, European market rose 3.8%, and the DJ World index gained 2.8%. On the economic front it was a quiet week with positive reports outpacing negative ones 6 to 4. On the uptick: ISM services, wholesale inventories, the monetary base and WLEI, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: factory orders, productivity, consumer credit and the M1-multiplier. Overall it was the best performance for the US stock market since December 2011.
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Sunday, June 10, 2012
Stock Market Forecast for Coming Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Greece will again be the focus area in coming week due to their election so it is expected that all those concerns related to Spain will disappear if not in early days but sure in middle to later part of the coming week. At this point no one wishes to see again a deadlock related to Spain. Spanish outcomes will not get much time to affect the market because market will be worried about Greece.
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Friday, June 08, 2012
Read This Before Stocks Could Drop Another 10% / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Greetings,
Literally hundreds of investment reports come out every day.
Only occasionally does one capture the current state of the markets so accurately, so articulately, so impressively that it deserves reading immediately -- before you even think about touching your portfolio.
Tuesday, June 05, 2012
Stock Market Very Sick...And Oversold.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Both are true, to be sure. It's rare that the market stays this oversold on both the daily charts and its index charts. It's not much to get excited about, if you're short when you're this oversold. But it's nothing to get excited about, if you're a bull considering how much trouble the market is having with regards to bouncing hard at such oversold conditions. The fundamental news continues to be mostly sour for just about the entire world as everyone seems to be slowing into a recession and for some, worse than that. There's the occasional good spot here and there, but overall, the majority of leading countries are struggling with massive debt and a slowing economy. The slowing, rapidly-moving-along into what is clearly a recession just about everywhere, which means the price of stocks have to come down in order to make them become more fairly valued. Not a pretty picture.
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Tuesday, June 05, 2012
Stock Market Pulling in the Bottom Feeders / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
SPY closed above its 200-day moving average at 127.90, opening the door for a brief surge to the new Head & Shoulders neckline at 129.50. Should the Head & Shoulders downside target be met, there is yet another formation which I will disclose later that give a potential target near 875…a 30% decline from today’s close. The Broadening Top has been the early warning pattern for what is to come. All of this is possible by June 13.
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Monday, June 04, 2012
Stock Market Low Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Correction nears end.
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Monday, June 04, 2012
Stock Market Panic, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The questions nervously being asked during this market turmoil and onslaught of worrisome news is:
1. Are we experiencing an Intermediate-Term pullback or the beginning of a major Long Term move down?
2. How do you determine when and where a pullback might stop?
3. What should I be looking at to give me the correct perspective and what tools will help give me an investment edge?
Sunday, June 03, 2012
Stock Markets Heading for a Blood Bath Next Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Well since our last analysis last week, both fundamental and technical aspects of the markets have since deteriorated much. On the technical perspective markets seems too weak to produce any meaningful rebound although all of them are in oversold conditions. The barrage of bad news coming out from Europe only helped to worsen the situation. Yesterday’s stock markets performances have been awful to say the least. The DJIA and S&P 500 had their worse 1 day drop this year.
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Sunday, June 03, 2012
Stock Market Downtrends Continue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
After a one week gain, and the possibility of a downtrend low, the markets rallied early but broke down late in the week. Fear of an economic slowdown in the US, in conjunction with economic slowdowns in Asia and Europe, fueled the decline. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.85%, and the NDX/NAZ were -2.95%. Asia managed only a 0.6% decline, but Europe lost 3.7% and the World index was down 2.7%. On the economic front it was a predominently negative week: 4 positives and 13 negatives. On the uptick: the ADP index, construction spending, the monetary base and auto sales. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, consumer confidence, pending homes sales, Q1 GDP, the Chicago PMI, monthly payrolls, personal income, PCE prices, ISM manufacturing, investor sentiment, the WLEI, and both the unemployment rate plus weekly jobless claims increased. Next week we will get reports on ISM services, consumer credit and the FED’s beige book. Best to your week!
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Saturday, June 02, 2012
Stock Market Forecast for Coming Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
It is surprising to see that market is focusing more on Spanish banking problem than Greece election, look like they are preparing the list that will be next after Greece! I don’t know whether Spain needs the bail-out money but it will be better for market if authorities deal with the bad loans than other things.
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Friday, June 01, 2012
Stock Market Breakdown is in the Making / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The testing and retesting of the purple Orthodox Broadening Top appears to be finally over. This completes a reversal pattern (going down) after an 8.6 day correction from the May 18 low.
The next item on the agenda will be the breaking of the 129.55 low. This may happen in the overnight session, by all appearances. Keep your bear costume on, the party is about to begin.
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Thursday, May 31, 2012
Europe Rules Stock Market Trend......20's Sold On Back-Test....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The United States stock market no longer trades on its own. Those days are behind us. Whatever takes place overnight in Europe is what we see when we wake-up, regarding our stock market futures. If Europe is down big, then we're down big. If Europe is down a drop, then we're down a drop. The same holds true on the upside of this equation. Europe is facing some terrible news on an almost daily basis, and this is causing their markets to spend a lot of time heading south. A few days to the northern side of the ledger, but mostly it goes south.
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Tuesday, May 29, 2012
Stock Market a Better Bubble? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Like an elaborate musical score that repeats key notes from an earlier motif, the final stage of the long topping process is hitting many of the same chords played near the end of the Grand Super cycle bull market in January 2000. Last month, we mentioned the capitulation of long-term bears and the establishment of a stock market in Cambodia. This month, a major financial weekly called for many stodgy Dow stocks to be replaced by high flying technology stocks. This call takes us directly back to December 1999, when Fortune magazine lobbied to replace the Dow with an index composed entirely of Internet companies, and the business editor of the Washington Post railed at the under-performing Dow for making him too bearish: "If you find that you're too anxious, just take a look at what the Dow really is. It's 30 stocks of huge old-timely companies'"
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Tuesday, May 29, 2012
More Stock Market Interim Rally Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Correction
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Monday, May 28, 2012
US Stock Market Wears the Heavy Crown - SP 500 Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The US market is one of very few trying to maintain a long term uptrend Bull cycle around the world. Most major world indices are in decline, only Germany and London are also trying to hang in of the major indices.
Will the rest of European problems continue to spillover and weigh down our markets in finally cause a flush? Or… will the US stay strong and lead higher amidst the turmoil?
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Sunday, May 27, 2012
Are we to Bame Nixon for Fed Money Printing Market Trends? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The Fundamental forces driving this market higher for the short term is partly due to the expectation of QE3. Ben Bernanke will ultimately prime the printing pump again, but only after we see the selling pressure intensify.
There is still plenty more downside left of this market, which is why I'm telling you not to believe this current rally. It is simply a contra-trend within a larger decline, but only for the intermediate term.
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Saturday, May 26, 2012
Stock Market Downtrend May Have Bottomed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Markets rebounded this week after last week’s nasty selloff. Last week’s decline of SPX/DOW 3.9% was the largest weekly decline in six months. The previous one was the week of November 21, 2011: a 4.75% decline that marked the end of Major wave 2. Thus far, it looks like the recent selloff may have marked the end of Major wave 4. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.20%, and the NDX/NAZ were +2.05%. Asian markets were flat, European markets were +0.6%, and the DJ World index gained 0.7%. On the economic front it was a mixed week. All five the publicly watched indicators were higher: existing/new home sales, FHFA housing prices, durable goods orders and consumer sentiment. Yet, four of the not so publicly watched indicators we track were all lower: the M1- multiplier, new home sale prices, the monetary base and the WLEI. The last week of May starts off with a US holiday, then is followed by a slew of economic reports. Q1 GDP, the Payrolls report and PCE prices highlight the week. Best to your week!
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Saturday, May 26, 2012
Stock Market Forecast for Coming Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Market is now eyeing on Euro bonds, experts are expecting that it may create a good atmosphere in the financial market. But I am not sure whether that has the capabilities to make a reversal! Market is not going to make a new run from here; we may see a short-term change and that in-turn may create more opportunities for shorts. Gulf related problems may find a solution in coming month so crude oil may not disturb market.
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Saturday, May 26, 2012
Copper and Global Stock Markets Rollover / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Following the May 9th Market Minute titled "Downward trend starts", global markets are continuing to rollover. Copper, often referred to as a bellwether indicator on the broader economy, is also declining. The peak in copper prices was in early 2011 and it has dropped steadily over the past year.
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