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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stocks Bear Market

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, March 16, 2015

Preparing for the Next Stocks Bear Market - Forecast 2015-2016 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Gary_Savage

So with the advent of global QE, and zero interest rates, have central banks unlocked the key to perpetual bull markets? Let’s just say, I doubt it.

They have managed to stretch some of the multi-year cycles, and hold off the bear much longer than most have anticipated, but I don’t think they have discovered the secret to infinite prosperity.

As I said, the implementation of global QE has stretched some of the longer term cycles, and that is the first thing I’m going to explore in this article. Prior to 2000 there was a very clear four year cycle in the stock market. Roughly every four years stocks would move down into an exceptionally vicious decline, usually associated with either a recession, or some kind of financial debacle.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, February 20, 2015

Beware the Stocks Bear Market! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Zeal_LLC

The US stock markets’ latest record highs have left traders exceedingly euphoric and complacent.  They are utterly convinced this stock bull will power higher for years to come.  But their enthusiasm is very misplaced.  In real inflation-adjusted terms, the US stock markets only just regained breakeven levels 15 years after the last secular bull peaked.  Now the secular stock bear ever since is overdue for a new cyclical bear.

The flagship benchmark index for tracking the US stock markets is the mighty S&P 500, often shortened to SPX.  The whole financial world literally revolves around this dominant index, with most global equity markets and even some major commodities markets like oil usually mirroring it.  American stock traders can directly trade the SPX through a handful of gargantuan ETFs including the leading SPY S&P 500 ETF.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 22, 2015

Stocks Bear Market Lessons from History / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Submissions

Rajveer Rawlin writes: While the financial media is absolutely infatuated with stocks hitting new highs everyday, we would do well to pay attention to some ongoing bear markets:

1) Japanese stocks continue to languish under the effects of deflation following a well over 26 year old bear market, down over 50% from the highs set in 1989.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 14, 2014

The Rushing Stocks Bear Market and How to Prepare / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_Morning

Michael E. Lewitt writes: Oil prices plunged to their lowest prices in five years last week after the International Energy Agency (IEA) downgraded its forecast for global oil demand for the fifth time in six months.

The IEA report told markets that global growth will remain weak in 2015, triggering an across-the-board sell-off in stocks and junk bonds on Friday that left the major indices with some of their worst percentage losses in three years.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 13, 2014

U.S. Congress Has Guaranteed the Secular Stocks Bear Market is Not Over / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Sy_Harding

The cyclical bull market that began in 2009 has not ended. Enjoy it while it lasts because the long-term secular bear market that began in 2000 has also not ended.

Secular markets are very long-term trends within in which cyclical market moves take place. The last secular bull market ran for 18 years, from 1982 to the peak in 2000.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 25, 2014

The Gallery of Crowd Behavior: Goodbye Stock Market All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Doug_Wakefield

"Complex Systems that have artificially suppressed volatility tend to become extremely fragile, while at the same time exhibiting no visible risks. In fact, they tend to be too calm and exhibit minimal variability as silent risks and accumulate beneath the surface. Although the stated intention of political leaders and economic policymakers is to stabilize the system by inhibiting fluctuations, the result tends to be the opposite." - Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Mark Blyth, May/June 2011 issue of Foreign Affairs.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 17, 2014

Stock Market Seven Year Cycle and A Correction Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Investmentscore.com

From a duration perspective, is the current uptrend in today’s stock market getting risky? Based on history, should one assume that a correction may be nearing? Our main consideration of the following charts of the S&P 500 is the duration of the turning points.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 17, 2014

The 10th Man: What a Stock Market Correction Feels Like / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: John_Mauldin

Back in the summer of 2007, when I was working for Lehman Brothers, I had a vacation to the Bahamas planned. This was unusual for me. Up until that point, in six years of working for Lehman, I had taken about five vacation days—total. But my wife and I were going to a semi-primitive resort on Cat Island, the most desolate island in the Bahamas. Interesting place for a vacation. Suffice to say that it’s plenty hot in the Bahamas in August.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 16, 2014

Stocks Bear Markets Move Fast and Are Intensely Emotional / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

As Bob Prechter says, bear markets move fast and are intensely emotional.

Please read this free report that could help you sidestep perhaps the biggest bear market in living memory.

Anyone who has been watching the market for the past few years knows that Wall Street wanted the stock market to get back to where it was.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 02, 2014

Stock Market Top -Bear Market Begins / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Dan_Stinson

DOW reversal after completing ED pattern


The DOW was in an Ending Diagonal pattern which we have followed for many months before the recent downside. The chart below is from our members page and illustrates the completed pattern on Sept 23rd indicating a stock market top. On Friday Sept 19th, it appeared that the market top was likely in place, but we confirmed the reversal on Monday Sept 22nd.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 29, 2014

Epic Investor Optimism that Can Be Reversed Only by a Huge Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Editor's note: The following article was republished here with permission from the co-editors of the September issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm. From Sept. 25 to Oct. 1, EWI is throwing open the doors to all of its investor services 100% free. Click here to join EWI's free Investor Open House now.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 26, 2014

Stock Market vs the Developing Bear Market for Liberal Democracy? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Editor's note: The following article was republished here with permission from the co-editors of the September issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a publication of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave International, the world's largest financial forecasting firm. From Sept. 25 to Oct. 1, EWI is throwing open the doors to all of its investor services 100% free. Click here to join EWI's free Investor Open House now.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Death Knell for the Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Submissions

Rick Ackerman writes: When will the bull market end? With money velocity collapsing and ominous divergences developing in both the NYSE Advance/Decline line and the New Highs/New Lows summation, U.S. stocks closed at an all-time high last week. If this were not disconcerting enough, the Hindenburg Omen, which signals an increased probability of a stock market crash, flashed red on Friday. There was also this unequivocal pronouncement from the Elliott Wave Theorist after the Dow Industrials came within a single point last week of fulfilling their long-term rally target at 17280: “Next week, the U.S. stock averages should begin their biggest decline ever.”  As for your editor,  Rick’s Picks has been drum-rolling a key “Hidden Pivot” target at 2028 in the S&P 500 Index that has been 27 years in coming. On Friday, the index hit a record 2019.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 06, 2014

Stock Market Epic Optimism that Can Be Reversed Only by a Huge Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Recent weeks brought the biggest confrontation with Moscow since the Cold War, a race riot, a new low in the popularity of President Obama and grisly beheadings at the hands of religious terrorists amidst a major re-escalation of the war in Iraq.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Stock Market Bear Tracks Abound In Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: I_M_Vronsky

Today's boundless investor complacency is eerily reminiscent of the unbridled investor euphoria of the roaring 1920’s. And all avid market students remember what happened then…i.e. the 1929 Stock Market Crash.

Pervasive investor complacency reigns in Wall Street today…similar to what caused myopic prudence in 2000-2001 and again 2007-2008. It is imperative to recall that in each case stock indices lost more than 50% of their value. 

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 22, 2014

Are Stocks Bear Markets the New Bull Markets? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Harry_Dent

Lately, when I appear on CNBC and Fox Business, I seem to face an increasing number of bulls who claim we’re not in a bubble and that we could see the markets explode upwards in the weeks and months ahead. And they can list countless reasons for their view.

What I’m seeing less and less of are those pundits willing to be bearish… and those who have amended their point of view. “If we get a correction,” they say, “it will be minor… 10% or so.”

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 30, 2014

Stocks Bear Market Formation Revealed / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

The Stock Market with Elliott Wave Labels from 1693 to Present Day Reveals a Bear Market Formation Since 2000

The following article was adapted from Robert Prechter's June 2014 issue of The Elliott Wave Theorist, one of the longest-running investment letters in the business, continuously published monthly since 1979.

Figure 1 shows the stock market's waves from 1693 to the present. The circled Roman numerals denote waves of Grand Supercycle degree, the largest complete waves for which stock market data exist.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 03, 2014

Stock Market Rally - It’s Not As It Appears! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tim_Wood

As equities continued to rise during the advance into the 2007 top, I screamed from the roof tops that it was a bear market advance and that the efforts to prop the markets up only served to make matters worse.  That certainly proved to be the case as those efforts resulted in the worst financial crisis since The Great Depression.   Yet, as a result of the worst financial crisis since The Great Depression, the response to that event was the massive bailouts and even more of the same things that created that event in the first place.    Seriously, think about it.  Is it remotely reasonable to respond to the worst financial crisis since the 1930’s with more of the same actions that created that crisis in the first place?  Does this really make sense?  Ever since the rally out of the 2009 low began, I have explained that it is a bear market advance and that the longer the rally extends, the more dangerous it will become.   The rally out of the 2009 low has now extended to the point that it is the longest cyclical advance since the inception of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1896.   

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 26, 2014

Unprecedented Stocks Bear Market Formation Since 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Think the current conditions in the stock market are normal? Think again. Here are 3 characteristics you should expect to see in wave b.

Editor's Note: Below you will find a sneak peek from the just-published issue of Robert Prechter's Theorist. It provides you an opportunity to see some of the research, analysis and forecasts that Elliott Wave International's subscribers are enjoying inside their latest issue.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, May 23, 2014

Energy Stocks No Bear Market Refuge / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Zeal_LLC

The lofty US stock markets have stalled out, looking more and more top-heavy with each passing day.  This is spawning growing unease among prudent investors, who sense the long-overdue major selloff is nearing.  Many are seeking shelter in sectors they hope will weather the storm.  And energy stocks, with their lower valuations, are a leading one.  Unfortunately history proves they too offer no refuge in stock bears.

The stock markets are topping, essentially grinding sideways near nominal record highs for the better part of 3 months now.  The American S&P 500 benchmark stock index is now trading at incredibly high valuations between 23x to 26x trailing earnings, dangerously expensive.  And after rocketing 180.5% higher over 5.2 years, this truly extraordinary bull market stocks have enjoyed is getting ominously long in the tooth.

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