Category: Gold and Silver 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, June 10, 2010
Gold and Inflation, Looking Ahead of the Curve / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Rob McEwen, whose Midas touch in mining has been as transformational as anyone's, sat down recently for this exclusive, wide-ranging interview with The Gold Report. Hoping we manage to avoid the "darkest hour" he envisions, he describes fearsome parallels between the Weimar Republic of the late '20s and early '30s to the United States of today. Fast-forwarding to the future, he also explores a few of the things the mining industry might do to start making itself invisible in terms of environmental impact.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
Gold prices nudge $1250/oz, are you prepared? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
We will kick off with a quick at the chart for gold prices and what a great chart it is. Despite the bears constantly jostling to be the first bear to call a major correction for gold prices to drop back to the depths of the last decade, gold is just not listening and continues to strengthen as the demand for real value grows.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
Gold Consolidates Near Record Nominal Highs in Nearly All Currencies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold rose to new record nominal highs in nearly all major currencies yesterday (record highs in US Dollars, euros, sterling, Swiss francs, South African rand, Indian rupees, Chinese renminbi/yuan etc) on growing concerns of sovereign debt contagion and concerns about the robustness of the global economic recovery. Concerns that large industrial nations with huge debt burdens will attempt to inflate away their debts thereby devaluing currencies is also leading to investment demand for the finite currency that is gold. Gold is currently trading at $1,236/oz and in euro, GBP, CHF, and JPY terms, at €1,035/oz, £855/oz, CHF 1,423/oz, JPY 112,870/oz respectively.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
Gold and Debt Backed Paper Currencies / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Debt-backed paper currency is always a castle made of sand but "eventually" corresponds with debt saturation. Once debt can't be paid back and everyone knows it, what happens? Default or aggressive debasement. There is no "Goldilocks" in between just as there wasn't when CNBC said there was all throughout 2007 (the big boyz needed someone to buy their stocks...). Two options. Literally default or default "in spirit" by paying back the nominal amounts owed using a fresh pile of counterfeited monopoly money that everyone knows you just counterfeited.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
The Euro Index and Gold - The Most Important Pair? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Markets are skittish and the pace and force of financial crises has taken a frightening turn for the worse. It seems like the fuse gets shorter between each crisis. We barely catch our breath from one when confronted with the next. Looking back three decades a crisis had taken place, on average, every three years. But now, a scant 18 months after the 2008 meltdown, Europe’s Greek sovereign debt crisis hit with full, fulminating force. One crisis begets another and it seems like the world’s economy is on a treacherous bumper-to- bumper course where any misstatement from politicians can cause a multiple car pile up. Still, the fact worth keeping in mind is that the main stock indices lead, not follow the main economic indicators, such as the GDP growth.
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Tuesday, June 08, 2010
Gold, Goodwill, and Economic Growth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
A correspondent suggested to me an idea about government balance sheet goodwill that's worth sharing. That led me to a few further thoughts about gold and economic growth. The basic idea behind all of this balance sheet analysis is simple. A stronger balance sheet of the government means a stronger fiat currency and a lower price of gold in that currency, other things equal.
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Tuesday, June 08, 2010
Government Debt Disaster and Gold Opportunity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
There are many current global opportunities that might escape investors at this time. With so many different influences at hand it pays to keep the radar screen on and one eye on the markets at all times at the moment. Things are moving and developing quickly. Disaster is opportunity in disguise if you can work out how to play the situation.
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Tuesday, June 08, 2010
Gold Reaches New Record Nominal Highs in USD, EUR, CHF and GBP / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Gold has risen to new record nominal highs as concerns that the European debt crisis could lead to contagion increases. Gold rose to $1,251.85/oz in London and futures reached $1,254.50/oz in New York as risk aversion rose. Bullion advanced to all-time highs in dollars, euros, sterling and Swiss francs as the euro and equity markets again came under pressure.
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Tuesday, June 08, 2010
Gold Hits New Record Highs, Silver Jumps as Reckless Governments Spur Investment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD held in wholesale 400-ounce bars jumped against all major currencies in London trade Tuesday morning, hitting fresh all-time highs in Dollars, Euros and Sterling as European stock markets extended yesterday's late drop on Wall Street.
Leading economy government bonds also rose, pushing 10-year UK gilt yields back below 3.50%.
Tuesday, June 08, 2010
How to Use Gold to Avoid Vulnerability to Market Volatility / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Human nature being what it is, sucker punches to the portfolio can erode more than your net worth. They can wreak havoc with your sense of self-worth as well. After more than 20 years at the helm of U.S. Global Investors, a leading investment management firm that specializes in gold, natural resources, emerging markets and global infrastructure opportunities, Frank Holmes says that it's important to segregate bad things that happen on the outside from the good person you are on the inside. Knowing full-well that even the most prudent investor can't escape the wild volatility that's come to characterize the markets, in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he also offers some sage advice about how to avoid vulnerability to that volatility.
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Tuesday, June 08, 2010
Why Governments Hate Gold / Politics / Gold and Silver 2010
This past week several emerging and ongoing crises took attention away from the ongoing sovereign debt problems in Greece. The bailouts are merely kicking the can down the road and making things worse for taxpaying citizens, here and abroad. Greece is unfortunately not unique in its irresponsible spending habits. Greek-style debt explosions are quickly spreading to other nations one by one, and yes, the United States is one of the dominoes on down the line.
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Who Controls the Gold Market? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
When gold price are slammed down in one day, as they were on Friday by more than $20 it is certain that some sort of concerted action was taken to push the price down. Fingers point at the leading U.S. banks. But then later on Friday, before its close, there came a huge surge in buying that took the gold price up to $1,220 from $1,192. This pressure equaled or bettered the downward pressures seen in that day. This bodes well this week for pressures between these two blocs to continue or even heighten until the gold price breaks one way or the other. It's time to look at who is controlling the gold market?
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Gold Hits New Euro Record as France Wants Parity / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
THE PRICE OF GOLD edged 0.5% lower against the US Dollar early Monday, trading at $1213 an ounce by lunchtime in London, as world stock markets, commodity prices and other currencies rallied from sharp losses.
The Euro made a new four-year low at the start of Asian trade, falling below $1.19 in response to French prime minister Villon saying he had "No concerns" about the Euro's 20% decline in 2010-to-date.
Monday, June 07, 2010
Government Desperate, Gold Tax Imminent? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
To show you how things get around, I get this from Ed Steer’s Gold & Silver Daily, which linked to an essay by Adrian Ash, at bullionvault.com, bearing the title “Gold Gets All Political.”
The thrust is that, as Mr. Steer says, “Adrian floats the disturbing possibility that governments, looking around for easy sources of revenue, may decide to tax the private ownership of gold.”
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Gold's Value and Government Balance Sheets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Sometimes people ask me about valuing gold by taking into account the assets that a government owns, like land, bridges, and highways. Maybe they are thinking of the suggestion that Greece sell some of its islands in order to pay down its debt. That would indeed improve its cash flow position.
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Monday, June 07, 2010
What You Always Wanted To Know About Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The following is a transcript of an interview requested by a gold-friendly hedge fund.
Q.: Professor Fekete, you are known as a staunch advocate of a return to the gold standard. But mainstream economists are saying a gold standard is not practicable and they are fighting the idea with everything they have. How do you answer their criticism?
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Monday, June 07, 2010
U.S. Dollar and Gold Trading, The Trend Is Your Friend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
Playing the markets is not an easy occupation. One normally thinks that it involves buying at the bottom and selling at the top. But in fact, one must make a new decision every trading day. We had a good illustration of this on Friday, June 4 when gold plunged sharply in the morning, and at the same time the dollar broke out of a small triangle to the upside. Since the dollar often moves opposite to gold, this was a bearish signal for gold. A year’s trading, then requires 250 decisions. A decade’s trading requires 2,500 decisions. Fortunately, to make money we do not need to get all of them right. A good majority will suffice.
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Gold Still Just a Baby Bull / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
It's sad to say but I'm afraid 90/95% of all retail traders/investors are not going to successfully ride the gold bull. The reason of course is that they are deathly afraid of draw downs. It's glaringly apparent every time gold pulls back or suffers the slightest correction. Immediately a slew of traders come on the blog and warned of impending doom. "Gold is going to $600" (think Elliot wave). Some are even brave (maybe I should say 'foolish') enough to short. Here is one we hear a lot lately, "miners are going to get crushed if the stock market enters a new leg down in the secular bear market".
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Sunday, June 06, 2010
Implications of the Gold Silver Price Divergence... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
In this article we are going to consider the implications of gold’s new highs of late last year and a month or so ago not being confirmed by new highs in either silver or the Precious Metal stock indices, and consider other factors having an important bearing on the outlook. Normally such a non-confirmation results in a reversal, if it persists, which is why it is a focus of concern at this time.
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Sunday, June 06, 2010
Gold’s Role / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2010
The 5% X 3 box reversal Point & Figure chart below (of the ratio of the gold price to the commodities index) – courtesy stockcharts.com – shows an amazingly consistent pattern since 2005: A strong breakout, followed by a modest consolidation, followed by a strong breakout.
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