Category: Stock Markets 2010
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, February 18, 2010
Stock Market Rally Continues! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices ended up again today on Wednesday, but in a much narrower session and in a more of a consolidative pattern. The day started out with a gap up, and then they backed off, retested the highs, made slight nominal new highs but couldn't follow through, and then rolled over rather hard, setting the session lows by late morning.
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Thursday, February 18, 2010
Stock Market Where We Are... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As for me, who knows but for the market, let's explore the message(s) being sent. When one studies the market, the focus should really be on two things. Secondly, sentiment. It's not an exact timing mechanism but all it needs is a catalyst and she'll kick in hard. The one thing that holds true more than anything in this game is earnings. As goes earnings so ultimately will go the market.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Stock Market Crashing Through With Cash, Market Myths Exposed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
11 Commonplace Market Views: True or Myth?
By Susan C. Walker
"Cash on the sidelines is bullish for stocks." Have you ever heard some stock market pundit utter these words? Have you ever wondered if the statement were true? Read this item from the latest issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, and you'll wonder no more:
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Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Stock Market Investing, We’re All Speculators Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
As I watch the drama of the financial markets and consider the enormous impact they have on every aspect of our daily lives, I am amazed by the vast difference of opinions held by the public. Now, I don’t mean the financial press or the press in general; what I am talking about is our basic understanding of the very financial world that we have grown to take more for granted with each passing day.
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Wednesday, February 17, 2010
Stock Market Bottoming Process / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Bottoming Process
Has the line been set?
Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Europe China Connection Threatens Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: I was watching the Asia Edge show on Bloomberg television Wednesday night when the lovely and smart Susan Li broke in breathlessly on her guest with news about China's consumer inflation numbers. Inflation was reported up just a touch in January, which was considered good news because if it was higher it would have made Chinese banking authorities more anxious to clamp down on interest rates and if it was lower it would have raised the awful specter of deflation.
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Tuesday, February 16, 2010
Are We in a Stocks Bull Market and Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Current Position of the Market
Very Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when
expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014.
SPX: Long-term trend - Up! We are in a medium-term bull market, which is a corrective move within a long term bear
market. This bull market should last until 2011-2012.
Sunday, February 14, 2010
Stock Market S&P500 Index Half Way Towards A Bottom Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
On January 10th, we wrote: “The S&P500 has now touched the current upper trend line as formed since early last year. On January 15th 2010 we are also 45 weeks or 225 trading days after the March 2009 bottom. In Gann terms this point in time is typically a hard angle that typically come in as a high.
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Saturday, February 13, 2010
Stock Market Trying To Carve Out A Bottom... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
But you know it won't come easy folks. Once we broke down below the 20- and 50-day exponential moving averages, back tested and fell again, the trend changed from up to down. breaking trends, once in place, is not an easy chore. So you try to look for small clues that suggests that if the trend hasn't changed yet back to up, it is certainly trying to put in a low for this strong move lower off the 1151 top on the S&P 500. A process that can feel like you just sat in the dentist's chair for a few hours. It leaves you stunned and battered. At least that's how I feel when I go to the dentist.
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Saturday, February 13, 2010
Global Stock Markets Hit by Fear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Over the past three or four years a strange phenomenon has developed in the global investment markets. With some exceptions, many asset classes, in particular domestic and foreign equities, commodities, and foreign currencies have tended to move in the same direction on a day to day basis. The mega-correlation has lasted so long that most now take it for granted. This leaves investors with relatively simple choices: when to get in to the market in general and when to park assets in cash and U.S. Treasuries.
Friday, February 12, 2010
Economic Uncertainty Generates Stock Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market loathes uncertainty.
Twelve months ago the market was in the midst of the January-February mini-crash to its March low. The S&P 500 lost 25% of its value in those final two months of the 2007-2009 bear market. Its problem was uncertainty over whether the aggressive government stimulus actions rushed into place could possibly work fast enough to prevent the recession from worsening into the next Great Depression.
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Friday, February 12, 2010
Impact of Greece Debt Crisis and Bailout Talk on the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
So let me get this right… Stocks start to collapse because Greece’s fiscal problems come to surface (problems I might add that have been obvious for months). But then, there is talk of a potential bailout (not an actual bailout, just “talk”) and stocks erupt higher again.
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Friday, February 12, 2010
Stock Market To Go Lower Before Going Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In the short term, the equity markets are just holding on. Risk trade on. Risk trade off. One day up and one day down. I have identified one reason to be long and in the markets (i.e., Rydex market timers turning bearish), but I have been very clear that this Rydex "strategy" is a very short term play. Remember, in this strategy, winning trades only last on average 6 trading days.
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Friday, February 12, 2010
The Next Three Stock Market Headwinds After Greece Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The last few weeks have not been good for the markets.
If you’ve enjoyed the recent rally and, like we’ve urged, stopped arguing with the market and just rode it out for all its worth, you’ve been caught up a little in this correction.
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Friday, February 12, 2010
Major Investment Banks Forecast Stock Market S&P 1250 Target 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The following are the price target for S&P by all major Investment Banks issued at the beginning of the year. What is even more surprising is the fact that instead of downgrade for S&P given the corrections in the market, HSBC has upgraded their targets by over 5% to 1300.
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Thursday, February 11, 2010
Corporate Bond Yields Offer Hint Stock Market Party Is Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
For months I have been suggesting that as long as bids for corporate bonds remain firm the stock market will not collapse. (Note that "not collapse" is not the same as continue to rise.)
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Wednesday, February 10, 2010
Is the End of this Stock Market Correction Near? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In last week’s Money and Markets column, I told you about some stock market indicators to watch.
Since then, the market has fallen even further. So today I want to update you on what’s happening now, and what I think about the additional weakness in stocks.
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Tuesday, February 09, 2010
Rydex Stock Market Timers Becoming More Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Figure 1 is a daily chart of the S&P500. The indicator in the lower panel measures the ratio of the amount of assets in the Rydex bullish and leveraged funds relative to those funds that are bearish and leveraged.
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Monday, February 08, 2010
Stock Market Close to Finding a Short-term Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
General Commentary: The system for the SPY is on a Buy signal 50%
The market was able to make some nice gains early on in the week, but then panic set in on Thursday and we saw all the gains wash away with a 3% drop for one session. Friday continued the drop except that we saw a recovery late in the session and this could now set up a nice bounce in the near term.
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Monday, February 08, 2010
Stock Market Trading Position Weighting Change / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We are moving out of cash.but which way?
Happy Super Bowl Sunday! As I get ready to watch the championship game of the NFL, my appetizers are all set to put in the oven, wine is decanting, beer is stocked in the cooler and a few of my indicators have shifted their positions. Bullish or bearish?